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Aussiedollar

AUDJPY: Expecting a strong start to the week before BoJI'm expecting continued Aussie strength as the market expects China recovery is in progress. BoJ interest rate and minutes will be big news on Friday, but before then I expect to see a continuation up within the current rising channel, breaking and retest initial support around 95.6 to rise to test the 96.6 support. We're heading into very choppy waters now, and I expect BoJ to start defending their currency so I'm mindful to have very tight SL's up here, moving to BE as soon as possible and ultimately preparing for a reversal, but I think there's a little way to go yet. With Aussie building momentum I feel confident in still being long here, but being uber-careful as you never know what will happen!
Long
by Finchcliffe
2
AUD/USD Forecast: Analyzing the Future OutlookDuring the previous week, our market performance demonstrated a degree of advancement; however, it presently exhibits characteristics of range-bound behavior. It is worth noting that last week, there was an upward movement, with an attempt to challenge the significant monthly resistance level of 64.58. Remarkably, this resistance level held firm through the close of trading on Friday. For the upcoming trading week, our primary focal point is the 64.58 resistance level. Should the price maintain its resistance at this level, it could prompt a subsequent descent towards the established daily and weekly support levels. The envisaged scenario involves a potential break to the downside after navigating through these support levels.
Short
by Blackerberg
2
AUD/USD looks set for a retest of 65cDespite strong data from the US and weak data from China over the past few weeks, AUD/USD bears have failed to keep the Aussie below 64c. Even a strong inflation report from the US on Wednesday resulted in the Aussie springing back above that key level. Since then, we have seen the pair break a retracement line on the 1-hour chart as part of a bullish breakout ahead of the Australian employment report. The okay jobs numbers provide no reason for bears to jump in, but it has pulled back from current cycle highs. AUD now looks good to bullish eyes around current levels, and a move towards 65c is favoured as long as prices remain above 64c (although tighter risk management could be used as 0.6410 as an invalidation point).
Long
by CityIndex
AUD/USD Forecast: Analyzing the Future OutlookThe AUDUSD pair hasn't been moving much lately, which confirms that the bearish trend, or the expectation for prices to go down, is still in place for the near future. We believe this because a line called EMA50 is pushing prices down, and we're aiming for a target of 0.6300 as our main goal. To keep this expected downtrend going, it's crucial for prices to stay below 0.6400. On Friday, we saw that the expected range of trading was between 0.6320 as the lowest point and 0.6410 as the highest point. It's important to watch these levels closely as you make your way through the market.
Short
by Blackerberg
Trading Under The Spotlight: My Open Analysis Odyssey #7Hello again, TradingView comrades! As the day progresses, the market keeps revealing more layers and I'm here to share yet another analysis of the day. For both newcomers and our dedicated followers, let’s quickly brush up on the foundational aspects of this series: Transparency, Not a Tutorial : I’m giving you an overview of the setups I come across, but the in-depth strategy behind them remains close to my chest. This isn’t a step-by-step guide, but a window into my trading thought process. Frequency & Execution : While each trading day unfurls a variety of potential setups, not every one of them makes it to my trading list. Consider these as a reflection of my trading mindset rather than clear-cut trading advice. Purpose & Growth : The heartbeat of this series is my pursuit to sharpen my analysis skills, and to embrace the diverse viewpoints of this expansive community. Diving into the next analysis of the day: Instrument : AUDUSD Bias : Short Overall Trend : Short Thoughts : From a fundamental standpoint, everything seems to seamlessly align with this setup. Should the market present the opportunity, I stand ready to engage in this trade right from the specific juncture I've highlighted. With both CPI and PPI reinforcing this bearish perspective, we’re likely to observe a sustained bearish trend in AUDUSD. Only notable shifts in economic data might signal a potential change in this ongoing trend. Your active participation, be it as a spectator, contributor, or learner, truly amplifies this journey. Together, let's delve deeper into the market, unraveling its intricacies one setup at a time.
