AIRBUS READY FOR TAKEOFF - 65% PROFITAIRBUS (AIR) - 4hr/Frankfurt
Hello and welcome to this update,
this one is about Airbus, which looks GOOD in my opinion.
-All-time high was 140, which we dropped from, which is a 65% drop.
-RSI looking good, bullish divergence confirmed.
-Volume is solid- declining at the bottom (or temporary bottom) is a good sign and could mean, the selloff came to an end (for now).
-Reversal of 65% to 79€ (Resistance from 2nd January 2019) from 48€ is absolutely in range.
-Contesting all-time high in the future is possible as well since Airbus is next to Boeing the biggest aircraft and flight producer in the market.
-Longterm, this is a steal in my opinion.
Since we are in "reporting Season", end of April there will be the quarterly report of Airbus, which could stagnate, due to the corona crisis and the circumstances, which many companies suffer from. Aviation Business could be under pressure, though for the longterm, this will be fine in my opinion.
Have a nice day, thank you for tuning in, I appreciate it a lot!
Your german-quality-trader
Aviation
Capital A's Impressive Turnaround: Post-Pandemic Success StoryCapital A Berhad has not just bounced back post-pandemic but is soaring high above its regional competitors. The latest stock performance data tells an exciting story of resilience, innovation, and strategic brilliance. Let’s dive into how Capital A’s turnaround has translated into exceptional performance, not just in the skies and on the balance sheet, but in the financial markets as well.
A Closer Look at the Numbers
The chart below shows the stock performance of several major airlines in the region over recent months. Here are the airlines included:
Capital A Berhad (MYX: CAPA)
AirAsia X (AAX)
IndiGo (INDIGO)
Qantas Airways (QAN)
Singapore Airlines (SIA)
Cebu Pacific (CEB)
VietJet Air (VJC)
Capital A Leads the Pack
Among these airlines, Capital A stands out with an impressive performance. Here’s what the chart reveals:
Remarkable Growth: Capital A’s stock saw a significant rise, peaking around 36% before settling at approximately 28%. This growth is a testament to the company’s strong recovery and strategic initiatives post-pandemic.
Stability Amidst Volatility: Unlike many of its competitors, Capital A has maintained a steady upward trend, showing resilience against market fluctuations.
Outshining Peers: While AirAsia X also performed well initially, it didn’t sustain its momentum as effectively as Capital A. IndiGo showed a similar decline. This indicates that Capital A's strategies are yielding better investor confidence and stability.
Regional Competitors: Airlines like Qantas, Singapore Airlines, and Cebu Pacific have seen moderate gains but haven’t matched Capital A’s impressive growth, hovering between 0% to 10%.
Underperforming Rivals: VietJet Air displayed minimal gains or even losses, highlighting the challenges faced by some airlines in the current market environment.
The Secrets Behind Capital A’s Success
Several factors are driving Capital A’s stellar performance:
Diversification and Innovation: Capital A has expanded beyond traditional airline operations into digital businesses and logistics. This diversification provides a buffer against market risks specific to the aviation sector.
Efficient Cost Management: Known for its cost-efficient operations, Capital A continues to emphasize cost management, which supports its strong financial performance.
Adaptive Strategies: The ability to swiftly adapt to changing market conditions, such as fluctuating fuel prices and varying travel demand, has been crucial.
Strong Brand and Network: Capital A enjoys strong brand loyalty and recognition within the ASEAN region, bolstered by an extensive route network ensuring steady passenger traffic.
Looking Ahead
Capital A’s trajectory suggests a promising future if current strategies and market conditions remain favorable. However, potential challenges like economic downturns, regulatory changes, and geopolitical tensions could impact the aviation sector.
Conclusion
Capital A Berhad's post-pandemic turnaround is a remarkable success story. Its impressive stock performance against regional peers underscores the effectiveness of its business strategies and market positioning. As the aviation industry continues to recover, Capital A’s innovative approaches and adaptive strategies will likely keep it soaring high. This success extends beyond the cabin and balance sheet, making waves in the financial markets and offering a beacon of optimism for stakeholders and investors alike.
GEVO - The Sleeping Nephilim Giant Alarm Triggered (BIOFUELS)GEVO is priming for a big comeback. It's a sleeping giant. Has been on a down trend close to 2 decades.
For pennies on the dollar, this is an opportunity equivalent to mining bitcoin in 2009 and holding your bag for a very long time.
This is a long-term hold. 5+ years.
Someone believed in the Biofuels technology at one point where a share was traded over $200k.
Now it is the time, with government support and incentives... meaning us the people will basically fund this.
It's pretty evident that everything is pointing to 'Going Green' with the global warming agenda.
The way I see it, is if a carbon tax is implemented, and SAF Net Zero fuels comply with the fuel regulations on the 'carbon footprint' and it is exempt from taxation... well wouldn't all airlines look to supply their airplanes with SAF net zero fuel? As well as GEVO getting government incentives for clean biofuels? Any whom the main agenda is to have everything operating with SAF by 2050.
On the Technical side...
Basic indicators like MacD and RSI are the most bullish I have ever seen in any chart in any time frame. The picture is clear, the white forecast candles are for goofin' only.
Although it relies on the summit carbon solutions pipeline project, if all goes as planned it should start by 2025, where I am confident GEVO will also break ground shortly after EOY 2026. This is where it should be trading at a key point to what the chart is printing.
Production of SAF sometime in 2028 and more funding for a larger expansion to just take this back to it's previous years.
INDIGO: A quick refueling is due??Okay, This one was requested by our newest follower @anurag3235
We are keeping the chart simple and self explanatory as always.
Although, One important thing to know is that the public shareholding in Indigo is mere 2%. Confused on if you should invest? We have a post that will help you make up your mind. Direct link is below:
What should we analyze next?
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? DM us or comment below.👇
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
VTOL: Prepare for lift-off, triple-digit share priceVTOL will benefit from the resurgence in offshore drilling as their fleet of helicopters becomes more in-demand. Also, the chart is technically beautiful. Clean 5 waves up off the COVID low, followed by a kiss of the 50% retrace. Sell zone is $175-290. The sell zone will narrow as time goes by.
Metair Up or Down? Both targets possibleBox Formation has formed with MTA.
Now we need to wait for the breakout.
Now this is funny. Normally box formations are Continuation patterns.
As the prior trend was down, we would expect the price to break down.
However, we are seeing higher lows and the support is being respected.
So I am favouring an upside breakout. But in the meantime I'll give you both potential targets to act on.
7>21 - Sideways
Price<200 - Bearish
RSI=50
Target up R22.00
Target down R16.00
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Metair Investments Ltd is a South African company that manufactures, assembles, distributes, and retails energy storage solutions and automotive components.
Establishment:
Metair was founded in 1948 and has since grown into a global company with operations in numerous countries.
Public Listing:
Metair has been listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) since 1987.
Two Divisions:
Metair operates through two primary business segments - Energy Storage and Automotive Components.
Global Presence:
Metair's operations span across South Africa, Turkey, Romania, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the rest of Africa.
Energy Storage:
Under the Energy Storage division, Metair manufactures products for automotive, industrial, renewable energy, retail, and telecom sectors. The division includes the brands Mutlu, Rombat, and First National Battery among others.
Automotive Components:
Metair's Automotive Components division includes companies like Hesto Harnesses, Lumotech, and Smiths Manufacturing. This division produces original equipment (OE) components for vehicle manufacturers and aftermarket parts.
Technology Development:
Metair is involved in the development of lithium-ion battery technology and has a strategic focus on e-mobility.
FTAI Aviation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and chart patterns of FTAI Aviation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 33usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Vertical Take off for ArcherWith a 73% increase in stock price over the last 11 days it appears as if Archer is getting ready to take off Vertically, just like its upcoming aircraft!
