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Avwap

Is Volkswagen a buy?I see a lot of people on social media claiming that Volkswagen is now a good buy because the stock is undervalued, because the government will intervene, because it's not all that bad, and so on. However, if you take a look at the weekly chart with the most basic tools, you will notice that the share is currently not sending any signs that indicate an imminent upward trend in the context of a Stage 2. The price is below a falling 30-week SMA and below a falling AVWAP from the ATH. Even though the price has risen “significantly” in the last two weeks, this should not be a reason for FOMO. Once a trend has been established, it is more likely to continue than to reverse. And as long as the chart does not improve significantly, it is more likely to be a short-term countermovement within a long-term downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Guilty until proven innocent. For an experienced swing trader, it may be possible to take advantage of these short-term countermovements to generate profits. However, this is too risky for inexperienced traders. Sure, it could happen that the stock will continue its short term move up and establish a Stage 2 with a long term upward trend - but it is not likely. Trade the chart in front of you and listen to the market. As Peter Lynch liked to say: "If they don't scare you out, they will wear you out." Bottom fishing is not advisable. Let institutions do the dirty work and do not let FOMO make you trade risky setups. Wait for a clear change of the trend and sentiment.
GETTEX:VOW3
by Viertagewoche
PLTR to $80 by EOYPLTR had a great day today, and has had a great month so far following an earnings report that beat estimates. Using the Magic Linear Regression Channel we can see that PLTR broke out of a 2-year long channel at the beginning of the month (November 2024) following it's earnings report. This means that its price structure has a brand new change of character. Using a second Magic Linear Regression Channel , we can create a new channel based on the pivot high prior to earnings and the pivot high prior to today. However, PLTR is also breaking out of that channel. By adding an additional outer Fibonacci band to the new channel, we can see that PLTR has a potential area of interest at around $80 - a 10% move. If the new channel is valid, then this can be the first area where we might see a correction in a bullish scenario. Since PLTR is already at the top of the new channel, it could potentially bounce back from there, but it's already moving up in post-market trading, so, I'm guessing that bearish scenario is less likely. Barring some crazy world events, I'm guessing we can see a steady move to $80 before seeing any kind of major correction.
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by mwrightinc
Get ready for the upsideThe stock appears to be in a pullback phase. I anticipate it will find support around the previous monthly highs, keeping prices contained between that level and the anchored VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) from the recent swing high. Once the price advances back up toward this anchored VWAP and experiences a slight pullback, the key will be to break through it. If the stock establishes a pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, it would strengthen the bullish outlook.
TSX:PPLLong
by AnotherBrian
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Long
by reventioaxie
the real question is what happens to $ETH at ATH?eth is currently holding above the quarter channel with resistance above between 3500-ATH there is a potential moonshot to 7k and beyond (13k?), if the markets are indeed in the infant stage of a bull run. for now eth is heading towards the golden pocket of the move down with support from ath avwap as htf bullish market structure never broke this could mean that the highs are ran, rsi has bounced the mid point and could be cruising towards the cook zone again, its here i will watch to see a divergence form when the 3M OB and yearly level is approached. upside 3500, 4500/ATH, 7000, 130000 downside 1900, 1200, 800 its quite possible that we put in a long term range drifting between 5k and 1k before we see expansion upwards nfa, just food for thought on the htf but most of the volume is supporting price.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by TBTS
US500 expecting a bounce? Here are my thoughts.US500 (Daily Chart) I'm expecting a bounce to ~4260/70 area. Here's why. Looking at the AVWAP (Blue lines) from the January 2022 highs and October 2022 lows, we were bound to see some level of support here. I've been saying this for some time now that we'll reach at least 4100. Given the strong confluence of support around this area (the AVWAP and the horizontal level), I'm expecting a bounce from here. The target for the bounce would be somewhere around the 4260/70 area. If you look at the previous rallies in this correction they're both ~4.7% from the lows of the down moves. If we consider this to be the low of the move, ~4.7% lines up with the 4260/70 area along with the white trend line and potentially with the 50EMA as well, by the time price gets there. What will determine if this rally will stick or not will be the volume behind the moves. If you look at the volume in the previous rallies you can see that the volume was decreasing quite a bit and rose again as the price began to move lower. If this rally is to be sustained, we're going to need to see volume and broader participation from the market, otherwise, if/when we get to the 4260/70 area we'll see the next leg lower. Of course, there will be levels of resistance along the way such as the 4170 area and the 4210 area. As always, be sure to DYDD and be sure to manage your risk.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by HaseebKhan_90
