SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-23 : Carryover PatternLooking at the charts today, I want to say that it certainly looks like the SPY Cycle Patterns are blending into a consolidated CRUSH/BOTTOM pattern (see the weekend patterns) today and possibly "carrying over" into the early trading next week.
I have been warning of a pending rollover/breakdown in this uptrend for weeks. Today's breakdown seems a bit aggressive, but it is what it is.
If the patterns are consolidating/blending into a bigger breakdown over the Memorial Day weekend, then we could be looking at a very big downward/rotational move in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin over the next 5+ trading days while Gold/Silver continue to rally.
Silver is lagging Gold right now, but I don't think that lasts. Once Gold gets back above $3400, I believe Silver will start to make a big move higher.
The big question in my mind is - how does this carry into Monday's holiday trading schedule and into Tuesday's OPEN?
I'll have to see how things play out today - but it certainly looks like I'll be adding some SPREADS to potentially catch any big move over this weekend.
GET SOME.
This could play out exceptionally well for skilled traders.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-22 : Inside Breakaway CountertrendToday's Inside Breakaway in Countertrend mode suggests the markets may attempt to move downward - away from the recent highs.
I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a sideways/consolidation range over the next 3-5+ trading days before attempting to make any big moves. We have a holiday-shortened trading week next week, and I believe the markets are moving into the Summer doldrums.
Overall, I would ask traders to stay cautious of this transition in the markets over the next 5--10+ days and prepare for volatility to increase after June 1st.
You all know what I believe is the most likely outcome - a rollover topping pattern followed by a breakdown in price targeting the 525-535 level on the SPY. We'll see what happens going forward.
Gold and Silver pullback back overnight which suggests the metals markets were a bit overheated to the upside. I still believe Metals will continue to push higher.
BTCUSD is trading up above $111k. Here we go.
BTCUSD is moving up into the potential rejection level that I suggested in my 5-20 video as a MASSIVE WARNING setup.
This is where we'll see how BTCUSD plays out - if we continue to push higher or if we REJECT and move into a broad downtrend.
I didn't expect it to happen only TWO DAYS after my video - but here we are.
Time to get muddy and play what price puts in front of us.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Memorial Weekend RisksThis EOD update is to help you try to position for the risks associated with a further breakdown in price trends over the lone Memorial Day weekend.
I know this video will be posted late in the day - but I want you to learn how to hedge against risks and try to learn to take your profits when they are THERE.
This is a really quick video.
Stay safe this weekend and thank you to all our VETS for your service and sacrifices.
We honor you this weekend.
GET SOME.
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This Guy has arrows down to 4400My last market update ended up receiving a comment from a Trading View user that seemingly was mocking the fact that my shorter-term chart posted in an update to my followers had directional arrows down to the approximate area of ES 4400.
Here's my longer-term expectations. If some didn't like 4400, I suspect they will equally dislike sub-ES 1,000.
Best to all.
Chris
CME Gap Aligns with 4h 200 EMAThe CME Gap around 5710-5730 is beginning to align with the 4h 200 EMA.
4h RSI has been diverging bearish 3 times with each leg up within the channel above.
Also, a breakdown of that channel has measured moves down that align with both the 4h 50 and 200 EMA:
- 50 EMA an 0.5x measured move down
- 200 EMA a 2.5x measured move down
Pre-req on targeting the gap is a breakdown of the parallel channel shown above, and then loss of the 4h 50 EMA.
Good luck!
Is minor B done?In my last post…” We Have a Full Pattern into The Target Box” … I stated, “I am now looking for a 5-wave pattern to develop to the downside, followed by a 3-wave retrace, that in the coming weeks can take us back out of the target box to the downside.”
That pattern may have begun today in the very micro sense. This is very preliminary, so we need follow through to the downside so that in the days and weeks to come, we can confirm a top in minor B.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-21 : Inside-BreakawayI've been very clear over the past few weeks that I believe the markets are poised for a rollover/topping pattern and I believe BTCUSD is showing us exactly how/when that rollover top is going to play out (June 1-June 9).
In the meantime, I believe the SPY/QQQ are entering a more volatile "early topping" formation while still in an uptrend (Bullish).
I urge traders to start watching various sectors for weakness and keeping your eyes open for any signs the market could be moving into a sideways price rotation.
