AUDUSD: USD increases; The market waits for statements from the The greenback edged better on Wednesday, bucking current weak point as numerous Fed officers organized to speak.
At 04:20 ET (08:20 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar towards a basket of six different currencies, traded 0.2% better at 105,500, off its lowest withinside the nearly a month remaining week.
The greenback obtained a small increase overdue Tuesday after Minneapolis Fed boss Neel Kashkari stated chronic inflation and a robust economic system may want to convince the United States important financial institution to depart hobby costs unchanged. for the the rest of this year.
US hobby charge moves hold to draw marketplace interest and with out pinnacle US monetary facts this week, policymakers` evaluations come to be even extra important.
Fed Chairman Jay Powell basically dominated out in addition tightening remaining week, however lots of uncertainty stays approximately whilst a flow decrease will occur.
Investors haven't any scarcity of Fed officers to look ahead to Wednesday, with Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson, Governor Lisa Cook and Boston Fed President Susan Collins ready to speak.
Audusdsell
Countdown to RBA rate decision Countdown to RBA rate decision
The nine members of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are set announce its latest interest rate decision that could significantly impact the Australian dollar.
This comes amidst remarks from Warren Hogan, Chief Economic Advisor at Judo Bank, who suggests that the central bank might soon need to raise rates to over 5%, a notable increase from the current 4.35%. Hogan asserts, "We're nearing two years since the commencement of rate hikes, and it appears that it's not yielding the desired outcomes."
The money market indicates only a small probability of a rate hike today. However, Economic Editor John Kehoe from the Australian Financial Review raises doubts about whether the market is downplaying the likelihood of such an increase. According to Kehoe, over the last 25 years, the RBA has consistently raised interest rates promptly when confronted with a quarterly inflation rate as high as the current one, barring exceptional economic conditions.
In contrast, Gareth Aird, Head of Australian Economics at CommBank, posits that Australia's neutral cash rate likely lies between 2.5% to 3%, and any rate exceeding 3% is sufficiently constraining.
On the daily chart, the price has once more approached a significant resistance zone at 0.6650, where the pair encountered rejection in both April and March.
Should the Reserve Bank of Australia adopt a more hawkish stance today, even in the absence of a rate hike, it might catalyze a breakthrough of this resistance level for the pair. Conversely, a downward move could find support around the 100-day moving average.
AUDUSD Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #aussiedollar (#AUDUSD) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish harami candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 0.66462 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward 👇 ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 0.65000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 0.64647 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#majorpair
AUDUSD Potential Short Opportunity Bearish Bat Harmonic PatternThe AUDUSD pair is currently exhibiting a potential Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) formation, coupled with its proximity to a significant resistance level. This suggests a possible reversal in trend momentum, with bearish indications expected to strengthen from Point D onwards.
Harmonic Pattern Analysis:
The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) is emerging on the AUDUSD chart, indicating a potential reversal of the current uptrend. The completion point (Point D) of this pattern aligns closely with the key resistance level, adding further confluence to the bearish scenario.
Entry and Stop Loss:
We recommend taking a short position at 0.65200, anticipating the reversal from Point D. A stop loss should be placed at 0.65900 to mitigate potential losses in case of a breakout above the resistance level.
Take Profit Targets:
TP-1: 0.64520
TP-2: 0.63820
TP-3: 0.63128
Rationale:
The decision to enter a short position is supported by the confluence of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern and the key resistance level. This setup suggests a high probability of a bearish reversal, with potential downside targets identified at various support levels.
Risk Management:
It's crucial to adhere to proper risk management principles when executing this trade. By maintaining a disciplined approach to position sizing and adhering to the specified stop loss level, traders can effectively manage their risk exposure.
Conclusion:
Based on the technical analysis, a short position on AUDUSD is recommended, with entry at 0.65200 and a stop loss at 0.65900. Take profit targets are set at 0.64520, 0.63820, and 0.63128. This analysis aims to capitalize on the anticipated bearish momentum following the completion of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern and the resistance level confluence.
AUDUSD - Shark Harmonic Pattern Formation Detected-Bearish TrendAUDUSD is currently forming a Shark Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour time frame. This pattern is characterized by specific Fibonacci ratios between the price swings. The completion point, Point D, coincides with a key Resistance level, indicating a potential reversal.
