AUD/USD's Climb: From Market Conditions to Trading SignalsThe AUD/USD continued its upward trend from last week and further climbed above the 0.63 mark. This rally is mainly propelled by risk - on sentiment; simultaneously, rising commodity prices have bolstered the Aussie.
On the 120 - minute chart, AUD/USD pierced the mid - line of the upward channel and is now edging towards the recent peak of 0.6342. The MACD shows a DIFF of 0.0046, a DEA of 0.0044, and a MACD value of 0.0005, with histograms above the zero line, indicating positive short - term momentum. The RSI stands at 67.9796, close to but not yet in overbought territory, suggesting short - term upside potential.
Notably, AUD/USD is trading above moving averages across multiple time frames. The MA55, MA14, and MA200 are at 0.6139, 0.6280, and 0.6224 respectively, in a bullish alignment, a clear bullish signal. Chart - wise, AUD/USD stays within the upward channel, aiming for 0.6400, with support around 0.6260 and 0.6180.
In the near term, AUD/USD is likely to keep rising. Supporting factors are: the weakening DXY , which has dropped below the key 100 level; improving risk sentiment; and eased global trade tensions. Technically, indicators have turned bullish, with strong upward momentum. If market expectations for Fed rate cuts firm up, it'll further boost the Aussie. In this scenario, after clearing 0.6400, AUD/USD could target 0.6500 - 0.6550.
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Audusdsell
AUD/USD Bearish Trade Setup – Trendline Rejection & SBR Zone📉 Trendline & Market Structure
🔵 Downward trendline connects lower highs (🔴🔴🔴), showing a bearish trend.
🔵 Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming the downtrend.
🟦 SBR Zone (Support Became Resistance)
🔵 SBR Zone (🟦) was previously a support but now acts as resistance.
🔵 Price is testing this area → Possible rejection and move down.
📌 Trade Setup
✅ Entry: Short (Sell) near SBR zone if rejection occurs.
❌ Stop Loss: 0.60650 (🔺 Above SBR Zone)
🎯 Target Point: 0.59150 (🔻 Downside goal)
📉 Potential Drop: -2.08% (-125.4 pips)
📊 Confirmation Checklist
✔️ Price must reject 🟦 SBR Zone.
✔️ Bearish candles like Pin Bars or Engulfing confirm entry.
✔️ DEMA (9) at 0.60175 → If price drops below, trade is valid.
⚠️ Risk Management
🚀 Good Risk-to-Reward Ratio → Worth considering if rejection occurs.
🔄 Invalidation: If price breaks above 0.60650, setup is canceled.
AUD/USD Supply Zone Rejection Trade Setup🔵 Supply Zone → (Blue highlighted area) The price is expected to reverse from here.
🔹 Entry Point → 0.60610 📍 (Marked with a blue line) The trade is planned to start here.
🟠 Stop Loss → 0.60934 ❌ (Marked with an orange line) If the price goes above this, the trade will be exited to prevent further loss.
🔻 Target Point → 0.59400 🎯 (Marked at the bottom) Expected profit zone if the trade moves as planned.
📉 Trade Plan:
✅ Short position (Sell trade) expected to drop from the supply zone.
🚀 Risk-to-reward ratio looks good as the potential profit is higher than the risk.
⚠️ Risk Factor: If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup might fail.
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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AUD/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle of Breakouts and SupportsTrade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish.
Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance.
AUDUSD
sell@0.63500-0.63000
tp:0.62500-0.62000
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audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD LONG: ISM SERVICES PMI ON TAPUS January ISM services 52.8 vs 54.3 expected. This indicates a slowdown in the US service sector. The service sector in the United States includes many industries that provide services to consumers, such as financial services, education, healthcare, entertainment, technology, construction, and housekeeping. As a result, we expect the dollar to become weaker than the Australian dollar.
Wed 29th Jan 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being an AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD Trend Continuation [SHORT]The Ghost Traders FX gang has been taking shorts pretty much off every pump for very easy wins, as per last idea for Short, price is still yet to take the weak low which I would attribute to just manipulation & speculation in the market during Trump's Inauguration week.
My bias is still short until 0.613 is taken and 0.6 - 0.611 is tapped into.
Trade Record for GTFX stands at 126 wins, 17 breakevens, 7 losses with a 94%+ W/R & +2670 pips gained.
Best of luck to everyone.
AUDUSD BUY SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUD/USD Retests Key Support: Will the Downtrend Continue?AUD/USD remains in a downtrend, facing multiple rejections from the falling trendline. The price is currently retesting the breakdown of a key support level.
If it fails to break above the marked green zone, we could see a potential downward move toward the previous swing low.
AUDUSD WEEKLY FORECAST : SHORT | SELL (W/B: 13/01/25)AUDUSD will keep on being bearish for a very long time. If we take a look at the weekly - the lowest prices haven’t been swept as of yet - price needs to attack those. Price will re enter the new range it has created. Whether or not the range stays as so, that will be confirmed by Monday market close, however one thing that we can say 100% is that the high of 0.63015 is protected.
As it stands RR is 2.5, it may get bigger once range is fully confirmed.
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
AUD/USD SellThe bearish trend on AUD/USD continues to dominate, as the pair has successfully broken a key support level around 0.6320. This breakdown confirms the strength of the bearish momentum, with USD gaining further strength across the board due to positive macroeconomic factors.
Key Points:
Trend: Bearish.
Broken Support: The price has breached the critical 0.6320 support, turning it into a resistance level.
Fundamental Outlook: USD strength is supported by robust economic data, adding downward pressure on AUD/USD.
Expectation:
Further downside is likely, with potential targets around 0.6044, 0.5941, and 0.5795 in the medium term.
Traders should monitor for any retracements toward the resistance zone, which could offer fresh selling opportunities.
Where is AUDUSD Headed Now - Fxdollars - {10/01/2025}Updating my previous Idea, Let's see how it goes.
Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP or DOWN from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
AUD & EURO are the two currencies that have been getting stronger against USD for months in this range, It finally did liquidity has taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position.
If this continues, AUDUSD will be around 0.35 from early 2027 to 2030.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
AUDUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD Continues Downtrend with High-Probability Weekly FVG AUDUSD has maintained a strong downtrend, recently wicking into a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) that previously broke structure, confirming this FVG as high-probability. The recent close below the weekly FVG reinforces a bearish bias, indicating that sellers are still in control.
The next target for this move is the sellside liquidity at 0.63541. This setup aligns with the prevailing trend, making it a high-probability continuation to the downside.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).