Aussie
It was a PERFECT analysis that finally hit the target Click the link in the Yellow circle to see the previous analysis.
It was a perfect analysis; I predicted that after the Australia open international border news came out (chart attached below).
Currently, All eyes are waiting for the US unemployment data, and also Powell will testify later on in the US session.
Technically, so far, the price is precisely retesting the major down trendline. If the price can breakout and close above the major down trendline, I reckon AUD potentially will keep climbing to 0.737 area. However, if AUD rejects the major down trendline, there's a possibility that it will retrace to the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement. Based on the Moving average 50 and 200, currently, I remain bullish.
Please DO NOT enter the trade blindly because this analysis is the follow-up analysis and not a suggestion to buying AUD right now, very BAD price!
Catalyst:
- US Unemployment
- Powell testify
- US PMI
- NFP
GBP-AUD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD fell sharply and is clearly oversold
So now that the pair is about to retest
A strong horizontal support level
I am expecting a rebound
And a local bullish correction
With the price going up to retest the resistance above
Buy!
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✅AUD_NZD MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT🔥
✅AUD_NZD is about to retest a key structure level
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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AUD-NZD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD went up and is retesting
A horizontal resistance level
And we are already seeing a bearish reaction
Thus, a local move down is to be expected
With the target of retesting a support level below
Sell!
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AUD-CHF Breakout Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF was trading below a strong key level
But now the pair broke the resistance
Which became a support level
And went up, so I am bullish now
AndI think that after the pullback and retest
We will see bullish continuation
Buy!
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EUR-AUD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is falling sharply and has broken
Multiple support levels but the one that is ahead
Seems to be the srongest level so far
And the pair is clearly oversold
So I think that there is a good change
To see a local bullish correction!
Buy!
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AUD-USD Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is retesting a horizontal resistance again
And I am still bearish on the pair short-term
Thus, a local pullback and a bearish reaction
Are likley to follow after the pair hits the level
Sell!
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GBP-AUD Will Go Up! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD is trading in a downtrend
But the pair is about to retest a horizontal support level
And because the pair is oversold
I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up to retest
The resistance level above
Buy!
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AUDJPY @ Crispy Potato26/02/22
FORECAST FOR WEEK 1 MARCH 2022 IS = BULL (Based on alignment with Day and Week)
COMBINED FORECAST FOR MARCH 2022 = BULL (But this is based on the Day and Week being in alignment, as well as the week having 4 strong bull candles)
DAYS
WEEK 4 OF FEB FORECAST WAS = BEAR = INACCURATE
PROBABILITY OF DAYS FOR WEEK 1 MARCH = BULL
Days during this week were volatile. These days sit inside a range ongoing since December. Friday's candle offers insight into the direction of the trend. This solid and larger body bull candle has formed at a key point It is a strong candle at the top of this range. Thursday candle supports a bull move by rejecting the bears. Volume on Thursday is significant but it is a knee-jerk reaction from the war event that has commenced.
The OBV daily chart is in divergence with the candles. This may play an important role and may result in this Friday bull candle being a fizzle.- Overall there appears to be a higher probability of a BULL week than a BEAR week.
WEEK
WEEK 4 OF FEB FORECAST WAS = NO CALL MADE = ACCURACY N/A
PROBABILITY FOR WEEK 1 MARCH = BULL
This week was again bull, it is the 4th bull candle. Volume is increasing, this supports the notion of higher prices ahead. The OBV has also responded but I take note that the recent low does diverge from the candle low respectively.
MONTH
FORECAST IN JAN FOR FEB = BEAR = INACCURATE
FORECAST IN FEB FOR MARCH = BULL (But this is based on the Day and Week being in alignment, as well as the week having 4 strong bull candles)
This month retaliates to January. A definite struggle of both sides to take control, neither is winning. This price point has not been tested like this previous, instead, any direction change was swiftly counteracted. This is a tug-of-war, which is timely as the Russian war has started. This candle was bull with little to no tails. Volume has increased from January. The OBV gives away little of the chart's intentions.
AUDUSD @ Crispy Potato26/02/22
FORECAST FOR WEEK 1 MARCH 2022 IS = 50/50 (based on Day and Week divergence)
COMBINED FORECAST FOR MARCH 2022 = BULL (based on Week and Month alignment)
DAYS
WEEK 4 OF FEB FORECAST WAS = BEAR = INACCURATE
PROBABILITY OF DAYS FOR WEEK 1 MARCH = BEAR
This chart is trending sideways since Dec 2021. This week on this Wednesday a small shooting star formed, it is near the top of the sideways trend. On Thursday the volume increased significantly, the candle size was respectable for this chart. Thursday candle had a bottom tail, also of decent size. Friday's candle match Thursday indicates Bull can match Bear moves. Given the candles are near the top of the range there is a good probability for it to now head toward the bottom.
Note: there is a possibility, due to the war, the AUD market could be a safe haven for investors. Borders are now open, tourism is now operable it looks like a good place to invest. A slight hiccup, there are floods on the southeast, this may counteract investment possibilities
WEEK
WEEK 4 OF FEB FORECAST WAS = BULL = ACCURATE
PROBABILITY FOR WEEK 1 MARCH = BULL
4TH consistent Bull candle, matched with increasing volume. This indicates decent Bull influence that is resilient to Bear influence. This is a strong Bull position, it will be needed to break the $72 mark. The OBV supports this direction. Note the $70 is a tried and tested support level, 4 weeks ago tested this for the third time and bounced. The probability for a Bulls to rally is high.
MONTH
FORECAST IN JAN FOR FEB = BEAR = INACCURATE
FORECAST IN FEB FOR MARCH = BULL
This chart hovers at a tested support level of $72. the trend has stalled at this price point now for 3 consecutive months. Indications are the bears have lost influence. The volume of Feb has increased from January, this indicates buying pressure is on the rise. The OBV doesn't give away much but this is okay. Given the slowing momentum of the bear trend and the potential for Australia to be considered a safe place to invest, it is probable March will finish as a Bull candle. One caveat is the floods.
AUD-JPY Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY went up to retest the falling resistance
Just as I predicted in my previous analysis
Aand now I think that
We will see a local pullback from the level
Towards the rising support below
Sell!
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AUD-USD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD will soon be retesting a falling resistance
And because that the pair is in the downtrend overall
I am bearish biased,thus, I will be expecting
A pullback and a move down from the resistance
Towards the horizontal level below
Sell!
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AUDCAD - Bearish Sentiments - will collapse Here is a new SELL Scenario, i expect a bearish reversal, it can fall until 0.91130
This could be a retracement or a reversal
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✅AUD_USD SWING SHORT🔥
✅AUD_USD is trading in a downtrend
In a falling channel, and we are seeing
A bearish rebound from the falling resistance
Of the channel, so I am expecting bearish continuation
With the target being the horizontal support below
SHORT🔥
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AUD-JPY Will Go Up! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is trading in a narrowing wedge
And the pair was retesting the rising trend-line
So despite the mixed bias on the pair
I am expecting a rebound and a local move up
To retest the falling resistance
Buy!
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