Although the aircraft is still experimental we have already seen players like United make investments for about 100 units. We found a clear foundation level and have tested the resistance level of around $3.30 throughout the year.
Based on the fib retracement scale, there is some potential for it to break past the current levels with the appropriate amount of volume to support to growth.
Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs)Honeywell plays a large role in the future technology being implemented in aviation. Specifically now with their push for Sustainable Aviation Fuels. Seeing a greater push from consumers and organizations for more sustainable practices in doing business, the US government is expected to launch more programs to incentivize the use of sustainable fuels. The mix of the two factors may lead to a great opportunity for growth as demand starts to pick up in the coming years.
Hitting LowsATSG is sitting right now at the $15 price point which we have not seen it trade around since back in March of 2020. With price back at this low range, analyst are still holding their price valuations of around $22-$27 making this a favorable target for long term portfolio growth. The last two earning reports were more on the negative side although the company has shown before its ability to be able to generate revenue historically. Having hit highs of just under $35 at the start of the year we can start to see where the peaks and valleys of this range will be.
Resistance at 220Since we made it up into the range between $200-$220 we started to see price experience significant resistance to being able to break beyond this level. Right at the start of the year after a long rally near the back half of last year we have seen completely sideways markets. With the last few month starting its trend downwards we can potentially see some retracement of the rally that we saw at the end of last year. Since breaking below the most recent trend level, looking to see if price continues on the current bearish momentum.
The benefits of JETSWith all of the various airlines having such similar patterns of movement JETS lets you be able to not get the same risk of the higher volatility that comes with holding each airline individually. With that being said there is less spikes in price action here which can also provide a more stable trading environment. When I look at the ETF JETS I have a general more bullish bias over long term as I believe travel trends will only increase in the next coming months with summer starting up now, we can expect to see those revenues reported by end of Q3.
More testing for LiliumAlthough sadden to hear that lilium is no longer entering the market in central Florida it is exciting to see their continued growth and testing for developing a quality product. With shares hitting the low of about .38 price is now moving up towards $1 at a quite rapid pace. Although there are still many hurdles in the US for this technology. Other country may not be as slow to adopt this growing method of travel. Options trading may be limited although as confidence in the product rises the narrative may change.
Unclear Expectations AAL - A positive earnings report from last quarter was soon clouded by government pressure to now provide support for stranded passengers could put airlines once again in the crosshairs of regulations and high cost of doing business. Looking for a more sideways to bearish outlook for the next few weeks as there shows to be weakening confidence over time in combination with no pressures for changes in their business. Not to say that the changes may pass as there are many things in place already such as travelers insurance that people can buy to protect themselves should there be any troubles in your journey.
ERJ Short - Exceeded TargetERJ recently announced their earning reports which showed to be much more negative than expected. Even as price started reaching up towards the 2.618 fib level we start to see selling volume pick up. Initially I was just aiming to look at the 10% retraction but we saw that just before earning report. We are seeing continued negative push starting the week to the next floor. The next major level to look at will be right around 12.75 price target based on the negative news and current market conditions for ERJ.
JET2 PLC ORD GBP 4H LSE AVIATION SECTORJET2 PERFORMING WELL OVERALL SINCE THE COVID CRASH, STRUGGLED TO BREAK PAST THE 3 YEAR RESISTANCE OF APPROX 1403 ON A NUMBER OF OCCASSIONS, RISING WEDGES TEND TO BREAK TO THE DOWNSIDE 68% OF THE TIME,
FUNDAMENTALS ARE BRILLIANT ON THIS ONE. NEW TRAINING CENTRE AND AIRCRAFTS PURCHASES.