Trendline Analysis:
In addition to the harmonic pattern, there is a significant Trendline acting as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting the bearish outlook.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Based on the analysis, a prudent entry point is identified at 0.64800, just below Point D. To manage risk, a stop loss is recommended at 0.65350, above the recent swing high and the pattern completion point.
Take Profit Targets:
Three take profit targets are set to capitalize on potential downward movement:
TP-1: 0.64270
TP-2: 0.63740
TP-3: 0.63200
Risk Management:
The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade is carefully considered to ensure favorable risk management. The potential profit targets offer a balanced reward relative to the risk taken with the stop loss.
Conclusion:
With the Shark Harmonic Pattern formation, along with the confluence of the Trendline and key Resistance level, the technical analysis suggests a bearish momentum in AUDUSD. Traders may consider entering short positions with the specified entry, stop loss, and take profit levels, keeping risk management principles in mind.
AUDUSD: The dollar headed for a second weekly gain amid interestThe US dollar is on track to gain for a second straight week today, underpinned by a strong US economy that has changed expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The greenback's 0.17% gain for the week was tempered after Thursday's warning message from financial leaders in the US, Japan and South Korea regarding the weakness of the Japanese yen and won by South Korea, suggesting the possibility of coordinated intervention.
Asian currencies have been hit particularly hard by a stronger dollar. Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, noted the importance of the joint statement and acknowledged the growing possibility of Asian foreign exchange intervention. However, Kong expressed uncertainty about US involvement, arguing that a stronger dollar would h
AUDUSD: 03/04/2024
Please be informed that we should wait for the price to rise to our level and then wait for a clear reversal on the daily timeframe. Currently, we are observing strong bearish signals on the DXY, and due to the overbought condition on the DXY, the price is likely to decline further and undergo a significant correction. It is crucial to monitor the DXY rebound, as there will be news on Friday that will significantly impact USD pairs, including AUD.
Wishing you the best of luck and safe trading.
AUDUSD - Bearish Trendline ChannelMarket Overview:
At the 4-hour time frame, AUDUSD exhibits a robust Bearish Trendline Channel, suggesting a prevailing downward momentum. Currently, the currency pair finds itself positioned at a crucial residential level, adding weight to the potential bearish outlook.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Based on the analysis, a strategic entry point is identified at 0.65200, aligning with the broader downtrend and providing an optimal risk-reward ratio. To mitigate potential losses, a recommended stop loss is set at 0.65600, strategically placed to protect against adverse market movements.
Profit Targets:
Regarding profit-taking levels, two targets are outlined: TP-1 at 0.64850 and TP-2 at 0.64480. These levels are chosen based on technical support and resistance areas, aiming to capture potential downward price movements within the established trend.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a bearish bias for AUDUSD, with a calculated entry point, stop loss, and profit-taking levels in line with the prevailing market dynamics. Traders are advised to execute with caution and adhere to risk management principles.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on current market conditions and may be subject to change as new information becomes available.
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange was little changed ahead of key dDollar constant with PCE inflation and Fed remarks in focus
The greenback index and greenback index futures fell throughout the Asian consultation on Tuesday, extending in a single day losses because the dollar noticed a few profit-taking after growing to an intraday high. one month.
Still, investors stay closely biased in opposition to the greenback in advance of key inflation and Federal Reserve alerts this week. PCE fee index data - the Fed`s desired inflation gauge - may be launched on Friday and is broadly anticipated to persuade the primary bank's hobby price outlook.
Along with PCE data, speeches from key Fed officials, consisting of Chairman Jerome Powell and FOMC member Mary Daly, may also be launched this week.
AUDUSD SHORTAUD/USD (Australian Dollar - US Dollar) is one of the most frequently-traded currency pairs in the world. The AUD/USD rate, as shown in the real-time price chart, tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a single Australian Dollar. Follow the AUD/USD live with the interactive chart and read the latest forecast and AUD/USD news to boost your technical and fundamental analysis when trading this pair.
Australian Dollar extends losses amid an improved US Dollar on Friday. The decline in the ASX 200 could have undermined the Australian Dollar. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.5 against the expected 51.7 and 52.2 prior. confirm signal
AUDUSD LONGAUD/USD (Australian Dollar - US Dollar) is one of the most frequently-traded currency pairs in the world. The AUD/USD rate, as shown in the real-time price chart, tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a single Australian Dollar. Follow the AUD/USD live with the interactive chart and read the latest forecast and AUD/USD news to boost your technical and fundamental analysis when trading this pair.