Short
by jefferytheartist
68c is the next line in the sand on AUD/USDThe Aussie has seen an impressive short-covering rally over the last couple of weeks, where large speculators were had their most bearish net-exposure since September. Another ‘surprise’ RBA hike (to some…), calls for a Fed pause, stimulus from China and higher have helped it recoup losses sustained since the May high. And our attention now shifts to the FOMC meeting and tomorrow’s Australian employment report to see where it will go next. The fact the rally has stalled around 68c makes sense, as this is the area it has struggled to hold above since the RBA paused their tightening cycle back in July. We have seen four failed attempts to close above 68c on the daily chart, and nine failed attempts to close above 0.6782 since that meeting – which makes this a pivotal zone for traders to focus on. It’s not impossible to expect the Fed will be more hawkish than some anticipated despite weaker inflation, given there’s no appetite to deliver a dovish punchline with inflation still at historically high levels. But that could help AUD/USD break beneath yesterday’s bearish hammer and head towards the 0.6700 / 0.67100 zone, especially if Australia’s employment report comes in soft tomorrow (which reduced pressure on the RBA to hike). But if the Fed surprise with a dovish pause and AU employment is strong, then a break (and daily close) above 68c seems feasible as bears ‘caught short’ continue to capitulate and bulls bet on another RBA hike.
by CityIndex
AUDJPY is impending reversal SHORTOn the one-hour chart, AUDJPY is in the area of overhead resistance and the supply zone. Both the zero-lag MACD is showing bearish divergence. The mass index indicator has already given a reversal signal where mathematically the indicator goes over 27 and then triggers when it crosses down on 26.5 This indicator often misses a reversal but seldomly generates false signals. Japan has had rock-solid central bank actions and policies perhaps propping up the currency value in comparison with others including the Australian dollar. Overall, I have high confidence in a short leveraged forex trade of the pair at this time. The stop loss is just above the red supply zone while the target is just above the POC line of the volume profile yielding a trade with a reward for risk of over 20.
Short
by AwesomeAvani
AUDNZD bounces down from the Overbought ZoneOn the 15 minute chart- the AUDNZD pair is shown to have encountered overhead horizontal resistance by the Luxalgo indicator. It has been unable to get above the 2nd standard deviaion line of the anchored VWAP and deflected downward. Price is now below the POC line of the multisession volume profile. Overall, bearish bias is on the chart as confirmed by the zero lag MACD with the lines crossing down on the horizontal zero line. I will trade an additional short sell trade on this pair and review the strength of AUD as compared with EUR USD and JPY for other trade possibilities. My target here is the underlying green zone of support and demand.
Short
by AwesomeAvani
AUDUSD Rising LONGOn the 4H chart, AUDUSD is rising over the intermediate term volume profile POC and ascending the anchorded VWAP bands as well; Price rose from undervalued to fair-valued on the VWAP bands. The Chris Moody RSI indicator flashed a a pair of buy signals and RSI rose over the 50% line. Another good sign is price is approaching a volume void /gap on the volume profile. Finally there was a mild volume spike when price reversed from the bottom of the high volume area on the profile. I am looking for rising price action in the intraday upcoming once both London and New York sessions are overlapping.
Long
by AwesomeAvani
AUD/CHF could be headed for the April 2020 lowAUD/CHF is within an established downtrend on the daily chart, and the current dynamics present a divergent theme which could send it lower from here. Yesterday closed with a bearish engulfing candle at its lowest level since April 2020. The moving average remain 'within order' and fanning out, and the 10-day EMA is now capping as resistance as prices try to accelerate away from the averages. The monthly S1 pivot sits around 0.5975 and the RSI is oversold, so we may see a period of consolidation or minor rebound from S1. But the bias remains bearish below 0.6100 and for an eventual move towards the April 2020 low.
Short
by CityIndex