Austrailian
AUSTRALIAN "ETF" (PACIFIC CURRENCY COMPARISON)FIRST TRUST AUSTRALIA "ETF"
Comparison with (local and near) currencies
(with left scale details is % change)
on Indonesia and Philippines)
The specific currencies used in this study are all from “neighbors” and other islands in the Australian area.
AUDJPY: Japan
AUDHKD: Hong Kong
AUDNZD: New Zealand
AUDSGD: Singapore
AUDCNY: China
AUDPHP: Philippines
AUDIDR: Indonesia
Regarding local currency to the Australian it seems that New Zealand and Australia have kept very close relations finically over the past 10 years. The Australian Currency has been balanced in a unusually stable way with Indonesia and lost a little value with the Philippine Currency. The Australian Currency has weakened by about 25% against the Japanese Currency over the past 10 years even though the Japanese Currency is 100 to 1 or today about 65 to 1 (JPY to AUD). The Chinese Currency was given a ratio of 6 and today is about 4 for Chinese to Australian. However, Chinese Currency has been the most “stable” relative to AUD of all the other major regional currencies in terms of gradual expected changes. Australia has very little “quality forests” relative to China and many other parts of the Pacific Islands and is mostly desert even being contemptibly close to the equator and contemptibly close to so many rich wildlife and tropical nations and underwater “glaciers” like the great barrier reef. Australia maybe has not flooded its full diplomatic relations with the rest of Asia particularly with Singapore and Malaysia however most likely has close unrealized economic links with Indonesia with the relatively stable currency “relationship” of only +/- 10% while seeing a general devaluation against all the other currencies. By working as a “partner” rather than a competitor Australia can help everyone stabilize culturally however, having different “unconnected” indigenous populations may help too create new and different worlds of commerce. The main currencies to watch is actually Japan relative to Australian and also Indonesian and Philippines. The graphs get very complex if you add in Vietnam and Thailand and also Laos and Cambodia however, Vietnam is very important too because of its “extreme low value” and how this helps keep things stable in the mainland and creates a currency bubble for future new currencies.
What I liked best was that the ETF’s focus was on utilities and basic materials and not consumer products. It maybe has a slightly higher consumer services than I would like but it is interesting to see the details of the components of FAUS ETF.
Basic Materials 21.11%
CONSUMER_CYCLICAL 7.57%
Financial Services 9.43%
Real Estate 16.69%
Healthcare 5.77%
Utilities 4.31%
Communication Services 3.64%
Energy 21.25%
Industrials 10.22%
Technology 0.00%
They maybe could invest more into Australian Healthcare, Communications, and Industrials and a little less in Financial Services and possibly into new areas like Import/Export and Shipping because its so important in the ocean.
Over the years there has been many fluctuations between 26 and 36 or about 20% year to year (around the sun) and the P/E ratio seems to be a little high a major revaluation of all the companies globally is and was needed.
Hope this helps! :)
ACNNF Buy ZoneBought last year, way too high, down 60% in my position
Realize I suck at holding 3-5 years long term
Realize I don't like to bet on biotech/pharma companies who are constantly in development stage with no sales
I find these companies sketchy with changes in management, awaiting FDA approvals, cash burn, lack of transparency on development of new drugs/trials, burns through shareholder via share dilution/fundraising
Lacks volume and interest
Hyped up and falls hard.
Looking to average down into my buy zone, make a gain and average out my losses so I can exit.
Thoughts? Feedback would be greatly appreciated
This is supposed to be along term cannabis play in Aus, touted as the Canopy Growth Corp of Australia (side note, canopy growth does own 15% of this company and has partnerships to distribute to Australia through Auscann) But I just have no idea how big of a market cap Australia is going to comprise of.
Looking to enter at critical support. Currently there is still another 20% downside until reaching major support. Would prefer to wait a bit longer to initiate another average down purchase
AUD looks cheap vs NZD=> Here we are looking at AUDNZD to pickup at the lower end of our current channel.
=> The aim here is to trade a break back towards our fair value which is close to 1.10
=> Australia hasn't shown any signs of trade war damage although yields are going to start weighing heavy rather soon and for those reasons would not recommend trading AUDUSD to the buy side(edited)
=> Markets are expecting modest retail sales growth at 0.2%
=> Trade balance is holding due to commodities and weaker export growth... in any case, this is a very technical environment with a strong trade surplus providing the narrative.
=> Risk as proxied by the VIX has been unchanged although we do not expect this to remain the case for much longer as further pressures on EM come via rate differentials.
=> For these reasons NZD will come under further pressure coupled with softening annual GDP growth challenging the RBNZ's outlook for acceleration in the second half of the year.
=> All the best to those trading this one in live or watching from the sidelines...
EURAUD 4H Chart: Fully Review After approaching the upper trend-line of a dominant channel down pattern, EUR/AUD currency exchange rate began to decline. After reaching the 50.00% Fibonacci retracement level.
The common European currency is slowly moving downwards to test the dominant channel down-trend line up pattern. This retracement can be measured with the high of 1.5772 and the low of 1.5183.
Regarding the short term, the pair is set to approach the lower trend-line of the dominant channel and is likely to be stopped by the weekly PP at 1.5140. Afterwards a temporary retracement upwards should occur.
Is it time to buy AUDUSD? Hey Everyone!
Let's see a scenario for AUDUSD LONG.
Very strong support/resistance @0.745 - white line
An upward movement for 7+ days
A valid trendline that holds the price
Now, even if we have these good points we can't just look at the long side. I will only take this position once the price hits the 0.746 or even a bit higher.
The safest place to enter is above the green line at around 0.7475
I will update you as soon as a trade is taken on this pair.