Broadcom Stock Struggles After Disappointing EarningsBroadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) Faces Challenges Post Earnings: What Investors Need to Know?
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AVGO ), a key player in the semiconductor and software sectors, has seen its stock tumble after the company reported a loss in its fiscal third-quarter earnings. The loss was primarily attributed to merger-related expenses and amortization costs associated with its recent acquisition of VMware. Here, we dive into the fundamental and technical aspects of Broadcom’s stock, analyzing the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.
Earnings Report Highlights:
- Broadcom swung to a net loss of $1.875 billion in its fiscal third quarter, compared to a profit of $3.3 billion in the same quarter last year.
- Adjusted earnings, which exclude significant acquisition-related expenses, came in at $1.24 per share.
- The company’s revenue for the quarter met expectations, but its forward guidance of $14 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter fell just shy of analyst predictions.
- CEO Hock Tan emphasized the continued strength of Broadcom’s AI-driven semiconductor solutions, noting a projected $12 billion in AI-related revenue for the full year, driven by ethernet networking and custom accelerators for AI data centers.
Merger Impact:
The recent acquisition of VMware has added significant restructuring costs to Broadcom’s financial statements. The integration of the software firm is crucial for Broadcom's long-term strategy of diversifying its revenue streams beyond semiconductors, particularly as it aims to capitalize on the rapidly growing demand for AI and data center solutions.
Market Reaction:
Broadcom’s stock dropped over 6% in after-hours trading following the earnings release. Despite this pullback, the stock has risen approximately 40% year-to-date, benefiting from the market’s appetite for AI-related growth stories. However, the recent dip underscores investor concerns about the near-term impact of acquisition-related expenses and the company’s modest revenue outlook.
Technical Analysis
Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown:
Broadcom’s stock has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern on declining volume since mid-June, a formation that often precedes a breakout or breakdown. The recent disappointing revenue outlook has pushed the stock below the triangle’s lower trendline, indicating a bearish breakdown that could signal the start of a new downward trend.
Key Support Levels to Watch:
1. $141 Level: This level is near a consolidation zone that formed between March and June, marking the first potential area of support. If this level holds, it could provide a buying opportunity for investors looking for a near-term bounce.
2. $120 Level: Should the stock fall below $141, the next significant support lies at $120, an area aligned with prominent swing lows from earlier in the year. This level could attract buyers who see the pullback as a chance to enter at a more attractive price.
3. $110 Level: Further downside could take Broadcom to $110, near the low of a retracement that occurred in early January following a strong December rally. This level could serve as a critical test for Broadcom’s longer-term uptrend.
RSI and Market Sentiment:
Currently, Broadcom’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 40-45 in premarket trading, placing the stock in oversold territory. This indicates that the recent sell-off may be overextended, potentially setting up the stock for a short-term rebound. However, the broader sentiment remains cautious given the company's near-term financial headwinds.
Outlook for Broadcom: Is the Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Broadcom's mixed earnings report and subdued revenue guidance have introduced a degree of uncertainty into the stock’s near-term trajectory. While the company’s ongoing integration of VMware and its focus on AI and data center solutions present long-term growth opportunities, the immediate impact of acquisition costs and a lukewarm revenue outlook have weighed heavily on investor sentiment.
For those with a long-term investment horizon, the current pullback could present a buying opportunity, especially if Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) manages to stabilize at one of the key support levels mentioned. However, traders should remain vigilant for potential further downside, particularly as the stock navigates the aftermath of its recent technical breakdown.
In summary, Broadcom’s fundamentals remain strong, underpinned by its leadership in AI-driven semiconductor solutions. However, the stock’s technical indicators suggest caution is warranted in the short term. Investors should watch closely for signs of stabilization before committing new capital, particularly given the broader market's current volatility.
AVGO
Is SMCI a buy? SMCI has lagged NVDA and many other semis.
Were now approaching a critical area...its make or break!
positive Daily divergence provides some hopes that were close to a near term bounce however after today semiconductor selloff the whole complex was shattered.
The fact that SMCI remained green while NVDA was down 10% should be a small win in itself...
The question is can it hold and build on this?
I do think its better positioned for a long than most semis.
No confirmed technical breakdown has occurred yet
Broadcom's Analysis: Is the Chipmaker Ready for a Comeback?Key Takeaways:
- Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) shares have reclaimed their 50-day moving average after a steep correction but face volatility ahead of the upcoming Q3 earnings report.
- Investors are focusing on Broadcom's AI chip sales growth and its full-year outlook amid rising AI demand.
- Key technical levels suggest potential volatility, with both downside and upside price targets in play.
Broadcom’s Resurgence and Challenges
Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ), one of the leading chipmakers, is preparing to release its fiscal Q3 earnings report, with investors keenly watching its AI sales growth and forward-looking guidance. Recent quarters have seen Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) benefit from increased demand for its custom AI chips, a trend that has bolstered its financial performance. However, after peaking in mid-June, Broadcom shares faced a significant sell-off, falling as much as 31% before mounting a recovery.
