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Australiandollar

AUD/JPY Analysis (1-Hour Timeframe)We are currently observing the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern, which is still in progress. The key levels to monitor: Handle Resistance: First, we need a breakout of the handle pattern to confirm the bullish setup. Pink Resistance Zone: If the price breaks out of this key level, it will confirm the full Cup and Handle pattern, signaling a strong bullish move. Target Projection: Based on the Cup and Handle formation, the Green Zone represents the projected target for this setup. This is a pattern to watch closely for confirmation and breakout strength. Patience is key to avoid premature entries.
Long
by rebenga93
Will the Australian Dollar Survive the Perfect Economic Storm?In the intricate dance of global financial markets, the Australian dollar stands at a critical crossroads, facing a confluence of economic challenges that threaten its stability. The convergence of complex factors—including the Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy, China's economic headwinds, and Australia's domestic economic pressures—creates a perfect storm of uncertainty that challenges traditional economic assumptions and investor strategies. The current landscape reveals a nuanced battleground where geopolitical tensions, central bank decisions, and macroeconomic indicators intersect with unprecedented complexity. Projections suggest the Australian dollar could potentially decline to 62 cents against the U.S. dollar in early 2025, a forecast that speaks to deeper structural challenges facing the Australian economy. The Reserve Bank of Australia's delicate balancing act—managing persistent inflation, maintaining economic growth, and responding to global economic shifts—epitomizes the sophisticated challenges confronting modern monetary policy. Beyond just numbers, this economic narrative reflects a significant test of resilience and adaptability. Investors and economic strategists face a unique moment of transformation, where conventional economic models are being challenged by unprecedented global dynamics. The interaction between U.S. monetary policy, China's economic challenges, and Australia's domestic economic strategy creates an intriguing intellectual puzzle that requires sophisticated analysis and a forward-thinking approach. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the Australian dollar's journey becomes a microcosm of broader economic transformations. This is not simply a story of currency fluctuation, but a testament to the complex, interconnected nature of global financial systems—where every decision, from central bank policies to geopolitical strategies, can send rippling consequences through international markets. The true measure of economic strength lies not in avoiding challenges but in the ability to navigate them with insight, agility, and strategic foresight.
Short
by signalmastermind
AUDCAD Buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.The AUDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 27 2023 Low and at the moment it is in the process of forming a new Higher Low. All previous Higher Lows were formed one the 1D RSI almost touched the 30.00 oversold barrier. Right now it is a little more than 5.0 points away from it, so buying starts getting highly favorable on the current levels. In any case, a break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) would confirm the start of the new Bullish Leg and if it follows the previous sequence, it should peak above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension. As a result, our 0.95000 Target is more than valid for the medium-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDJPY: Channel Up bottomed. Bullish.AUDJPY turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.123, MACD = -0.750, ADX = 46.331) as it touched the bottom of the Channel Up. Unlike the price's LL decline, the 4H RSI has formed a Channel Up from oversold range, which is the exact same formation it had after pricing the September 11th bottom. Consequently, we should be expecting the pair to bottom now and start the new bullish wave. The last one hit and even breached the R1 level and then pulled back to the 4H MA50. We are aiming for the same level (TP = 101.550). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUD/USD Analysis 1HThe price has broken above the resistance zone in gray and is now forming a triangle pattern. ✅ My idea: If the price continues to rise, the first target is the red resistance zone, followed by the second resistance in the green zone. Using the measurement from the bottom of the triangle to its top, the green zone aligns with the projected target. 🚨 Plan: Wait for confirmation before entering to avoid false moves. Manage your risk with appropriate stop-loss levels. 👉 Follow me for more updates and trading ideas!
Long
by rebenga93
1
AUDJPY Channel Up approaching its bottom.The AUDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 05 Low and yesterday broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The previous Low of the pattern was priced on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as well as when the 1D RSI started rising after almost hitting the oversold (30.00) barrier. As a result we are looking for a buy below 97.500, targeting 104.000 (just under the -0.236 Fibonacci extension, which was the last Higher High). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
AUDUSD: Time to turn bullish again.AUDUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.008, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.063) as it has been declining since the September 30th High. Technically though it is time to turn bullish again as not only has the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, but the double bottom on the 1D RSI is identical to the February 13th 2024 Low. The resulting rebound reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level before a rejection. Consequently, we are turning bullish here, aiming for the current 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66900). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUDJPY ShortThis price made a pullback from the bearish momentum formed in July - August, and has been confirming the fib levels between that range. Also, it has been forming a rising flag since it touched the lowest low, which IMO is a strong indicator of a strong bearish momentum. As for now is on the 0.5 fib level 99.95, and I do anticipate that the price will continue with the bearish momentum. An analysis using a shorter timeframe will follow so that we can know our entry position.
