AVAX → Avalanche At Resistance! Reversal Time? Let's Answer.Avalanche had one more nudge toward the 2021/2022 resistance level since my last analysis, creating a bearish divergence and setting us up for a short trade. Should we short now?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As stated in my last analysis and this one, we need a short signal and confirmation for justification to short AVAX. Our proposed third push up from the previous analysis never rendered a sell signal and has now created a bearish divergence with the RSI. This means the price had a higher high and the RSI a lower high, signaling weakening bulls.
This does *not* mean we enter a short now, it's too risky without more price action. We need a strong sell signal and preferably, a break below the channel support and a re-test for resistance. Then short down to the Daily 200EMA at a 1:2 Risk Reward Ratio. It's also reasonable to take half profits at a 1:1 Risk Reward (around $28.00) and swing the remainder at a 1:3 risk reward or until a reversal signal shows itself.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $34.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $25.00
✅ Take Profit: $40.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long!
2. Three Pushes up in Trend with Sell signal, Signal to Change Trend.
3. Gap to Second Push Support Line.
4. RSI at 63.00 and below Moving Average, Divergence.
5. Wait for Short Confirmation bar before entering a position.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Divergences between price action and the RSI are not strong signals on their own. Combined with three pushes up in a trend, a major resistance area, and a sell signal, renders a higher probability of profit for reversal trading.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Avaxprediction
AVAX → Avalanche About to Reverse!? Or Continue to the Upside?Avalanche has been roaring through a nice curving bull channel until the top of the third push at $42.75! A nice sell signal formed on yesterdays daily candle, now we need to see how today closes to make our next move.
How do we trade this? 🤔
Avalanche had its third push up in the bull channel, a typical number of legs before the trend changes into a trading range or reverses. Given Bitcoins recent sell-off at a key resistance level, I believe it will drag AVAX down with it. AVAX has a sell signal on yesterdays candle and if today closes with a strong bear candle, we're likely looking at putting in some more lows. The RSI is also over 75.00 and below the moving average, all supporting at least a short-term bearish sentiment.
We need follow-through! Yesterdays signal is not enough justification to enter a short. It's best to wait for the price to fall to the 30EMA and see what happens there. If we get a bounce then another rejection to the downside, we'll have a head and shoulders reversal pattern on our hands at which time, a short will be justified.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $26.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $32.00
✅ Take Profit: $14.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long!
2. Three Pushes up in Trend with Sell signal, Signal to Change Trend.
3. Gap to Second Push Support Line.
4. RSI at 75.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short
5. Wait for Short Confirmation at potential Right Shoulder.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
AVAX Avalanche: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Avalanche (AVAXUSDT).
The chart is self-explanatory. The price is inside a triangle and approaching an area, which the price could fall back into a consolidation zone. AVAX price is inside the EMA ribbons and above the 200 SMA. If price continues to go down or consolidate, the 50 SMA may come down and complete a Death Cross with the 200 SMA. The RSI support line was broken and the RSI is going back up to re-test it and attempt breakout. MFI support line intact. Keep an eye on the two S/R lines I noted. Lastly Volume is still declining even though it makes attempts to move back up.
Included in the chart: Trend line, Support and Resistance Lines, Ichimoku Cloud, Volume, RSI, MFI ( Money Flow Index), EMA Ribbons, and 50 and 200 Simple Moving Average.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk