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Avax

Alikze »» DOT | 61.8 Fibo retest scenarioAccording to the long-term analysis, the DOT currency is moving in the 1W time frame, which, as mentioned in the updated micro-waves of the previous post, completed a complete cycle in accordance with the path in the range of 11.92. 💎 First scenario: due to the recent three-wave correction and support in an important PRZ area, an upward corrective movement is currently underway, which is currently stopped at the 0.618 area. Therefore, if this X wave is not upward and after the completion of the correction log until the liquidity zone or PRZ leads to the failure of the zone and the daily candle is closed above it, it can continue the movement until the specified resistance PRZ zone. to give 💎 Second scenario: If the support PRZ area is broken, this can lead to a continuing corrective lag and a combined correction and correct the whole wave up to 0.23. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
Lower usage brings lower prices ---- AVAXThe employment data on Friday didn't change anything. Although gold and U.S.stocks rebounded, crypto continued to fall due to potential selling pressure from Mt. Gox and others. We believe this situation may continue into the interest rate cutting cycle. When recently sorting out on-chain data, including activity, TVL and other data, we found that the data of some old chains continued to decline and their fundamentals deteriorated seriously. This will result in its performance in the market being generally worse than other public chains. Avalanche is one of them. Except for the popularity of SocialFi protocol Arena in its ecosystem last year, there is almost no news at all. The same is true from the data. According to the number of 24h active addresses announced by Nansen, Avalanche holds about 40k active addresses every day, which is far less than the mainstream chains. And in terms of TVL decline, Avalanche and Optimism have become the largest heading chains with the largest decline recently. Of course, Optimism’s TVL is shared more with other chains in the OP alliance, such as Base. Avalanche, on the other hand, had a net outflow. The same is true from the indicators. Although the market has rebounded in the past two days. But AVAX is always below the wavy area of the TSB indicator. And the current trend is a downward trend that started on July 4th. This shows the weak performance of AVAX. Introduction to indicators: Trend Sentinel Barrier (TSB) is a trend indicator, using AI algorithm to calculate the cumulative trading volume of bulls and bears, identify trend direction and opportunities, and calculate short-term average cost in combination with changes of turnover ratio in multi-period trends, so as to grasp the profit from the trend more effectively without being cheated. KDMM (KD Momentum Matrix) is not only a momentum indicator, but also a short-term indicator. It divides the movement of the candle into long and short term trends, as well as bullish and bearish momentum. It identifies the points where the bullish and bearish momentum increases and weakens, and effectively capture profits. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
by sypool-AI-TradeGenius
Why Avalanche Might Not Hit Its All-Time High During The Next BuI saw a couple of posts lately on social media that predicted 200, 300, or even 500 as a price target for during the next bull run. This surprised me. I don't think that AVAX will get even close to those numbers. To make this very clear, my assumption has nothing to do with the project in general or Avalanche's technology. On the contrary, I am a big fan of Avalanche and think it will be one of the few projects that will exist ten years from now. I think AVAX won't hit its previous ATH during the next bull run for a simple reason: Circulating Supply! AVAX marked its ATH in November 2021, when the price peaked at ~145 USD. Based on the circulating supply at that time (~230m), the asset had a market cap of ~33b. Since 2021, the circulating supply of AVAX has constantly increased. Moreover, it will continue to increase until it reaches its total supply 443m. Currently, AVAX has a circulating supply of almost 400m. As a result, to reach the ATH price again, AVAX requires a market cap of 58b. That's almost twice the size of its previous ATH market cap. Although it isn't completely unrealistic, I consider it unlikely that Avalanche will double its market cap compared to the last bull run. But even if I am wrong with this assumption, the numbers show how unlikely prices of 200, 300, or even 500 are. Just to do the math: A token price of $500 would lead to a market cap of 200b. Nevertheless, I still think AVAX has a bright feature and solid potential during the next bull run. At the same time, I consider it essential to have realistic targets.
by ben_walther
AVAXUSD Bottom formation in process. Target $105.007 months ago we published the following analysis (December 14 2023, see chart below), expecting Avalanche (AVAXUSD), to correct back to the 1.0 Fibonacci level after a potential $55.00 hit: As you can see the price action didn't fail to deliver our projection, in fact it followed very tightly the February - July 2021 pre-rally pattern of the previous Bull Cycle. Right now it has found Support on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while the 1W RSI is on the exact Support level it was on the June 21 2021 bottom. Even though a marginal decline is possible to satisfy the past condition of slightly breaking below the 0.5 Fib, the current levels are good enough to buy again for the long-term. As in November 2021, our Target is again the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is currently just above the $105.00 Resistance. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:AVAXUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Avalanche (AVAX) Rises: Can It Break Thru $30?Avalanche (AVAX), a prominent smart contracts platform, is currently experiencing a surge in price. As of July 1, 2024, AVAX is trading confidently above the $28.65 resistance level, hinting at a potential breakout. This article delves into the recent AVAX price rally, explores the technical analysis behind it, and examines whether AVAX can conquer the critical $30 resistance zone. A Bullish Breeze for AVAX The ongoing AVAX price rally offers a sigh of relief for investors after a period of price stability. The current movement signifies positive momentum, with AVAX climbing steadily from its $27.40 support level. This upward trend is further bolstered by the fact that AVAX is currently trading above both the $28.65 resistance level and the 100-hourly simple moving average (SMA). Technical Indicators Paint a Breakout Picture Technical analysis is a valuable tool for understanding price movements and predicting future trends. In the case of AVAX, a crucial technical indicator is the recent break above the declining channel with resistance at $28.40 on the hourly chart. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum, potentially paving the way for a further price increase. The $30 Hurdle: A Crucial Test While the current trend is undoubtedly positive, a significant hurdle awaits AVAX at the $30 resistance zone. A decisive break above $30 would be a strong bullish signal, indicating continued upward momentum. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further price appreciation, with potential targets around $32.50 or even $34.00. Support Levels: A Safety Net It's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile. Even in a bullish scenario, there's always the possibility of price corrections. For AVAX, the $29.35 and $28.65 levels act as critical support zones. If the price fails to surpass $30, these support levels can prevent a significant decline. Additionally, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from $27.37 to $29.95 provides another layer of support around $28.65. A drop below $28.65 could lead to a slide towards the $28.00 level and the 100 SMA (4 hours). The $27.40 zone would be the next important support to watch in case of a deeper correction. MACD and RSI: Bullish Whispers Beyond price action, other technical indicators offer valuable insights. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for AVAX/USD is currently climbing in positive territory. This suggests increasing bullish momentum. Additionally, the Hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above 50, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI reading implies that there's still room for the price to rise before a potential correction. Looking Ahead: A Promising Future for AVAX The current price rally for AVAX is a positive development, with technical indicators suggesting a potential breakout above the $30 resistance level. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further gains. However, investors should exercise caution and be aware of the crucial support zones at $29.35 and $28.65. Monitoring the MACD and RSI indicators can also provide valuable insights into the ongoing price trend. Overall, the outlook for AVAX appears promising, and a break above $30 would be a significant bullish signal for the cryptocurrency. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Long
by bryandowningqln
Market Analysis: Bitcoin and AVAX📅 Today's market conditions aren't significantly different from yesterday. Given that it's Sunday, it's essential to minimize risk and avoid unnecessary positions. I'll start with a Bitcoin analysis and then move on to AVAX. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 🔍 In the 1-hour timeframe, as I mentioned yesterday, there was a potential reaction at 60718, which occurred around 60739. Following this, the price moved upward with strong momentum, forming two powerful bullish candles. However, volume has started to decrease, indicating that the bullish momentum has temporarily subsided. We need to wait for a confirmation to see momentum re-enter the market. 📈 For a long position, I still wait for a break of 62168, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. If this level breaks, the price could move up to 63583. If the RSI stabilizes above 70, we could consider entering a long position earlier. 📉 For a short position, our trigger has shifted slightly to 60739, considering the market's reaction to this level yesterday. This could be a good short trigger with a target of 59323. However, volume needs to increase in the market, so it might be better to wait until the new week starts. ⛓ AVAX Analysis 🗂 The AVAX project operates on its blockchain, where AVAX is the primary coin used for transactions, fees, staking, and DeFi applications. 🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, after a decline, the chart hit the support level at 23.84 and started to correct, now moving upward in the Low Wave Cycle. However, the decreasing volume favors a bearish trend continuation. We can expect the downtrend to continue if the price stabilizes below the 23.84 support. 📈 For a long position, you can enter upon breaking 28.59, but keep in mind that the volume is low, and you're trading against the main trend. The target for this position could be 30.88. If the RSI enters the overbought territory, it can provide confirmation to keep the position open. 📉 For a short position, you can enter upon breaking 27.69, though this trigger is quite risky. The main short trigger is at 23.84; breaking this level allows entering a short position. A break of 50 on the RSI can provide a suitable confirmation for bearish momentum entering the market. 📝Both Bitcoin and AVAX are at critical points. Bitcoin's low weekend volume suggests caution, while AVAX presents clear short and long opportunities based on the triggers discussed. Monitor volume closely and ensure confirmations through RSI patterns to make well-informed trading decisions. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
The Possible Bullish Trend for AVAX!BINANCE:AVAXUSDT is about to break out of the s/r zone on weekly timeframe. ✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad. _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
AVAX LongMarket Structure: The price is currently in a downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. The chart shows a significant recent low near the $24.40 level, which is identified as "Sellside Liquidity." Key Levels: Imbalance (Monthly): This area, marked on the chart, suggests a zone where there was an imbalance in trading volume, likely indicating potential resistance or a target area. Sellside Liquidity: This level at approximately $24.40 is where there may be a cluster of stop-loss orders for long positions, representing potential liquidity for the market to tap into. Fib Retracement Levels: The chart indicates the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting it as a potential resistance or target area. Potential Trade Setup: Long Position Entry: A potential long position could be considered around the $24.40 level, targeting the upper blue shaded area (around $34.00 to $36.00) as a take profit zone. Stop Loss: A stop loss could be placed slightly below the $24.40 level to manage risk, considering it as the last significant support area. Take Profit: The target take profit zone is indicated by the blue shaded area, aligning with the previous resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels. Summary: The trade idea involves entering a long position near the identified "Sellside Liquidity" level around $24.40, with a stop loss placed below this level. The target for the trade is the blue shaded area between $34.00 and $36.00, which coincides with the Fibonacci retracement level and previous market structure highs. This setup is based on the expectation that the price will rebound from the current support level and move towards the identified target zone.