I think the rollover top will be aligned with some financial event (trade/tariff/other) that will result in a broad disruption of the US/Global markets. And I believe BTCUSD will lead the move by about 4-7+ days.
Gold and Silver are starting to move higher again. That is a sure sign that traders are now more actively seeking to hedge global risks (again).
I believe this move higher in metals may continue through this week and into next week (looking for that top in the SPY/QQQ).
Follow my detailed BTCUSD video to learn why BTCUSD may continue to try to push a bit higher before topping and moving into a broad price decline.
Get some..
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5-20-25 WARNING : Bitcoin Sets Up MASSIVE Double-Top WarningI highlighted this incredible price/technical pattern in my morning Plan Your Trade video. But, I thought it was important enough to create a separate video highlighting this incredible Double-Top warning and to try to tell all of my followers to start actively protecting capital over the next 2-3+ weeks.
As much as I would like to say this won't happen (meaning some type of crisis event or global financial crisis) causing a collapse in Bitcoin (and the US/Global markets) - but I believe the continued constraints on the global markets, related to Trump's policies and attempts to reduce US govt spending) will act as a devaluation event for global economies.
Think about it for a minute...
1. If the US is able to remove $500-900 Billion in fraud/waste/NGO spending (of which, a portion of that spending is dedicated to supporting global initiatives/spending), this will result in a contraction (in some form) for some global economies.
2. If the US is able to negotiate more favorable tariff rates for US goods supplied to the world (where foreign nations reduce or eliminate tariffs on US goods), this will also act as a reduction in economic income for many foreign nations.
3. These combined and continued efforts to restructure the US economy into a strong and more dynamic global economic driver (more fairly balanced in terms of global trade) will come at the expense of breaking away from what has traditionally been untouched.
This breaking of the past, in terms of what nations expected related to US spending and tariffs on US Goods, may represent a 15-25% (or more) contraction in foreign economic activity.
If this disruption from "what was normal" results in the US Fed, or global central banks, taking emergency measures to address short-falls in their economies, this could prompt a series of events that could result in a broad devaluation type of event (very similar to what happened after COVID in 2022-2023).
That event was prompted by the US Fed raising rates trying to stop inflation. This event could be the result of slower/lower economic outputs/expectations related to the changing tariff rates and the reduction in US spending throughout the world. Central Banks and regional governments may attempt to provide some type of capital stimulus to transition through this phase - but I see that as "building a bigger bubble - just waiting to pop".
The smart move for global central banks is to follow the US's lead and start to move towards more austerity/accountability regarding their own economies/spending and attempt to let the devaluation price phase play out.
Either way, time will tell if I'm correct or not.
You have been warned. IMO, you have about 3-6 weeks before BTCUSD potentially tops and may roll into a very strong breakdown phase.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-20 : Harami-InsideToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay somewhat FLAT in trading.
In this video, I go over the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and BTCUSD.
What I find interesting in today's video is the setup in BTCUSD - being very similar to the peak in late 2021 before the double-top in Bitcoin.
If my analysis is correct, we are moving into a type of final speculative phase (bullish) that will quickly transition into a type of breakdown move in the US/Global markets.
Gold should do very well once this move sets up and begins to drive the Risk/Hedge trade.
In the meantime, sit back and wait for this speculative move to phase out (top).
Get some.
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S&P 500 | Blue Box as Margin of SafetyWhen the index returns to the blue box, it reaches a zone forged by genuine buying interest and technical alignment. In a disciplined, data‑driven approach, this area serves as our first line of defense.
Why It Matters
• Past reactions show price pauses and reversals here, revealing real demand.
• It coincides with key footprint volume clusters where buyers have stepped in.
Entry Criteria
Higher‑Time‑Frame Stability
Confirm price holds within or above the blue box before considering a position.
Lower‑Time‑Frame Confirmation
Wait for clear breakouts or higher‑lows on short‑term charts backed by rising footprint volume.
Strict Risk Control
If price breaks through without retest or volume support, stand aside and seek a clearer setup.
By treating the blue box as our margin of safety and relying on actual volume footprint data, we trade with prudence and let the market’s real signals guide our decisions.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-19 : Gap Breakaway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will start with an opening price GAP (downward in this case) and could continue to move into a Breakaway pattern.
Given the recent news of a US Credit Downgrade, I'm suggesting all traders prepare for what may become a period of sideways price volatility over the next 3-5+ days.
