Avalanche (AVAX) Price Technical AnalysisAvalanche AVAX ⬆($42.90) broke above the resistance line of the ascending channel pattern on Nov. 22, indicating that the bulls have overpowered the bears.
If the price sustains above the resistance line, the AVAX/USDT pair could surge to $48 and futhermore past $50.
This positive view will depend in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below ($40.00). Such a move will signal that the breakout may have been a bull trap. The price may then dip to the ($35.00), extending the consolidation inside the channel for some more time.
Avalanchesignals
AVAXUSD Bottom formed & going for the ultimate bullish breakout.Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has just touched this week the top of the 6-month Channel Down. In cyclical terms, this is just a big Bull Flag half-way through the Bull Cycle, similar to those of the previous one, in August - November 2020 and March - June 2021.
The Cycle's 2nd bottom is in being doubt as the RSI held and rebounded on the 40.00 Symmetrical Support, which held and kick started the post June 2021 bottom rally. The only confirmation left to give us is to break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since late July.
As you can see both of 2020 - 2021 Bull Flags rebounded aggressively reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result once the 1W MA50 breaks, we expect a similar rally on AVAX, whether more aggressive like 2020 or marginally less like 2021, but our Target is at $250.00 (Fib 2.0 and above the All Time High).
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AVAX 2024- Fast Update.
- Everything in Graphic.
- Buy Breakout 50$++. ( always wait Weekly candle on Monday to have confirmation ).
or
- Buy Retracement : 18$ ish ( 25% invest ).
- Buy Bottom : 10$ ish ( 75% invest ).
- TP1 : 150$ ish( old ATH )
- TP2 : before 380 to 500$ ish ( Just don't be greedy ).
Play S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
AVAXUSD Bottom formation in process. Target $105.007 months ago we published the following analysis (December 14 2023, see chart below), expecting Avalanche (AVAXUSD), to correct back to the 1.0 Fibonacci level after a potential $55.00 hit:
As you can see the price action didn't fail to deliver our projection, in fact it followed very tightly the February - July 2021 pre-rally pattern of the previous Bull Cycle. Right now it has found Support on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while the 1W RSI is on the exact Support level it was on the June 21 2021 bottom.
Even though a marginal decline is possible to satisfy the past condition of slightly breaking below the 0.5 Fib, the current levels are good enough to buy again for the long-term.
As in November 2021, our Target is again the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is currently just above the $105.00 Resistance.
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AVAX → Avalanche Reached Resistance! Reverse to $25? or $75?AVAX has met a major 2021 lifetime resistance area and rendered a strong sell signal in response. Is this the time to short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We have three pushes up in a bull trend; the third push has made contact with a major 2021 resistance area, followed by two strong bear candles closing on their lows below the Daily 30EMA. What we need now is a test of the 30EMA as resistance followed by a strong bear bar closing on or near its low. This will be our confirmation bar and our queue to enter a short. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward then move the stop loss up to the entry price to secure profits. Swing the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward just above the previous major support, or until a reversal pattern appears.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $46.50
🟥 Stop Loss: $53.00
✅ Take Profit #1: $39.85
✅ Take Profit #2: $27.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into a bull trend.
2. Price has made contact with a 2021 resistance area.
3. Strong sell signal pushing below the Daily 30EMA
4. Wait for confirmation candle just below the Daily 30EMA to enter a short.
5. RSI at 48.00 and below the Moving Average, supports short bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
AVAXUSD $104 is the minimum target on this run.Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 19 2023 Low and at the moment is halfway through its 2nd Bullish Leg of the sequence. So far it has been replicating to a fair extent the previous Leg, trading above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which shouldn't be touched again before the next peak.
If it continues to repeat the sequence, then we can see $155 as a peak (Higher High), since the previous leg topped at around +470% from the bottom. We take a more conservative target however, aiming for the April 02 2022 High at $104.
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Cryptolean Avalanche AVAX Update Avalanche is facing the resistance from $60.
A bullish break-out and the daily candle closure above $60, the key daily resistance, will push AVAX price higher towards $64-$67 and higher to $72 .
A bearish dip to below $54 will result in a decline to re-test $47-$49, the key daily support.
Intraday Chart
Unable to sustain the price action above $59.40, the AVAXUSDT 4-Hour chart is having a bearish intraday pullback.
