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Australiandollar

AUDUSD: Wait to buy this dip.AUDUSD is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.176, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 34.265) as it entered a Channel Down similar to those of August - October 2023 and April - May 2023. That is why we are expecting a bullish reveral the closer we get to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As long as the 1D RSI doesn't break into the oversold zone (<30.000), we will buy that dip and target the LH trendline (TP = 0.6700). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
AUDCAD Sell opportunity with Death Cross emergingThe AUDCAD pair is on a Lower Highs rejected and ahead of a Death Cross formation on the 1D time-frame. Since 2022, we have seen two Falling Wedge patterns, which accelerated selling after the completion of a 1D Death Cross. The first target on both occasions was the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are bearish on this pair, targeting 0.86500 (Fib 1.236 ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
AUDJPY Hit the top of the Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair has recently hit our long-term bullish Target of 99.300, which we set on our last trading idea (December 18 2023, see chart below): That was at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) and the 1.136 Fibonacci extension of the 9-month Channel Up. We are technically expecting a pull-back now towards the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up and our Target is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 95.600. If however the price breaks above the Higher High and the Channel Up, we will have a formation bullish break-out and as a result we will take the small loss on the short and go long instead, targeting the 3.0 Fibonacci extension at 102.700. In that case we will be expecting a rally similar to June 2023, which led to the creation of the current Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
AUDUSD 1D Death Cross formed. Any bounce is a sell opportunity.The AUDUSD pair is forming today a 1D Death Cross, as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is crossing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time in 11 months (since April 14 2023). Obviously it is a major technical sell signal and in fact the price action since the start of the year (Channel Down), is very similar to the one of early 2023. The 1D RSI fractals are virtually identical and in relative terms we are at the point where the (blue) Bear Flat is about to break downwards. Any rebound at this stage is a sell opportunity and our Target is just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension at 0.63750. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
The AUDUSD is falling due to the weak performance of CHINA📌✔️Examining the trend in the four-hour time frame, the Australian dollar/US dollar is fluctuating in a descending channel, and considering the bearish camo cloud and the decline in the moving averages of the ALLIGATOR indicator, there is a possibility of price reduction. 📌✔️Overall, the scenario is strengthened as AUD/USD registers a one-hour candlestick close below the resistance at 0.6481, which could drop to support at the bottom of the descending channel at 0.6405.✔️🎯
Short
by arongroups
AUDUSD: Sustainable bearish trend.AUDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern for the majority of 2024 so far and the neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.127, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 26.175) suggests that this is a potential sell entry. The price is below the 1D MA50 and exactly on the 1D MA200, where a rejection, validates the preservation of the bearish trend. If the price stays under it, we will remain bearish, targeting near the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 0.64000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
AUDJPY: BAMM Breakout Headed for a 50% RetraceI suspect as the Japanese Carry trade is pressured, that there will be an effort made by institutions to convert to AUD in anticipation of Australian Interest Rates potentially rising above US Interest Rates, this would revive the more traditional Australian Carry Trade and serve to reduce the downwards pressure put on the Japanese carry trade while also reducing their overall leverage and should allow them to prolong the Bull Market in equities at least until the spring. Meantime the conversion to AUD should Temporarily push the value of the AUD up higher and given how much leverage would be going from JPY to AUD, I'd suspect the rise we see in AUD to be a bit on the extreme side which could lead to us very quickly seeing AUDJPY reach the more macro Fibonacci retraces between 139 JPY to 191.567 JPY.
Long
by RizeSenpai
4
New lows for Aussie Dollar Futures Coming? CME Australian dollar futures have pulled back to the neckline of the recent head and shoulders pattern, which presents bears with a formidable selling opportunity. Recent strength in the USD has certainly been a boon to Australian dollar futures, and with the influx of encouraging economic data in the U.S.over the past few weeks, it appears likely that strength will persist. Moreover, greater confidence in the breakdown of Aussie dollar futures can be drawn with the increased selling pressure on the break through the neckline on the right shoulder. Over the course of the next few weeks, it is likely that the neckline will begin to act as resistance if prices indeed accelerate lower. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:6A1!Short
by Blue_Line_Futures
AUD/USD Gains Positive Momentum Amid Global Market DynamicsAUD/USD Gains Positive Momentum Amid Global Market Dynamics The Australian Dollar (AUD) is riding a wave of positive momentum during Friday's European session, extending its bullish trend from earlier in the week. A brighter sentiment in European markets and some profit-taking after a robust US dollar rally are contributing to the Aussie's upward trajectory. Technical Analysis: The price action tells an encouraging story, bouncing off the 0.6525 support zone, strategically located at the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. This rebound, in conjunction with the Dynamic trendline, has propelled the price above the 200-day moving average. Adding to the bullish outlook, the Stochastic indicator is poised to exit the oversold condition. These combined indicators present favorable signals for a potential new bullish impulse, suggesting an upward movement in the price. US Data Influence: Recent data from the United States has lent support to the USD, with jobless claims declining against expectations last week. This supports the narrative of a resilient US economy, challenging the earlier market sentiment that had priced in rate cut expectations in December. The USD's strength is a crucial factor influencing global currency movements, including the AUD. China's Economic Struggles: On the flip side, data from China has added a layer of complexity to the global economic landscape. The fourth quarter's GDP and Retail Sales figures fell below expectations, underscoring challenges in the world's second-largest economy. This has left investors eager for more robust stimulus measures and heightened negative pressure on the Australia-proxy AUD. Outlook and Targets: In light of the technical indicators and the broader market dynamics, we anticipate a bullish continuation for the Australian Dollar. Our targets are set at 0.6700 and above, reflecting our optimism for sustained upward movement. However, market participants should remain vigilant, considering the ever-changing global economic landscape, and adjust their strategies accordingly. Conclusion: The Australian Dollar's positive momentum is a testament to the intricate interplay of global market dynamics. Technical indicators align with the bullish sentiment, while factors like USD resilience and China's economic struggles add layers of complexity. As the AUD charts a path towards higher levels, traders should stay adaptable and closely monitor evolving economic indicators for a comprehensive understanding of the currency's trajectory. Our preference Long positions above 0.64 with targets at 0.68 & 0.69 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
5