Crude Oil headed lower or higher from here?This is why I think Oil will head lower. October 5th and 6th were very big down days that created an imbalance around the 87.1 area. We saw a break down of the channel and now even after news it only retested the 87.1 area and wasn't able to get above that. Currently, it's trading just below the broken channel and is struggling to get more traction. Bear case: The Bulls aren't able to push the price higher above the 87.1 and we head lower. If that's the case we may see Oil head lower to the low 70's or high 60's area. That'd be roughly the measured objective of the broken channel. Bull case: The Bulls push past the 87.1 area and have a decisive move above it. This would result in a false break down of the channel and would open the possibility of a much stronger move towards the $95 area and potentially higher. A false break to one side of a pattern like this often cause an aggressive move in the opposite direction. All that being said, this of course, will affect Energy stocks so be sure to manage your risk and DYDD
BLACKBULL:USOIL.F
by HaseebKhan_90
1
SPX - Still within longer term supports Despite a difficult last 2 months when both SPX and NDX have formed a potentially bearish Head and Shoulders formation, both are still holding at their respective necklines so far. Upon zooming out, we could also see that SPX is still trading within its rising channel that was formed since the start of its bull run from Oct 2022. what transpired so far was a mean reversion to channel support and towards a rising VWAP anchored at a major pivot point on 13 Mar this year (creating next possible supports for SPX at 4260 - 4275 should its H&S neckline be breached). Similarly, I am seeing that heavyweights like META, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, TSLA are now sitting on (or near) their respective VWAPs anchored from their respective major pivot low during March or April this year. Might not be time to be longer term bearish yet unless we see a breach of the rising channel. On the flip side, markets are still fragile and momentum for any rebound is still lacking and it's best to be cautious until we see a clearer direction over the next few days or even a week or 2. Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management (ie trailing stop loss and position sizing) is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
SP:SPX
by Juliac
$US500 SP500 forecast.Here's what I'm looking at. I still think $4100 is on the table for a bottom. Reason being, there's multiple levels of confluence there. 1) If you take the AVWAP from the Jan 2022 highs, it comes to around $4100 2) It's a horizontal level 3) It's roughly the measured objective of the Head and Shoulders break down 4) It's also coming in around the 0.618 fib level. Of course there will be levels of support along the way, one being the current $4260 area. This $4260 area is also a confluence of support with 1) It's a horizontal level on the weekly 2) The 200EMA on the Daily chart 3) The AVWAP from the recent March 2023 lows. Either we see a bounce and recovery from here ($4260 area) or if we break lower we'll see 4100. For now, I still think $4100 may be the low for this correction.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by HaseebKhan_90
Watch out for the AVWAP from the recent highs!With solid fundamentals backing the current move in GLAS, this could just be the early phase of the uptrend. The AVWAP from the current highs is around Rs 21.10 - Buyers need to keep an eye on this level. Closing above this on high volume would likely put the buyers back in control and initiate a strong upside move. Right now, the stock is trading above a rising 50 and 200 day MA meaning that both the medium and long term trend is very much favoring the buyers.
CSELK:GLAS.N0000Long
by xTDGS
S&P 500 - what's your take?What's happening? 1. -363.3K CFTC S&P 500 spec. net positions(highest in years, on October 2008 it was -365,697) 2. VIX 15.77 (52-week low) 3. DXY 101.672 (near 52week-low) 4. 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity (T10Y3M)-1.66 (lowest ever) 5. AAII sentiment 4/26/2023 Bullish 24.1% Neutral 37.4% Bearish 38.5% 6. BTC = +76% YTD 7. SPX above all relevant moving averages and above AVWAP from all time high 8. Short term traders waiting for setups and market breadth improvement Until the end of the year S&P500 will end up higher, lower, about the same? Higher Lower Sideways Feel free to add or correct data in favor of any outcome. Happy hunting.
SP:SPX
by Robert077