AUDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDUSD
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Audusdshort
AUDUSD M30 / SHORT TRADE OPPORTUNITY 📉Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to AUDUSD M30. I expect a bearish move after the retracement from the Resistance level, the exact level where we have also fibo 50%.
My target is below the BOSS.
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AUD/USD Trade alert: Strong USD vs RBA's rate decisionAUD/USD Trade alert: Strong USD vs RBA's rate decision
Talk of a US$278 billion (1 trillion yuan) rescue package for Chinese shares might not be enough to support AUD/USD.
Countering this positive signal for the AUD is general US dollar strength, caused by a shift in the market regarding the likelihood of a March rate cut. At the turn of the year, it was priced above 80% probability, but that's now fallen to 42%.
On the daily chart, we can see the AUD/USD testing on the key support zone at 0.6550 with some consolidation just above this level before the next move.
Looking a little further ahead, AUD might find the upwards momentum it needs with Australia's inflation rate data released on January 30 next week, followed closely by the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision on February 5.
The inflation figure is the last major report the RBA will have to consider before it meets next week for its first interest rate decision of 2024. Will they keep their rate unchanged on February 5 or surprise the market with another 25-basis-points hike and give a pop to the AUD/USD?
🦘🦘 Aussie Kangaroo Returns Home In The OutbackThe Australian dollar has been taking a bath. It’s gone from buying 71 US cents at the beginning of the year to netting you just 63.3 US cents against the benchmark greenback.
The dollar is down over the last year against most currencies, and down over the past few weeks against almost every currency.
The humble Aussie dollar is suffering in particular against European currencies: Pound Sterling, the Swiss Franc and the Euro.
However, even in Japan where the AUD is up over the year so far, it is down in recent weeks.
What’s going on? The answer is two-fold.
👉 America’s economy is stronger than expected. And China is weaker, so Chinese yuan has little to no chance of dethroning the US dollar, even as global de-dollarization happens.
👉 Australia gets hit on both of those trades.
Difference between 10-Year United States and Australian Govt Debt becomes lower
Technical graph for FX:AUDUSD indicates that Aussie has a lot down to deliver.
AUD/USD 0.65897 - 0.08% SHORT IDEA MTF WEEK BIAS 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great a look at AUDUSD 🛑IN THE COMING WEEK
MULTI TIME-FRAME BREAK-DOWN
DXY DAILY
* Lets start with the DXY.
* We see the 78.6 % FIB level holding in the past week.
* Looking for signs of some bearish momentum for continuation with the bears.
* The DXY is currently trading in PREMIUM.
* Any signs of bearish momentum would Signal Bearish moves for the week that is.
* Bullish momentum changes the Bias for the week & possibly signals reversals
AUDUSD DAILY TIME-FRAME
* On the DAILY we are trading / rejecting of a FVG.
* Should we violate this FVG looking to trade in premium, before continuation.
* This week looking for a push higher before continuing down.
* Should the FVG hold looking to go short, should momentum signal.
* We have a draw in LQ below which will serve as targets should we push higher.
AUDUSD 4H TIME-FRAME
* We pushing higher having some bullish momentum on the 4H.
* Looking for some push higher before seeing bearish moves.
* We see + FVG holding signalling bullish momentum.
* Looking to trade in PREMIUM for short entries & longs alike.
AUDUSD 1H TIMEFRAME
* We are in a BULLISH trend.
* Looking for continuation into premium.
* shift in momentum would validate the BEARISH BIAS.
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LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
AUDUSD H1 / BULLISH CHANNEL GOING AFTER FVG / LONG ENTRY ✅💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to AUDUSD H1. I see a very nice bullish structure, and I expect a rise until the first FVG as a first target. It represents a good opportunity to execute a long trade.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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AUDUSD: The dollar is on track for another weekly gain amid econThe dollar has trended higher for the second consecutive week, supported by a strong domestic economy and the central bank's cautious stance on interest rate cuts. The dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of six major rivals, rose 0.9% this week to 103.4. The dollar has appreciated about 5% against the yen this year, and the exchange rate currently stands at 148.12 yen.
Risk sentiment-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars rose 1.7% and 2%, respectively, and are poised for their biggest weekly gains since November and June. ,beginning%. The probability that the US will cut interest rates in March has decreased, with market odds falling to 57% from 75% the previous week. The change in expectations follows strong U.S. jobs data, with jobless claims at their lowest level in about a year and a half, putting pressure on the market to cut back. Interest fee. The two-year Treasury yield, which reflects expectations for short-term interest rates, rose 22 basis points to 4.35%.
AUDUSDOn the monthly chart we have a bearish long term outlook. The price completed a correction at 0.90-1. Thereafter we are in a bearish continuation on the monthly chart.
On the weekly charts, we are nearing the end of a bullish correction that may reverse or continue slightly higher. Looking closely, we also seem to be in a consolidation awaiting a proper breakout, our bias presently is a bearish set up though we do not have confirmation.
