AUS200 shortI opened a short position yesterday based on 4H and daily chart.
My reasoning is as follows:
Daily
1) The price broked above the previous high (8525), failed it hold, and dropped and closed below the previous higher high.
2) It moved and closed below the ascending trendline.
3) All momentum indicators are now moving to the downside.
4H
1) The candles consolidated below the ascending treandine and failing to move above the line.
2)The price broked beow Fib 0.238.
3)Both MACD and RSI entered the bear territory.
Entry - 8483
S/L - 8580
Target - 8256
Risk:Reward - 1:2.65
Aus200sell
AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
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however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 8530 (swing Trade) Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 8750 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔆Fundamental Analysis
Australia's GDP Growth Rate: 2.2% in Q4 2024, with a forecast of 2.5% in Q1 2025
Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.8% in 2025, from 2.5% in 2024
Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates on hold at 0.10%
🔆Technical Analysis
Trend Line: The index is holding above the ascending trend line
Moving Averages: The 200-period and 100-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA) are indicating a bullish bias
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart stays above 50, indicating a bullish trend
🔆Economic Indicators
Unemployment Rate: Australia's unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2% in 2025
Retail Sales: Australia's retail sales are forecast to rise 3.5% in 2025, driven by consumer spending
Housing Market: Australia's housing market is expected to remain stable, with a forecast growth rate of 2.5% in 2025
🔆Macroeconomic Analysis
Global Economic Trends: The global economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace in 2025, driven by a recovery in trade and investment
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to remain stable in 2025, with some upside potential due to supply chain disruptions
Australia's Trade Balance: Australia's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus in 2025, driven by strong exports of commodities
🔆COT Data Analysis
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have increased their net long positions in AUS200 to 60%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has risen to 2.1, indicating a bullish trend
Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as hedge funds and individual traders, have increased their long positions to 62%
🔆Sentimental Analysis
Institutional Sentiment: 58% of institutional traders are bullish on AUS200, while 42% are bearish
Bank Sentiment: 55% of banks are bullish on AUS200, while 45% are bearish
Corporate Sentiment: 56% of corporate traders are bullish on AUS200, while 44% are bearish
Retail Sentiment: 52% of retail traders are bullish on AUS200, while 48% are bearish
🔆Market Positioning
Long Positions: 60% of traders are long on AUS200, while 40% are short
Short Positions: 40% of traders are short on AUS200, while 60% are long
🔆Open Interest and Volume
Open Interest: 251,011 contracts (as of current date)
Volume: 151,201 contracts (as of current date)
🔆Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: The AUS200 index is expected to continue its bullish trend, with potential upside to 8750
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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AUS200 - Potential SHORT setupPEPPERSTONE:AUS200 is currently in a critical resistance zone that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum.
Taking this into account I anticipate a move toward at least 8,250. However, if the resistance fails to hold, it may open the door for further upside.
Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of price breaking higher.
Feel free to share your opinions in the comments.
AUS200 - CONSUMER PRICE INDEXTeam, we have been very successful trading AUS200. It has been amazing and a blessing.
We are planning to short AUS200 at 8410-18
we also want to short 8442-8460 - this price is prepared for the CPI where the fake pump from the MARKET MAKKETs OR BOT and then likely dumped later)
Our target at 8368-72
target 2 at 8336-44
target 3 at 8308-15
NOTE: if you have a chance short at 8442-8460 then target at 8406-12
Once the target hit, take some partial and bring stop loss to BE.
AUS200/ASX200 - WHAT SHOULD WE DOTeam, yesterday we have successfully short.
Today, we are waiting for the GAP to be filled.
We will be short at 8318-26
ADD more short at 8338-46 (IF MARKET pump)
STOP LOSS at 8356-65
Target 1 at 8292-95 - take some partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 8272-83
Target 3 at 8254-61
AUS200 - TIME FOR A GOOD SHORT Team, we have been watching the hold week and trade on the AUS,
This is 5th time, and I hope we get 5/5 results for this week as the same last week
We are shorting AUS at 8284-76, STOP LOSS at 8315
Target 1 at 8258-49 Please take some trail and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 8233-26
Target 3 at 8216-09
AUS200 - SHORTING TIMETeam, yesterday, our AUS200, we hit all the targets last two days
Today it looks like another good short at 8226-8235
STOP LOSS at 8245-65 - depend on your risk level, always have better room for stop loss
TARGET at 8205
TARGET 2 AT 8180-8192
Once the price hit below 8200, BRING STOP LOSS TO BE and remember to take some partial 50-70% volume.
