AUDUSD H4 | Heading into resistanceAUDUSD is heading towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 0.65867
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 0.66165
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 0.64608
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Aussie
AUDUSD D1 - Long Signal AUDUSD D1
AUDUSD has gracefully hovered within the 0.63 to 0.65 range, a trend that persisted until the recent breakout spurred by the dollar's softening. The 0.65 handle encountered a noteworthy rejection, mirroring the resistance observed at cable 1.25.
In light of these developments, a straightforward break-and-retest scenario cold unfold, suggesting the potential for a strategic long position initiation from the 0.65 retest price, as indicated.
GBPAUD H4 | Bullish bounce of 61.8% FiboGBP/AUD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.90568 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.89600 which is a level that sits under an overlap support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.91880 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.64551 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.64000 which is a level that sits under an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.65222 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDNZD H4 | Bullish bounce off 50% FiboAUD/NZD is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.07820 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.07300 which is a level that sits under a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 61.8% retracement and 78.6% projection levels.
Take profit is at 1.08542 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDJPY H4 | Bounce off 38.2% Fibo supportAUDJPY could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to rise higher towards our take profit target.
Entry: 97.506
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 97.025
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 98.583
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD H4 | Dropping to 38.2% Fibo supportAUDUSD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise higher towards our take profit target.
Entry: 0.64549
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 0.64162
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 0.65182
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD H8 - Short SignalAUDUSD H8
AUDUSD, a currency pair known for its dynamic movement during the eastern session, owing to its base in the eastern time zone. We observed a substantial decline of up to 1.1R in the previous eastern session, although it's worth noting that stop losses are set with a broad coverage, extending to encompass all previous wicks.
Today, we'll be keenly watching for any signs of relief for the dollar. A potential shift in the dollar's momentum could pave the way for the anticipated unfolding of analysis in these ***USD pairs.
A LONG Bullish Run; But How Much Longer...?There is nothing as exciting as finding market direction and having the market play out in your direction and according to your plan and prediction.
From last week, we saw prices retrace bearish in our 4-hour zone. On Friday, at about 1500 WAT, prices finally dipped into our zone and from there we knew it was time for the long bullish ride up.
Because we were looking at the 4-hour timeframe analysis, our target was and still is the 4-hour liquidity above. Over the course of this week, we have seen prices soar all the way up towards our target liquidity. Prices are not there yet. They are currently just a few pips shy of our target.
The question is, "Will the bullishness continue all the way up to hit our target?" I guess you know my answer already. Of course, they will. We are holding on to our trade perspective, our bullish direction, and our trade. We will stay bullish, and we expect the market to stay bullish too, until we hit our target. When that happens, then we can expect the market to begin to lose steam and, from there, look to reverse.
EURAUD: Expecting a bounce down from channel boundaryExpecting strength from the Aussie this week, even though the RBA hiked, I think the Aussie was negatively affected by the fall in commodities rates in the past week.
I see no strength in the Euro and I think Friday's candle suggests that this pair may not break back into my ascending channel, this could form a double top too.
Tuesday EUR GDP data - could be indicating recession...
Expecting a fall.
AUDJPY: Interesting zone, continue up or Double top reversal?We're at the top end of the range for this pair, I am expecting BoJ to start backing its currency.
I've recently noticed some negative correlation between USDJPY and the other XXXJPY crosses, so where USDJPY falls the others have been more bullish.
That said if the BoJ get involved it will tank all of them.
I'm not 100% what I really think will happen here, I think the Friday pinbar suggests there's more upward momentum, but will be very cautious if I trade as anything against the Yen (@which is staggeringly weak against everything).
I'm opting for a move up and would keep a tight and chasing SL in place.
AUDCAD: Awesome breakout, time to fall back?Had a great breakout of the falling wedge that I called out in an earlier idea (I missed the trade as it happened sooner than I expected), but now I believe we'll fall back from resistance (we can see some rejection on the daily) before confirming the trend change higher.
No real fundamentals for this, pure price action.
AUDJPY H4 | Potential bullish reversalAUDJPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level and rise up to our take profit target.
Entry: 95.779
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 95.450
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 96.570
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Aussie H4 | Bullish bounce off 61.8%The Aussie (AUD/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.63931 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.63588 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level that sits under a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.64559 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Retracing Bearish for the LONG Bullish RUNDrawing from our analysis of this pair in the past few weeks, we have seen this pair show considerable movement in both directions: bullish and bearish, especially on the 1 hour and 4 hour timeframes.
