Australiandollar
AUDCHF: Key Level & Your Trading Plan 🇦🇺🇨🇭
Hey traders,
Like many swiss pairs, AUDCHF is on a key level at the moment.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that structure we will either see a pullback or a strong bearish wave.
Your confirmation to buy will be a bullish breakout of a falling wedge pattern on 4h.
You need at least a 4H candle close above to validate the breakout.
Then a pullback to 0.6595 will be expected.
In case of a bearish breakout of a blue zone on a daily, a bearish continuation will be expected.
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AUDUSD, is now on a monthly support zoneFor 33 days AUDUSD has been on a downtrend and now it reached a strong monthly support zone, the conversion line and base line in ichimoku are starting to go horizontally which kind of signals the end of the downtrend, also the blue line in stoch RSI cut the red line upwards. Seems like we can go long on AUDUSD for a couple of days.
Guys I'll be happy to have your comments about this and learn from you as well.
Have a good trading!
AUDCAD: Bearish Accumulation & Potential Bearish Wave 🇦🇺 🇨🇦
AUDCAD is trading in a bearish trend on a daily.
However, since August the pair stopped falling and the price formed a classic bearish accumulation pattern:
Setting equal lows and lower highs, the price is stuck on 0.909 - 0.912 horizontal demand zone.
To catch the next bearish swing, wait for a bearish breakout of the underlined blue support.
We need at least daily candle close below to confirm a breakout.
Next support will be 0.895
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AUDUSD Long off Daily ChartAUDUSD looking great for a long setup. Not the best risk:reward ratio on this one, but a great setup. Let's take a look. First, let's start with the AUDUSD chart on the daily timeframe.
Price has stayed in this relatively small channel for the past couple of months quite nicely. We've taken a bounce near the bottom, with a strong bullish candle. Furthermore, there is a mild divergence in the RSI. Although AUDUSD is making higher low, the RSI actually reached 35.93 at this low vs 36.26 at the previous (lower) low. Not a strong divergence, but there nonetheless.
On the AUD basket I use, we can see a similar trendline supporting some AUD strength. This basket is the AUD compared to the other major currencies, and we can see an overall period of strength coming off this supporting trendline.
Finally, we have the USD basket, similar to the DXY. The 1.106-1.114 zone has served as a nice resistance zone for the past couple of months. In fact, we may have a bit of a head and shoulders forming here. The USD has potential for weakness here. It has not shown clear signs of a downward move, but if we wait too long for this trade, we may not find a solid risk:reward ratio.
RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE: If you know my trading system, you know I do not over-expose on trades. I risk 2% per trade, but if I have two entries on one currency (such as AUD), I will enter with 1% risk on each of the two. I am already short EURAUD off the 15 minute chart since last night (14/11/21). I have legged in several times, and my stop is well clear of breakeven. Thus, I took a full 2% risk on this trade.
ENTRY: 0.73504
STOP: 0.726 (below the last swing low on the daily chart)
TP: 0.753 (right at the previous swing high on the daily chart)
This leaves us with a roughly 1:1.8 risk:reward ratio.
AUS/USD 4HR CHART SELL TRADE Hi everyone this is my trade set up for the AUS/USD for the new week ahead
AUS/USD is still in a downtrend so i am expecting a pullback to the order block zones and will be looking for a sell trade
look for pullback to zones lined off on chart then if it meets your criteria for a trade then execute
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
good luck for this weeks trading
please like and comment both are welcome
Australian Dollar Ready to Reverse Higher? - AUD/NZDThe Australian Dollar could be readying for its next leg higher against the New Zealand Dollar following losses since early October.
AUD/NZD recently confirmed a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern, opening the door to extending gains.
But, prices still need to overcome the near-term 20- and 50-Day Simple Moving Averages. Clearing them exposes the 23.6% Fibonacci extension at 1.0486 before making way towards a falling trendline from March.
Otherwise, clearing the key 1.0280 - 1.0331 support zone may see prices resume the downtrend towards the 2020 low.
FX_IDC:AUDNZD
Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsGBP – Sterling fell to its lowest level of 2021 against the dollar on Thursday as the British economy appeared to lose momentum.
Reuters noted that “data released by the Office for National Statistics showed Britain’s economy grew by 0.6% in September but estimates for previous months were revised lower, leaving the economy still smaller than it was in February 2020.”
AUD – The Australian dollar slid to its lowest in more than a month on Thursday, pressured by an overall disappointing employment report for October.
Commenting on the release and its implications for the RBA, HSBC noted that “the key is that the unemployment and underemployment rates are now further away from full employment, meaning more job creation will be needed to reduce labour market spare capacity and put upwards pressure on wages growth. A broad-based strong wages pick-up may therefore be some time away, keeping the RBA dovish.”
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AUDUSD approaching tactical support area.AUDUSD approaching tactical support area at 0.7330/0.7315 confirmed by the potential reversal zone of the Harmonic Impulse Wave pattern shown in the chart as well as a simple 61.8% retracement from the bottom shown in the chart. Approaching this level and depending on the technical indicator's reading, a long position may be taken to exploita short-term bounce of around 40-50 pips.