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Tesla's bubble has burstIn late October 2022, we stated the bear market was poised to weigh heavily on shares of Tesla. Since then, the price dropped from 207.28$ to a low of 108.24$ (on 28th December 2022), representing almost a 48% decline. After that, the company’s shares briefly rose above 124$. However, with the start of a new year and its first trading day, shares fell more than 13% following the disappointing report concerned about the automaker’s delivery number. As if it was not enough, the company has been experiencing troubling quality reports for years and regulatory scrutiny over its autopilot feature. Furthermore, its rivals are no longer behind the company’s technological progress, producing competitive electric vehicles and threatening Tesla’s well-being. That comes as a blow to the company, which was once valued at more than the nine biggest automakers combined (globally) while producing only a fraction of vehicles compared to its rivals. Subsequently, that leads us to speculate that the hyper-inflated bubble of Tesla burst and will never reinflate to its previous size. The production number of cars by year (Tesla): 2022 = 1 369 611 2021 = 930 422 2020 = 509 737 2019 = 365 284 2018 = 254 530 2017 = 101 027 2016 = 83 922 Sales by brand (rough estimates) for comparison: Tesla (2022) = 1.31 million BMW Group (2021) = 2.52 million Mercedes Benz cars (2021) = 2.09 million Ford Motor Company (2021) = 3.94 million General Motors Company (2021) = 6.29 million Toyota (2021) = 9.56 million Volkswagen (2021) = 8.88 million Hyundai Kia (2021) = 6.66 million Honda (2021) = 4.45 million Illustration 1.01 Yesterday, shares of Tesla hit a new low at 104.64$. Currently, the price is too far from its 20-day and 50-day SMAs. Therefore, we are cautious as this often precedes price retracement toward these moving averages. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish Illustration 1.02 Rising volume hints at tremendous selling pressure in shares of Tesla. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Tradersweekly
27
Volkswagen (VOW3.de) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the German company Volkswagen AG (VOW3.de). Volkswagen AG, known internationally as the Volkswagen Group, is a German multinational automotive manufacturer. The company designs, manufactures and distributes passenger and commercial vehicles, motorcycles, engines and turbomachinery, as well as offering related services, including financing, leasing and fleet management. In 2016, it was the world's largest automaker by sales, and keeping this title in 2017, 2018 and 2019, selling 10.9 million vehicles. It has maintained the largest market share in Europe for over two decades. It ranked seventh in the 2020 Fortune Global 500 list of the world's largest companies. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 02/11/2022. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 9 days towards 141.98 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 125.40 EUR if you decide to enter this position. VW reported $4.3 billion in third quarter operating profit. Wall Street was looking for $4.5 billion. Shares are down 3.8% in overseas trading. Financial guidance hasn’t changed, but delivery guidance has. Back in July, Volkswagen believed total deliveries in 2022 would rise 5% to 10% compared with the 2021 total of 8.9 million units. Now the company expects 2022 deliveries to be the same as 2021. Supply chain constraints are to blame. Despite that headwind VW’s EV business continued to expand in the quarter. Battery electric vehicles amounted to 6.8% of total VW deliveries. Year to date, VW has delivered 366,400 EVs, up from 293,000 delivered in the same period of 2021. China accounted for 112,700 of those 2022 EV deliveries. VW’s Chinese EV sales are up 139% so far in 2022 compared with the same span of 2021. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
XETR:VOW3Long
by legacyFXofficial
General Motors - Trouble brews in the auto industryThe prospect of a recession hints at hard times ahead for auto producers, including General Motor Company; over the past six months, this stock lost more than half of its value. Additionally, it continues to constitute new lows, confirming the presence of the downtrend. As a proxy to that, we are bearish on the title and expect worsening economic conditions to impact the auto industry very negatively in the short-term and medium-term future. Therefore, we would like to set the price target for GM to 30 USD and 29 USD. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the weekly chart of General Motors Company. It also shows two simple moving averages: 20-week SMA (blue) and 50-week SMA (red). These two moving averages continue to confirm the medium/long term bearish trend. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is bearish. MACD and Stochastic are neutral/slightly bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. The ADX grows which hints at the increasing momentum. Overall, the daily time frame remains bearish. Illustration 1.02 The weekly chart of GM stock shows the staggering loss of approximately 54% within the past 189 days. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is due to pierce through 30 points, which will further bolster the bearish case for GM. Stochastic, MACD, DM+, DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NYSE:GMShort
by Tradersweekly
10
Technical analysis update: BMW (1st November 2021)BMW continues to grow since 20th August 2021. It currently trades around 87.50 EUR per share. Technical factors are neutral to bullish and because of that we would like to set short-term price target of 90 EUR per share. Technical analysis RSI has bullish structure. We will watch it closely and we will look for eventual crossover above 70 points. We expect such phenomenon to be accompanied by further rise in price. MACD is also bullish, however, it loses its momentum. Stochastic is bullish too; and ADX contains very low value which suggests neutral trend. Because of that we would like to see another confirmation of uptrend by price taking out short-term resistance and then lower bound of upward moving channel. Support and resistance Short-term resistance sits at 89.50 EUR while short-term support sits at 86 EUR. Major resistance lies at 96.39 EUR. Our last analysis on BMW from 10th May 2021: Here we correctly predicted end of correction and eventual resumption of uptrend. We also set 90 EUR price target which was subsequently reached. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade. This content is not financial advice.
XETR:BMWLong
by Tradersweekly
9
Technical analysis update: GM (13th July 2021)GM did gap up (at the open) towards resistance when U.S. market opened on 9th July 2021. Today it held just below resistance and did not retrace its gap. RSI and Stochastics reversed to the bullish side. MACD is neutral. ADX is very low which suggests weak trend or no trend in GM. At the same time price retracement failed to occur. If retracement fails to occur in the following days then bullish case for GM is strongly bolstered (for short term). Our short term price target is 60 USD and our medium term price target is 65 USD. However, investors should pay attention to the price action in GM over the coming days as earning seasson begins and with it we may see increased volatility in the market. Current setup: Prior developements from 26th May 2021: Here we stated that GM entered rectangle formation. We correctly predicted breakout above resistance and subsequently reached price target of 60 USD and 62.50 USD. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
NYSE:GMLong
by Tradersweekly