Get started

Aussie

Aussie H4 | Overlap support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6729 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6699 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 0.6761 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
GBP/AUD H4 | Bearish Momentum PersistsGBP/AUD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.9042 which is a pullback resistance and the presence of the bearish Ichimoku cloud highlights the bearish momentum. Stop loss is at 1.9090 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.8909 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUDUSD pullback and bullish continuation … 08 July 2024 As I posted on 15 June, this pair gave us the opportunity to trade within a range. It has now broken out to the upside giving a probable bullish move. I don’t chase price so I am looking for a pullback to the top of the previous range to go long (if that happens). If there is no pullback and price just continues on its current path – so be it. I am already long EURUSD and will probably find a nice JPY cross to trade. This is not a trade recommendation, it is just my analysis. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management if/when you trade. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
Long
by Trading_Vista
Aussie Shows Bullish Pattern After Hot CPI DataAussie is still sideways against the US dollar, trapped in a range for more than a month. However, the price is now moving towards the upper side of this pattern after hot Australina CPI (4%) this week, so RBA shoudl stay hakiwhs, suggesting a greater chance for a break out of a bullish triangle rather than a bearish trend. If analysis is correct, we are currently in a subwave "e", meaning there could still be some intraday weakness down to the 0.6630 to 0.6640 potential support levels. These would then be the final piece of this bullish structure, which should eventually take the price higher. However, only if the price closes above 0.6700 , the triangle will be seen as completed, and we should expect a straight move higher, possibly even to the 0.6780 area. Grega
Long
by ew-forecast
Wild tradeMassive inverted HS building up to break out the triangle. Aussie is correlated to Gold, and the US Dollar will suffer from the monetary policies of the FED. This trade is not for everyone. If you are a day trader probably it will be frustrating for you. It could take months to play out. Open a long position and add at every pull back. We will have a fight at the upper vertex of the triangle. The SL triggers if the inverted HS pattern is busted in the weekly timeframe. Give it time. In Forex you only need a few trades a year to make great profits but patient is needed.
Long
by ArturoL
3
AUD/USD Surges as US Inflation Cools, Setting for Bullish ContAUD/USD Surges to 0.6670 as US Inflation Cools, Setting the Stage for Bullish Continuation The AUD/USD pair has jumped higher to 0.6670 following an expected cooling in US inflation. This move aligns with our technical analysis, which anticipated a potential rebound in the Fibonacci retracement area, triggering a new bullish impulse. We also observed a divergence on the RSI within the H4 timeframe, which is situated inside a bullish channel. The decline in US inflation data is expected to spur expectations for early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), creating an unfavorable scenario for the US Dollar. Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned negative, dropping to 105.80. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the central bank sees the September meeting as the earliest point for pivoting to policy normalization. The tool indicates that the Fed is expected to deliver two rate cuts this year. However, contrary to market expectations, Fed officials have forecasted only one rate cut this year. Considering all the data and analysis, we are anticipating a possible bullish continuation for the AUD/USD pair. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
Aussie H4 | Approaching multi-swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6677 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6714 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6643 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUD/USD Upside Bias Supported by Hot AU InflationAustralian inflation accelerated 4% y/y in May, according to Wednesday’s data, marking the fastest pace in six months. The Reserve Bank of Australia was already worried around price pressures and had once again discussed raising rates during this month’s hold, while keeping the door open to further tightening. Yesterday’s hot CPI report likely aggravated these concerns and strengthens the case for a rate hike, while diminishing chances for a shift to a less restrictive chance this year. AUD/USD erased its gains yesterday after the initial jump, but remains constructive and the monetary policy differential supports further upside. The US Fed is reluctant to pivot, but still sees a rate cut this year, while markets are more aggressive and price in two moves. The technicals are also favorable, since the Aussie has defended the 38.2% Fibonacci of the last leg up and trades above the EMA200 (black line). This provide a solid basis for higher highs (0.6714) that would bring the 2024 peak in the spotlight (0.6839), although bulls don’t inspire yet confidence for challenging it. On the other hand, the bar is high for further tightening by the RBA, while the weak Australian economy creates pressure for an easier monetary stance. The Fed meanwhile expects just one cut this year, due to the disinflation slowdown, which supports the greenback. As such, the there is scope for renewed pressure towards the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and the daily Ichimoku Cloud, but sustained weakness below it is not easy given the favorable monetary policy differential. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
Aussie H4 | Approaching swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6700 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6724 which is a level that sits above another swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6672 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Aussie H4 | Approaching 78.6% Fibonacci resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6672 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6714 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6626 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUD/USD Upside Favored by Monetary Policy DeferentialAUD/USD upside bias is supported by the monetary policy differential and the technicals. The Australian central bank stayed on the sidelines on Tuesday, but once again considered the case for a hike and does not shut the door to such action. The US Fed on the other hand has already pointed to lower rates and markets expect two cuts within the year. The Aussie benefited from RBA’s hawkish hold and after defending again the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci of the last leg up, it returned above the EMA200 (black line). This reaffirms the bullish tilt and strengthens prospects of new higher highs (0.6714), but does not inspire confidence for tackling 0.6839. On the other hand, AUD/USD has faltered above 0.6700 multiple times, creating scope for a pullback and a retest of the 38.2% Fibonacci and the daily Ichimoku Cloud. This would bring 0.6465 in the spotlight, but strong catalyst would be needed for testing it. Markets may be optimistic about two Fed cuts, but officials see just one and their reluctance to pivot supports the greenback. The RBA keeps the door open to a hike, but there is a high bar for such action, while deteriorating economy could increase pressure for easier stance. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
