AVGO potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price is at trendline plus horizontal support
- Harmonic XABCD pattern formed
- No divergence
- Overall a bullish trend
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 147.85
Stop Loss Level: 127.19
Take Profit Level 1: 168.51
Take Profit Level 2: 182.84
Take Profit Level 3: Open
AVGO
BROADCOM The next expansion wave to $285 has begun.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has already completed 2 weeks of gains that essentially recovered the majority of the July-led correction. This rebounded not only largely maintained the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the October 2022 market bottom but also managed to keep the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) intact.
This is an extremely bullish long-term combination as it should technically start the stocks 3rd long-term expansion wave as illustrated on today's 1W chart. As you can see the previous two peaked at +121% and +133% respectively. As a result our new long-term Target as of now is $285.00 (+121% from the recent bottom).
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Valuation Trade Setups: NVDA, AVGO, GOOGL, AMZN, PINS & SilverI have been filled long on some trades based on my valuation trading strategy.
In this video I explain the strategy (conditional criteria, entries & money management) implemented with this weeks entries in NVDA, AVGO & Silver (as well as resting orders for GOOGL, AMZN & PINS). I also briefly explain the idea of "relative strength", which I applied this week when I decided to long Silver instead of Copper.
Enjoy.
BROADCOM Short-term pull-back in order?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) easily hit the 1800 Target that we set on last month's analysis (May 22, see chart below) and made a new Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up:
The symmetrical leg at the end of 2023, got rejected right below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension back to the 2.0 Fib. Even the 1D RSI is on the same levels as December 18 2023. As a result, we are turning bearish short-term on AVGO, targeting 1670.
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AVGO, Split coming? On it's way to 1550?The chart for Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) on the NASDAQ shows a bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential upward price movement.
After the breakout, the price has consolidated around the $1,406.64 level, suggesting a healthy pause before the next move.
The RSI at 57.48 indicates neutral to slightly bullish momentum, and increased volume during the breakout adds credibility to this move.
The projected path suggests the price will consolidate around $1,407.78 before breaking out to $1,419.17 and potentially reaching $1,438.35 and $1,445.40. Considering these factors, entering a long position if the price breaks above $1,419.17
with strong volume could be beneficial, with a stop loss below $1,391.91 to manage risk and targets at $1,438.35 and $1,445.40.
This could easily tun to 1550 with a 10% implied move on earnings.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Broadcom's Robust Earnings, Strategic Stock Split, and AI-DrivenBroadcom Inc. has showcased strong financial performance and strategic advancements in its latest quarterly report. The company exceeded analysts’ expectations with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $10.96 and revenue of $12.49 billion for the second fiscal quarter. This impressive outcome led to a 10% increase in after-hours trading.
In addition, Broadcom announced a 10-for-1 stock split effective July 15, aimed at increasing share accessibility for retail investors.
AI technology remains a significant growth driver for Broadcom. The company reported $3.1 billion in AI-related revenue for the quarter and increased its AI revenue forecast for 2024 to $11 billion. Broadcom’s diversified AI operations and partnerships with tech giants like Google position it well for future growth.
The 5G market also presents substantial opportunities for Broadcom. The company generated $5.9 billion in 5G revenue in 2023 and expects continued growth as the global market expands.
Despite facing challenges such as competition from Qualcomm and geopolitical tensions, Broadcom’s strategic acquisitions and strong market presence support its positive outlook.
Broadcom (AVGO): Set for a New High or Due for a Pullback?Since the COVID-19 low in March 2020 at $155, Broadcom has seen an incredible surge, similar to Nvidia's performance. The stock has skyrocketed by an astounding 840% since that low. This massive run-up makes the analysis challenging, but we've identified the Wave (1) and Wave (2) structures of this upward movement.
The internal wave structure is not clear, making it difficult to analyze further. Broadcom has had only one sideways range between $780 and $922. Otherwise, the stock has been moving parabolically upwards.
A significant trendline, initially touched at Wave (1), has been broken five or six times, with the seventh touch holding as support. Given the upcoming earnings report, we believe Broadcom could rise to the $1,600 to $1,800 range, with a maximum potential target of $2,300 or higher.
Realistically and statistically, we anticipate a pullback for Wave (3) between the 227.2% and 261.8% levels. However, it's also possible that Broadcom continues its upward trajectory without interruption, similar to Nvidia.
Today's earnings report will be crucial in determining the next move for Broadcom. We will be watching closely to see if the stock continues its parabolic rise or if we get the pullback.
BROADCOM accumulating. Last opportunity to buy on this pull-backBroadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 13 2022 market bottom. The stock is now within the new Accumulation Phase that is being supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Based on the previous Accumulation Phase, we should get one (or two max) more pull-back towards the 1D MA100, before the price breaks upwards aggressively towards the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line).
Last time the ultimate buy signal was when the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom. Our Target is $1800, which will be on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, similar to the December 15 2023 High.
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AVGO dips for a buy now $50 under ATH LONGAVGO is asking to be chased. On the daily chart, the price is now $50 below the ATH of
the top of of the month. RSI on the lower TF green line has pulled back to 72 from 85.
