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Avaxbullish

AVAX → Avalanche Falls to $22! Heading Back to $50?Since my May 18th update, AVAX has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance at $41.80, took half profits, and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on Avalanche? How do we trade this? 🤔 As expected, AVAX found resistance at the 2021/2022 resistance area of $60.00 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us near Push #1 support at around $25.00. I think we can expect to continue testing this support area for a while. I do not believe we will break and hold below $25.00. I would not enter a long yet unless you're fading into your total position size. What we need now is two or three tests of the Push #1 support area between $23.00 and $25.00, forming a double-bottom or reverse head and shoulders pattern. A good strong bull signal candle followed by a confirmation candle is the signal we need to enter a long position, taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward. We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in AVAX. A final point of data is the RSI low and below the moving average of around 42.00, which could remain in this area for some time. This indicates we should be looking for long entries, but should wait for the price action to guide us. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $27.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $21.33 ✅ Take Profit #1: $32.70 ✅ Take Profit #2: $44.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three legs up into a resistance zone after a breakout 2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern 3. Two-legged pullback to Push #1 Support 4. Wait for a double-bottom followed by a strong signal and confirmation candles 5. RSI at 42.00 and below the moving average. Supports waiting for a long entry. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
3
AVAX → Avalanche Falls to $30! Heading Back to $50?AVAX landed just north of our final take profit target of $30 from my last analysis, a perfect drop and profit after three pushes up in a bull trend. Avalanche has been sideways since, are we ready to go back up? How do we trade this? 🤔 We had three pushes up in a bull trend; the third push made contact with a major 2021 resistance area, followed by two strong bear candles closing on their lows below the Daily 30EMA. We tested the 30EMA as resistance followed by a strong bear bar closing on or near its low on April 9th. That was our confirmation to enter the short down to $27, we took profits just north of $30 where the run ended. This completed a two-legged pullback, which is a signal that the price may want to re-test $50 and beyond. We've had several attempts to break that low since and found ourselves in a nice trading range. The longer a trading range continues, the greater the chance the price will reverse direction from the price action to the left of the range. With Bitcoin in a nice pullback and seeming to want another run for $74,000, AVAX is likely to follow toward the upside. Wait for a strong bull candle to close on or near its high at this level, then enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade, taking half profits at 1:1 R/R ($42.000). Move the stop loss up to the entry price and swing the latter half of the position to $49.00, just before the left resistance area. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $35.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $28.00 ✅ Take Profit #1: $42.00 ✅ Take Profit #2: $49.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up into a bull trend. 2. Price has made contact with a 2021 resistance area. 3. Strong sell signal pushing below the Daily 30EMA 4. Two-legged pullback from bull run, price has run sideways for an extended time, look for long entry. 5. RSI at 40.00 and on the Moving Average, supports long bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
AVAX → Avalanche Pullback Complete? Long to $50 or Higher!AVAX ran three pushes up in a bull channel just shy of the 2022 Resistance area topping out at $50. That was followed by a pullback and a strong bull signal. Is it time to long? How do we trade this? 🤔 A long entry is close to being justified! Here's what we have in favor of the long bias; Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at $50 (psychological number because it's even) just below the 2022 resistance price of $53.25, followed by three pushes down in a micro-bear channel, the final push of the bear channel ended in a strong bull signal bar, and we have a good bull bar close on the third after the signal bar. What we need now is a strong bill close above the 30EMA. A desirable data point would be a re-test of the micro-bear channel resistance as support to add probability to our long. However, I do not believe this is required to justify a long entry. I believe we need to be conservative longing at this stage in the crypto market, which is why I only advocate for a 1:1 scalp at a lower than maximum position size allowed for your trading strategy. I think Bitcoin and Ethereum have a larger pullback on the horizon, but do believe the market will come up a bit before it goes down. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $34.90 🟥 Stop Loss: $23.90 ✅ Take Profit: $45.90 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at 2022 Resistance. 2. Micro Bear Channel forms with three pushes down. 3. Strong bull signal buy bar on the third push. 4. Wait for a close above the Daily 30EMA to enter a long position. 5. RSI at 46.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
AVAX → Avalanche Making Another Attempt to Break $50? Yes!AVAX pulled back 37% from its recent high just at $49.85, a strong pullback that brought pause to the bulls until now. Is this the time to enter a long trade? How do we trade this? 🤔 The answer is almost! We have several market indicators that point to a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade near this price area. We have three pushes down in our pullback from $49.85, 3 failed attempts to make lower lows in a trading range, and an RSI that is low and above the Moving Average; Bitcoin as a market indicator is showing signs of making another attempt toward the upside as well. We're 15% away from the Support zone with plenty of runway before hitting the previous high at $49.85. These are optimal conditions for a long trade. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, a price target of $39.50, then move the stop loss up to the entry price to lock in profits for the second take profit. This eliminates initial risk and allows the second half of the trade to be executed without the fear of loss. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $34.50 🟥 Stop Loss: $29.50 ✅ Take Profit #1: $39.50 ✅ Take Profit #2: $44.50 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes down in the pullback from $49.85 2. Three failed attempts to break a new low in the trading range 3. 15% away from the Support Zone and 37% away from the previous high of $49.85 4. RSI at 48.00 and above the moving average which are ideal conditions for a long 5. Bitcoin showing signs of a move toward the previous high 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Trends typically have 3 pushes in either direction before a trend change begins. Along with other market indicators, creates a situation to look for counter-trend trades because the probability of profit is high enough. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1