EURAUD BUYEuro vs Australia dollar 💵 has made a falling wedge over daily TF and when it broke above that falling wedge it has made a 1H falling wedge to retest the daily broke falling wedge it has also broke 1H wedge an trying to move into bullish direction toward its daily Resistance so we will be waiting for a confirmation and enter into trade
Australiandollar
AUDCAD: Time to Drop Lower 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD was consolidating within a horizontal range for 2 weeks.
The release of high impact fundamental news earlier this week
made the pair bearish.
The price managed to break and close below a support of the range on a daily.
We can expect a bearish movement now.
Next support - 90.5
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AUDUSD | 15m Trade Plan | Intraday15m: Can observe BoS and Swing Low
The price is now consolidating.
Plan A: As soon as the market takes buy-side liquidity, take a short position, followed by a 15m bearish confirmation.
Plan B: As soon as the market takes sell-side liquidity, take a long position, followed by a 15m bullish confirmation.
Plan C: Take a flip entry accordingly.
Do not deviate from the process; take entries in the 15m kill zones.
AUDUSD Excellent sell opportunity approaching.The AUDUSD pair is approaching the 1-year Resistance Zone that has been in effect since June 2023 and has to this date priced 4 rejections. As long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, the market will continue to apply extreme selling pressure every time the price hits that Zone.
Wait for the most optimal sell entry on this level and target the top of the Support Zone at 0.63650. Notice also how perfectly the 1W RSI has been trading within a Rectangle and is also approaching its top, i.e. the most optimal long-term sell entry.
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AUDUSD | 15m Trade Plan | Intraday 15m: Marked the latest supply / strong resistance zones
@15m Killzones:
Plan A (51% probability): The market is likely to sweep the entire buy-side liquidity and then move towards a bearish trend.
Plan B (49% probability): If there's a potential supply-to-demand flip, the market is likely to move bullish.
Based on 15m clear confirmations after the liquidity sweep or flip, take a long or short position accordingly, depending on the bullish or bearish confirmations.
React only during killzones; do not take entries outside of these times.
AUDJPY Shooort!Following the pullback last week after a massive bearish momentum, I anticipate that the momentum will continue, as the price rebounded to the 0.236 fib level at . My target will be to retest the 0.382 fib level at 90.6, so as to also cover the liquidity grab / gap that was left earlier on.
Entry will be at 96.00, TP at 90.5 and SL at 97.5.
AUD USD TRADE SET UP AUD/USD pair has formed a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential trend reversal.
A short entry will be executed upon a retest of the neckline on the lower timeframe.
The first target is set at a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, and the second target is at the 4-hour demand level.
Who else is watching AUD/USD?
AUDCHF Channel Up intact. This pull-back is a buy opportunity.The AUDCHF pair is on the 3rd straight day of a strong short-term pull-back and just touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 3 weeks. The long-term bullish trend remains intact though as the dominant structure is a 7-month Channel Up.
As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we will remain bullish, targeting 0.62250 (+6.20% Bullish Leg, similar to the previous two).
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EURAUD Channel Down bottom = Buy opportunityThe EURAUD pair has been consolidating sideways for almost 3 weeks following the June 26 Low. Even though this is not near the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the long-term (blue) Channel Down, the fact that it is being formed while the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, indicates a Bullish Divergence.
The last such Divergence occurred on December 25 2023, when the pair formed the previous Lower Low (bottom). As a result, this is an opportunity to go long and target 1.64500 (+3.40% as the initial rise of the previous Bullish Leg).
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GBPAUD Hit our previous target, now sets course for 1.87250.The GBPAUD pair is trading almost exactly as we expected it to on our most recent analysis (June 04, see chart below), as after an initial rise, it got rejected on the Lower Highs Zone and declined to hit the 1.89100 Support (which was our Target) again:
It is at the moment on a rebound, which according to the October - November 2023 fractal that we believe is replicating, should be the last before a final test on the 1-year Higher Lows trend-line.
As a result, we will sell again after a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test, and target 1.87250 (Higher Lows trend-line).
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AUDNZD Two levels to sell for the long-term.The AUDNZD pair gave us a strong sell-and-buy double signal last time (June 03, see chart below):
However it did manage to invalidate the Symmetrical Resistance Zone sell bias and even broke yesterday above Resistance 2 (1.108600), which has been holding since February 20 2023.
In order to make sense of this move, it is best to view it on the wider 1W time-frame. As long as the 1W candle is closing below Resistance 2, then the action remains a sell, targeting 1.08000 (0.236 Fibonacci level).
If the 1W candle closes above Resistance 2, we will take the loss immediately and sell at the top of the Channel Up with the same Target (1.08000).