Long
by SerenityEquity
Trade setup for AVAX/USDTThis trade setup for AVAX/USDT is based on key support and resistance levels and the potential for a reclaim or bearish retest of the previous range low. I will outline both the long and short scenarios, detailing the conditions under which I will enter and exit these trades. Current Price Action: AVAX is currently trading around $29. The price has been in a downtrend, as evidenced by the lower highs and lower lows on the chart. The previous range low is a significant level that the price needs to reclaim to shift the market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Key Levels: Previous Range Low: Approximately $29.30. Trade Plan: Scenario 1: Long Position Entry Condition: Enter a long position if AVAX reclaims the previous range low of $29.30 and closes above this level on 1h timeframe. Entry Price: Around $29.30 Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low at $28.6. Potential Long Target1: $30.45 (based on previous highs and resistance levels). Potential Long Target2: 32$ Rationale: A successful reclaim of the range low indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, providing a good risk-to-reward ratio for a long position. Scenario 2: Short Position Entry Condition: Enter a short position if AVAX performs a bearish retest of the previous range low ($29.30) and shows signs of rejection Entry Price: Around $29.30 - $29. Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high at $29.75. Take Profit:1 $28.6, Take Profit:1 $27.1, Rationale: A bearish retest and rejection at the range low suggest that the downtrend is likely to continue, providing a good risk-to-reward ratio for a short position. Execution: Monitor Price Action: Keep an eye on how the price behaves around the key level of $29.30. Wait for Confirmation: Look for strong confirmations such as a high volume break and close above $29.30 for a long position or a bearish candlestick pattern with high volume rejection for a short position.
by Cryptodbs
1
Avalanche (AVAX) Analysis: Testing Critical Support Amid Market📆 Coin of the Day: Avalanche (AVAX) About the Project: Avalanche is a highly scalable blockchain platform aimed at decentralized applications and enterprise blockchain deployments. AVAX is the native token used for staking, transaction fees, and governance within the Avalanche ecosystem. 🧩 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe This analysis focuses on daily trends, identifying critical levels and potential scenarios. 📉Support and Resistance: Key Supports: 31.98 23.03 Key Resistances: 41.42 49.96 60.71 🔍 Current Scenario: Testing the Demand Zone Demand Zone: AVAX is currently testing a crucial demand zone around 31.98. This zone has historically acted as a strong support level, indicating high buying interest at these price levels. Implications of Holding the Demand Zone: Potential Reversal: If AVAX can hold above the 31.98 level, it may indicate that buyers are stepping in, potentially leading to a reversal. This could lead to a bounce towards the next resistance levels at 41.42 and 49.96. Confirmation Needed: For a bullish reversal, it's essential to see confirmation through increased volume and a break above the descending trendline. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Break Below Demand Zone Immediate Implications: If AVAX breaks below the 31.98 demand zone, it would suggest that the selling pressure is overwhelming the buying interest, leading to further downside. Next Support Level: The next significant support level to watch is around 23.03. A break below the demand zone could lead to a swift move towards this lower support, as the lack of strong support in between could accelerate the decline. Volume and RSI Analysis: Volume Analysis: Recent trading volume has been moderate. An increase in volume is needed to support any significant move, whether it be a bounce from the demand zone or a break below it. RSI Analysis: Current RSI: 34.11, indicating that AVAX is nearing oversold territory. This could suggest a potential buying opportunity if the price holds the demand zone. 👨‍💻 Trading Positions Long Position Entry Trigger: Hold above 31.98 with confirmation from RSI and volume. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a hold above this level, targeting higher resistance levels at 41.42 and 49.96. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk. Short Position Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 31.98. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 23.03. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly. 📝 Avalanche (AVAX) is at a crucial demand zone, and its price action around this level will be pivotal. Traders should closely monitor the 31.98 level for potential bullish reversals or bearish breakdowns. Volume and RSI trends will provide additional insights into momentum shifts. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1