Yamana Gold on a Well-defined UptrendThe last time there was a big divergence between the 50ma and 20ma, Yamana gold increased by 91% over 123 days.
I don't expect to see such a large move again this time around but it's more than likely that AUY will pick up steam in gains now that it has regained its 20ma as support.
From September to February, Yamana has been steadily climbing with the 50ma as support.
Since Feb 20th, Yamana has regained the 20ma as it's main support. With the price of gold being where it is, I expect Yamana to provide shareholders with outsized gains again going into Summer.
The upward channel is so obvious that this is the safest channel trade I have found thus far. Be patient on entry and you have a high probability of making some nice gains!
Also, the high P/C ratio is sweet, as it provides us with a nice rubber floor as support.
AUY
Yamana Gold long idea (AUY)I have been looking at this chart for ages now and also actually took a position like 2 years ago, bought a little more when i had the chance to buy lower and now here i sit and wait.
Very interesting chart, i think it's almost too good to be true, looks perfect to me.
Would love to hear more opinions on it!
#AUYWith recent gold rush, should push this stock higher slightly.
Seems pretty healthy if the price can stay above 2.85 and should move upwards to cover gap at 4.12 level.
Thoughts?
AUY - Strong Trend More Momentum With Good NewsCompany Description:
Yamana Gold Inc. is a gold producer with gold production, gold development stage properties, exploration properties, and land positions throughout the Americas, including Canada, Brazil, Chile and Argentina. The Company's segments include El Penon mine in Chile; Canadian Malartic mine in Canada; Gualcamayo mine in Argentina; Minera Florida mine in Chile; Jacobina mine in Brazil; Brio Gold Inc. (Brio Gold), and Corporate and other. The Company's development projects include Cerro Moro, Argentina; Agua Rica, Argentina, and Gualcamayo, Argentina. Its exploration projects include El Penon, Chile; Gualcamayo, Argentina; Minera Florida, Chile; Jacobina, Brazil; Cerro Moro, Argentina; Canadian Malartic Corporation, Canada; Monument Bay, Canada; Brio Gold Exploration; Pilar, Brazil; Fazenda Brasileiro, Brazil; RDM, Brazil, and C1 Santa Luz, Brazil.
Yamana Gold Announces a Positive Pre-Feasibility Study With an Impressive and Increased NPV of $1.9 Billion and an Increased After-Tax IRR of 19.7% for the Long Life Integrated Agua Rica Copper-Gold Project (Source: finance.yahoo.com)
Short Interest:
6.38M (06/28/19)
P/E Ratio (with extraordinary items)
-21.12
Analysts Prediction
$3.18
Analysts Recommendation: Overweight
Multiple bottom VS disending triangleThe question here is , "will be a discending triangle or a multiple bottom?" I think the buyers must wait and see when the triangle will be broken.
You can see MACD and RSI indicating a divergence with posibble rise
Long term, Gold/Silver Stocks have a a long way to goSometimes we get caught up in the day to day and hour to hour bars, but if we truly set a bottom at beginning of 2016, then we have a long way to go on this move up.
AUY reaching ABCD extension, expect pullback.AUY has, along with all other miners, performed spectacularly in 2016. Long term, this stock, along with others in its sector, are a HOLD. Short-term, expect some profit taking here at resistance ~4.76
DUSTWhose buying NUGT? I think that gold and miners are very over extended would you buy NUGT now? It could make you the guy holding the bag when it opens 20% down. Its just too late in the cycle to buy NUGT here. I'll wait for a pullback to get in. Buy DUST? Not sure I would do that any time soon. Too hard to tell. If you listen to others shorting a baby bull is a big mistake.
Just looking at the chart of DUST. Look at the oversold condition, look at the volume increase. Big buying volume Today. Look at the bounces when %R gets way oversold (blue boxes). Strictly from the chart I would say its getting time to buy. I just won't
PAAS going bullish with GLD, AUY, NUGT...GLD looks like it has room to run so a breakout of this area is good odds and a potential long buy for PAAS, AUY, NUGT...
Gold Surprises as Dollar Gets Monkey-Hammered LowerIn " Gold Leaps Higher as Worries Mount ," I briefly pointed out how those very same institutions that championed quantitative easing policies implemented by the Federal Reserve are now coming out to proclaim quantitative easing added no substantial benefit to the real economy .
Gold was pushed lower on the assumption that central banking policy would all pan out and that the U.S. would finally achieve escape velocity; but the exact opposite is occurring. Despite the near 12 to 16 months of absolutely horrendous, even recessionary data, market participants believed that if the Fed began to tighten monetary policy then the economy must be alright.
Central bankers,misguided by classroom academics and abhorrent to real world economic dynamics, believe that if you tinker with interest rates that somehow inflation will magically begin to rise. Not so because it is real, meaningful growth that produces inflation; and it is more evident now that the these policies do not produce meaningful growth.
I mapped out the dollar's downward trajectory, which was largely based on the floundering economy and the inability for the Fed to take action that will pop asset inflation. I still believe this is based on the above factors and that the dollar will likely gather strength as the US slips into deflation.
Traders and CNBC pundits think that if deflation takes hold then gold will surely decline into the abyss. And just like their "lower gas prices equal booming consumer spending" myth, gold falling off a cliff during deflation is just as preposterous.
Gold is unique in that if can act like an insurance policy against both sides of tail risk (inflation and deflation). It is well-known that gold had a massive bull run when stagflation took hold of the US during the 1970s. Inflation ran amok.
However, nobody mentions that gold tripled, in inflation-adjusted dollar terms, during the early 1930s (the Great Depression) prior to President Roosevelt outlawing the private ownership of gold.
As I wrote last April:
" There is an assumption that the dollar and gold’s performance is strictly inverse of one another, but that is not so. The WGC (World Gold Council) indicates that between early 2014 and March 20, 2015, the dollar has gained over 20 percent while gold only fell 1.2 percent.
Historically, gold prices more than double on a weak dollar than it falls on a stronger dollar. Thus, a stronger dollar is not indicative of massive gold depreciation.
When the dollar declines, gold has appreciated 14.9 percent. Yet, when the dollar strengthens, gold has only fallen by 6.5 percent, according to the WGC. "
If you look at this chart, you will notice one thing: gold sure looks to trend with the SPX. There is an argument that this due to simple asset inflation.
Notice the massive divergence began when gold began to top in 2011. The divergence is what I call the "perception" gap.
I expect that divergence to close. It's no secret that I was right about the volatility of 2015, along with other key macro trends. I believe by the end of 2016 and 2017 is when the real fireworks begin.
Gold's recent move has been huge, and, of course, there will be profit taking. But those who follow me know that the underlying fundamentals for gold has been strengthening for some time.
(Note: the gold chart is the same I used in the above mentioned gold idea, but the minor uptrend (along with new resistance) were added).
Please follow me @lemieux_26 and check out my other ideas, which have links to previous writings.