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Avaxsignals

AVAX → Avalanche Falls to $22! Heading Back to $50?Since my May 18th update, AVAX has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance at $41.80, took half profits, and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on Avalanche? How do we trade this? 🤔 As expected, AVAX found resistance at the 2021/2022 resistance area of $60.00 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us near Push #1 support at around $25.00. I think we can expect to continue testing this support area for a while. I do not believe we will break and hold below $25.00. I would not enter a long yet unless you're fading into your total position size. What we need now is two or three tests of the Push #1 support area between $23.00 and $25.00, forming a double-bottom or reverse head and shoulders pattern. A good strong bull signal candle followed by a confirmation candle is the signal we need to enter a long position, taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward. We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in AVAX. A final point of data is the RSI low and below the moving average of around 42.00, which could remain in this area for some time. This indicates we should be looking for long entries, but should wait for the price action to guide us. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $27.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $21.33 ✅ Take Profit #1: $32.70 ✅ Take Profit #2: $44.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three legs up into a resistance zone after a breakout 2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern 3. Two-legged pullback to Push #1 Support 4. Wait for a double-bottom followed by a strong signal and confirmation candles 5. RSI at 42.00 and below the moving average. Supports waiting for a long entry. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
3
AVAX → Avalanche Falls to $30! Heading Back to $50?AVAX landed just north of our final take profit target of $30 from my last analysis, a perfect drop and profit after three pushes up in a bull trend. Avalanche has been sideways since, are we ready to go back up? How do we trade this? 🤔 We had three pushes up in a bull trend; the third push made contact with a major 2021 resistance area, followed by two strong bear candles closing on their lows below the Daily 30EMA. We tested the 30EMA as resistance followed by a strong bear bar closing on or near its low on April 9th. That was our confirmation to enter the short down to $27, we took profits just north of $30 where the run ended. This completed a two-legged pullback, which is a signal that the price may want to re-test $50 and beyond. We've had several attempts to break that low since and found ourselves in a nice trading range. The longer a trading range continues, the greater the chance the price will reverse direction from the price action to the left of the range. With Bitcoin in a nice pullback and seeming to want another run for $74,000, AVAX is likely to follow toward the upside. Wait for a strong bull candle to close on or near its high at this level, then enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade, taking half profits at 1:1 R/R ($42.000). Move the stop loss up to the entry price and swing the latter half of the position to $49.00, just before the left resistance area. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $35.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $28.00 ✅ Take Profit #1: $42.00 ✅ Take Profit #2: $49.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up into a bull trend. 2. Price has made contact with a 2021 resistance area. 3. Strong sell signal pushing below the Daily 30EMA 4. Two-legged pullback from bull run, price has run sideways for an extended time, look for long entry. 5. RSI at 40.00 and on the Moving Average, supports long bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
AVAXUSD is the closest to its 1D MA200 it's been since April!Avalanche (AVAXUSD) is about to hit its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 11 2022! Needless to say, a break-out there would be a major long-term bullish signal for the coin. With AVAX trading within a Channel Up since the February 2021 High, we can see that the best Sell entry and (potentially now) best Buy entry have come around its +0.236 and -0.236 Fibonacci extension (extreme) levels respectively. Those extremes have both come after the 1D RSI went deep into a Bearish and Bullish Divergence respectively. On the November 21 2021 High, while AVAX was rising on Higher Highs, the RSI was falling on Lower Highs, hence a Bearish Divergence, indicating loss of strength on the trend. Similarly on the December 30 2022 Low, while AVAX was falling on Lower Lows, the RSI was rising on Higher Lows, hence a Bullish Divergence, indicating a weakening bearish trend. In both cases, the breaking of the 1D MA200 was the confirmation of trend reversal. And since in late January 2022 after the 1D MA200 bearish break-out, AVAX bounced back on the short-term above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before making the deep collapse, we expect this time also after the 1D MA200 bullish break-out to pull-back on the medium-term before starting to fill the upper Fibonacci levels of the Channel Up one by one in the new Bull Cycle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
4