Australian Dollar extends losses after stronger US PPI data. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index tracks losses on Wall Street overnight. People's Bank of China has maintained the 1-year MLF rate at 2.5%. US Dollar strengthened as the Fed is expected to prolong its higher interest rates.
The Australian Dollar traded near 0.6570 on Friday. Immediate support is seen around the 50.0% retracement level of 0.6555, which aligns with the major support at 0.6550. A breach below this level could exert downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, with potential support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6528, followed by the psychological level of 0.6500. On the upside, the AUD/USD pair may encounter a barrier around the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6583, preceding the psychological barrier at 0.6600. A breakthrough above this level could lead the pair to revisit the weekly high of 0.6638, followed by the major level of 0.6650.
AUDUSD SELL CONFIRM SIGNAL AUD/USD (Australian Dollar - US Dollar) is one of the most frequently-traded currency pairs in the world. The AUD/USD rate, as shown in the real-time price chart, tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a single Australian Dollar. Follow the AUD/USD live with the interactive chart and read the latest forecast and AUD/USD news to boost your technical and fundamental analysis when trading this pair.
AUD/USD managed to regain balance and leave behind two daily pullbacks in a row on the back of the renewed selling pressure in the Greenback and the generalized upbeat tone in the commodity galaxy.
If the AUD/USD breaks through the March peak of 0.6667 (March 8), a challenge to the December 2023 high of 0.6871 (December 28) may be on the horizon, followed by monthly tops of 0.6894 (July 14) and 0.6899 (June 16), all before the important 0.7000 barrier.
On the 4-hour chart, the door now seems open to the resurgence of the upside momentum. Against that, there is immediate hurdle at 0.6667, ahead of 0.6728 and 0.6871. On the other hand, further losses might put the pair on track to retest the 200-SMA at 0.6543, then 06477, and finally 0.6442. Furthermore, the MACD remains in the positive zone, and the RSI has climbed above 62. confirm signal
AUD USDAUD/USD (Australian Dollar - US Dollar) is one of the most frequently-traded currency pairs in the world. The AUD/USD rate, as shown in the real-time price chart, tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a single Australian Dollar. Follow the AUD/USD live with the interactive chart and read the latest forecast and AUD/USD news to boost your technical and fundamental analysis when trading this pair.
AUD/USD is trading on the front foot while above 0.6600 in Asian trading on Tuesday. The pair stays supported by a weaker US Dollar and an improvement in risk sentiment even as traders refrain from placing fresh bets on the Aussie ahead of the key US CPI data release confirm chart
AUDUSD: Asia's foreign exchange market is quiet as China's econoMost Asian currencies have been little modified on Tuesday as China`s monetary objectives for 2024 did not buoy markets, even as the greenback steadied in advance of in addition hobby fee alerts later withinside the week .
Anticipation of greater alerts on US hobby prices additionally saved maximum nearby devices buying and selling in tight ranges, specially as remarks from Federal Reserve officers persevered to downgrade expectancies for reduce early.
China's Yuan is quiet because the People's Congress dominates
The Chinese yuan become mildly risky on Tuesday, with the currency's decline tempered with the aid of using a robust midpoint adjustment from the People's Bank of China.
Sentiment closer to the Chinese marketplace advanced little after Beijing set a 5% GDP goal for 2024, similar to 2023. But with a decrease economic deficit goal for the 12 months, traders query asks how possibly this aim is to be accomplished whilst the economic system is not able to reaching it. decrease baseline for assessment with the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Chinese authorities additionally promised greater stimulus measures this 12 months to enhance boom. But the obvious loss of proposed measures has left humans unhappy.
Separately, a personal survey confirmed boom in China's offerings enterprise slowed in February, indicating persevered monetary headwinds for the country.
Asian currencies in trendy are negatively motivated with the aid of using China because of its distinguished economic system withinside the region.
The Australian greenback, which has excessive exchange publicity to China, fell 0.1%, whilst information confirmed an development withinside the country's modern-day account withinside the fourth zone. Article The newspaper study in advance of a capacity development in fourth-zone GDP information, predicted out on Wednesday.