AUD/USD "AUSSIE DOLLAR" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
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Audusdsignals
AUDUSD Any post-Fed spike will be a great sell opportunity.The AUDUSD pair is once again approaching the 14-month Resistance Zone, following a convincing rebound on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This Higher Lows rebound resembles the July 06 2023 bounce that priced a Double Top at the top of the Resistance Zone, before collapsing rapidly to new Lows.
Ahead of today's Fed Rate Decision, we will welcome any short-term spike on high volatility to short (up to the top of the Resistance Zone) and target the Support Zone at 0.63750.
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AUDUSD Excellent sell opportunity approaching.The AUDUSD pair is approaching the 1-year Resistance Zone that has been in effect since June 2023 and has to this date priced 4 rejections. As long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, the market will continue to apply extreme selling pressure every time the price hits that Zone.
Wait for the most optimal sell entry on this level and target the top of the Support Zone at 0.63650. Notice also how perfectly the 1W RSI has been trading within a Rectangle and is also approaching its top, i.e. the most optimal long-term sell entry.
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AUDUSD Medium-term sell signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading sideways since the May 16 High, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The dominant pattern has been a Triangle going back to the October 13 2022 market bottom and the current consolidation is taking place right at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern.
As you can see, this is quite similar to the Q2-Q3 2023 price action, which after the Triangle top rejection, it declined below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Even the 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals look similar. As a result, we turn bearish on this pair, targeting 0.63450 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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AUDUSD I Potential bullish continuation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
AUDUSD Medium-term Sell OpportunityThe AUDUSD pair followed our previous signal with great precision (March 19, see chart below), hitting the 0.63750 Target:
Following that, the price rebounded and has so far been rejected yet again on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the strongest medium-term Resistance and a symmetrical sell level where the similar sequence of June - July 2023 Double Topped and got rejected even below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we take a similar bearish stance and take this opportunity to sell again and target 0.63450 (1.235 Fib ext).
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AUDUSD WYCKOFF BULLISH HELLO FRIENDS
AUDUSD had created a Harmonic Pattern which called Wyckoff and tested a strong Weekly based support zone now we are looking for more bullish move in this pair with very low risk entry Friends it's just a trade idea shares Ur thoughts with us and stay tuned for more updates.
AUDUSD 1D Death Cross formed. Any bounce is a sell opportunity.The AUDUSD pair is forming today a 1D Death Cross, as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is crossing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time in 11 months (since April 14 2023). Obviously it is a major technical sell signal and in fact the price action since the start of the year (Channel Down), is very similar to the one of early 2023.
The 1D RSI fractals are virtually identical and in relative terms we are at the point where the (blue) Bear Flat is about to break downwards. Any rebound at this stage is a sell opportunity and our Target is just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension at 0.63750.
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AUDUSD: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇦🇺🇺🇸
We see a local confirmed bullish reversal on AUDUSD.
The pair violated a key horizontal resistance and a resistance line
of a falling wedge pattern.
We can anticipate a growth.
Next resistance - 0.661
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AUDUSD: Classic Bullish Patterns 🇦🇺🇺🇸
I see 2 bullish price action patterns on AUDUSD.
On a daily time frame, the price broke and closed above
a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
On a 1h time frame, the market violated a neckline
of an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
I think that the pair may keep growing.
Next resistance - 0.6588
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AudUsd- I expect a strong reversalFebruary has been marked by two significant breaks for FX:AUDUSD : one below the 0.6525 technical support and another below the psychological barrier of 0.65.
With the pair now trading back above both levels, there is a strong likelihood that these breaks were false.
As typically observed with false breaks, a robust reversal in the opposite direction may follow.
Furthermore, if the price surpasses 0.66, we can interpret the 0.6480 zone as a higher low, indicating potential momentum for the pair to test the resistance at 0.69.
I maintain a bullish stance on the Aussie dollar as long as the price remains above the recent low, and I am looking to buy on dips.
AUD/USD Trade alert: Strong USD vs RBA's rate decisionAUD/USD Trade alert: Strong USD vs RBA's rate decision
Talk of a US$278 billion (1 trillion yuan) rescue package for Chinese shares might not be enough to support AUD/USD.
Countering this positive signal for the AUD is general US dollar strength, caused by a shift in the market regarding the likelihood of a March rate cut. At the turn of the year, it was priced above 80% probability, but that's now fallen to 42%.
On the daily chart, we can see the AUD/USD testing on the key support zone at 0.6550 with some consolidation just above this level before the next move.
Looking a little further ahead, AUD might find the upwards momentum it needs with Australia's inflation rate data released on January 30 next week, followed closely by the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision on February 5.
The inflation figure is the last major report the RBA will have to consider before it meets next week for its first interest rate decision of 2024. Will they keep their rate unchanged on February 5 or surprise the market with another 25-basis-points hike and give a pop to the AUD/USD?
AUDUSD Channel Down still intact. Bullish if broken.The AUDUSD pair completed the bullish leg that we caught on our last call (October 24) and hit our 0.66000 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) target (see chart below):
The price has made a initial rejection at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, so the pattern remains intact. Technically this is the start of the Bearish Leg towards Support 1 and 2 eventually near the Lower Lows trend-line. The bearish break-out signal will be given when the 1D RSI breaks below its Higher Lows. As a result until Resistance 1 (0.66900) breaks, we will target 0.62715 (Support 1) and upon a 1D candle closing below, 0.61715 (Support 2).