Presently, on the daily charts, we are waiting for a clear direction, either a break to the upside targeting liquidity at 0.692 or higher targeting the unmitigated supply at 0.7. Alternatively, we could have a break to the downside targeting the liquidity at 0.63 or fresh demand at 0.626.
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange dropped, USD recovered waiting foMost Asian currencies fell on Tuesday, while the dollar rose as traders largely remained risk-averse ahead of further signals on when the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates.
The dollar index and dollar index futures rose 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, during the Asian session on Tuesday. The dollar index is also trading at a small premium to futures, suggesting short-term demand for the greenback is growing.
Traders are now awaiting further signals on the Fed and the US economy, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller due to speak later on Tuesday.
On Wednesday, US retail sales and industrial production figures are expected to provide more clues on the world's largest economy, with any signs of cooling allowing for more bets on growth. cut interest rates soon.
However, the market appears to have moderated bets that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates as soon as March 2024, according to Fed policy tracker CME
AUDUSD I Pullback, continuation, and long from supportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange markets fall, USD rises ahead of The Australian dollar was among the few exceptions on the day, rising 0.3% as data showed CPI inflation eased in November, but remained well above the Reserve Bank's 3% target of 2%. annual. Core inflation also remains high amid high food and service prices.
The dollar index and dollar index futures were mildly mixed during the Asian session on Wednesday, after seeing a sharp increase in overnight trading.
The main focus remains on the upcoming US CPI data is expected to show a slight increase in inflation in December. But difficult inflation, along with recent signs of strength in the labor market, gives the Fed more room to keep interest rates higher for longer periods of time.
While the central bank is expected to cut interest rates this year, the market is increasingly skeptical about whether a rate cut will come as soon as March 2024.
Fed officials also resisted betting on an early rate cut, as inflation is expected to remain well above the Fed's 2% annual target in the near term.
Divergent Inflation Paths: AUDUSD Set for Bearish MovementAnalysis for AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook
1. U.S. Inflation Trends:
- Recent Data: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an increase of 3.4% year-over-year in December, the highest in three months. This rise was more than expected, indicating a continued inflationary pressure.
- Core Inflation: Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, remains firm. Notable increases were seen in used cars, apparel, housing, and car insurance costs.
- Federal Reserve's Challenge: The Fed faces a difficult path in achieving its 2% inflation target. The recent data suggests that the decline in goods and energy prices is slowing, while inflation in housing and services remains high.
2. Impact on AUDUSD:
- Rising U.S. Inflation: Higher inflation typically leads to expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Fed. This could result in a stronger USD as interest rates may rise to combat inflation.
- Market Response: The release of the inflation data led to a fall in the S&P 500 and fluctuations in Treasuries, reflecting market uncertainty.
3. Comparison with Australian Economy:
- Australian Inflation: The Australian economy is reportedly experiencing a decrease in inflation, moving towards stabilization. This contrasts with the U.S. situation, where inflation remains a concern.
- Economic Stability: Greater stability in the Australian economy, compared to the ongoing inflationary challenges in the U.S., might typically favor the AUD. However, the current global economic environment appears to favor the USD.
4. Global and Political Factors:
- Global Risks: Rising shipping costs and potential escalations in the Middle East could impact global inflation trends, potentially affecting currency markets.
- U.S. Political Climate: Inflation continues to be a significant issue in U.S. politics, affecting public opinion and potentially influencing economic policy.
5. Technical Analysis:
- Technical Indicators: Traders should look for technical confirmation of a bearish trend, such as resistance levels, moving averages, and RSI indicators.
- Price Action: Watch for bearish patterns or breaks below key support levels in AUDUSD.
Conclusion:
Given the higher inflation rates in the U.S. and the expectation of continued Fed intervention to control inflation, there is a potential for a stronger USD against the AUD. However, traders should continuously monitor evolving economic data and geopolitical events that could influence market sentiment and currency values. Technical analysis should be used to validate any trading decisions in the context of current market conditions.
AUD rally stalls ahead of key US PCE inflation reportThe Australian dollar’s rally has met its match around a key resistance area, which includes the January trendline and Q3 open price. A 2-bar reversal formed on Wednesday, following RSI reaching overbought the day prior. And as the US dollar has weakened on bets on Fed cuts ahead of a key PCE inflation report, I suspect there may be some disappointment and the potential for a USD dollar bounce.
This is why we’re looking for some mean reversion and towards the 0.6570 at a minimum (near its 200-day EMA) or support around 65c.
Bears could seek to fade into low volatility retracements within Wednesday’s range, while prices remain beneath Wednesday’s high.
AUDUSD - Bearish continuation ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: I see here a short opportunity, price rejected earlier from bearish order block and now I expect a reaction from institutional big figure 0.67000 to the imbalance lower.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow we will see results of monthly and yearly CPI in USA.
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AUDUSD H4 / Looking for LONG ENTRY 📈 Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to AUDUSD H4. I expect a retracement from the resistance level, where we have also an OB. It's a good opportunity to entry long if the strategi is confirmed.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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