Aususd
RSI SETUPS AND INTRADAY TRADINGHey all been learning the forex market for 10-12 months now using demos but want to make a small balance intraday account and I’m after your help to show me the ropes and give me your advice, tips and tricks! I’d love a mentor to take me under there wing but any help is going to be much appreciated, thankyou please rep me :)
AUDUSD - 4h From August 2011 AUDUSD shows an bearish momentum. Above is the 4h chart. The key area to be considered is the consolidation of price between 0.70959 to 0.70554.
If the market breaks that consolidated area above 0.70959 there is a high probability of market moving upwards to 0.71450.
Market may also move downwards if it breaks the 0.70554 range. price could move to 0.70070
AUSUSD (Y20.P4.E1).Short term TA.Hi All,
Looking at the Aussie dollar against the USD, we can see on the daily that we have downward pressure along with the bearish divergence playing out.
I have 2 levels as a point of interest.
The 0.5 fib retracement and 0.618 fib as one can see that this has confluence with the wedge breakout target, and along with the daily EMA levels.
USD (DXY) is currently going sideways and potentially breaking the near resistance as the chart below.
This is no surprise as the stock markets and asia markets \ Aussie stock market dropped a few % yesterday.
Lets see how things are in the coming days and weeks turn out.
Cheers,
S.SAri.
MACRO structure
USD index
Long on aus/usdSIGNS:
Clear support & resistance shown as well as candles staying above 50 MA.
Expecting price to reach the 2.618 fib level and stop loss at fib level zero.
A lot of bullish candles show bullish momentum.
Price has respected both the trend lines as well as previously consolidating at the support level.
Confluences:
A very bearish engulfing candle at 0.71572.
Trend change is coming. Entry technicsThe Australian dollar rallied above 0.72 and was immediately rejected. But it still holds the above the daily trendline. Potentially this rally can be extended to 0.73. Buyers have to protect their positions with tight stops. Commercials (based on COT) keep adding to their short positions, the cycle is turning to the downside. That makes me believe a selloff is coming. Failure to make a new high or breakdown below the daily trendline is a sign of trend change.
AUD USD ANALYSIS FOR TOMORROWAfter the finish of the butterfly harmonic pattern and the big touches of the strong resistance, we can expect a high sell signal tomorrow after the volume confirmation, so be prepared for it, and the VWAP breakout may come secondly,
The volume confirmation is very indispensable to confirm our sell signal, so you MUST MUST MUST wait for it,
Thanks for watching and please share with me your thoughts,
Regards.
AUSUSD 1998 Lows| Volume Climax| Technical Level Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis will be on the Australian dollar, taking a hit after breaking local support. Currently it’s trading at a pivot point that needs to be defended by the bulls.
Points to consider,
- Consecutive lower highs
- Local support breached
- 1998 Lows tested
- Volume climax evident
- RSI oversold
- Stochastics in lower region
The Australian dollar has been putting in consecutive lower highs, a clear defined down trend on the monthly time frame.
Local support was breached earlier this year, posting a 17% loss; it has officially tested its 1998 lows. This area is a strong trade location, pivot point, where a bounce was expected.
The RSI is officially oversold; a return to neutral territory is imminent. Stochastics on the other hand is trading in the lower regions, can maintain here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the upside.
There is evident volume climax, signally seller exhaustion, allowing bulls to defend promptly.
Overall, in my opinion, a relief rally is probable from such oversold conditions, this really all depends on the current macro situation.
What are your thoughts?
Please leave a like and comment,
And remember,
“Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold put out a bucket not a thimble.” – Warren Buffet
AUSUSD (Y20.P1.E1).More losses to proceedHi All,
Observations:
===========================================================
> Downward channel
> Downward trend not broken, higher lows and lower lows.
> 200 and 50 EMA still above price
> RSI bearish, MACD bearish on the weekly. RSI has room for more lows.
Thoughts:
===========================================================
Another 5% loss against the USD is forecasted to hit previous bottom.
Other references:
Australian-Dollar-Forecast-Key-AUDUSD-Levels-to-Watch-as-Breakdown-Unfolds
Regards,
S.Sari
(for my reference, W.List chart)
AUUSD BUY (TRADE 9)
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Australian dollar possible short term upwards correction Australian dollar possible short term upwards correction but are we going to see a continuation of the down trend?
The Australian dollar has been under pressure from a strong USDOLLAR and persistent weakening of monetary policy in the region. I'd expect to see some pullback here and see what happens as it could continue sharply lower as we have seen this year. If we continue making higher highs expect a quick return to the 0.695 where a test will be made a probably test the low again.