Avalanche / AVAX analysisThe price of AVAX is $20.7 today with a 24hour trading volume of 400 million dollars and its 95% up since last month
Avalanche is a layer one blockchain that functions as a platform for decentralized applications and custom blockchain networks. It is one of Ethereum’s rivals, aiming to unseat ethereum as the most popular blockchain for smart contracts. It aims to do so by having a higher transaction output of up to 6,500 transactions per second while not compromising scalability.
Avalanche’s bridge has performed over $60B in transfer recently a key factor in its rapidly growing DeFi ecosystem but now lets look at the price and chart
breaking 12 resistance and down-trend was a great opportunity for scalpers to long and make some quick buck. as you see 21-22 is the next resistance and after hitting 21 we had some correction
like most asset classes the market waiting for Federal Reserve's first meeting and rate decision of 2023 so be ready for some volatility in crypto. for long term Im bullish on avax
avax next targets are 23, 25 and 27
Avaxcoin
AVAX LONG Future ForecastHello friends,
With Bitcoin breaking its all-time high, we are on the verge of entering a mega bull season. While Bitcoin has led the bull run so far, and although the altcoin market has shown some upward movement, it's premature to say that the altcoins' rally has begun. I believe the real surge for altcoins will start from today onwards. AVAX, which has shown strong performance even during the pre-ATH bull season, I anticipate will continue its performance more efficiently in the coming days.
Looking at the situation technically, in the short term, we are within a cup and handle formation, and we have reached our initial target of (50.03$). If we break the target resistance, the RSI on the 4-hour and daily charts will turn into overbought territory from the 70 levels, and according to the formation, our next target will be 59.20$, triggering overbought conditions on the daily chart and initiating a new daily uptrend wave. Easily, we will reach our current resistance levels (79.91$, 99.42$, 127.38$) and then ATH (148$) levels.
Stay tuned for more gains, my friends!
Wishing you all profitable trades.
#AVAX/USDT#AVAX
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 12-hour frame
We have a commitment to the limits of that channel
Now we have a breakout of the downtrend
We have buying momentum on the MACD indicator
Entry price is 36.29
The first goal is 37.96
The second goal is 40.78
Third goal 43.59
latest movement..? (AVAX)❤️❤️Thanks for boosting 🚀 and supporting us!
📈when in bull-trend we can trade in bull-trend in small correction ___ with distance measuremove last movement for reverse trend.
🔗 For more communication with us, In the footnote and send a message in TradingView.
👨🎓 Experience and Education: Our trading team has five years of experience in financial markets, especially cryptocurrencies.
AVAX → Avalanche About to Reverse!? Or Continue to the Upside?Avalanche has been roaring through a nice curving bull channel until the top of the third push at $42.75! A nice sell signal formed on yesterdays daily candle, now we need to see how today closes to make our next move.
How do we trade this? 🤔
Avalanche had its third push up in the bull channel, a typical number of legs before the trend changes into a trading range or reverses. Given Bitcoins recent sell-off at a key resistance level, I believe it will drag AVAX down with it. AVAX has a sell signal on yesterdays candle and if today closes with a strong bear candle, we're likely looking at putting in some more lows. The RSI is also over 75.00 and below the moving average, all supporting at least a short-term bearish sentiment.
We need follow-through! Yesterdays signal is not enough justification to enter a short. It's best to wait for the price to fall to the 30EMA and see what happens there. If we get a bounce then another rejection to the downside, we'll have a head and shoulders reversal pattern on our hands at which time, a short will be justified.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $26.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $32.00
✅ Take Profit: $14.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long!
2. Three Pushes up in Trend with Sell signal, Signal to Change Trend.
3. Gap to Second Push Support Line.
4. RSI at 75.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short
5. Wait for Short Confirmation at potential Right Shoulder.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
AVAXUSDT - Quick chart Idea - Possible breakout to the upsideHi to all TV people, this is a quick chart idea. By looking it looks bullish.
I would trade only after a retest of this possible breakout. First need to break through resistance.
Upside target could fail only on a breakout on downside of this triangle.
Trade is a matter of probability, but it's safer to trade reacting on a price action not trying to anticipate patterns.
This is my idea, not financial advice. Always DYOR.
ShadowPlayer.
Avalanche AVAX price has good perspectives for growthFor the last month, the AVAXUSDT price is in the liquidity zone, where it was last in July 2021.
Also, the pattern of formation of a possible price bottom is very similar to 2021. What was further with the price of AVAX can be seen on the chart.
Another positive point is that in July 2021, the BTC price fluctuated in the range of $30-32k. The AVAXUSDT price was trading in the range of $10-14. In the current trading, the price of the Avalanche token ranges from $11 to $14, but the cost of BTC is roughly 2 times less than 1.5 years ago.
That is, AVAX is bought in the AVAXBTC pair considering it a promising asset.
Putting together all our assumptions and what we saw on the chart, we can conclude that in the medium term, the AVAXUSDT price has every chance to grow into the price range of $30-32
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
Avalanche: The Very Hungry Caterpillar 🐛You know the children’s book The Very Hungry Caterpillar by Eric Carle? Just like the story’s protagonist, Avalanche is crawling around with wriggly movements and is repeatedly gnawing at the turquoise zone between $25.29 and $39.63. If the altcoin wants to further our primary scenario, though, it should pupate soon and emerge as a beautiful butterfly, flapping away above the resistance at $103.64. However, there is also a chance that Avalanche could lose its footing and drop below the resistance at $9.25, which would then elicit a strong downwards spiral.
Avalanche: Baby One More Time! 🎤Britney Spears’ voice seems to sound in the background, singing “Hit me, Baby, one more time”, while Avalanche approaches the orange zone between $70.58 and $58.31 one more time. We expect it to dive into the orange zone to finish wave C in green and wave ii in orange. Afterwards, Avalanche should rise upwards more sustainably, crossing the resistance at $98.77 in the process. In addition to Britney’s song, we should keep in mind, though, the 35% chance that Avalanche could drop through the orange zone and fall below the support at $53.16.
AVAX (Avalanche) Coin Analysis 29/03/2022Fundamental Analysis:
Avalanche is a layer one blockchain that functions as a platform for decentralized applications and custom blockchain networks. It is one of Ethereum’s rivals, aiming to unseat Ethereum as the most popular blockchain for smart contracts. It aims to do so by having a higher transaction output of up to 6,500 transactions per second while not compromising scalability.
This is made possible by Avalanche’s unique architecture. The Avalanche network consists of three individual blockchains: the X-Chain, C-Chain and P-Chain. Each chain has a distinct purpose, which is radically different from the approach Bitcoin and Ethereum use, namely having all nodes validate all transactions. Avalanche blockchains even use different consensus mechanisms based on their use cases.
After its mainnet launch in 2020, Avalanche has worked on developing its own ecosystem of DApps and DeFi. Different Ethereum-based projects such as SushiSwap and TrueUSD have integrated with Avalanche. Furthermore, the platform is constantly working on improving interoperability between its own ecosystem and Ethereum, like through the development of bridges.
Avalanche attempts to solve the blockchain trilemma, which posits that blockchains cannot achieve a sufficient degree of decentralization at scale. A consequence of this are high gas fees, as is often the case on Ethereum.
To solve this problem, Avalanche designed three interoperable blockchains.
The Exchange Chain (X-Chain) : employed to create and exchange the native AVAX tokens and other assets. Similar to the ERC-20 standard on Ethereum, these tokens follow a set of standardized rules. It uses the Avalanche consensus mechanism.
The Contract Chain (C-Chain) : hosts smart contracts and decentralized applications. It has its own Avalanche Virtual Machine, similar to the Ethereum Virtual Machine, allowing developers to fork EVM-compatible DApps. It uses the Snowman consensus mechanism.
The Platform Chain (P-Chain) : coordinates network validators, tracks active subnets and enables the creation of new subnets. Subnets are sets of validators, sort of like a validator cartel. Each subnet can be validating several blockchains, but a blockchain can only be validated by one subnet. It also uses the Snowman consensus mechanism.