AUD/USD Starts New Week with Positive Tone,Rebound ExpectedThe AUD/USD pair kicked off the new week on a positive note, hinting at a potential rebound from a significant support area that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This comes after a bearish reversal observed last week, which saw the pair correcting from its previous bullish momentum. Recent Trading Activity Last week, we successfully closed a profitable position by capitalizing on the bullish impulse. Our detailed analysis and forecast, available on our page, accurately predicted the upward movement, allowing us to ride the bullish wave to its peak. Technical Analysis Currently, the AUD/USD is showing signs of a potential reversal from the support area. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, known for being a strong support level, adds further weight to this potential rebound. This Fibonacci level is often seen as a critical point where prices tend to find support and reverse, especially after a significant bearish correction. Market Sentiment and Trend Analysis Analyzing the market sentiment, an upside break this week appears marginally more likely than a downside break. This outlook is based on the observation that the trend prior to the formation of the current range was bullish. Typically, when a range forms after a strong trend, the breakout tends to follow the direction of the initial trend. Therefore, the probability of an upward breakout remains slightly higher. Trading Strategy Given the technical indicators and market sentiment, we have decided to open a bullish setup. This setup offers a positive risk/reward (R/R) ratio, making it a viable long-term trade. By positioning ourselves for a potential rebound, we aim to capitalize on the expected upward movement while managing our risk effectively.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
AUDUSD - Do you wanna play the range?Range trading is as valid as any other, but not many traders play a range. If you are inclined to, you might want to consider this one. At least 2 touches on both sides are required to form a range and we do have that. This is not a trade recommendation. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Anything can happen in the markets at any time. Please use sound money and risk management in all your trades. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
by Trading_Vista
4
BofA sees Aussie dollar outperforming Bank of America anticipates diverging monetary policy paths between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) after their respective June meetings, with the RBA seen as one of the last major central banks to cut interest rates. The Wall Street bank's view was reinforced by robust Australian labor market data, suggesting potential for the RBA to maintain higher rates for longer. "An unambiguously strong jobs report has further strengthened our conviction in higher-for-longer trades," said Adarsh Sinha, a strategist at Bank of America. Australian employment jumped by 39,700 in May, beating forecasts of 30,000, driven by full-time hiring as unemployment fell, official data showed. "We see this as a good entry point for adding higher-for-longer trades, including our recommendation to buy carry-rich AUD/CHF," Sinha added. Earlier this year, Sinha made similar calls favoring the Australian dollar on expectations the RBA would lag peers in lowering rates. He cited other factors supporting potential Aussie outperformance in 2024, including a less restrictive RBA policy rate versus other economies, bearish China sentiment subsiding, and Australia's solid fiscal position. Elias Haddad, senior markets strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, said he expected the Aussie to gain ground versus the Canadian dollar too, as the RBA is in no rush to cut rates unlike the Bank of Canada.
by BlackBull_Markets
RBA decision: Will the Aussie Dollar break out? RBA decision: Will the Aussie Dollar break out? A potentially interesting week awaits the Aussie dollar, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expected to hold its interest rate unchanged. Money markets price around a 97% chance for rates to remain at the current level and only a 3% probability of a 25-basis point cut. Last week, ANZ became the first of the big four banks to push their prediction of a RBA interest rate cut into 2025. The bank now expects the first RBA cash rate reduction to come in February. Before this shift, ANZ was aligned with CBA, NAB, and Westpac in forecasting a cut this November. A look at Aussie price action shows AUD/USD trading within a very mild descending channel formation or a range between 0.6577 and 0.6690. A decisive break above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) before breaking 0.6709 could indicate an extension higher to a target at 0.6713. A decisive break below the range floor could indicate a follow-through to at least 0.6556.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/AUD H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementEUR/AUD has reacted off an overlap resistance and the bearish momentum could potentially cause it to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.6274 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.6346 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.6176 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Aussie H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retarcementThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6630 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6581 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 0.6698 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
AUD/USD Gains Amidst USD Strength Post-US Jobs ReportThe Australian Dollar (AUD) recovered some ground on Monday after a decline in the previous session. This movement comes as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened due to better-than-expected US employment data released on Friday. The strong jobs report has led traders to push back their expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, exerting pressure on the AUD/USD pair. Market Analysis 1. USD Strength: The USD's resurgence is attributed to robust US employment figures, which have diminished the immediate likelihood of Fed rate cuts. 2. Impact on AUD/USD: This has resulted in downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, as the market adjusts to the new expectations regarding US monetary policy. Technical Insights 1. Oversold Conditions: From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair is currently in oversold territory, suggesting a potential rebound. 2. Support Area: The price is approaching a key support area, further indicating a possible reversal. Trading Strategy Given the current technical conditions and market dynamics, we are looking to set up a long position. The correlation with other USD pairs supports this strategy, as they also show signs of potential recovery against the USD.
Long
by FOREXN1
1