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AVAX → Avalanche Reached Resistance! Reverse to $25? or $75?AVAX has met a major 2021 lifetime resistance area and rendered a strong sell signal in response. Is this the time to short? How do we trade this?  🤔 We have three pushes up in a bull trend; the third push has made contact with a major 2021 resistance area, followed by two strong bear candles closing on their lows below the Daily 30EMA. What we need now is a test of the 30EMA as resistance followed by a strong bear bar closing on or near its low. This will be our confirmation bar and our queue to enter a short. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward then move the stop loss up to the entry price to secure profits. Swing the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward just above the previous major support, or until a reversal pattern appears. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: $46.50 🟥 Stop Loss: $53.00 ✅ Take Profit #1: $39.85 ✅ Take Profit #2: $27.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up into a bull trend. 2. Price has made contact with a 2021 resistance area. 3. Strong sell signal pushing below the Daily 30EMA 4. Wait for confirmation candle just below the Daily 30EMA to enter a short. 5. RSI at 48.00 and below the Moving Average, supports short bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Short
by TraderEngineering
5
AVAX → Avalanche Pullback Complete? Long to $50 or Higher!AVAX ran three pushes up in a bull channel just shy of the 2022 Resistance area topping out at $50. That was followed by a pullback and a strong bull signal. Is it time to long? How do we trade this? 🤔 A long entry is close to being justified! Here's what we have in favor of the long bias; Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at $50 (psychological number because it's even) just below the 2022 resistance price of $53.25, followed by three pushes down in a micro-bear channel, the final push of the bear channel ended in a strong bull signal bar, and we have a good bull bar close on the third after the signal bar. What we need now is a strong bill close above the 30EMA. A desirable data point would be a re-test of the micro-bear channel resistance as support to add probability to our long. However, I do not believe this is required to justify a long entry. I believe we need to be conservative longing at this stage in the crypto market, which is why I only advocate for a 1:1 scalp at a lower than maximum position size allowed for your trading strategy. I think Bitcoin and Ethereum have a larger pullback on the horizon, but do believe the market will come up a bit before it goes down. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $34.90 🟥 Stop Loss: $23.90 ✅ Take Profit: $45.90 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at 2022 Resistance. 2. Micro Bear Channel forms with three pushes down. 3. Strong bull signal buy bar on the third push. 4. Wait for a close above the Daily 30EMA to enter a long position. 5. RSI at 46.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
AVAX → Avalanche Making Another Attempt to Break $50? Yes!AVAX pulled back 37% from its recent high just at $49.85, a strong pullback that brought pause to the bulls until now. Is this the time to enter a long trade? How do we trade this? 🤔 The answer is almost! We have several market indicators that point to a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade near this price area. We have three pushes down in our pullback from $49.85, 3 failed attempts to make lower lows in a trading range, and an RSI that is low and above the Moving Average; Bitcoin as a market indicator is showing signs of making another attempt toward the upside as well. We're 15% away from the Support zone with plenty of runway before hitting the previous high at $49.85. These are optimal conditions for a long trade. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, a price target of $39.50, then move the stop loss up to the entry price to lock in profits for the second take profit. This eliminates initial risk and allows the second half of the trade to be executed without the fear of loss. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $34.50 🟥 Stop Loss: $29.50 ✅ Take Profit #1: $39.50 ✅ Take Profit #2: $44.50 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes down in the pullback from $49.85 2. Three failed attempts to break a new low in the trading range 3. 15% away from the Support Zone and 37% away from the previous high of $49.85 4. RSI at 48.00 and above the moving average which are ideal conditions for a long 5. Bitcoin showing signs of a move toward the previous high 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Trends typically have 3 pushes in either direction before a trend change begins. Along with other market indicators, creates a situation to look for counter-trend trades because the probability of profit is high enough. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
AVAX → Avalanche Reversal Imminent!? The Tipping Point is Near.Avalanche (AVAX) is burning red hot on the charts and flirting with the idea of a reversal. Do we have the justification to short here? Or will the trend continue upward? How do we trade this? 🤔 AVAX has three pushes up in this trend, three sell bars near the $44.00 level, and an RSI level of 82.00 and below the Moving Average. These are all signs that a trend change is coming in the near future and at the very least, entering a long position here is not justified. It is reasonable however to capture some of the downward price action with the correct indicators. We need break below the bull channel support around the Daily 30EMA with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low. Followed by a retest of the channel support as resistance to confirm that the bull trend is over. At this time, its reasonable to scalp a short at 1:1 Risk/Reward around the $31.00 level, stop loss at $37.00, and take profit at $25.00. It is also reasonable to go for a 1:2 Risk/Reward down to $19.00 after moving your stop loss up to your entry price and taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward. Until then it's wise to remain on the sidelines and wait for the correct signals to enter the market. 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Short Entry: $31.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $37.00 ✅ Take Profit: $19.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long! 2. Three Pushes up in Trend with Sell signal, Signal to Change Trend. 3. Gap to Second Push Support Line. 4. RSI at 82.00 and below Moving Average, Strong Bias to Short 5. Wait for Short Confirmation bar before entering a position. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Probability that the price will go the direction of the trend is low at the beginning (swing trade) and end (late scalp) of a trend. Proportion your position size, risk (stop loss placement), and reward (take profit placement) to the probability of profit at your entry price. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
AVAX → Avalanche About to Reverse!? Or Continue to the Upside?Avalanche has been roaring through a nice curving bull channel until the top of the third push at $42.75! A nice sell signal formed on yesterdays daily candle, now we need to see how today closes to make our next move. How do we trade this? 🤔 Avalanche had its third push up in the bull channel, a typical number of legs before the trend changes into a trading range or reverses. Given Bitcoins recent sell-off at a key resistance level, I believe it will drag AVAX down with it. AVAX has a sell signal on yesterdays candle and if today closes with a strong bear candle, we're likely looking at putting in some more lows. The RSI is also over 75.00 and below the moving average, all supporting at least a short-term bearish sentiment. We need follow-through! Yesterdays signal is not enough justification to enter a short. It's best to wait for the price to fall to the 30EMA and see what happens there. If we get a bounce then another rejection to the downside, we'll have a head and shoulders reversal pattern on our hands at which time, a short will be justified. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: $26.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $32.00 ✅ Take Profit: $14.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long! 2. Three Pushes up in Trend with Sell signal, Signal to Change Trend. 3. Gap to Second Push Support Line. 4. RSI at 75.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short 5. Wait for Short Confirmation at potential Right Shoulder. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering