BROADCOM's 15 year chart is why you will regret not buying now.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been on a strong correction in the past 4 months, completing so far 3 straight brutally red 1M (monthly) candles since January, having broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
This month, it hit its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since November 2022. This is a key Support level as it is AVGO's main Support during Bull Cycles that historically has only broken during Bear Cycles.
In fact, the stock has been trading within a 15-year Channel Up since it's IPO. And this is the reason why this correction is a blessing in disguise for long-term investors. The 1W MA100 was intact during the previous historic Bull Cycle from May 2013 to July 2018. So since we tested it now, there is a far stronger probability of it holding and extending the Bull Cycle that started on the October 2022 Low, than turning into a Bear Cycle.
Notice also how symmetric the rises have been within this Channel Up. The 2012 - 2015 rise has been +500% before the 1W MA50 was breached again. Similarly, AVGO has grown by +500% again from the October 2022 bottom to the recent All Time High, before it broke last month again below the 1W MA50.
If this is a new Low similar to August 2015, then we can expect an equally symmetric follow up rise of +178.64% in the next 2 years. This gives us a rough long-term Target of $380.
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AVGO
Bear Flags: $NVDA first, then $AVGO In this AI Mega cycle there were 2 clear visible winners. NASDAQ:NVDA and $AVGO. Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) has had a late bull run in the AI super cycle which started in 2022 and was ongoing until Dec 2024. During this tariff-based bear run NASDAQ:NVDA is almost down 40%. The same is true for Broadcom. NASDAQ:AVGO is also down 40% from the ATH.
But we must investigate the confluence of some more technical indicators on top of the simple % drawdown we see in stocks. The 2 most helpful indicators are the RSI and Fib retracement levels, which can give us some more price levels which we might be looking forward to in the upcoming weeks. The RSI is at 36 on the weekly chart for both the stocks NASDAQ:AVGO and $NVDA. But let’s focus on NASDAQ:AVGO in this blog. Today we are combining the Gan and Fib retracements levels on the weekly chart of NASDAQ:AVGO and we see the clear price levels. We are already at 0.618 Fib retracement which is the price level 145. We closed @ 146 $ on Friday. If we break tis support level, then the next level we are looking at is 121 $ which will be 0.5 Fib retracement levels. If that level is broken, then we are looking at a 100 $ Stock price on $ AVGO 0.382 Fib retracement level.
Verdict: Buy 33% now, buy 33% between 120 $ - 130 $ , buy the rest 33% between 95 $ - 100 $
$SMH: First the generals then the index NASDAQ:SMH with closing @ 180 $ on 04 April 2025 is equivalent to drawdown we saw during COVID crash. During the covid crash the semiconductor ETF lost 37% and this tariff crash we also saw 36% drawdown. If this tariff war on goes then we might see some more weakness. With this drawdown the NASDAQ:SMH is below its 200 Day SMA. ‘Nothing good happens below 200 Day SMA’ and the ETF is below the upward sloping channel. The RSI is also touching the lows the lows we saw during the COVID time reaching the oversold mark of 30.
This weakness can be attributed to heavy weights like NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:AVGO which have been down more than 40% form their ATH. But the question remains will the drawdown stop here or there is some more pain. But we should not forget the 3-day rule in the markets. Where the sell off peaks off in the 3rd Day. 07 April will be the 3rd Day after the tariff selloff.
Should we call the bottom here? Unless we think that there will be a recession then these are good levels to buy. But if the tariff negotiations go on for longer period, then there will be chop around for a longer period and instead of a V shaped recovery we might see a U-shaped recovery in SMH.
Verdict: Accumulate some NASDAQ:SMH here and go extra-long @ 170-180 $
$SOXL $SOXX BOTTOMED (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)An ascending triangle is a bullish breakout pattern that occurs when the price breaks through the upper horizontal trendline with increasing volume. The upper trendline is horizontal, showing nearly identical highs that create a resistance level. Meanwhile, the lower trendline slopes upward, indicating higher lows as buyers gradually increase their bids. Eventually, buyers become impatient and push the price above the resistance level, triggering further buying and resuming the uptrend. The upper trendline, which previously acted as resistance, then becomes a support level.
Semiconductors NASDAQ:SOXX are crucial to the United States for several reasons:
Technological Backbone: Semiconductors power essential technologies like smartphones, computers, cars, and medical devices. They are integral to almost everything with an on/off switch. The semiconductor industry aka NASDAQ:SOXX significantly contributes to the U.S. economy. It supports millions of jobs and drives innovation in various sectors, including artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and clean energy.
Semiconductors are vital for national security. They are used in military systems, aircraft, weapons, and the electric grid, making them critical for defense and infrastructure. Maintaining a strong semiconductor industry helps the U.S. stay competitive globally so BUY AMEX:SOXL , $SOXX. The CHIPS and Science Act, for example, aims to revitalize the U.S. semiconductor industry, create jobs, and support American innovation. Strengthening the domestic semiconductor supply chain reduces dependency on foreign sources, enhancing the resilience and security of supply chains.
BUY NOW AND HOLD
$SOXL Inverted Cup and Handlel (SELL NOW!)Grasping chart patterns is essential for market participants. This article explores the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal that suggests potential downward movement.
The inverted cup and handle, also known as an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that can appear in both uptrends and downtrends. It is the reverse of the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern. The inverted formation consists of two main components: the "cup," an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup.
SELL NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:MU $TXN.
Lets BUY it again WHEN IT'S LOW guys.
Mark my word
OH NO! $SOXS is primed for a significant rise.The concept of a multiple bottom suggests that the stock has already experienced a significant decline, creating a buying opportunity at a lower price over time.
Plus, Trump is coming= BYE semidocutor stocks!
Stricter trade policies and tariffs on imported semiconductors could disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher costs and potential shortages.
During his previous presidency, Trump focused on "America First" policies, which included promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains
Additionally, there were concerns about the potential mismanagement of federal initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act, which aimed to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
AMEX:SOXL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , NASDAQ:QCOM : Sell now to take the profit.
IT'S COMING
BROADCOM Megaphone bottom hit. Will it hold?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since the January 05 2024 Low and this week it hit its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). This technically concludes the Bearish Leg and should start the new Bullish Leg.
The last Bullish Leg's initial rebound hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before pulling back again. If the market starts the new one here, which is not as easy as last time as we've already broken below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) last week, the immediate Target is 228.50.
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AVGO Stuck Between Key Levels, A Calm Before the Storm?Broadcom, one of the key favorites in the AI rally, is at a crossroads. AVGO has been in a steady logarithmic uptrend since October 2022, carrying the stock price from 41.51 to 251.88, marking an impressive 506% gain in about two and a half years. The company's EPS has been consistently increasing over the years and is expected to accelerate further this year. Although valuations are high, if Broadcom's performance in 2025 meets or exceeds expectations, the bullish case remains strong. The forward P/E for 2025 end is 28.7x.
Currently, the price is stuck between the trendline and the 200 resistance level. The uptrend is supported by the 200-day moving average. The trendline sits around 184, while the SMA is at 182.50. For a more cautious approach, 180 can be considered the key medium-term support level. If 180 holds and AVGO manages to break above the 200 resistance, there is significant upside potential for the bulls.
The current analyst consensus for the 12-month price target is 251, which also coincides with the stock's all-time high (ATH).
AVGO - It's time to Turnaround and GO!NASDAQ:AVGO
Monster Earnings and Move have been shrugged off...
- Ascending Triangle Successful Retest
- 50 WMA Successful Retest
- Volume Shelf
- Key S/R Zone
- Green Support Beam on Wr%
If market gets going then Broadcom is heading to $270 QUICK!
Not financial advice
BROADCOM: Is this a legit recovery on the 1D MA200?AVGO is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.867, MACD = -8.280, ADX = 49.944) as it has stabilized following a direct contact with the 1D MA200. That was the first time the price hit that level since the September 9th 2024 low. This is also a technical HL at the bottom of the 9 month Channel Up, while also the 1D RSI is rebounding on its S1 Zone. The Sep 9th 2024 rebound hit its upper R1 level, so our worst case target is 250 (TP1), while the November 27th 2024 low rose by +59.97%, which gives a best case target of 285 (TP2).
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Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Stock Surges Over 8%Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Stock Surges Over 8%
As shown on the chart, Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) shares soared by more than 8% in Friday’s trading session.
The bullish momentum is driven by strong quarterly results released last week and an optimistic outlook highlighting sustained demand in the artificial intelligence sector:
→ Earnings per share: $1.60 (Analyst forecast: $1.49)
→ Revenue: $14.92 billion (Expected: $14.61 billion), reflecting a 25% increase from $11.96 billion a year earlier.
Technical Analysis of AVGO Stock
The chart indicates that the market remains in an uptrend, with signs that the price has found support at:
→ The lower boundary of the channel.
→ The former resistance zone around $183 – which also aligns with the lower boundary of the price gap that formed in December 2024, as we previously noted.
This suggests that after forming a Bullish Flag pattern (marked in red), the upward trend may continue.
Broadcom (AVGO) Stock Price Forecast
Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya called the results from Broadcom a “reassuring update from an AI leader” and a “positive read-across for AI sentiment.”
According to TipRanks:
→ The average price target for AVGO shares is $248.
→ 27 out of 30 analysts recommend buying AVGO stock.
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$AVGO almost down 30% Since the AI trade took hold of the S&P and NASDAQ the 2 stocks which we poster child in the AI trade were NASDAQ:NVDA and $AVGO. Out of the 100% of the real AI revenue done by Semis almost 15-20% is attributed to Broadcom $AVGO.
