ANALYSIS: USDCAD BREAK OR BOUNCE?USDCAD is fastly approaching the key 1.3300 support level again as the price of oil continues to push higher.
With the USD at resistance, we could see price break below the key support. If we see this happen and the market
does close below, look for short opportunities on a lower timeframe at the resistance. With Oil close to resistance we could
also see this level hold with price action being the key here.
Australia
Possible EUR/AUD Short position!!SMP TRADING
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe 1-2 Days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Market will meet resistance in zone @1.586 - .... and fall to the 1.576. In order to enter, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 1.576
FX:EURAUD
Trade Management
Entered @ .....
Stop Loss @ .....
Target 1 @ 1.576
Target 2 @ ....
Risk/Reward @ 3.1
Happy trading :)
Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !!
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
VIDEO ANALYSIS: NZDUSD FINISHES WEAKERNZDUSD remains weak across the board as we outlined in our market outlook this week. We expect this
to continue against the stronger currencies however we may see some buyers step back into the
market at the key demand zone here. This will be likely ad the DXY sits at the key resistance, any USD weakness
will help the NZDUSD price push higher.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: AUDUSD LONG TERM OUTLOOKIn this video update, we take a look at the AUDUSD as price may look to move higher in line with
our quarterly outlook. The daily chart continues to consolidate and to confirm higher prices we will need
to see the AUDUSD break and close above the previous highs at 0.7160. This will show us that AUDUSD
is changing cycle and to look for further upside.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: EURUSD WHAT NEXT?EURUSD is back into the key weekly lows and with the USDX at resistance,
we could see some short-term weakness in the USD pushing EURUSD prices higher.
If the market forms any bullish price action here we could see the market head towards
the 1.1300 level. Our idea will be invalidated if price breaks and closes below the lows
at 1.1177.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: WTI TO FALL TO $53.00In this video update, we take a look at WTI as price has retraced back to the key $60.00 level.
With price holding a 50% fib confluence at this level we could expect the market to move
lower from here. The 4hr chart is highlighting a double top pattern and if price can break below
$58.00 we should see some further short selling enter the market.
ASX set for Trend Reversal. Bearish Divergence WeeklyHi all,
as you can see on the weekly time frame (also monthly) we are witnessing positive price action for the ASX. Although positive price action is generally celebrated, it needs to be backed up with positive movements in relative strength, which in this case is not happening.
As you will see on the chart published, despite the positive price action we experienced a lower high on the RSI, which during an uptrend can often be an early indicator for a trend change. This is commonly known as an RSI Bearish Divergence.
Due to this, I am opening a long term short position in which I expect significant downside movement, and since being so close to the recent weekly high, I only have to risk a minimal % of my position.
Anyone who follows me will know that these are my ideal trading set ups and I will more often then not open positions when these set ups occur.
TRADE ANALYSIS: NZDUSD SITS AT TRENDLINE RESISTANCEThe NZDUSD could see some short-term downside as price sits at the trendline resistance highs.
Price has tried to break higher on a few occasions with no luck so far and with the USD looking likely to
continue to the $97.50 resistance we could see NZDUSD head back towards to the trendline support.
This market is in a consolidation pattern meaning that we must wait for added confirmation before
looking for key high probability trading opportunities.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE USD THIS WEEKIn this video update, we take a look at the USD as the greenback could be set to rise up towards the $97.50 highs.
The reason being the 3 months and 1-year yields have inverted. When this has happened in the past a market crash has followed.
In situations like this, we typically see the market run to safe haven currencies such as the JPY and USD.
ANALYSIS: USDJPY TO CLOSE BELOW 110.00USDJPY could see further downside if the market can close below 110.00. Earlier in the week,
we discussed a potential breakout of the triangle consolidation pattern and the likelihood of the market
testing 110.00 demand zone on a dovish fed tone. Now that price has re-tested this zone the market is currently
breaking below it. If we see a weekly close below the level expect further downside to come.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USD REMAINS BIDIn today's video update, we take a look at the USD again as we suggested yesterday we should see the USD bounce from the lows and demand zone.