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AUDCAD Sell signal emerging on a 3.5-year Resistance!The AUDCAD pair just hit on the week's opening the Lower Highs trend-line that was first initiated on February 22 2021. As the 1W RSI is just below its own 3.5-year Resistance Zone, the first strong long-term sell opportunity flashes.
Check below how the last AUDCAD analysis (May 29, see chart below) provided an excellent buy opportunity:
The more short-term pattern though since the September 25 2023 Double Bottom is a Channel Up and it is close to pricing its new Higher High. This is just above the 3.5 year Lower Highs trend-line, so we give the sell signal this much tolerance level for some deviation.
Our Target on the medium-term is 0.9000 (Support Zone 1, similar symmetry to the previous Higher Low on Support Zone 2).
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AUD breaking out of downtrendAUD/USD Breaks Key Resistance
Overview:
The FX:AUDUSD pair has shown significant signs of a trend reversal after being in a downtrend since 2021. The pair reached a low just below $0.62 and has since made a strong recovery.
Key Technical Points:
1. Trend Reversal:
- The pair has broken out of the descending trendline that has been intact since 2021.
- This breakout is a crucial signal indicating a potential shift from the prolonged bearish trend to a bullish phase.
2. Moving Averages:
- The price has successfully crossed above the weekly 50-period Moving Average (50MA), which often acts as a significant resistance level.
- The next key target is the weekly 200-period Moving Average (200MA). The convergence of the 200MA with the Fibonacci retracement levels adds to its importance as a resistance zone.
3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
- The price is currently approaching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. A successful breach of this level could propel the pair towards the 0.618 retracement level.
- The 0.618 Fibonacci level aligns closely with the 200MA, making it a critical resistance zone. This confluence strengthens the resistance at this level, which lies around the $0.72 area.
4. Key Resistance and Support Levels:
- Resistance: The immediate resistance is at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Beyond this, the $0.72 zone, which coincides with the 0.618 retracement and the 200MA, is the next major resistance.
- Support: On the downside, the broken trendline and the weekly 50MA now act as crucial support levels. Additionally, the $0.62 level, which marked the recent low, remains a significant support zone.
Outlook:
The breakout above the downtrend line and the 50MA, coupled with increasing volume, suggests a bullish outlook for the AUD/USD pair. If the pair manages to break above the 0.382 retracement level, it could head towards the $0.72 area, which is reinforced by the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the 200MA. Traders should watch for consolidation around these key levels and the reaction at the $0.72 zone to gauge the sustainability of this bullish trend.
Conclusion:
The AUD/USD pair's technical landscape has shifted favorably for bulls after a prolonged downtrend. The current breakout and the crossing of key moving averages signal potential for further upside. However, traders should remain cautious around the $0.72 resistance zone, as it represents a critical juncture that could determine the next phase of the trend.
AUDJPY Approaching the long-term Sell ZoneThe AUDJPY pair gave us an excellent short-term sell signal last time (May 23, see chart below) but after that broke above the medium-term Channel Up aggressively:
We now need to zoom out to the longer term 1W time-frame, where we clearly see the dominant pattern of the pair, which has been a Channel Up since the March 16 2020 (COVID) market bottom. Each Higher High was formed when the 1W RSI started forming a Bearish Divergence on Lower Highs. The 1st Bullish Leg was priced after a +32.90% rise, while the 2nd one at +26.70%.
As a result, with the 1W RSI overbought above 70.00 for the 2nd time in 6 weeks, we believe that the pair is approaching its long-term Sell Zone on the Higher Highs region. Its Higher Lows have been priced near or on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), so we will take this sell opportunity to target 101.000 (expected contact and breach of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)).
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AUDUSD Medium-term sell signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading sideways since the May 16 High, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The dominant pattern has been a Triangle going back to the October 13 2022 market bottom and the current consolidation is taking place right at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern.
As you can see, this is quite similar to the Q2-Q3 2023 price action, which after the Triangle top rejection, it declined below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Even the 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals look similar. As a result, we turn bearish on this pair, targeting 0.63450 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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AUD/USD: Potential swing trade long setupAUD posted a strong rally of 5% from the April low, before 67c capped as resistance. A choppy rage has since formed between 66c-67c, although it could also be a bull flag in the making. Whilst we wait for it to decide which of the two it is, we're looking at a cheeky swing trade long idea heading into the weekend.
The 1-hour chart shows a strong rally from US CPI, and recent prices action has retraced against that move. Prices are stabilising around the 20-day EMA, so perhaps it is close to a swing low. The bias is bullish whilst prices hold above the monthly pivot point (0.6610), but tighter risk management could be used if momentum turns higher (such as the recent swing lows).
The initial target is near the upper 1-day implied volatility band of 0.6657.