With the spike across all USD crosses last Friday, this pair, like all other USD crosses, lost its bearishness and u-turned bullish on the 1 hour and 4 hour timeframes.
Today, we will look at it from the 4-hour perspective.
On the 4 hour, we see the market in a Bullish PB. The market has made a high and has begun to pullback into the PB. We expect this bearishness to hold, believing that the retracement will bring prices into our zone, from which we would look to take a LONG trade all the way up to the top.
Did I say "All The Way Up...?" Just kidding guys. The up move is expected to last long enough to hit the 4-hour liquidity target marked out towards the top of the chart.
We will monitor as prices unfold and look to make the most of the trading opportunity when we find one.
High Stakes: RBA rate decision vs. Melbourne Cup We are about 8 hours away from the latest Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision.
That decision is due on Tuesday at 2:30 pm (local Aussie time), a couple of hours before the country's biggest horse race, the Melbourne Cup ($8 million in prize money) is set to take place.
But perhaps the more exciting match ups will be occurring in the forex market.
Currently, the market is thinking there is a 70% chance of a 25-basis points hike because of the RBA governor's rhetoric that the bank would "not hesitate to raise the cash rate further" if inflation was higher than expected (which it was in its last quarterly reading). The 30% chance of no hike is possibly driven by concerns about mortgage stress in the country after the post-COVID 12 cash rate increases.
On the flip side of some potential AUD trades, we have expectations for the US Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) enacting a 25-basis points cut by June next year.
Weaker-than-expected NFP figures in the U.S. last Friday bolstered expectations that the Fed was done with its tightening campaign and pulled the AUD/USD up past 0.64900 from 0.64400. This makes me question whether the upside to the AUD/USD is all played out. Moments after the interest rate announcement will be crucial to see which direction the market wants to take.
If the RBA does enact a hike today, concerns about mortgage stress in Australia might induce the pair to revisit some of the levels the pair traversed last Friday during its climb just before market close.
AUDUSD H4 | Potential bearish reversalAUDUSD is trading close to a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 0.65215
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 0.66055
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take Profit: 0.64127
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Aussie H4 | Approaching resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.65218 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.66250 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.64127 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPAUD H4 | Heading into 38.2% Fibo resistanceGBP/AUD is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.90281 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.91000 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.88986 which is a swing-low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDCHF: Fakeout or Breakout?We can see we've just broken out of my channel top after a strong bullish move, but this isn't the first time and we're hitting strong resistance.
Swissie has been weak of late, unlike the Aussie, so I believe this can go either way. I'll be looking at longs around 0.589 if resistance is broken, but we may well fall back first. If we fall back below 0.578 then I'll be waiting for the triple bottom around 0.561 before looking to go long.
Obviously this could all be a fakeout and we'll be back in the channel, but I do think it's risky shorting down hear unless it's for a quick scalp as it definitely looks like a good double bottom is already in play.
Both of these currencies are gold dependent for different reasons (Aussie exporting it, Swissie holding it), and Aussie is doing well because gold is.
I'm expecting a c0ontinuation of gold strength as per my recent idea, so probably expecting this pair could keep flying?
Double bottom still activeOn October 2022 the pair broke out a massive double bottom. After that it consolidated for months to break out again. And now it came back to a important support zone. I think that double bottom still active and there is more gas in the tank. Great opportunity to pick it up here. It may consolidate a few more days to shoot up again, I don't know but I'm already long and if I see more consolidation I'll add.
Trading the Aussie Bearish; A Promise fulfilled...Hey guys!
We promised to give our trade setup as a new trade idea. Here it is guys!
Drawing from our earlier last-week analysis, we saw this market push bearish on the 1-hour chart. Our analysis had shown signs of a bulish retracement, and we had marked out the expected retracement zone. In the cause of the retracement, our zone was breached, and so we looked on to see a reversal from the next possible zone.
With the turn of the new week, we have seen the market u-turn at our next zone on the 1 hour chart, and from there it has begun to melt bearish.
It is our expectation that the bearish trend setting in will give us the needed extension to see prices dip all the way to the 1-hour chart liquidity target.
We see a minor swing, and that would be the target for our trade. We have marked out our zone from the bearish minor PB taken off the 1-hour chart. Prices are expected to pullback into that zone, following which we would be looking forward to seeing a bearish reversal indicating the end of the bullish pullback.
The moment we have our price in the zone, we will pull out our trade checklist (Panzy Pips Trade Entry Checklist) and follow through with taking our trade.
Stay with me, guys. This is gonna be a hell of a ride down the slope.