After the last quarter results the stock gapped up more than 20% and reached an ATH of 250 $ from the lows of 170 $. This week the stock almost touched 170 $. The Gap got filled as they usually do. So as usual in the technical patterns world the previous tops become support. The 200 Day SMA is at 178 $. I think between 170 $ and 180 $ is the accumulation zone for $AVGO. Tomorrow, being the earnings date of NASDAQ:AVGO we should watch out for volatility after the earnings. An implied move of +/- 10% in the price of NASDAQ:AVGO can happen after the earnings.
All in all, buy NASDAQ:AVGO between 170 $ - 180 $.
BROADCOM Is this the buy opportunity of the year?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a multi-year Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom and broke last week below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). In the past +2 years, every time the 4H MA200 broke, the stock was on its most optimal buy opportunity, as long as the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) held.
In fact, it has been holding since the December 09 2022 break-out so as long as it doesn't break now, AVGO is a low risk - high reward buy opportunity. Actually both in 1W RSI terms as pure price action, the current Low resembles the September 06 2024 one, which started the most recent Bullish Leg.
That sequence initially hit its previous Resistance (previous Higher High) before entering a Re-accumulation phase halfway before the Channel Up top. As a result, we expect to see AVGO hitting at least $250 before the next pull-back that quite possible may target $330.
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$SMH is in undecided watersMany Wall Street analyst will say there are no bull markets without the Semis. We have been going sideways for a few months. We are in a range within a major upward trend in the markets and the NASDAQ:SMH ETF. The same looks in the charts of NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AVGO etc.
In this chart we plotted an upward trending parallel channel. The NASDAQ:SMH price have been within the parallel channel sweeping the upper and lower bound in this multiyear bull market. This is also evident here. But since hitting an ATH in July 2024. It has been sideways since then. It is forming a consolidating wedge pattern which can break either way. But usually, such consolidation pattern breaks in the direction of the underlying market trend.
Long NASDAQ:SMH now and here when in consolidation pattern.
Bullish Pennant Forming on AVGO? Target: $271.50📊 Chart Breakdown:
AVGO is showing signs of a bullish pennant formation after a strong impulsive move up, followed by a period of consolidation.
🔹 Lower Highs & Trendline Resistance – The stock has been making lower highs, forming a downward sloping resistance.
🔹 Support at 9 EMA (Yellow Line) – The price has bounced off the 9 EMA, which suggests buyers are stepping in.
🔹 Volume Decline During Consolidation – A classic bullish pennant trait, showing a buildup before a potential breakout.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation Needed – A close above the descending trendline would confirm the breakout and push toward our target price of $271.50.
📈 Bullish Case:
If AVGO breaks out above resistance, we could see a strong continuation toward $271.50 in the coming weeks.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Breakout Above: $232-$235
❌ Support to Hold: 9 EMA (yellow) & $220
💡 Final Thoughts:
With the current price action and EMA support, this setup favors the bullish case, but confirmation is key! Watch for a high-volume breakout for the best entry.
What do you think? Are you bullish on AVGO? Let’s discuss! 🔥📊
$ANET : A steady compounder under the shadows of $AVGOToday we dive into the world of stocks where we look at a little know cos. called Arista Networks $ANET. NYSE:ANET since its IPO almost 10 years ago has given a 2000% return to its investors. The next generation Networking cos with virtualized network platform on specialized designed chips and advanced Ethernet switches with low latency used in Cloud Data centers .
NYSE:ANET weekly chart looks amazing with higher high and higher lows. Recently most cloud networking stocks like NASDAQ:ALAB and NASDAQ:AVGO have been consolidating. NYSE:ANET is @ 100 Day SMA which is currently at $ 106. NYSE:ANET consolidation around 100 Day SMA is always a great buying opportunity.
Long NYSE:ANET @ 100-Day SMA.
Broadcom - This Chart Is Just Splendid!Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is starting the rejection:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Broadcom has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation, perfectly rejecting the upper resistance as well as the lower support trendline. With the recent weakness, Broadcom is now preparing for a clean rejection away from the major reversal area.
Levels to watch: $250, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BROADCOM: Buy the next dip under the 1D MA50 and target $285.AVGO is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.924, MACD = 2.910, ADX = 23.178) despite a recent end of January rebound on its 1D MA50. Technically the bearish wave of the Channel Up isn't completed, it should do so once the 1D RSI touches the S1 Zone again. Once it does, aim for a little under a +60% price increase (TP = 285.00).
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AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**🔥 AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**
In pre-market, AMD briefly touched **$125** following earnings. You all know how this works—sooner or later, the algos will bring it back to that level. No hesitation, I’m **quadrupling my bet—going in MASSIVELY!** 🚀💰