I've highlighted a potential breakdown range on the SPY/QQQ on my charts that I believe acts as a solid confirmation level related to any potential reversal/breakdown in trend.
Currently, the trend is still BULLISH. If price falls below my breakdown range (the angled rectangle on my charts) - then I believe price will have broken this upward FLAGGING trend channel and will begin to move downward - targeting lower support levels.
This is a critical time for the markets. If we fail to move higher at these levels, we have a long way to go (downward) before we attempt to find any support.
Gold and Silver appear to be attempting to break the FLAG HIGH of an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. This could prompt a strong rally phase back above $3300/$33 for Gold/Silver over the next few days. Time will tell how things play out.
BTCUSD appears to be REJECTING the recent highs within a consolidation range. If this rejection continues, I see BTCUSD moving downward - trying to reach the $95k (or lower) looking for support.
Remember, we are still generally BULLISH and moving upward within the FLAGGING channel. If we do get a breakdown in price over the next few days, it will become clearly evident on the charts and we'll have to begin to change our expectations.
Right now - HEDGE.
Get Some...
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-16 : Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to GAP at the open. The current price structure suggests the SPY/QQQ are in an upward FLAGGING formation related to a broad Excess Phase Peak pattern. I believe this upward trend will continue until price attempts to break either the upper previous Ultimate High pattern or break the lower channel of the current FLAGGING formation.
The wonderful thing about these Excess Phase Peak patterns, and other techniques I'm trying to teach you, is that they provide very clear triggers/directions/opportunities for traders who understand these patterns.
Today, I highlight my SPY Bias (Primary & Secondary) trending system that shows the SPY is much weaker than many people believe. Because of this, I believe we are potentially nearing an Exhaustion Peak in the SPY/QQQ - time will tell.
The use of my extended Biasing systems and Custom Index charts helps me understand what is taking place behind the SPY/QQQ price action. It's like peaking behind the curtains in terms of what my Custom Indexes and other specialized data can provide. I can see what is really taking place related to price action - moving beyond the simple SPY/QQQ charts.
Gold and Silver appear to be setting up an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern off a potential Ultimate Low in price. It will be interesting to see how this downward price flag plays out over the next week+. If this pattern holds, we should see the FLAG end and price should rally up into the consolidation phase. Very exciting for metals.
Bitcoin, which tends to lead the SPY/QQQ, is stalling near a peak. Keep your eyes on BTCUSD over the weekend as I believe we may be able to identify how the SPY/QQQ will react on Monday by watching what BTCUSD does.
Thanks for being patient and understanding my schedule over the past 30+ days. I've had multiple family member visit the hospital over the past 5-6+ weeks and my world has been filled with doctors, hospitals, follow-ups, work, and trying to keep everyone healthy and away from trouble.
It appears these issues are starting to get more settled - which means I'll be able to stay more focused on work - instead of driving around everywhere and waiting for appointments.
Get some..
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-15 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern could play out as a very big downward price move if the 578-580 level is broken. CRUSH patterns are usually very large-range price bars. Yes, they can be to the upside as well (depending on recent trending).
A CRUSH pattern is usually in the opposite direction of recent trends. Thus, I believe today's CRUSH pattern will be to the downside.
Although I believe today could be very exciting for traders, I urge all traders move with caution in the early 30min to 60min of trading today. I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to establish a range (early trading range), then work to break away from that range.
Traders should be very cautious of getting married into a direction/position in early trading. Let the market tell you where it wants to go.
Gold and Silver appear to have setup the Ultimate Low overnight. Now, we'll see if metals can move higher throughout the rest of this week and build a base for the next phase higher.
BTCUSD seems to have started to roll over (top), but I urge traders to stay cautious of the current upward FLAGGING trend. Until BTCUSD breaks below $96-97k, I would still consider it to be trending upward.
Going to be a busy day for me. Stay safe as I'll be on the road most of the morning.
GET SOME.
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US10 YR Yield Weekly Chart Analysis: NFAUpdate: May 15, 2025
-As per my last update(April 5, 2025) about the gap between March 24th candle and March 31st candle that any candle body close above that gap will invert that gap from resistance to support and Upside target will be Jan 13, 2025 candle High
- We had a candle body close above that gap and now its acting like support.
-Now i am expecting the bullish trend to continue and long term upside target is Jan 13, 2025 candle High and Short term upside target is April 7, 2025 candle high
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-14 : Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may attempt to stay somewhat elevated. The Carryover pattern is essentially a pattern saying, "expect more of the same type of trending today".