The longer TF black line is admittedly in overbought territory. The longterm growth
expectations of the AI stock defy ordinary technical analysis, AVGO is 3-4% below the ATH.
I see this as an opportunity to diversify in AI stocks by getting a small position in BroadCom
to supplement NVDA, MU and INTC. I am looking at TXN as it has a lower price tag and is
about 10% below ATH. ( The growth prospects need a look to see if they are there.)
I expect AVGO to compete well in the space and can see that it is making agreements with
some other companies well situated in AI .
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsAfter the Head and Shoulders chart pattern was perfectly completed:
and the bullish trend started:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1380usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $129.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MRVL has a melt-down trader reaction to mediocre earnings LONGMRVL on the 2H chart had been in a trend up since February 29th when it broke out of the
high volume area of the profile in a pre-earnings run . Earnings were reported and MRVL
more or less matched the analyst's forecasts. Price sold-off in the aftermath of trader
disappointment. I held a large position of both shares and options but sold off half of
the positions two days ago to capture some profits. I see MRVL as still above VWAP
and so in buying territory and now at a price level supported by the first upper anchored
VWAP line as well as the upper boundary of the high volume area. It is a strong stock which
I do not believe will make a full Fibonacci retracement. I will now add back into my
position half of what I sold a few days ago. and expect a bullish continuation. On a lower
time frame, I have guidance from the inside bars that price is printing in the after hours.
When regular trading arrives on Friday, I will buy call options for mid-April striking
$85 (OTM).
Broadcom Revenue Beats Estimates As AI Powers DemandTech giant Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) surpasses market expectations for first-quarter revenue fueled by heightened demand for advanced networking chips powering artificial intelligence (AI) applications. However, shares dip post-announcement amidst mixed investor sentiments.
Key Highlights:
Broadcom's robust performance in the first quarter underscores the pivotal role of AI in driving demand for cutting-edge networking solutions, particularly within cloud infrastructure. While smaller rival Marvell Technology faces challenges with weak demand for custom AI chips, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) stands resilient with its diversified portfolio and strategic positioning in the AI computing landscape. Despite maintaining a conservative annual revenue forecast, Broadcom's continued growth trajectory and expansion into software and tech firms affirm its status as a key player in the evolving tech ecosystem.
Market Dynamics:
The surge in demand for infrastructure upgrades, driven by the proliferation of generative AI applications, propels Broadcom's semiconductor solutions segment, albeit falling slightly short of revenue estimates. Infrastructure software revenue experiences a significant uptick, surpassing expectations and contributing to Broadcom's overall revenue growth.
Future Outlook:
Broadcom's entrenched position in AI-driven data center infrastructure positions it as a prime beneficiary of the ongoing AI revolution. Continued investments in software and tech acquisitions, coupled with sustained innovation in networking solutions, are poised to drive Broadcom's future growth and market relevance.
Conclusion:
Broadcom's ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) resilience in navigating market challenges while capitalizing on emerging opportunities reaffirms its status as a leading player in the tech industry. As AI continues to reshape the technological landscape, Broadcom's ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) expertise in providing essential networking solutions places it at the forefront of innovation and growth.
SOXL: Logscale Bearish Gartley at Trendline ResistanceSOXL has reached the Logscale 0.886 of this potential Logscale Bearish Deep Gartley which aligns with the upper trendline of the channel it has been trading within. If it plays out, I think we could see SOXL come down to the lower trendline and perhaps even lower. This May be sparked by a selloff in NVDA and AVGO.
AVGO Chipmaker in an ascending channel SHORTOn a 30-minute chart, like several other computer chip manufactures has approached or
reached a near-term top. Overall Broadcom has gained 19% YTD. Earnings are in about two
weeks. I see this as a short trade to follow AVGO from the top of the channel down to about
1225 in time to catch earnings at the bottom of the channel to end the swing trade and instead
go long from there. I intend to close the trade two days before earnings and flip sides
hunting the beat on the earnings.
TESLA & SMCI: the tail of Semis vs EV stocks.Tesla has had a beautiful bounce off support.
This bounce comes on the back of a strong market, charging higher.
If Tesla can hold above $195 it may move for the gap fill. Caution to the wind with Tesla as it has triggered a very bearish breakdown.
SMCI is one of the best performing Semis. Its gone completely parabolic on its earnings.
after gapping up 30% on its pre guide, its now up another 10% in the afterhours.
The semis seem to have an unlimited amount of capital flowing into them.
Look for an intra day short opportunity (day trade) on SMCI
AVGO: Eyeing an aggressive bullish breakout. Broadcom Inc is overbought on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.003, MACD = 23.960, ADX = 31.411) but on the long term it is only testing the middle of the 1 year Channel Up pattern. This recent rally was initiated after the 1D MA50 held on December 6th. If the middle of the Channel Up breaks, we will go long and target the top (TP = 1,300) as it could be a bullish breakout as aggressive as May 26th. If it doesn't break, we will wait for another pullback to the 1D MA50 and then buy towards the middle again (TP = 1,100).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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