The USD index shows that the greenback remains rangebound and highlights the importance of waiting for the price to hit those key supply and demand
zones before making trading decisions.
For Trade War Pulse Proxy, Look to AUDUSDI wrote quite a bit about overall trade war sentiment here and in general I still do think that in spite of the influence officials may have on this pair it still may react negatively to trade war sentiment, but probably much more on potential capital flows if tariffs are put back into place.
But the easier way to find a relationship between trade war sentiment and markets is the proxy of AUDUSD. This price movement is much more reflective of that sentiment, which is rhetorically breaking down, since Australia's economy is much more dependent upon China's economy than most countries or major currency pairs.
For this pair, my forecast is with the trend in that it continues down in spite of Fed doveishness. Still trailing under the 200 day exponential moving average and RSI in addition to stochastic suggest we should sell. If you like this assessment and prefer a bit more analysis on financial matters, then please check out more of my content here www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USDCHF BACK AT DEMAND ZONEIn this video update, we take a look at USDCHF as it approaches the key demand zone. If price finds support here
we could look for short-term trading opportunities back towards the double top neckline on the 4hr chart.
If the FOMC come across dovish we could see the demand zone broken through, and closed below causing further
downside for the currency pair.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: GOLD TRIGGEREDIn this video update, we take a look at the GOLD trade we placed in our telegram channel after
identifying the daily trendline and the key resistance we expected price to reject.
Applying fibs we can see that the 61.8 fibonacci retracement sits at the key lows, now the daily chart
is rejecting the key resistance level we can look for lower timeframe opportunities over the coming week.
ASX200 ForecastASX200 is currently correcting to its local support off the back of an overextended bullish move and collapsing stochastics.
The most probable event is we see price retest local support, before a pause for consolidation and then a break lower towards major support.
We expect major support to hold for long entry, provided the world macro environment stays stable, although we are cautious of slowing international growth.
The less likely event is we see equities bounce off local support and test for new highs. We see it as less likely given a slowing macroeconomic environment.
ASX 200 - In trouble After falls in the index in the last quarter of 2018, we have see a rally back into the sell zone(87.5% fib).
My target would be around the 5000 handle, which is nearthe 75% fib level on the monthly chart . This area is where the bulls should turn up,
as the index is in a very strong bullish trend on the monthly chart.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USD AT KEY SUPPLY ZONEIn this video update, we take a look at the DXY to see how the USD is shaping up for the week ahead.
Last weeks close was significantly bullish with price closing back into the $97.50 resistance. The daily
chart shows price forming a bearish inside candle at the resistance and if we see any bearish pattern form here
on the lower timeframes we could see the USD fall back to re-test the $96.60 demand zone.
Our idea will be invalidated if price breaks the resistance and closes above $97.70.
Australia is going to collapse this monthHolllld up. There are HEAVY implications of increasing force in an area of high potential energy, while every period is weighted to the downside for net expansion. This is an incredibly bearish chart, as even short term mass is expanding at a faster rate than long term mass. I strongly believe we're going to see a snowball effect of increasing momentum to the downside.
If you have high potential energy with the force of a massive housing bubble looming on the horizon, what happens?
Dominos are going to start falling. The first one has already fallen and the chain reaction has begun, as defined by the wave PM cross on the daily chart (which signifies short term mass expanding over long term mass.)
i.imgur.com
Godspeed.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: WTI AND BRENT CRUDE OIL REMAIN BULLISHIn this video update, we take a look at the Oil markets and how they are shaping up for another push higher.
Brent crude offers a cleaner chart when comparing price action however they both show signs that
the market remains bullish despite the recent consolidation. Wait for a bullish daily close before
looking for continuation trades higher.