A bearish dip to below $54.30 or, even better, to $47.63-$49.61 and a bullish rejection of one of these levels could offer a long trade towards $59 and higher.
A bullish move from its current price location and a break-out of $59.40 resistance will push #Avalanche to the next target of $63.89-$66.
Support once read!
Thank you.
AVAXUSD $55.00 is on the cards but then expect correction.Avalanche (AVAXUSD) hit all of our targets during November's run (see chart below) and even broke above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time ever:
This resembles the incredible rally of January 2021, even though it has been executed during a different time period of the global Cycle. Nonetheless, one last spike to the 1.786 Fibonacci to make a February 08 2021 type High, is expected (target = $55.00) but then most likely the market will correct back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). After that, our long-term target will be 105.00 (Resistance 1).
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Avalanche to tumble southward as the downtrend persistsThe daily and 4-hour price charts of Avalanche showed the bears were highly likely to drive prices lower, especially after the move below $13.88 on 5 June.
The higher timeframe charts showed that the mid-April rally failed to break key highs.
This was followed by a downtrend in May, but the $13.8 area posed some opposition to the sellers.
Avalanche had a bearish bias on the price charts. It is the fifth largest blockchain in terms of TVL but its DeFi activity stagnated in recent months. In other news, SushiSwap announced the launch of their v3 suite of products on Avalanche.
The price action presented short sellers with an opportunity. The structure was bearish, but the volatility has been high over the past 48 hours despite seller dominance. If the prices fall beneath $13.5, it would represent a continuation of the downtrend.
The market structure was bearish on the daily timeframe, and a downtrend was in progress. The 4-hour chart also showed a downtrend in progress. In May, the price formed a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The $13.88 level served as support, but AVAX still formed a low at $13.71 on 25 May. On 5 June, the price fell to $13.48, showing that bears remained dominant. Despite the bounce to $14.6 on 7 June, the market structure remained bearish.
Monday’s move was used to plot a set of Fibonacci retracement levels (pale yellow). It showed the 78.6% retracement level at $14.62, which explained the inability of the bulls to drive prices higher. Having established the bearish character of the market, a short trade can be entered upon a retest of the 50% retracement level at $14.21.
The 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci extension levels at $13.14 and $12.58 can be used to book profits. A move by AVAX above $14.93 would invalidate this idea as it represents a key short-term lower high.
It has been noted that the prices bounced to the $14.62 level on Wednesday. Despite that, the spot CVD continued to decline. Over the past 24 hours, the metric was flat, this showed buyers were in the minority and selling pressure was overwhelming.
The Open Interest picked up a little, amounting to close to $10 million. However, when AVAX faced rejection at $14.6, the open interest dropped further. This development hinted at discouraged bulls. Overall, the bearish sentiment was prevalent both on the low and high timeframes.
AVAX looks INTERESTING!KUCOIN:AVAXUSDT
AVAX is approaching an interesting level for a possible long providing a potential of about 40% upside gains.
However, since Bitcoin is sitting in a huge Head & Shoulders pattern, we must let our edge develop on lower time frames 4h to
look at entry triggers.
Should the Head & Shoulders activate, potential downside target to possible pullback zone is an idea.
Future markets open in about 3h 20m
Always having Plan A and Plan B scenarios so we can react once the markets provide an opportunity to execute our edge.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
AVAXUSD is the closest to its 1D MA200 it's been since April!Avalanche (AVAXUSD) is about to hit its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 11 2022! Needless to say, a break-out there would be a major long-term bullish signal for the coin.
With AVAX trading within a Channel Up since the February 2021 High, we can see that the best Sell entry and (potentially now) best Buy entry have come around its +0.236 and -0.236 Fibonacci extension (extreme) levels respectively. Those extremes have both come after the 1D RSI went deep into a Bearish and Bullish Divergence respectively. On the November 21 2021 High, while AVAX was rising on Higher Highs, the RSI was falling on Lower Highs, hence a Bearish Divergence, indicating loss of strength on the trend. Similarly on the December 30 2022 Low, while AVAX was falling on Lower Lows, the RSI was rising on Higher Lows, hence a Bullish Divergence, indicating a weakening bearish trend.