The stock managed to reclaim its 50-day moving average by the end of August, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Despite this recovery, it's crucial to note that the buying activity occurred on declining volumes, which often points to a lack of strong institutional support. This situation sets the stage for heightened volatility as the company approaches its earnings announcement.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
1. Decreasing Volume and Recent Recovery:
The recent bounce in Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) shares is noteworthy, as it reclaimed the 50-day moving average—a critical technical indicator suggesting near-term strength. However, the recovery on declining volume is a cautionary signal. Institutional investors typically drive strong moves, and a lack of their involvement could suggest that the current recovery lacks conviction.
2. Lower Price Levels to Monitor:
- $157 Level: This support zone, approximately 4% below the recent close, aligns with previous swing lows from June and August. If Broadcom's stock falls below this level, it could signal further downside pressure.
- $141 Level: Should the $157 level fail to hold, $141 becomes the next critical area to watch. This level represents a prior consolidation zone where the stock traded sideways between March and June. Investors may see this as a potential buying opportunity if the stock reaches this area.
3. Higher Price Levels to Watch:
- $168 Resistance: A move higher could propel the stock to $168, where it may encounter resistance. This zone corresponds to several gap trading levels formed in June and July, as well as the highs from August.
- $195 Target Above All-Time High (ATH): For those looking beyond the immediate resistance, Broadcom could target $195. This level is calculated by projecting the stock’s previous trending move from December to March and repositioning it from the August swing low. This upside target would place Broadcom about 5% above its all-time high, indicating significant potential for a breakout.
AI Growth as a Catalyst
Broadcom’s fundamentals remain strong, with AI chip sales serving as a primary growth driver. The company’s custom chips are in high demand as industries increasingly rely on artificial intelligence, a sector expected to continue expanding in the coming years. Investors will be closely examining the company's guidance during its Q3 report, looking for signs of sustained momentum.
However, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is not without its challenges. The broader tech sell-off and profit-taking after the company's 10-for-1 stock split in July have weighed on share prices. Despite this, analysts maintain a "Strong Buy" rating, citing the company’s leading market position and the growing importance of its AI chips.
Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals
As of now, Broadcom shares are down 4.54% in Tuesday's trading, with an RSI of 46. The RSI nearing the oversold region suggests that the stock could be positioning itself for a potential bounce. However, given the declining volumes and lack of institutional activity, investors should remain cautious and closely watch the aforementioned technical levels.
Broadcom’s stock trading above key moving averages offers a glimmer of hope, yet the market’s reaction to the upcoming earnings report will be pivotal. Any positive surprise in AI sales growth or forward guidance could provide the necessary catalyst for Broadcom to reclaim its highs and potentially push towards the $195 target.
Conclusion: A Critical Juncture for Broadcom
Broadcom’s journey back to its highs is fraught with both opportunities and challenges. The technical setup suggests a stock on the rebound, but with caution flags raised due to the lack of volume support. Fundamentally, the chipmaker’s focus on AI positions it well for future growth, but investors will need to see continued execution and positive guidance in the upcoming earnings report.
For now, NASDAQ:AVGO remains a stock to watch closely, with key support and resistance levels defining its near-term path. Investors should be prepared for heightened volatility but also recognize the potential upside if Broadcom’s earnings and outlook exceed expectations.
$AVGO | Watchlist | Buy Limit |Technical Confluences:
- Stochastics is moving towards Oversold conditions
- Elliot Wave count seems to have completed a Wave 4 (A,B,C count) and is starting it's Wave 5 move (assuming it is not an extended Wave 4
- Price has formed new Supply Zone area with the price rejecting that Zone 3 times and has formed a descending Trendline
Fundamental Confluences:
- Broadcom is considered a leader in semiconductor domains and it has a diverse product range; making them sought after in technological ecosystem
- Good management team that focuses on M&A for strategic growth and market pentration
- Good amount of FCFs which helps in their dividend policies
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NASDAQ:AVGO will be releasing it's earnings soon and if there is any opportunity arising, I have placed orders to buy AVGO at my Buy Limit Zone areas.
If earnings is stellar, price should continue to test the Supply Zone again and if that breaks, I will likely aim for a Buy Stop order above the Supply Zone.
Will be putting this on my Watchlist.
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AVGO may confirm the daily 10 SMA this week.NASDAQ:AVGO is on watch to confirm the daily 10 SMA ahead of its earnings this week, which are on Thursday at 4:15 PM EDT. Many names in the NASDAQ:NDX are heading into this week just below the daily 10 SMA, including NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA and the semiconductor ETF NASDAQ:SMH
If these names are able to build above Friday's high, they have space to trade up to the next daily supply.