If however Resistance 1 (hence the Lower Highs trend-line) breaks first, we will take the short's loss and instead buy, targeting first the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) at 0.67800 (+4.00% as the November 06 High) and upon a 1D candle closing above, extend to 0.68800 (+5.50% as the December 04 High).
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Possible opportunity in Aussie vs USD this week?US dollar
Attention will be paid to key economic indicators that roll out over the course of the week such as the Non-farm Payrolls jobs report, JOLTs job openings, and the ISM Services PMI survey.
Moody's analysis suggests a cooling down of various labor market measures. The uptick in November jobs growth is attributed to the impact of the United Auto Workers strikes in October rather than a substantial resurgence in the labor market.
Aussie Dollar
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain its interest rate in its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, with a 97% probability for the rate to stay at 4.35%. There is only a 3% chance of a 25bps hike to 4.60%. This expectation follows the RBA's decision to raise the Cash Rate by 25bps in the last November meeting.
A surprise decision by the RBA (or even a change in outlook) could see the Aussie dollar spike like the NZ dollar did last week. Look for weak preliminary job numbers coming from the US for extra confirmation of a bullish Aussie outlook.
AUD/USD: The impact of Xi-Biden's San Fran face-offThe AUDUSD and NZDUSD led the rally against the US dollar yesterday and are doing the same again today.
The surprising low inflation number from the US is what caused the rally yesterday. But today we have a new event that could be driving sentiment in these pairs. This event is still underway, so it still to play out completely, and its consequences still to be digested and figured into the market: This event is the meeting of Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden in San Francisco.
The meetings represent a cooling of trade (and otherwise) tensions between the two countries.
What next?
A weak support has been established around 0.64828. I would like to see the pair probe for a close closer to 0.65400 before concluding that there is a definite bullish bias. We will be watching news reports about the mood of the meeting and any outcomes to gain an understanding of the fundamental drivers for the AUD.
Short Opportunity for AUD/USDThe AUD/USD pair currently exhibits a strong bearish trend. The price has breached the weekly support level, although the candle has not yet closed below it. Additionally, it has broken the 4-hour support level and the Friday low of the day. While there is no immediate entry confirmation, a potential short trade opportunity emerges.
For a safer entry, consider waiting for a price pullback to the 0.64342 and 0.63357 zone or at least the 4-hour support level (which would then act as resistance). A successful bearish confirmation at this level would be a strong signal to enter the short trade. This area is significant as it aligns with 15-minute and 5-minute resistance levels, adding to its importance.
The target for this short trade is set at 0.63747, a daily support level. This target represents a potential gain of at least 60 pips.
Please exercise caution and ensure proper risk management in your trading strategy. Keep in mind that trading involves risks, and this idea is not financial advice. Conduct your own research, consider your risk tolerance, and consult with a professional financial advisor if needed.
AUDUSD Buy confirmed if the 1D MA50 breaks.The AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since February 02. Yesterday it hit again Support 1 (0.62885) for the 3rd time in October and held it. The first hit was also on the Diverging Lower Lows trend-line of the Channel Down and even though there is still room before it hits the hard bottom of the pattern, the Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows) on the 1D RSI in the past 2 months, indicates that this is already a strong buying candidate.
If a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), something we haven't seen since July 31 2023, buying will be confirmed. Our target it at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.66000. The June 16 rebound even hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which currently is above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), a key long-term Resistance.
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AUDUSD Bullish Divergence on RSI hints to a rise.The AUDUSD pair delivered us an excellent sell signal on Aug 02 (see chart below), hitting our 0.6400 target:
The price has now been consolidating at the bottom of the 7-month Channel Down on Lower Lows and with the 1D RSI on Higher Lows at the same time, we have a strong Bullish Divergence at hand.
The Lower Highs leg that bottomed on March 08, reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result we are bullish, targeting 0.65600.
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AUDUSD Open trade based on today's candle closing.The AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the February 02 2023 High and the rejection on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). Since June 16 however, it formed a short-term Rectangle pattern, which today broke below its 0.65950 Support 1.
We will trade this depending on today's 1D candle closing. If it closes above the 0.65950 Support and back inside the Rectangle, then it will remain bullish towards the Channel Down's top (Lower Highs) with the targeted zone being 0.68000 - 0.68350. If it closes below 0.65950, it will be a confirmed bearish break-out, thus a sell signal for us, targeting 0.6400 (just above Support 2).
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Potential swing trade long on AUD/USD 1-hour chartAUD/USD pulled back for a second day on Monday thanks to weak data from China and rising geopolitical tensions as Russia have backed to of a key gain deal. Support was found around the weekly pivot point, RBA ‘pause’ high and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and the subsequent rally suggests a swing low is in place.
The RBA minutes are due in ~2 hours, and we’d welcome any pullback towards 68c which could help improve the potential reward to risk ratio for longs. Of course, if the minutes are as dovish as hoped then AUD runs the risk of breaking beneath yesterday’s low and invalidating the near-term bullish bias.
But we suspect the minutes may be a little more hawkish than liked, which leaves the potential for it to pop higher. We have a target near the upper 1-day implied volatility band around 0.6850.