I would suggest the SPY/QQQ are somewhat extended and may pause a bit today.
I shared a chart I created back on March 23, 2025 that I found very interesting - showing a big rally in late-April/early-May. If that chart continues to be accurate - it suggests the markets may attempt a reversion move to the downside over the next 20-30+ days.
Time will tell if my predictions play out accurately or not.
Gold is moving into new BEARISH trending on the GOLD Cycle Patterns. After an extended consolidation phase in metals, this shift in the trend models was going to happen at some point.
Now, we need to see if Gold/Silver can hold above recent support or not. Even though I believe Gold/Silver are poised for another big rally, the disruptions related to the global economy and tariffs seems to have taken some of wind out of the sails of the metals rally (for now).
Bitcoin continues to lead the SPY/QQQ. Keep an eye on what BTCUSD does over the next 7-15+ days as I believe it will lead the US markets in trending (still).
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-13 : Rally 111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests we will see continued upward price trending in the SPY/QQQ (and possibly BTCUSD).
I believe the continued positive news/announcements by the Trump administration is adding fuel for the current rally phase in the US markets. It is hard to ignore his tactics (like them or hate them). He is able to get things done in a way that many believe is disruptive.
Still, from what I'm hearing, the Chinese trade deal is a very broad and advantageous deal that somewhat "resets" the disparity the US has experienced for the past 20+ years with China. Overall, that is a very positive advancement in global trade.
Now, we'll have to see how the markets react to this news and is the hype is as good as the final trade deal.
Overall, the US markets are still climbing up the current FLAGGING formation (still BULLISH).
I see another Island (GAP) type of price move, which may prompt some consolidation - we'll see how things play out.
Gold and Silver are setting up double/triple bottoms across support.
BTCUSD is rallying higher within a similar FLAG formation to the SPY/QQQ.
In my mind, the markets are back to nearly where they were prior to the tariffs and early breakdown in late-February 2025. This is the "make or break" time for the markets.
Either the SPY continues higher and attempts to break above resistance - or it will start to fail over the next 5-10+ days and break downward.
Buckle up... and GET SOME.
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We Have a Full Pattern into The Target BoxI am now looking for a 5-wave pattern to develop to the downside, followed by a 3-wave retrace, that in the coming weeks can take us back out of the Target box to the downside. Price must breach the 5578 area to give us any indication the pattern to the upside below is cracking.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 4-12 : Rally In CountertrendIn today's video, I try to highlight the TREND features in the SPY CYcle Pattern data window for all of you to use.
Yesterday, I received a comment from a friend/client asking about the strength in the markets compared to my expectations.
My answer was simple. The SPY Cycle Pattern data window shows Short-Term (ST), Long-Term (LT) trending as well as the Daily/Weekly Bias trends.
Traders should use these to determine the primary trend/direction of price action.
Additionally, I try to add my own thoughts/context related to the market setup/structure. That is where I teach you about the EPP/Cradle patterns and more.
Ideally, my analysis and the SPY Cycle Patterns align with the future price moves in a way that everyone can profit from the highest probability outcomes.
There are times when news or outside forces drive the market trend beyond my expectations and, in some cases, beyond the SPY Cycle Pattern predictions. This recent Trump-Pump rally may be one of those cases.
Either way, I continue to try to deliver the best technical analysis and research I can offer for followers.
Get some.
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SPX500 SLOWS DOWN AT BEARISH ORDER BLOCK!With SPX500 index slowing down at the bearish order block, the next trading week most likely will be bearish...
N.B!
- SPX500 price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#spx
#spx500
#es
NQ Analysis - 11th May 2025Here is my analysis of NQ, a pair I do not trade and only very seldomly do analysis for.
I've been wanting to get into indices futures, so I will be doing more analysis on them in the future. I still have to learn about the contract sizes, average moves, etc.
- R2F Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-9 : Inside-Breakaway PatternI will be unavailable tomorrow morning to do my normal Plan Your Trade video at 5am. So, I'm delivering this video for all of you tonight to assist you with the SPY cycle pattern tomorrow.
As soon as I get my brother settled in for his surgery, I'll find a Starbucks and settle in to check on the markets.
This is a short video - so please understand the context of the markets may depend on what happens overnight.
Get some.
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