AUS200 WAITNG FOR RETEST AND SHORT - DOUBLE TOPTeam, yesterday we had a beautiful trade with 6/6 all-target hitting.
But every day is another day, let's focus on today.
It looks like AUS200 will be moving in a tight range.
We only trade when the price kicks in our set-up range.
We want to short AUS200 AT 8178-8176.2 - (double top). Yesterday's high may be retested.
Our stop loss would be around 8208
Target 1 at 8159.20 and Target 2 at 8123.20
If it breaks below yesterday's low, will be going into the target 3 at 8105 and 8078 ranges
SHORTAUS200 AT MARKET OPEN – current price at 8225Good morning Team; it is Friday, and I hope you have a fantastic week.
We are preparing a short AUS200 at market opening in 30 minutes
Stop loss at 8266 or 8258
TARGET 1 at 8204.5
Once it reaches the 1st target, take 50% partial and bring stop loss to 8247
We are going to target at 8173.3
PATIENCTLY WAIT FOR THE AUS200 getting to our SHORT TRAPGood morning everyone.
we are waiting for the AUS200 to get into our position to short.
If the trade does not form into our position, we will focus on the US market opening tonight. It is essential.
We await the AUS fall below 8140-38 to enter our short position.
Our stop loss should be above the all-time high 8186. (Let your stop loss be a bit lengthy to accommodate fake outs which happens most of the times in the market.)
Our first target will be 8126; please note once it hits our first target, please take 50% profit
from our second target, 8103.7, and
third target 8055.7
AUS200 - This is what I expect the trend for todayWe have review the market for the AUS200, but we are expecting further downtrend base on the chart which we have set up for AUS200.
PLEASE NOTE: We are not enter this trade today.
We would consider short at 8012.60, with stop loss either at 8030.40 or 8062.7
target would be 7973.60
and target 2 at 7941.50
AUS200Dear friends, what we are going to see in this post is why I'm waiting to go long on AUS200.
Price was travelling in the downward direction in the 4h time frame and now it is the verge of a breakout. As it is a breakout for the first time from the downward parallel channel, price will reverse as there is a supply zone at 7146.00 to 7183.80. Even though price is near to the 8h supply zone still price is coming from the strong demand zone. Now you can see there is a heavy buying pressure. Whatever AUS200 goes towards the supply zone still it is coming from a strong demand zone. So, shorting at this time is little is a bit risky but small profit can be expected. Don't expect too much. Just book the profit if you are shorting and sit quietly for the price action. Because it is very important to stay protected our capital in the stock market.
If you look at this chart the price has a strong support to retest to go upside. Trend is down in the lower time frame, and it is up in the higher time frame. As we all know that higher time frame controls the lower time. So, if you want to go short, yes you can. But don't expect too much. Price may or may not go up quickly. But all I expect is that the price will go down to take a strong support and then go up. If you are a breakout trader and you're on the verge of the market high, then you can plan your risk accordingly.
The current supply zone will prevent the price from going up. The traders who have taken the long position entrap bulls. Everyone rushes to open a long position as the price is going up rapidly. But after opening the long position the price starts to fall after the frenzy that heats up our head. If the price of this script starts falling, then the best place to open a long position is at 7029.00 or 6921.00.
Look at the chart attached for a better clarity. Avoid buying in haste. Perhaps 7110.00 is a good place to buy this stock if it closes above 7200.00.
But it is wise to follow your risk management before taking entry.
I love to share my ideas. Feel free to revise the text and provide feedback. It makes it so personal and improve us in better ways.
Thanks & Regards,
Alpha Trading Station
Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market".
FXOPEN:AUS200
Short opportunity on AUS200 /SPI200 According to Resistance Level on 4H timeframe
Divergence on 1h time frame
Fibo retracement to 61%
TP ans SL