GBPAUD: Bearish Setup Explained 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD looks quite overbought to me.
We see a clear sign of strength of the sellers with a breakout of
a neckline of a double top formation and a violation of a support line of a rising wedge.
I expect a retracement to 1.92445
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Australiandollar
AUDJPY Sell pattern after Lower High rejection.The AUDJPY pair is testing the 1day MA50 today having formed Lower Highs since the June 19th peak.
If the 1day MA50 breaks, the MA200 should be put up for testing but it is more likely to test the July 28th Low as the same weak pattern did in 2022.
Sell and target 92.000 (over the 0.5 Fibonacci level).
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AUDCHF - Bearish Move 📉
Hello Traders !
On 29 Friday September, The AUDCHF Price Reached A Resistance Level (0.59166 - 0.59294).
Currently, The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher High is Broken (Break of Structure).
The Support Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉.
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TARGET: 0.57420🎯
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AUDCHF - Break of Structure 📉Hello Traders!
On 29 Friday September, The AUDCHF Price Reached A Resistance Level (0.59166 - 0.59294).
Currently, The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher High is Broken (Break of Structure).
The Support Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 0.56750🎯
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AUDCHF: Important Breakout & Very Bearish Pattern 🇦🇺🇨🇭
Take a look at a strong rejection from a key horizontal daily resistance on AUDCHF.
After a test of 0.5925 level the market dropped and violated a support line of a rising parallel channel.
Taking into consideration that the pair is trading in a long term bearish trend,
probabilities are high that the market will drop now.
Goals: 0.577 / 0.567
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EURJPY: Bearish Outlook After Massive Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY was consolidating within a horizontal trading range for the entire September.
The market finally dropped yesterday and successfully closed below the support of the range.
The broken support now turned into a strong resistance.
I will anticipate a bearish movement from that to 155.12 / 154.5
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AUDNZD - New Breakout ! 📉Hi Traders!
The AUDNZD Price Broke a Strong Daily Support Level (1.07720 - 1.07252).
Currently, This Support Level Becomes a New Resistance Level.
The Support Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 1.05800🎯
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AUDCHF: Reversing near the top of the Channel Down.AUDCHF may have crossed over the 1W MA100 but eventually failed, also on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and appears to be reversing. The technical outlook on the 1D time-frame is neutral (RSI = 55.574, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 42.778), so it is a valid sell entry. On top of that, every LH inside this 15 month Channel Down (exception Jan 23rd 2023) has been around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. All this while the 1D MACD is close to a Bearish Cross formation. Sell and target the bottom of the Channel Down over the -0.382 Fib (TP = 0.54500).
Prior idea:
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AUDNZD: Important Breakout & Bearish Outlook 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD broke and closed below a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a resistance now.
The market will most likely keep falling.
Next goal - major weekly rising trend line.
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AUDUSD Sell due to rejection on Channel TopAUDUSD got rejection at the top of the medium term Channel Down and closed on the MA50 (4h) on Friday.
This is negating a Golden Cross on the (4h) time frame.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the opening market price.
Targets:
1. 0.63300 (Support 1).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) is on the verge of a Sell Cross, the same kind after the previous two Lower Highs on the Channel.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
GBPAUD: Oversold and in need of a reaction.GBPAUD turned briefly oversold on the 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 30.322, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 62.269) while pricing a LLL at the bottom of the Channel Down and the S1 level. The latter in particular can attract considerable buying power to push it for a 1D MA50 and R1 Zone test. This will determine the trend onwards but on the short term following 6 weeks of downtrend, a reaction should be expected. TP = 1.93000.
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EURAUD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD broke and closed below a support of a horizontal trading range on a daily.
Taking into consideration the fact that the pair is trading in a minor bearish trend
since the middle of August, such a violation may signify the remaining strength
of the sellers.
I expect a bearish continuation to 1.6275
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AUDUSD Very strong buy on 1 month stretchAUDUSD has held the bottom of the 2+ year Channel Down for 7 weeks straight.
With the exception of September 2022 (fundamentals) such trading action initiated a rebound to the 1week MA50 at least.
This is therefore a very strong buy opportunity to target the 1week 50. If it closes a week over it, you can extend buying to a little under the 1week MA100.