This division of computing tasks enables higher throughput without compromising on decentralization. For instance, private blockchains on the network could require its subnet’s validators to be sufficiently geographically decentralized or comply with certain regulations. Following this modular structure, Avalanche improves its interoperability with other blockchains wishing to integrate with the Avalanche ecosystem. Furthermore, the two different consensus mechanisms are designed with each blockchain’s requirements in mind, further improving their efficiency.
VAX is traded on the Exchange Chain, which follows its own Avalanche consensus mechanism. Unlike proof-of-work or proof-of-stake, the Avalanche consensus mechanism does not have one leader processing transactions that get validated by others. Instead, all nodes process and validate transactions by employing a directed acyclic graph (DAG) protocol. That way, transactions are processed simultaneously, and validators' random polling ensures that transactions are correct with statistical certainty. There are no blocks in this consensus mechanism, allowing immediate finalization and significantly improving the blockchain’s speed.
Avalanche was launched by Ava Labs, founded by Cornell University professor Emin Gün Sirer, and Cornell University computer science PhD’s Kevin Sekniqi and Maofan “Ted” Yin. Gün Sirer is a veteran in cryptographic research, having designed a conceptual peer-to-peer virtual currency six years before the release of the Bitcoin whitepaper. He was also involved in work on Bitcoin scaling solutions and research on Ethereum before the infamous The DAO hack in 2016.
From that research arose the whitepaper that led to the foundation of Ava Labs in 2018. The project closed a seed round in February 2019 that included investors such as Polychain, Andreessen Horowitz and Balaji Srinivasan. Avalanche closed its initial coin offering in 2020 in under 24 hours, raising $42 million in the process.
The total supply of AVAX is 720 million. Its token distribution is as follows:
2.5% - seed sale, with 10% released on mainnet launch and the rest being released every three months.
3.5% - private sale, with 10% released on mainnet launch and the rest being released every three months.
10% - public sale, with 10% released on mainnet launch and 15% released every three months over a period of 18 months.
9.26% - allocated to the foundation, released over ten years.
7% - community endowment, released over twelve months.
0.27% - testnet incentive program, released over one year.
5% - strategic partners, released over four years.
2.5% - airdrops, released over four years.
10% - team, released over four years.
50% staking rewards
Staking AVAX currently provides an annual reward of 11.57%, with the minimum time for staking being two weeks with a minimum of 2,000 AVAX.
The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #10, with a live market cap of $24,913,139,049 USD. It has a circulating supply of 267,284,167 AVAX coins and the max. supply is not available.
Technical Analysis:
Looking at the Price Value and Fluctuation Patterns in historical data of the Asset from Jan 2021, we can see there has been a completed Cycle with ATH: 60$ , thus retracement to 8$, followed by 3 Months of Re-Acumulation Phase till Mid August 2021, which developed the New Cycle with its New ATH of Approx. 145$, followed by Price retracements to 50$ which is the 61.8% level of Fibonacci retracement of 0 to the Latest ATH (146$). this means the Price has Been accumulation since its retracement for its 3th cycle which can have the new ATH of 430$.
There exist the Regular Bullish Divergence of Price Value from MACD , which is the very Significant sign of Bearish Trend Reversal which eventually Start the new Bullish Trends.
As the price value Start its Bullish trend From these kind of Discounted Zones such as Fib 61.8 or lower , we can Rationally expect the ATH to be easily Achievable and ultimately developing the new cycle thus new ATH.
There are Total of 3 Targets defined by the Average Confluences of the Fibonacci Expansion and Fibonacci Trend Base Extension. these confluences Points can even be counted as the Major Pivot Points .
The 3 TP gets its confirmation as the Bullish trend Triggers the 2 TP followed by some Price correction and Reaccumulation. on its Up Formation rally.
Currently the Price Value is at 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level; it means it has broken the resistance level and had rechecked it backed and it has been Proved to be the support area.
Probably we may not again see the 50% price or bellow...
AVAX snowballing - LFGCharted on 28th, posting on 30th for $AVAX
As this is being written, the AVAX conference is over and has been quite a display of events for many developers and investors looking to get in the best alternative EVM network. Besides being part of the SOLUNAVAX and JEWELUNAVAX narrative.
Reasons to be bullish AVAX
+ subnets - handling many transactions that even allows for gas fees to be native token other than AVAX, reducing load on network, #Crabada game and #DFK are the 2 chosen ones for the entire world to see
+ 1 second finality
+ low gas fees
+ seamless experience
+ onboarding tradfi clients for defi
+ gud team
+ Pump season
Expecting a rush to onboard AVAX as more defi initiatives build on top of it and the adoption and entrance from GameFi developers after seeing DFK and Crab’s eventual success. You can learn more about AVAX here
Trading plan - 3 scenarios
Very bullish - 35%
Alts season with BTC getting higher and USDT dominance dropping - this means greater liquidity flow from higher cap alts to lower ones, as well as risk-on behaviour. AVAX ranks 10-11th place but has yet to reach its ATH which will be a psychological target for many. Also part of the strongest meta narratives. Generally as it has broken out of a descending trendline, printed a higher high and bounced off the 0.382 fib (around $89), the demand zone would have shown where people would have loaded up. Targets are overhead fibs 0.5 ($100), 0.618 ($111) 0.786 ($127) and then ATHs ($147). TLDR add on reconfirmed tests of fibs, old demand zone, ranges for parabolic price channel, and flip of old supply zone. It gets tricky once it reaches the 0.5 and 0.618 fib as the latter is an old supply zone, hitting 0.5fib would signify that AVAX is about to enter a parabolic price action yet again. Expecting volatile rejections from these old supply zones and usually the first attempt to breach into parabolic price action channel would fail. Targeting a 3-5 week trade with targets $127 and $147 before seasonal weakness in May appears
Conservative Bullish - 40%
It is a known thing that tokens usually display post-conference dump with reference to Fantom and Solana conferences. Would be expecting the lower 0.236 fib to be tapped near $75 to create capitulation. And then the current supply zone will be retested again, maybe twice, before breakout succeeds and confirmation of support at $89 which is the 0.382 fib that sits comfortably in the new demand zone. TLDR add below current supply zone towards 75.5 or upon breakout and retracement and retest of $89, before targeting $100 and $111, which is the 0.5 fib that could determine bullish or bearish sentiment, as well as 0.618 which is a key fib level which a) typically faces price action rejection and b) coincides with the support of the parabolic channel.
Bearish - 25%
BTC might dip as the price action may be unsustainable according to others, creating sell pressure of AVAX in AVAX/BTC or AVAX/USD pairs as liquidity is lowered and people take profits to protect capital. It would be likely if the price dips towards the lower ascending trendline at $68, and then I would look out for any breaks below this trendline which would indicate weakness and lack of buyers. TLDR short on rejection of 0.236 fib and breakdown of lower trendline with a target of $54, slightly above the old demand zone near $53. Generally I only long coins, so this could be used to determine your entry levels to maximize risk:reward ratios. Also 25% likely scenario because we note that the volume has been relatively lower as compared to previous price run
This analysis involves mainly around fib levels demand/supply zones flipping to provide support(old supply zone becomes demand area) or resistance (vice versa). Awaiting AVAX real price movement once volume kicks in because right now it is already trending upwards on lower volume. If you’re looking more at long term growth, do check out Bybit as they offer spot, perps, 2% APY staking and information on AVAX too
Avalanche: Ready to AvalancheAvalanche still has time until the resistance at $98.77 to finish wave B in green, but it could also decide to avalanche into the orange zone between $70.58 and $58.31 immediately. There, it should complete wave C in green as well as wave ii in orange and use its drive to change direction. In contrast to its namesake, Avalanche should then rush upwards above the resistance at $98.77. However, there is a 35% chance that Avalanche might endeavor to emulate said namesake and slide below the support at $53.16.