Jet2 Plc Market Data
TIDM JET2
Ticker Code JET2.L
ISIN GB00B1722W11
Currency GBX
Issue Country GB
Sector Ticker NMX2770
Year End 31-Mar-2022
Shares in Issue 215m
Market Cap. £2,802m
Market Size 2,000
PE Ratio -8.878
Earnings -147.00
Dividend 3.00
Yield 0.230%
# of Trades 700
Vol Sold 219,018
Vol Bought 96,967
52 Week High 1,394.50
52 Week High Date 08-Mar-2023
52 Week Low 637.40
52 Week Low Date 13-Oct-2022
JET2 Fundamentals
Standard IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS
Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions
Income Statement 30 Mar '22 31 Mar '21 30 Mar '21 31 Mar '20 30 Mar '20
Revenue 1,231.70 395.40 395.40 3,584.70 3,584.70
Operating Profit / Loss (323.90) (336.10) (336.10) 184.60 184.60
Net Interest (66.00) (34.60) (34.60) (37.60) (37.60)
Pre Tax Profit (388.80) (369.90) (369.90) 147.70 147.70
Post Tax Profit (315.40) (299.50) (299.50) 111.60 111.60
Profit for the Period (315.40) (271.20) (271.20) 116.00 116.00
Equity Holders of Parent Company (315.40) (271.20) (271.20) 116.00 116.00
Minority Interests n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Continuing EPS
Earnings per Share (Basic) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Earnings per Share (Diluted) (147.00p) (166.90p) (166.90p) 74.80p 74.80p
Earnings per Share (Adjusted) (147.00p) (166.90p) (166.90p) 75.00p 75.00p
Continuing and Discontinued EPS
Earnings per Share (Basic) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Earnings per Share (Diluted) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.80p 77.80p
Earnings per Share (Adjusted) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Dividend per Share n/a n/a n/a 3.00p 3.00p
Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions
Balance Sheet 30 Mar '22 31 Mar '21 30 Mar '21 31 Mar '20 30 Mar '20
BA - Wedge TighteningBA has been stuck in this channel for the start of the year. Price action has been tight as the movement has been very range bound.
As time continues to move on through the next quarter there may be an event that pushes price to break out of this sideways ranging movement. Near the middle of February we started to see price start to test ranges which could signal a potential reaction. Price showed to thin out near the price of 220 as the bulls ran thin and bears took over.
Looking to see how price continues to play within the range and potentially move out.
Decaying IV and stagnant marketsThe airlines have been pretty quiet lately with the year being primarily sideways trending and relatively unchanged.
Although earnings have been well the IV has remained low all year long. With potential to the upside remaining plausible there is not currently a push of buyers entering new positions.
Remaining neutral with a slight negative bias for the next few weeks based on current market conditions
Atlas Air $AAWW - Buying the breakout.NASDAQ:AAWW
Stock is trading at all time highs with a strong push through previous resistance at around $75. Current macro (e.g. global supply chain issues) and seasonality factors (Christmas) should give a strong tailwind to this stock leading into 2022 and the next Earnings Report February 2022.
Average price $79.92. Target price $96.
EZJ awaiting a correction.EasyJet - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 353.1 (stop at 329.8)
A lower correction is expected.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
A higher correction is expected.
Bespoke support is located at 350.
We look to buy dips.
338 has been pivotal.
The 50 day moving average should provide support at 352.
Our profit targets will be 409.8 and 419.8
Resistance: 430 / 448 / 480
Support: 400 / 370 / 350
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
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GE: Double Bottom?!General Electric Company
Short Term - We look to Buy at 72.25 (stop at 68.61)
Posted a Double Bottom formation. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. A weaker opening is expected to challenge bullish resolve. Support is located at 70.00 and should stem dips to this area. Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 81.26 and 83.00
Resistance: 81.50 / 96.00 / 108.00
Support: 70.00 / 60.00 / 44.00
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JET2 PLC LSE STOCK MARKET , at support, Long ?LSE:JET2
Jet2 like the rest of the aviation market had a terrible time performance wise due to covid and lock downs, price now at a long term support, i expect it to be respected and bounce from here, perfect place for a buy, fundamentals for Jet are great as well as the technicals which i have indicated in my TA.