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AUDNZD: These Support levels favor a rebound.AUDNZD is almost oversold on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 32.701, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 44.479) hitting yesterday the July 14th Low. The long term pattern started as a Channel Up but recently has switched to a Rectangle. The 1D RSI has been a Rectangle through the whole year and being on its bottom currently, calls for a buy. We are long, targeting the LH trendline (TP = 1.10000).
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AUDCHF Hit our bullish target. Now time to sell the Channel DownThe AUDCHF pair has hit the 0.58200 target (0.382 Fibonacci level) we set on our last buy call (see idea below) and is resting today at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern since the January 27 2023 High:
The price price is now on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. There is also a chance that the dotted Channel Down will be materialized, so the technical Lower High max extension is a little higher. The sell confirmation typically comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross. Our target is a potential -9.10% extension at 0.54000.
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EURAUD Close to hitting our target. Reverse to buy.The EURAUD pair is close to hitting the Target we set a month ago (see chart below) on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern since mid-September 2022:
Since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) has held as Support for 9 straight sessions, the market may consider it as the new bottom. It would be best to take the good profit made throughout this month now and turn bullish. As you can see, it is potentially the new Higher Low on the dotted Channel Up. The blue Channel Up has always made its bottom just below the 1D MA100, which is why initially we selected that as the sell target.
If you don't want to buy now, you may enter upon confirmation, which comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark. In either case, our target is 1.75000 (less than +7.90% from the bottom).
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EURAUD, Gigantic ASCENDING-WEDGE, BEARISH Continuation SETUP!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about EURAUD on several perspectives. The Eurozone inflationary pressures increased massively within the recent times determining a huge bearish edge against the AUD zone, especially as inflation in the Eurozone is not yet tackled by continued higher rate hikes with which the ECB, European Central Bank is trying to decrease inflation. Compared to the AUD zone this means that the EUR is much more bearishly inclined against the AUD and in this case it is also important on how the actual technical price action is confirming such a bearish inclination.
In my chart I am pointing out that the EURAUD is now setting up a gigantic ascending-wedge-formation with several resistances within the structures. The EURAUD is now approaching the major 50% Fibonacci-resistance within the 1.7 which is simultaneously determining the resistance by the upper boundary of the gigantic wedge formation and forming a coherent resistance-cluster within this level. Once EURAUD shows up with a major pullback off this zone this means that the possibility for an completion of the wedge-formation increases astronomically and a completion of it will point to the bearish target-zones to be reached.
Especially if the massive interest rate hikes within the Eurozone implemented by the ECB should not effectively decrease the inflation rate of the EUR this will put a lot of bearishness on the Euro and therefore also on EURAUD and with such a dynamic it is going to accelerate the bearish momentum. Once the whole ascending-wedge-formation has been finally completed the target-zones will be active and once the final target-zone has been reached the bearish momentum should be assessed again because with further developments to the downside this could actually lead to a major bearish wave-count extension for EURAUD and move to lower levels. In any case it will be a highly important development to consider here.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
GBPAUD Most optimal buy here but bearish if broken.The GBPAUD pair has broken below the first Channel Up (dotted lines) and in extension the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Currently it is testing the bottom of the second (and final) Channel Up (blue). Technically that is the most optimal level to buy for the medium-term and target 1.997800 (Resistance 1). On top of that, the 1D RSI bounced back after becoming oversold below 30.00, the lowest it has been since September 26 2022, which was the absolute market bottom.
If the price breaks below Support 1 (1.885250) we will have confirmation of a potential long-term bearish reversal. Then the ideal level to enter will be following a rebound on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and a clear rejection near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as we will have confirmation that it has become a Resistance and the market sells long-term. In that case our target will be 1.75000 (towards Support 3).
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AUDNZD Low risk trading strategy.The AUDNZD pair has been neutral as of late, trading within a 1.073350 (Support) - 1.093250 (Symmetrical Resistance) range. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) have both been turned into pivots in a peculiar sideways pattern. As long as the Support holds, buy and target 1.091500. On the slightest break and 1D candle close below the Support (thus the low risk), sell and target 1.064500 (Higher Lows trend-line).
If it closes a 1D candle above 1.093250, buy the break-out and target 1.101050 (Lower Highs trend-line). As you can see, the long-term pattern is a Triangle, thus the current tighter consolidation. The 1D MACD Bearish Cross last week shouldn't be taken lightly as the historic price action has shown that it delivers larger declines. Thus the 1.064500 target.
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