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Shares Drop Over 4%Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Shares Drop Over 4%
As shown by the chart, yesterday, shares of Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)—a US technology company ranked in the top 10 by market capitalisation—were among the worst performers in terms of price movement.
This is a warning sign for those investing in semiconductor manufacturers, considering that:
→ Tomorrow, data on Nvidia’s second-quarter performance will be released;
→ Since mid-June, AVGO's share price has been underperforming the stock index.
A technical analysis of the AVGO chart provides further grounds for concern:
→ In 2024, the price formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), which remains relevant for now, despite a drop below the lower boundary on 5 August.
→ Price action in August indicates (marked by an arrow) that the median line of this channel, reinforced by the psychological level at $170, has now assumed the role of resistance.
→ In mid-July, there was a 10-for-1 stock split. It was expected that this would make investments in Broadcom Inc. more accessible to a wider range of market participants, but in reality, the price has fallen since then.
→ Since mid-June, when the RSI indicated extreme overbought conditions following the release of first-quarter results (a sign of market hype), the price has been increasingly forming the outlines of a descending channel (shown in red).
If AVGO's share price continues to underperform the market, it could lead to further bearish attacks on the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Meanwhile, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 23 out of 24 Wall Street analysts recommend buying AVGO shares;
→ The average price target for AVGO shares is $196 (a 23% increase from current levels) within the next 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AVGO potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price is at trendline plus horizontal support
- Harmonic XABCD pattern formed
- No divergence
- Overall a bullish trend
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 147.85
Stop Loss Level: 127.19
Take Profit Level 1: 168.51
Take Profit Level 2: 182.84
Take Profit Level 3: Open
BROADCOM The next expansion wave to $285 has begun.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has already completed 2 weeks of gains that essentially recovered the majority of the July-led correction. This rebounded not only largely maintained the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the October 2022 market bottom but also managed to keep the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) intact.
This is an extremely bullish long-term combination as it should technically start the stocks 3rd long-term expansion wave as illustrated on today's 1W chart. As you can see the previous two peaked at +121% and +133% respectively. As a result our new long-term Target as of now is $285.00 (+121% from the recent bottom).
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Valuation Trade Setups: NVDA, AVGO, GOOGL, AMZN, PINS & SilverI have been filled long on some trades based on my valuation trading strategy.
In this video I explain the strategy (conditional criteria, entries & money management) implemented with this weeks entries in NVDA, AVGO & Silver (as well as resting orders for GOOGL, AMZN & PINS). I also briefly explain the idea of "relative strength", which I applied this week when I decided to long Silver instead of Copper.
Enjoy.
BROADCOM Short-term pull-back in order?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) easily hit the 1800 Target that we set on last month's analysis (May 22, see chart below) and made a new Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up:
The symmetrical leg at the end of 2023, got rejected right below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension back to the 2.0 Fib. Even the 1D RSI is on the same levels as December 18 2023. As a result, we are turning bearish short-term on AVGO, targeting 1670.
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AVGO, Split coming? On it's way to 1550?The chart for Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) on the NASDAQ shows a bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential upward price movement.
After the breakout, the price has consolidated around the $1,406.64 level, suggesting a healthy pause before the next move.
The RSI at 57.48 indicates neutral to slightly bullish momentum, and increased volume during the breakout adds credibility to this move.
The projected path suggests the price will consolidate around $1,407.78 before breaking out to $1,419.17 and potentially reaching $1,438.35 and $1,445.40. Considering these factors, entering a long position if the price breaks above $1,419.17
with strong volume could be beneficial, with a stop loss below $1,391.91 to manage risk and targets at $1,438.35 and $1,445.40.
This could easily tun to 1550 with a 10% implied move on earnings.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Broadcom's Robust Earnings, Strategic Stock Split, and AI-DrivenBroadcom Inc. has showcased strong financial performance and strategic advancements in its latest quarterly report. The company exceeded analysts’ expectations with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $10.96 and revenue of $12.49 billion for the second fiscal quarter. This impressive outcome led to a 10% increase in after-hours trading.
In addition, Broadcom announced a 10-for-1 stock split effective July 15, aimed at increasing share accessibility for retail investors.
AI technology remains a significant growth driver for Broadcom. The company reported $3.1 billion in AI-related revenue for the quarter and increased its AI revenue forecast for 2024 to $11 billion. Broadcom’s diversified AI operations and partnerships with tech giants like Google position it well for future growth.
The 5G market also presents substantial opportunities for Broadcom. The company generated $5.9 billion in 5G revenue in 2023 and expects continued growth as the global market expands.
Despite facing challenges such as competition from Qualcomm and geopolitical tensions, Broadcom’s strategic acquisitions and strong market presence support its positive outlook.
Broadcom (AVGO): Set for a New High or Due for a Pullback?Since the COVID-19 low in March 2020 at $155, Broadcom has seen an incredible surge, similar to Nvidia's performance. The stock has skyrocketed by an astounding 840% since that low. This massive run-up makes the analysis challenging, but we've identified the Wave (1) and Wave (2) structures of this upward movement.
The internal wave structure is not clear, making it difficult to analyze further. Broadcom has had only one sideways range between $780 and $922. Otherwise, the stock has been moving parabolically upwards.
A significant trendline, initially touched at Wave (1), has been broken five or six times, with the seventh touch holding as support. Given the upcoming earnings report, we believe Broadcom could rise to the $1,600 to $1,800 range, with a maximum potential target of $2,300 or higher.
Realistically and statistically, we anticipate a pullback for Wave (3) between the 227.2% and 261.8% levels. However, it's also possible that Broadcom continues its upward trajectory without interruption, similar to Nvidia.
Today's earnings report will be crucial in determining the next move for Broadcom. We will be watching closely to see if the stock continues its parabolic rise or if we get the pullback.
BROADCOM accumulating. Last opportunity to buy on this pull-backBroadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 13 2022 market bottom. The stock is now within the new Accumulation Phase that is being supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Based on the previous Accumulation Phase, we should get one (or two max) more pull-back towards the 1D MA100, before the price breaks upwards aggressively towards the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line).
Last time the ultimate buy signal was when the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom. Our Target is $1800, which will be on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, similar to the December 15 2023 High.
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AVGO dips for a buy now $50 under ATH LONGAVGO is asking to be chased. On the daily chart, the price is now $50 below the ATH of
the top of of the month. RSI on the lower TF green line has pulled back to 72 from 85.
The longer TF black line is admittedly in overbought territory. The longterm growth
expectations of the AI stock defy ordinary technical analysis, AVGO is 3-4% below the ATH.
I see this as an opportunity to diversify in AI stocks by getting a small position in BroadCom
to supplement NVDA, MU and INTC. I am looking at TXN as it has a lower price tag and is
about 10% below ATH. ( The growth prospects need a look to see if they are there.)
I expect AVGO to compete well in the space and can see that it is making agreements with
some other companies well situated in AI .
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsAfter the Head and Shoulders chart pattern was perfectly completed:
and the bullish trend started:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1380usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $129.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MRVL has a melt-down trader reaction to mediocre earnings LONGMRVL on the 2H chart had been in a trend up since February 29th when it broke out of the
high volume area of the profile in a pre-earnings run . Earnings were reported and MRVL
more or less matched the analyst's forecasts. Price sold-off in the aftermath of trader
disappointment. I held a large position of both shares and options but sold off half of
the positions two days ago to capture some profits. I see MRVL as still above VWAP
and so in buying territory and now at a price level supported by the first upper anchored
VWAP line as well as the upper boundary of the high volume area. It is a strong stock which
I do not believe will make a full Fibonacci retracement. I will now add back into my
position half of what I sold a few days ago. and expect a bullish continuation. On a lower
time frame, I have guidance from the inside bars that price is printing in the after hours.
When regular trading arrives on Friday, I will buy call options for mid-April striking
$85 (OTM).
Broadcom Revenue Beats Estimates As AI Powers DemandTech giant Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) surpasses market expectations for first-quarter revenue fueled by heightened demand for advanced networking chips powering artificial intelligence (AI) applications. However, shares dip post-announcement amidst mixed investor sentiments.
Key Highlights:
Broadcom's robust performance in the first quarter underscores the pivotal role of AI in driving demand for cutting-edge networking solutions, particularly within cloud infrastructure. While smaller rival Marvell Technology faces challenges with weak demand for custom AI chips, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) stands resilient with its diversified portfolio and strategic positioning in the AI computing landscape. Despite maintaining a conservative annual revenue forecast, Broadcom's continued growth trajectory and expansion into software and tech firms affirm its status as a key player in the evolving tech ecosystem.
Market Dynamics:
The surge in demand for infrastructure upgrades, driven by the proliferation of generative AI applications, propels Broadcom's semiconductor solutions segment, albeit falling slightly short of revenue estimates. Infrastructure software revenue experiences a significant uptick, surpassing expectations and contributing to Broadcom's overall revenue growth.
Future Outlook:
Broadcom's entrenched position in AI-driven data center infrastructure positions it as a prime beneficiary of the ongoing AI revolution. Continued investments in software and tech acquisitions, coupled with sustained innovation in networking solutions, are poised to drive Broadcom's future growth and market relevance.
Conclusion:
Broadcom's ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) resilience in navigating market challenges while capitalizing on emerging opportunities reaffirms its status as a leading player in the tech industry. As AI continues to reshape the technological landscape, Broadcom's ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) expertise in providing essential networking solutions places it at the forefront of innovation and growth.