Short
by Vapari_Inc
AUD/USD Analysis on the 1-Hour ChartIn this analysis of AUD/USD, we are currently observing a clear downtrend, with sellers dominating the market. A key resistance zone, marked in pink, has been identified based on previous price action where sellers entered the market to push prices lower. At the moment, the price is still far from this resistance zone. However, our strategy is to prepare for a potential scenario where the price retraces back to this area. If the price reaches the pink zone, there is a strong likelihood that sellers could return, resuming the downtrend. Trading Plan: Long Positions: For traders holding long positions, this resistance zone is an excellent area to consider reducing positions to secure profits, as a rejection from this level could lead to a decline. Short Positions: If the price shows signs of rejection or bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern, divergence, or weakening momentum) upon reaching the pink zone, it could provide an opportunity to enter a short position in alignment with the prevailing downtrend. Risk Management: Use a stop loss just above the pink resistance zone to manage risk in case of a breakout. This approach combines disciplined risk management with technical analysis, ensuring that we capitalize on potential market movements while minimizing exposure to unexpected reversals.
Short
by rebenga93
AUD/USD Reaches New Low: Technicals Highlight Bearish TrendThe AUD/USD pair has sunk below 0.65000, hitting a low of 0.64529, reflecting a persistent bearish trend for the Australian dollar. This decline aligns with the strong US dollar index at 106.4 amidst robust post-election performance. The RBA's steady interest rate at 4.35% and lackluster employment growth in Australia indicate ongoing economic pressures that may limit the Aussie’s recovery. Meanwhile, anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could introduce USD vulnerabilities, adding complexity to the pair's future trajectory. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and central bank policies in both regions for potential market shifts.
by tastyfx
5
AUDCHF: 4H Golden Cross emerging. Buy opportunity.AUDCHF is technically neutral on the 1D (RSI = 49.632, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 25.946) and 4H timeframes alike as the price is consolidating on the HL trendline of a medium term uptrend. That uptrend is technically the bullish wave of the 3 month Channel Up. The pair is about to form a 4H Golden and last time this was formed on the bullish wave prior (Sep 23rd) the wave was only halfway through. The 1D MACD formed the usual Bullish Cross just after the bottom so we have all the technical validations to go long and target the R2 level (TP = 0.58700). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
AUDUSD Sell the dead cat bounce.The AUDUSD pair gave us an excellent sell opportunity last time on our bearish signal (September 18, see chart below) as it got rejected marginally above the 1.5 year Resistance Zone and broke below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line): This is so far consistent with all three previous sell sequences that reached the 1D RSI oversold (30.00) barrier. If the symmetry continues to hold, then we should be expecting at least a +2.62% counter-trend rebound and then another rejection towards the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we remain bearish on AUDUSD but need to move our Target a bit higher at 0.64500 (despite the gravity of the 2-year Higher Lows trend-line and the Support Zone) in order to match the 1.382 Fib. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURAUD: Failed to recover the 1D MA50. Sell signal.EURAUD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.768, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 33.915) as it reversed just before reclaiming the 1D MA50. The 1D MACD is on a Bearish Cross since last Thursday and since August 5th every such formation completed a -3.63% decline. This time such a decline would reach the S2 level exactly, which is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.60115). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
AU Index Rallies from Demand Area as Bullish Sentiment GrowsThe AU Index experienced a significant development yesterday as it reached a key demand area, showing a strong rejection today that indicates potential bullish momentum. This demand zone, identified through technical analysis, has historically served as a pivotal point for price action, suggesting an opportunity for a price turnaround. With the opening candle reflecting a robust rejection of lower levels, traders are increasingly optimistic about the possibility of a bullish trend emerging in the coming months. From a technical standpoint, this demand area presents a solid foundation for potential upward movement. The absence of follow-through selling and the strength of the rejection signal that buyers are stepping in to support the price. When coupled with historical seasonality patterns, which indicate a likelihood of gains during this period, there is a compelling case for a bullish outlook on the AU Index. Historical trends suggest that this time frame has often led to price rallies, providing further confirmation for those considering long positions. On the fundamental side, the insights from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report paint an interesting picture. While retail traders are predominantly bearish, indicating a cautious sentiment among the broader market participants, the smart money narrative tells a different story. Institutional investors appear to be either bullish or in the early stages of building long positions, which can be a telling signal for future price action. This divergence between retail bearishness and institutional buying often creates an environment ripe for a market reversal, particularly as the smart money tends to lead rather than follow market trends. Given these dynamics, traders are now on the lookout for a long setup on the AU Index. Emphasizing risk management and entry strategies will be essential in this endeavor. With the price showing resilience at the demand area and fundamental signals suggesting a shift towards bullishness, there is a growing confidence that the AU Index may be poised for a sustained rally. In conclusion, the confluence of technical indicators, seasonal patterns, and the contrasting sentiments present in the COT report presents an enticing opportunity in the AU Index. As traders position themselves for potential gains, the next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether this demand area will indeed act as a launchpad for a bullish trend in the months ahead. Investors will be closely monitoring price movements, looking for confirmation to validate their long strategies in what could be an exciting period for this index. