Get started

Australiandollar

AUDCAD:🔴Bearish scenario...!🔴 Hello Traders As you can see the price purged the daily buy-side liquidity and then the market structure was shifted on the hourly chart. Now the price is inside a range, creating the double purge scenario for us. If the price sweeps the buy side liquidity first, it is a chance to enter the sell position with LTF confirmation. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️10/05/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Short
by VahidTradingCR
3
AUDUSD: Technical Impact of Core Inflation DataThe release of core inflation rate data in the United States can impact the AUD/USD exchange rate, especially on a weekly timeframe, due to its influence on market sentiment and monetary policy expectations. Firstly, let's break down the core inflation rate. Core inflation measures the change in the price of goods and services, excluding volatile items like food and energy. It's a crucial indicator for central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the U.S., as it provides insight into the underlying inflationary pressures in the economy. When the core inflation rate in the U.S. rises, it typically signals increasing demand for goods and services, which can lead to expectations of tighter monetary policy. Central banks may respond to rising inflation by raising interest rates to cool down the economy and prevent overheating. Higher interest rates make the U.S. dollar more attractive to investors, leading to an increase in its value relative to other currencies like the Australian dollar (AUD). Conversely, if the core inflation rate in the U.S. falls below expectations or remains subdued, it may indicate weak consumer demand or excess capacity in the economy. In such cases, the Federal Reserve might consider maintaining or even lowering interest rates to stimulate economic activity. Lower interest rates can decrease the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar to investors, causing it to weaken against other currencies like the AUD. Now, let's apply this to the AUD/USD exchange rate on a weekly timeframe. When the U.S. core inflation rate exceeds expectations, it could lead to a strengthening of the USD against the AUD. Traders and investors may anticipate tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, leading them to buy USD in anticipation of higher interest rates. This increased demand for USD relative to AUD can cause the AUD/USD exchange rate to depreciate over the weekly observation period. On the other hand, if the U.S. core inflation rate disappoints or falls short of expectations, it could weaken the USD against the AUD on a weekly basis. Traders and investors may interpret this as a sign that the Federal Reserve might maintain or even cut interest rates to support economic growth. Consequently, there could be increased demand for AUD relative to USD, leading to an appreciation of the AUD/USD exchange rate over the weekly timeframe. In addition to the fundamental factors discussed, the impact of the release of U.S. core inflation rate data on the AUD/USD exchange rate can align with technical analysis considerations. Technical analysis involves studying historical price movements and patterns to forecast future price movements. When considering technical factors, if the current price of the AUD/USD pair is approaching a significant resistance level on the weekly timeframe, traders may anticipate a potential reversal or pullback. This resistance level could be identified through various technical tools such as trendlines, chart patterns, or Fibonacci retracement levels. Given this technical setup, there are two possible scenarios to consider: Immediate Pullback: If the AUD/USD exchange rate is nearing a resistance level at the time of the release of U.S. core inflation data, traders may expect a direct pullback in price during the same week. This pullback could occur as traders take profits or adjust their positions in response to the resistance level, coupled with the fundamental influence of the inflation data. Bullish Momentum Followed by Pullback: Alternatively, if the AUD/USD exchange rate has bullish momentum and continues to rise after the release of U.S. core inflation data, it may temporarily break above the current resistance level. Traders might anticipate the pair reaching the next resistance level before experiencing a pullback. This scenario could occur if market participants interpret the inflation data as less hawkish than expected or if other factors, such as risk sentiment or economic indicators, support bullish AUD/USD movement.
Short
by DNP-FX
2
AUDNZD:🔴Sell opportunity🔴The price hit the HTF supply zone and had a bearish reaction, creating the buy-side liquidity alongside the bearish FVG in the premium, so we can expect the price to hit the bearish FVG and collect all the buy-side liquidity and then come down for sell-side liquidity. In this scenario, I like to see speed when the price sweeps the liquidity above the old high. As always, we need LTF confirmation to enter a sell position. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️13/05/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Short
by VahidTradingCR
4
AUDUSD Medium-term Sell OpportunityThe AUDUSD pair followed our previous signal with great precision (March 19, see chart below), hitting the 0.63750 Target: Following that, the price rebounded and has so far been rejected yet again on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the strongest medium-term Resistance and a symmetrical sell level where the similar sequence of June - July 2023 Double Topped and got rejected even below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we take a similar bearish stance and take this opportunity to sell again and target 0.63450 (1.235 Fib ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURAUD:🔴Is it Bearish...?!🔴(Details on caption) As you can see the price reached the HTF bearish Inversion, which is a strong resistance and had a bearish reaction and shifted the market structure, so we looking for a sell opportunity. In that case, the price created the liquidity pool below the bearish order block which is a high probability selling scenario. So if the price reaches the bearish order block we can enter the sell position with LTF confirmation. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️10/05/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Short
by VahidTradingCR
1
Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? The US Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range as anticipated. Notably, Fed Chair Powell, in the press conference, expressed that while the central bank remains vigilant about inflation risks, a hike is "unlikely" for the next move. Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) echo a similar stance when it announces its interest rate decision next week? Although there were hopeful indications that inflation in Australia was trending in the right direction, these were dashed recently by a stronger-than-expected reading for the March quarter. With hopes for a rate cut dashed, speculation now centers around the possibility of another increase before 2024 concludes. Bloomberg reports a shift in expectations from rate cuts to a potential rise by year-end. Market sentiment has transitioned from a 70% likelihood of an interest rate cut in August to a 50% probability of a 0.25% rate hike, which is a huge shift in sentiment. If indeed an interest rate hike materializes, it would place Australia in stark contrast to other central banks. Presently, the RBA's cash rate stands at 4.35%. None of the major four banks anticipate the RBA's next move to be an increase, with all still projecting a rate cut by Christmas. However, these forecasts remain subject to change in the lead-up to the RBA's decision.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDCHF: Strong bounce inside this Megaphone.AUDCHF is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.496, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 32.323) after a strong bounce and closing above the 1D MA500. The dominant Bullish Megaphone pattern made its previous HH on the 2.0 Fib extension and a new 1D MACD Bullish Cross has validated that it now sets course for the new HH. We target again the 2.0 Fib (TP = 0.61550) which is just under the R1 level. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
GBPAUD: Short term bullish trade.GBPAUD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.487, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 28.797) as the LL leg of the Channel Down was negated by the Double Bottom that was formed today. The 1D RSI turned upwards on a HL trendline and this is a short term bullish call, targeting the top of the pattern (TP = 1.94000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUDNZD: Channel Down top rejection.AUDNZD is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.715, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 36.182) as it started pulling back after the price got rejected at the top of the June-initiated Channel Down. All same RSI based pullbacks hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level and declined by at least -2.62%. Under those conditions, we are short on AUDNZD, targeting the closest of the two levels, the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.07200). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Australia's Inflation Data Revealed Soon Australia's Inflation Data Revealed Soon Next week, Australia will unveil its latest inflation figures. Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance and seize trading opportunities. Projections suggest a notable dip in Australia's headline inflation to 3.4%, down from the previous 4.1%, a steep decline that could fail to materialize. other advanced economies are poised to outperform Australia in price reduction efforts, with a median inflation rate expected to reach 2% by 2025. “Somewhat worryingly, progress toward inflation targets has somewhat stalled since the beginning of the year”, said Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s chief economist. Traders currently anticipate a 60% likelihood of a rate cut by the RBA in December. However, if the actual inflation figure falls short of the forecasted 3.4%, this expectation may diminish, potentially bolstering the AUD. Yesterday's marginal uptick in the unemployment rate to 3.8% last month suggests that February's unexpected drop to 3.7% was not an anomaly. This development may only make it more difficult for the Reserve Bank to consider initiating rate cuts in the near future.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDCAD: Channel Up bottom buy opportunity.AUDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.713, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 36.219) as it is testing the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 periods at the bottom of February's Channel Up. This is a technical buy opportunity on the lowest possible risk, since as long as the Channel Up holds, we can target a Higher High at +2.30% (TP = 0.90500) like the one before. If the Channel Up breaks the loss will be minimal and we'll be able to short and target the S1 level (TP = 0.87300). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUDJPY: Today's decline is a buy opportunity.AUDJPY is borderline bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.140, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 22.883) as today it has erased the gains of almost the past 3 days. As it approaches the 1D MA50, it is turning into a buy opportunity inside a double Channel Up pattern. At 99.000 we are turning bullish again and will aim for a +2.65% increase (TP = 101.700) for a HH. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUDCHF 1D Golden Cross signaling a decline. Best sell in market.The AUDCHF pair has just formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame but even though it is theoretically a bullish structure, it hasn't historically behaved as such for this pair. We view its effect on the 1W time-frame in order to go as back in time as possible and get conclusions. In the past 10 years (since the May 2014 1D Golden Cross, which was bullish) there have been 5 such formations, all of which made the pair peak either before or on the Cross and delivered a Lower Low, in some instances even with brutal sell-offs. In the last 2 occurrences, the 1D Golden Cross started Channel Down declines that both hit at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) again before any trend change. As a result, we comfortably turn bearish now on AUDCHF, targeting the 1D MA200 by August. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURAUD Strong sell opportunity within the Channel Down.Last time we made a call on the EURAUD pair (January 02, see chart below), we caught the best buy entry right at the bottom of the former Channel Down that easily hit our 1.6600 Target: This time we are presented with a strong sell opportunity as the price just broke yesterday below the March 07 Support, making a new short-term Lower Low. This confirms the longer term bearish extension towards the Channel Down bottom for a new Lower Low. We are going for a standard (for this Channel Down Bearish Legs) -4.25% decline from the top, targeting 1.60350. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
GBPAUD Sell signal on 1D MA200 Bearish Break-outThe GBPAUD pair gave us an excellent buy signal last time we looked at it (December 29 2023, see chart below), easily hitting our 1.9000 Target: This time we have a Sell Signal that the pair just flashed as it just broke today below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since January 15. Last time that happened was on December 13 2023, when GBPAUD also broke below a Triangle pattern and reached as low as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level. The RSI patterns of the two sequences are also similar, being within Channel Down patterns. As a result, we turn bearish on this pair today, targeting 1.9000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot