A Potential 240 Pips Fall in AUDJPYAfter the fall in price from the recent high at 90.29 on 21st Sept to the recent low at 87.24 on 21st Oct, price has been developing in a corrective nature.
Price has completed a minimum 3-wave structure from the 21st Oct low.
This gives us the bias in looking for a short setup on AUDJPY.
A break below the trend line structure will give us the conviction that we can potentially see price falling 240 pips, targeting 86.02.
With the AUD CPI and Trimmed Mean CPI scheduled to be released tomorrow, these risk events might be the catalyst to move the AUDJPY pair.
Australia
AUSSIE AUSSIE AUSSIE Australia200 Long RR3.72Hello,
lets look at Australia 200.
Critical Zone: 5640 ~70
There has not been much action for Australia 200 this year. With this type of condition, if we stick to the plan, we can all make consistent profits until the pattern ends. As Chinese economy stalls, we will expect to see Australian market stabilizes.
As we can see on the chart, since February 2017, Australia 200 has been trading in two ranges
1) 5670 to 5790 (120pips)
2) 5790 to 5950 (160pips)
the second range only lasted less than two months, for the following three months, AUS200 have been trading between the 5640/ 5790 (150pips)range .
As we speak, Australia 200 is trading at 5665, it is now a good opportunity to enter and target 5785 (120pips), SL at 5617 (48pips) 1:2.4RR
Thank you for reading. Happy trading
Australia's Most-Shorted Stock Has Habit of Burning BearsThere’s probably not a lot of people cheering the fact Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd. is Australia’s best-performing equity today.
Getting burnt by the travel retailer is almost a rite of passage for long-short funds Down Under. The market’s most-shorted stock, Flight Centre has a habit of burning bears, with an improved profit outlook in July and this week’s better-than-estimated earnings triggering stock surges.
Week 24th July AUD USD correction potentialAs per the graphic, unless CPI Wednesday is a bullish surprise or any other unexpected bullish news which you can never foresee of course, the normal course is for a decent correction
So imagining this scenario: CPI not good, iron keeps falling, aussie goes back to latest multi year high (previously was support) at
Building with Bezos down underAs Amazon reaches for the stars in nearly every market it enters, entering this red hot stock without getting burned requires a bit of finesse even as Bezos cashes out nearly 1 billion dollars’ worth of stock. Entering into the summer doldrums, some pullback is expected before a year end run into holiday season as Amazon seeks to expand into Australia.
Read More or how to trade this plan @ MarketAlly
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A positive outlook for the Aussie/Yen pairThe AUD/JPY continues to climb as expected in my prior analysis An uptrend in AUDJPY .
A r(0.946) linear regression that started in October suggests that the Aussie will continue to gain ground against the Japanese yen (green arrows). Note that stochastic analysis is just entered the 20-80 zone suggesting that the trend may be over if a series of lower-highs start to appear.
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"Letting losses run is the most serious mistake made by most investors." - William O’Neil
AUDNZD BULLS READY FOR A BIG MOVE! ITS SHOWTIME!The chart tells it all.
I have been waiting since weeks for this move to happen.
Wait for a retracement to 1.0380/70 and place your stop at 1.0330 and let the market do its work.
If you are more conservative, wait for the wedge break higher and enter on retest.
Trail the market higher and give it some breathing room. 1.0750 and 1.10 would be targets, even a move towards 1.12 or 1.16 is possible but you have to keep an eye on fundamental developments, rate decisions,chinese economy development etc. for now 1.0750 seems legit as a first step.
Best of luck.
Aussie Long-Term SHORT PlaySince 2011, the Aussie has been steadily declining. Heavy price action has been highlighted above in green, and as recently as early 2016, we can see a strong resistance level around .7659 .
Not only does DailyFX cite that the Aussie remains in a downtrend, a quick google search on "Australian economy slowing down" (and limiting to past 30 day results only) yields some fundamental concerns.
News headlines titled "Australian economy 2016: 'Worst economic performance since GFC", "Australian economic growth looks set to slow sharply", and "Australia economy retracts for 1st time in 5 years" are among the results.
With these fundamental concerns taken into consideration, I believe a long term play is appropriate.
Taking a conservative approach, a safe stop loss order at .75675, a take profit order at .72930, will give us a 1.38 risk/reward ratio. The aim is 159 pip profit.