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AU in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
PEPPERSTONE:AUS200Long
by FOREXN1
4
AUD/USD Analysis: Potential Upside Momentum in the Coming DaysThe AUD/USD pair may experience a bullish move in the coming days or weeks. On Friday, November 8, we observed the pair respecting a key daily trendline and establishing fresh higher lows on the Daily timeframe. Notably, on Thursday, November 7, the pair reached its weekly high at 0.6672, which serves as a significant daily resistance level. Following this, the bullish momentum faded, leading to a retracement down to 0.65582. As we look ahead to the upcoming week, there is potential for a renewed push to the upside, aiming for new higher highs. We are eyeing buy entries above the key resistance level at 0.6672. Trading Plan: Monitor the price action closely and look for confirmations before entering buy positions above 0.6672. Remember to trade safely and responsibly.
Long
by TeptForex
2
AUD/USD Maintains Strength Amid Positive Economic IndicatorsThe Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) continues to trade at elevated levels after experiencing notable gains in the previous session, predominantly fueled by the release of encouraging Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data on Tuesday. This uptick in the currency reflects an optimistic outlook on Australia’s manufacturing and service sectors, bolstered by better-than-expected economic performance. In a significant policy decision, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has opted to maintain the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 4.35%. This decision marks the eighth consecutive month in which the RBA has paused its rate adjustments, signaling a careful approach as the central bank navigates the complexities of the current economic landscape. Analysts speculate that the RBA is likely to hold the current rates in its upcoming policy meeting, aiming for stability amid evolving economic conditions. From a technical analysis perspective, recent price movements have indicated a rebound from key demand zones in the market, suggesting a potential shift toward a new bullish trend. Traders are paying close attention to seasonal patterns and the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals that retail investors continue to push for lower prices. This behavior often provides valuable insights into market sentiment and could indicate that a reversal may be on the horizon. The confluence of improved economic indicators, steady monetary policy, and technical analysis suggesting a bullish trend makes the AUD/USD an asset worth watching. As investors remain alert to shifts in economic data and global market conditions, the Australian Dollar could present opportunities for those looking to capitalize on potential upward momentum in the near term. In summary, the outlook for the Australian Dollar remains robust as it navigates through strong economic signals and a stable policy environment. Market participants are keenly observing developments in both the macroeconomic landscape and technical formations, which could shape trading strategies in the weeks to come. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
3
GBPAUD: Strong buy opportunity for a final push.GBPAUD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.562, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 38.182) as the price has pulled back to the bottom of the bullish wave of the 1 year Channel Up. That is technically the final buy opportunity before the rally to the top of the Channel. All prior bullish waves made a rise of at least +4.46%. As long as the 1D MA50 supports, the top of the +4.46% range will be our target (TP = 1.99500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUDNZD: Bullish extension expected.AUDNZD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.156, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 27.433) as it maintained the rebound made on the 4H MA200 and bottom of the Channel Up. According to the 4H RSI, this pattern is similar to the 4H MA200 of April that made one final extension on that rebound to the 1.786 Fibonacci level. Our target is slightly under it (TP = 1.117500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Trump or Harris? Markets Awaits Outcome Trump or Harris? Markets Awaits Outcome This week, the U.S. presidential election will command everyone's attention. Market watchers will be focused on a handful of pivotal swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania is potentially the most critical. Yet, the results may not be immediate. In 2020, for instance, the Associated Press declared Biden the official winner about three and a half days after polls closed. This time around, a win by Trump could strengthen the dollar, driven by the possibility of heightened tariffs that may also weigh on currencies closely linked to China, such as the Australian dollar. With daily MACD in negative territory, AUD/USD appears on track to test the next support at 0.6490, aligned with a trend line since October 2023 In contrast, Newsquawk suggests that a Harris victory could pressure the dollar, with potential gains in commodities and the euro.
by BlackBull_Markets