AUDUSD Bullish Divergence on RSI hints to a rise.The AUDUSD pair delivered us an excellent sell signal on Aug 02 (see chart below), hitting our 0.6400 target:
The price has now been consolidating at the bottom of the 7-month Channel Down on Lower Lows and with the 1D RSI on Higher Lows at the same time, we have a strong Bullish Divergence at hand.
The Lower Highs leg that bottomed on March 08, reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result we are bullish, targeting 0.65600.
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Audusdsignals
AUDUSD Open trade based on today's candle closing.The AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the February 02 2023 High and the rejection on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). Since June 16 however, it formed a short-term Rectangle pattern, which today broke below its 0.65950 Support 1.
We will trade this depending on today's 1D candle closing. If it closes above the 0.65950 Support and back inside the Rectangle, then it will remain bullish towards the Channel Down's top (Lower Highs) with the targeted zone being 0.68000 - 0.68350. If it closes below 0.65950, it will be a confirmed bearish break-out, thus a sell signal for us, targeting 0.6400 (just above Support 2).
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Potential swing trade long on AUD/USD 1-hour chartAUD/USD pulled back for a second day on Monday thanks to weak data from China and rising geopolitical tensions as Russia have backed to of a key gain deal. Support was found around the weekly pivot point, RBA ‘pause’ high and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and the subsequent rally suggests a swing low is in place.
The RBA minutes are due in ~2 hours, and we’d welcome any pullback towards 68c which could help improve the potential reward to risk ratio for longs. Of course, if the minutes are as dovish as hoped then AUD runs the risk of breaking beneath yesterday’s low and invalidating the near-term bullish bias.
But we suspect the minutes may be a little more hawkish than liked, which leaves the potential for it to pop higher. We have a target near the upper 1-day implied volatility band around 0.6850.
32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets!The Australian dollar has surged, driven by an impressive employment report that far exceeded expectations. In the month of June, Australia's net employment rose by a staggering 32,600 compared to the previous month, surpassing estimates by more than double.
This development propelled the Aussie currency up by over 0.9%, reaching an intra-day high of $0.6834. The New Zealand dollar also rode the wave, gaining 0.57% to reach $0.6299. Both Antipodean currencies are now poised to reverse the losses incurred over four consecutive trading sessions.
The current market sentiment favors the bulls, with both short and long-term momentum in their favor. Price action is trading above the 50 and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive outlook for the Australian dollar.
Elsewhere in the currency market, the sterling is doing its best to counter deep losses following a sharp fall in the previous session. The decline was prompted by Britain's inflation data, which fell short of market expectations.
The British pound managed a modest recovery, trading 0.15% higher at $1.2958 in the latest session.
AUDUSD Channel Down approaching its bottom. Time your buy.The AUDUSD pair is trading within a Channel Down pattern since the February 14 High and currently is close to completing the Bearish Leg to the new Lower Low. Our target is 0.64000, just above Support 1, where we will turn bullish again. The 1D RSI below 30.00 will be the ideal buy signal. The buy's target will be 0.66250, always below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
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AUDUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
AUDUSD Head & Shoulders but don't sell until the Support breaksThe AUDUSD pair is forming a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 1D time-frame, having also completed a Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200) three days ago. This is a technically bearish pattern. We will stay bullish however, targeting 0.71500 until Support 1 (0.65665) breaks. In that case we will target 0.64000.
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AUDUSD Approaching a Resistance Cluster ahead of 1D Golden CrossThe AUDUSD pair is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame (MA50 blue trend-line crossing above the MA200 orange trend-line), but is approaching the strongest long-term Resistance cluster. That consists of the 0.71400 August 11 2022 High and the 1W MA100 (red trend-line).
Being also near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the mid-October Channel Up, with the 1W RSI also near its March 2022 Resistance, it is more likely to see a pull-back towards the 1D MA50/200 and the bottom of the Channel Up, which will be the new long-term buy opportunity, targeting the 0.72685 - 0.72845 Resistance Zone. Any break above that Zone without pulling back, will be a buy break-out signal, targeting the 0.76650 April 05 High.
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AUDUSD-Hello Traders, hope you all are progressing and improving everyday so am I, here is quick look on #audusd the pair has been bullish ever since we had NFPs and CPI data, however, as we are expecting DXY to be bullish, in our opinion there is higher probability of dxy to be bullish in coming days and hey, trading is all about proability and knowledge right?. So let's use this setup to book some profit.
-What you all think about this pair?
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AUDUSD aiming lower within the Bearish MegaphoneThe AUDUSD pair eventually turned bullish following our previous analysis as it broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and as we mentioned, it targeted the June 03 Lower Highs trend-line (dashed) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
A closing above this trend-line will target the flat May 05 Resistance Zone. Until then, selling is favored as also shown by the 1D RSI sequence which repeats a very distinct pattern, showing that we are about to start the leg down. However it would be safer to do so upon confirmation, which can be given if the price breaks below the 1D MA50 again. In that case, our target will be the zone of the previous Low (0.62000) and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (0.6000).
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AudUsd could rise towards 0.7After breaking above 0.65 resistance, AudUsd accelerated its gains and reached a local top at 0.68 in mid-November.
For the last 2 weeks, the pair was in correction and consolidation and has put a nice symmetrical triangle on our chart.
As long as the price stays above the up-mentioned resistance/now support, bulls hold the upper hand, and odds are in favor of continuation to the upside.
Buy dips against 0.65 could be a good strategy with a focus on R:R