AUDCHF H4 | Reversal off swing-high resistance?AUDCHF is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.57939 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.58200 which is a level that sits above a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% retracement and the 100.0% projection levels.
Take profit is at 0.57412 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Aussie
AUDUSD H4 | Potential bearish reversalAUDUSD could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.64724 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.65000 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.64042 which is an overlap support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURAUD: Big Crash, incoming?Fundamentally I got Aussie strength on the horizon, whilst the EU is all over the place.
I'm seeing a big fall coming, with the EU basically stagflating and AUD being buoyed by Chinese recovery, gold price increases etc.
Even though we've seen positive data for the Euro this week, the effect on the FX has been negligible.
Can't see the Euro doing much more than it has recently against the Australian Dollar.
Could be a great trade for me this one...
GBPAUD: Trendline break, waiting for retestWe can see that GBPAUD has broken the weekly rising trendline with gusto at the end of last week.
We have a small pinbar close on Friday which suggests a retracement back up to retest.
I'm expecting strength to build up for the AUD with the positive signs coming out of China, we can see it is recovering across most crosses, and sterling weakening.
BoE decision on Thursday is important, however I think whatever happens this is a good pair to trade and I'm expecting lots of short pips from this pair over the next few months.
Watching out for the retest and then I'll be starting to short.
AUDJPY: Expecting a strong start to the week before BoJI'm expecting continued Aussie strength as the market expects China recovery is in progress.
BoJ interest rate and minutes will be big news on Friday, but before then I expect to see a continuation up within the current rising channel, breaking and retest initial support around 95.6 to rise to test the 96.6 support.
We're heading into very choppy waters now, and I expect BoJ to start defending their currency so I'm mindful to have very tight SL's up here, moving to BE as soon as possible and ultimately preparing for a reversal, but I think there's a little way to go yet.
With Aussie building momentum I feel confident in still being long here, but being uber-careful as you never know what will happen!
AUD/JPY Forecast: Analyzing the Future OutlookThe Aussie Yen made an attempt to breach the key resistance levels of 94.93 and 95.05. It successfully surpassed these levels during trading on Friday, but encountered resistance, preventing further upward movement. In this week, my strategy entails vigilant monitoring of the 95.05 zone, with the intention of executing a trade aimed at returning to the established trading range from that point onwards.
AUDJPY H4 | Rising into resistance?AUDJPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 94.937 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.
Stop loss is at 95.550 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 93.748 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money..
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD/USD looks set for a retest of 65cDespite strong data from the US and weak data from China over the past few weeks, AUD/USD bears have failed to keep the Aussie below 64c. Even a strong inflation report from the US on Wednesday resulted in the Aussie springing back above that key level.
Since then, we have seen the pair break a retracement line on the 1-hour chart as part of a bullish breakout ahead of the Australian employment report. The okay jobs numbers provide no reason for bears to jump in, but it has pulled back from current cycle highs.
AUD now looks good to bullish eyes around current levels, and a move towards 65c is favoured as long as prices remain above 64c (although tighter risk management could be used as 0.6410 as an invalidation point).
AUDUSD H4 | Rising into 61.8% Fibo resistanceAUDUSD is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.64695 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.65372 which is a level that sits above the multiple swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.63574 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD H4 | Rising into 50% Fibo resistance?The Aussie (AUDUSD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse from here to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 0.64398
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 0.65087
Why we like it:
There is a multiple swing-high resistance
Take Profit: 0.63414
Why we like it:
There is a support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Breaking the channelPair is trading just over the bottom of the channel. It tried to push up a few times but was pulled back down at every attempt to go higher (wicked off 3 times). It looks like a bearish flag about to break. Just opened a short position, my SL triggers if a 4H candle CLOSES above the flag.
GBPAUD: Curve Analysis (1W)BIG PICTURE TREND IS NEUTRAL
(aggressive risk)
SLO2 @ 2.0233 ⏳
SLO1 @ 1.9850 📉
TP1 @ 1.9115
TP2 @ 1.8495
TP3 @ 1.8040
TP4 @ 1.7335
BLO1 @ 1.7165 ⏳
BLO2 @ 1.6755 ⏳
Based on the 1W chart for GBPAUD, the pair is currently trading in a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is considered to be a neutral pattern, meaning that it could break out to the upside or downside. The price has been consolidating between the upper and lower trendlines of the triangle for the past few weeks, and it is now approaching the apex of the triangle.
The next few days will be critical for the GBPAUD pair. If the price breaks out of the triangle to the upside, it could target the 2.7000 resistance level. However, if the price breaks out of the triangle to the downside, it could target the 1.6755 support level.
The GBP is currently trading near its 200-week moving average, which is a bullish signal.
The AUD is currently trading near its 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal.
The RSI indicator is neutral, suggesting that the market is neither overbought nor oversold.
The MACD indicator is in a bullish crossover, suggesting that the momentum is turning positive.
Overall, the technical analysis for GBPAUD is mixed. The symmetrical triangle pattern is a neutral pattern, and the other technical indicators are giving mixed signals.
However, the GBP is trading near its 200-week moving average, which is a bullish signal. Therefore, I would lean towards a bullish bias for the GBPAUD pair in the short term — particularly watching a buy signal around 1.9385
AUDUSD H4 | Rising into 50% Fibo resistance?AUDUSD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.64383 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.64862 which is a resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and sits above the high on 4th September.
Take profit is between 0.63600 and 0.63413 which is a support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and the recent swing-low.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money..
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD H4 | Approaching 23.6% Fibo resistanceAUDUSD could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse from here to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 0.64039
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 0.64410
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 0.63414
Why we like it:
There is a support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD H4 | Bounce off pullback support?AUDUSD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially reverse from here to bounce higher towards our take profit target.
Entry: 0.64019
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support
Stop Loss: 0.63419
Why we like it:
There is a support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Take Profit: 0.65080
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/AUD swing trade longEUR/AUD remains within an established uptrend on the daily chart, and a 3-wave countertrend move has formed.
It is trying to build a base above the 50-day EMA and July high, which paints a near-term bullish bias whilst prices remain above 1.66.
We're not yet sure whether we're at or near the end of a 3-wave correction, or if this is simply the first leg lower of a deeper retracement. For now, we'll target 1.85 and use a break above 1.69 as confirmation that momentum has realigned with the daily bullish trend.
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR vs US DOLLAR : We Maintain the same outlook.Aussie continues performing as anticipated.
We Maintain The Same Outlook.
Double Top formation.
Aussie Must Stay Below "Kolero" To Maintain a healthy Momentum to Resume Its Downward Move Toward The Target. A Clear Close Above "Kolero" Will Abort The Above Scenario And Open Window For An Extended Upward Move.