ORBEX: Risk Up on LOWER TARIFFS As China Announces Import Cuts!China announced they will be lowering tariffs on a number of items come January 1st, making markets looking more festive ahead of Christmas!
Aussie and Kiwi took the headlines with a positive tone, however, Cable kept entering lower territories on the back on post-election no-deal fears! Will the Santa rally continue?
Have a look at our Elliott Wave analysis for further clues!
Timestamp
AUDUSD 2H 01:15
NZDUSD 2H 04:10
GBPUSD 2H 06:20
Aussie-kiwi
AUSSI.Vs.Kiwi (AUD/NZD) Potential Mid Term Strategy / SignalI hope you do read the chart. The picture tells the whole story. By the way, Australia's actual import/export/trade data was published better beyond the forecast and previous on morning. The choice is your's pals think wisely to choose the position in any on highly probability direction.
Neutral standoffThe Aussie is holding up a stable trade against the Kiwi in the past several sessions as the week starts. In the current formation, we will be watching 1.0715 and then 1.0700 for support, both below the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement. If the price sees a rise, then 1.0750 must be followed.
Reading the Right Side of The Chart : Asian Session AUDNZD It's Monday, it's still in Asian Session. Just wait. I am not one to predict/choose a direction out of thin air. Having said that though, I would love it if price close above those delicious liquidity pool haven 1.0700-1.0720. If the price reaches there, I would set my intraday bias into Bearish and will short this pair once a bearish technical signal been triggered.
Please read my post (linked below) about Friday/Monday relationship as a concept to navigate the market more simply and efficiently.
AUDNZD Testing Major SupportTrade Idea: Bullish Reversal
AUDNZD has continued its move lower and lower following a bearish channel trend starting all the way back in May. Now price has reached a critical support level of the trend. This gives rise for a potential bullish reversal if price rejects a break lower.
Trade Details:
Positioning: Long
Time frame: 1H
Length of Trade: 3 Days to 1 week
Entry: Between 1.0390 to 1.0380
Stop: 1.0360
Exit: 1.0480
NZD over AUD? - Ichimoku NZD/AUD Short Trade SetupThe kiwi has been fighting back across the board but especially against the aussie recently. We are at an important price structure level that if we break, should help the bearish trend continue. I think this will be a good candidate for a sell stop for entry, but as an alternative we could wait for a drawback and rejection at tenken sen to enter a sell. I've drawn some horizontal lines at price structure levels where I'll be taking partial profit at along the way to the longer term target. Per my usual style I adjust the stop loss into profit as this advances, and I leave partial position open even past my long term target, as long as the trend is still valid. If we fail to break lower or get a drawback and rejection, this setup may become invalidated.
AUD/NZD fundamental outlookAUD is now fundamentally weaker currency after the recent RBA rate cut, dovish bias and the latest weak GDP print. The odds are now in favour of another rate cut in 2019.
On the other hand, NZD is supported and currently not in the footsteps of their bigger western brother. The equities continue to be in favour of kiwi and the NZ economy is doing good.
There is a policy divergence forming in our favour too.
AUDNZD Continues Downward to Test the .382 RetracementOn the Ausisie Kiwi we have a nice opportunity to sell the market targeting the .382 fib retracement of the recent bullish leg. This .382 fibonacci level displays significant confluence with the market structure looking left.
Price reversed off of the .5 fib retracement of the larger leg (zoom out), and with clear bearish RSI divergence, the market has begun a deeper correction to fresh lows.
AUDNZD LONGAUDNZD has bounced off a support zone on the weekly charts. I have now used the smaller TF's to enter this trade and will look to take profit soon, as this is a short term long. This is a short term long as this pair broke the support and made a lower low, so I am expecting a big move down soon.
Trade safe and good luck!
AUDNZD ShortAUDNZD closed the month with an ugly bearish pinbar, well below the previous candles body after taking out previous months stops and also rejected hard by the 50EMA. Leaning bearish on this one to take out the clean lows at ~1.06587.
PLAN OF ACTION : Enter short on a pullback at the weekly low of ~1.09 if given the chance, use the weekly/daily open strategy and possibly on the breakdown of the daily block that price is hovering at the moment. Target would be the clean lows at ~1.06587. Invalidation of the trade idea is if price goes back above ~1.09 and find support like a daily open and close. Good Luck
AUD/NZD Possible tradePair: AUD/NZD
View: 4H
OBSERVATION: Price broke past the bearish resistance line. The resistance line which happens to with a strong support zone at around 1.08400, which is currently being retested for a second time after the breakout. If this zone is respected, I will look for a candle formation in order to go long, targeting 1.08990 then 1.09400. A break below will trigger a short trade with my first target being 1.07500.