In both cases, the breaking of the 1D MA200 was the confirmation of trend reversal. And since in late January 2022 after the 1D MA200 bearish break-out, AVAX bounced back on the short-term above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before making the deep collapse, we expect this time also after the 1D MA200 bullish break-out to pull-back on the medium-term before starting to fill the upper Fibonacci levels of the Channel Up one by one in the new Bull Cycle.
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AVAXUSD Re-testing the 1D MA50. Breakout and rejection scenariosAvalanche (AVAXUSD) is recovering from the recent rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) last week. That would be the third attempt that close to the MA50 in 3 weeks and with the 1D LMACD on a strong rise, it appears it could be the decisive one to break it.
In fact the same LMACD sequence was last spotted in July 2021, a year ago, when the price eventually broke above the 1D MA50 and initiated an extremely strong rally. Now with the general crypto market attempting to find a bottom on this Bear Cycle, such a rally would be difficult to re-create yet but the Fibonacci retracement levels within this long-term Channel Up can help us set some short/ medium-term targets leading eventually to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
On the downside, if the price gets rejected again and breaks below the Higher Lows trend-line (Fib 0.0), it can go for a Bearish extreme near the -0.236 Fib, similar to the Bullish extreme at 1.236 Fib that shaped the top of the market on November 22 2021.
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AVALANCHE (AVAX) the last chance (bottom) and the range market Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the channel support and the major support (bottom) or better to say the previous zone that started its amazing pump to the upside ✔️
if
the price breaks the resistance area to the upside, we will see more gain besides the range market is acceptable scenario too 📖💡🚀
and
if the price break the rang area to the upside, we will see more pump 🚀
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
AVAXUSD hit the Channel Up bottom. Levels to watch.Avalanche (AVAXUSD) hit on May 12 the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up that started after its February 10 2021 High. That was its first High and May 12 marked its second Higher Lows. Assuming that holds, the pattern will continue to hold and we will have to look for specific markers in order to time a new uptrend.
As you see, there are three indicators that broke in a specific order during the last rise to a Higher High. First the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the Higher Low consolidation. Then the RSI on the 1W time-frame crossed above its MA. Finally the 1W MACD made a Bullish Cross. Keep an eye on those conditions and plan a potential buy strategy accordingly.
On the other hand, a weekly (1W) candle closing below the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up, can set in motion the lower Fibonacci extensions, namely the -0.236 and -0.382 before the market bottoms out.
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AVAXUSD close to starting a rally to $250.00Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past week, ever since the pull-back from the April 02 High. Even though that rattled the confidence of many market participants, there is no cause for concern as this was a short-term profit-taking correction within the larger Rising Wedge pattern on the long-term.
The coin is coming off an Accumulation Phase similar to those of June - July 2021 and October - December 2020. The 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been supporting for the past 8 months and the 1D LMACD is approaching a Bullish Cross formation. This is a bullish indicator mix, familiar with the previous Rise phases that led to Higher Highs on the Rising Wedge.
The next Higher High is expected to be close to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. We set a $250.00 long-term target on AVAX.
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AVAXUSD Cycles with SineWaves. Is it accumulation at the bottom?Avalanche has been one of the surprises of 2021 and despite the market correction since November, it is seen consolidating in rage. I've spotted an interesting cyclical behavior of AVAX, which can provide a fairly accurate pattern to long-term investors.
As you see it is going through phases of accumulation - rise - sell off. There is an underlying Fibonacci Channel that is supporting its long-term uptrend since the September 2020 market bottom.
I've applied the Sine Waves for a better understanding of AVAX's cyclical behavior and as you see it shows that we may be currently half-way through the new Accumulation Phase. The 1D CCI hit last week its long-term Support Zone and has been rebounding since. Such hit and rebound sequences are only seen during AVAX's accumulation phases. Based on that pattern, it is possible to start seeing the new Rise Phase towards the end of February but if you have a long-term investor mind-set, this model shows that Accumulations are done on market bottoms, so the time to buy is now as if the rest of the market rises before, AVAXUSD should follow.
The next target for a Higher High is the 1.5 Fibonacci extension around $315.00.
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AVAXUSD Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on the 1D time-frame.
Signal: Buy as the price is A) holding the Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line of the Channel Up, B) holding the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and C) holding the 6-month CCI Support Zone.
Target: $200 (just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and Higher High trend-line of the Channel Up).
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