Australiandollar
AUDCHF Triangle waiting for the break-out.The AUDCHF pair is trading within a Triangle pattern since August with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) acting as the Resistance, having consecutive near rejections in December. If that breaks, we expect an aggressive bullish run towards Resistance 2, despite the presence of Resistance (0.952625). In that case, we will buy the break-out and target 0.61500 (just below Resistance 2).
If however the Triangle breaks downwards first, we will wait until the price breaks below Support 1 (0.560685) and target 0.54000 (-9.09% from the recent high, which was a standard decline in 2023). This scenario is quite likely to take place as the 1D RSI has been trading within a Channel Down, showcasing a Bearish Divergence.
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EURAUD Trading plan on a Channel Down and a 1D Death Cross.The EURAUD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the August 17 2023 High. The price is now very close to the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the pattern, which makes it a technical buy opportunity. As long as it is closing the 1D candle above the bottom, we will be bullish, targeting the top (Lower Highs trend-line) just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (as on October 23) at 1.66000.
Since however the price action just formed a 1D Death Cross today, it is equally likely to see a bearish extension so if it closes a 1D candle below the Channel Down, we will take the (minimum) loss and sell instead, targeting Support 1 at 1.58500.
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GBPAUD Bullish reversal emergingThis is an update on the GBPAUD pair regarding our November 19 analysis (see chart below) where we called for a sell at the top of the Channel Down:
As you see the price action responded with a respectable decline that hasn't yet reached our 1.8300 Target and most likely this is due to the shift of the Channel Down a little upwards. This diverging Channel Down appears to have reached its bottom so it is best to book the profit on the sell.
The 1D MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross and the last such pattern emerged on October 04, four days after the previous Lower Low. As a result we are switching to a buy now with a modest short-term target at the top of the main Channel Down at 1.90000.
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AUDNZD Bullish set-up.Our last analysis on the AUDNZD pair was on November 16 (see chart below) and so far has hit one of our two targets:
At the moment the price is struggling on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Zone, where it has failed since Dec 13 and on every single candle to close it above the 1D MA50. If it does, expect the continuation of the uptrend towards the Symmetrical Resistance, in which case our Target will remain 1.9200. If it continues to fail on the 1D MA50 and gets rejected, we will buy again near Support 1 and close everything at 1.08200 (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as all previous Lower Highs).
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AUDCAD Buy signal on 1D Golden Cross.The AUDCAD pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern that has currently been rejected twice on Resistance 1 (0.905500). With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing today (or tomorrow the latest) above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to complete a 1D Golden Cross, and the 1D MACD forming now a Bullish Cross, we have a strong case for a break-out above Resistance 1 this time.
Once this takes place, we will buy and target 0.9200 as the new Higher High of the Channel Up. It will be a +3.76% rise from the recent Higher Low, which is roughly the % rise of the previous 2 bullish legs.
Bonus material (past AUDCAD trade):
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AUDJPY Our trading plan on this Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair gave us the pull-back we wanted last time (November 03) and delivered a buy opportunity that hit our 97.675 target (see chart below):
The price has since pull-back and rebounded just before testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though it is still restrained below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), as long as the 1D MA200 holds, we expect this sequence to be the new bullish leg of the Channel Up, similar to the post July 28 bottom. The Higher High that followed, peaked just above the 1.136 Fibonacci extension level and as a result, our current target is 99.300.
If however the price breaks and closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we will take the loss and attempt to cover it by shorting towards 91.800 (Support 1).
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AUDUSD: Rejection at the top of the Channel Down.AUDUSD is almost neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 55.106, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 28.280) as it has started to decline again after the rejection on the 0.618 Fibonacci level near the top of the twelve month Channel Down. The 1D RSI got overbought at the top just like on the June 15th LH (also on the 0.618 Fibonacci), which was the previous most optimal short opportunity. We are going short on this pair again, targeting the S2 level (TP = 0.61725), which is near the bottom of the Channel Down as awell as the -0.236 Fibonacci extension (as was the October 3rd low).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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AUDUSD Channel Down still intact. Bullish if broken.The AUDUSD pair completed the bullish leg that we caught on our last call (October 24) and hit our 0.66000 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) target (see chart below):
The price has made a initial rejection at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, so the pattern remains intact. Technically this is the start of the Bearish Leg towards Support 1 and 2 eventually near the Lower Lows trend-line. The bearish break-out signal will be given when the 1D RSI breaks below its Higher Lows. As a result until Resistance 1 (0.66900) breaks, we will target 0.62715 (Support 1) and upon a 1D candle closing below, 0.61715 (Support 2).
If however Resistance 1 (hence the Lower Highs trend-line) breaks first, we will take the short's loss and instead buy, targeting first the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) at 0.67800 (+4.00% as the November 06 High) and upon a 1D candle closing above, extend to 0.68800 (+5.50% as the December 04 High).
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AUDCHF: Bearish Outlook & Trading Plan 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is testing a key horizontal supply area.
A bearish breakout of a neckline of a double top pattern on an hourly time frame
gives us a strong bearish confirmation.
We may anticipate a bearish continuation to 0.5733
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AUDUSD - Resistance Becomes Support
Hello Traders !
Previously:
The AUDUSD Price Formed a Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern.
Currently:
The Price Broke a Strong Resistance Level (0.65710 - 0.66256).
This Resistance Level Becomes a New Support Level.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move.
Let's Wait For Retest...
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TARGET: 0.67120🎯
AUDUSD - BULLISH MOVE 📈
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The AUDUSD Price Broke a Strong Resistance Level (0.65710 - 0.66256).
This Resistance Level Becomes a New Support Level.
Currently:
The Price Pull Back to Important Structure !
and Now it Will Continue its Bullish Movement 📈
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TARGET: 0.67120🎯
AUDUSD: Bullish Rally Continues 🇦🇺🇺🇸
As I predicted, AUDUSD perfectly respected the underlined green daily support.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle after a release of US fundamentals yesterday.
We may anticipate a further growth now to 0.6715 resistance.
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Leveraging the AUDUSD Strength Amidst USD WeaknessThere has been an opportunity that has emerged due to the recent fluctuations in currency values and the growing demand for copper exports to China.
As you may be aware, the USD has been experiencing a period of weakness, while the AUD has shown signs of strength. This presents an advantageous situation, as we can leverage the stronger Australian dollar against the weaker US dollar.
In light of this, I propose that we explore the possibility of exporting copper to China. With the AUDUSD exchange rate in our favor, we can maximize our profits by capitalizing on China's increasing demand for copper.
China, being one of the largest consumers of copper worldwide, offers a lucrative market for our manufacturing. By exporting copper to China, there is a growing demand and take advantage of the current exchange rate of AUDUSD.