BABA
BABA 150+, looking forward and here is whyGoldman Sachs Is Bullish on China’s Stimulus
I have selected BABA and want to consider buy the deep strategy and here is why.
Alibaba’s stock has occasionally been undervalued compared to its peers, offering opportunities for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price.
P/E = 11.6, which is one of my favorites ratios, when Amazons P/E higher 45 atm.
Investing in Alibaba Group can be attractive for several reasons.
First of all its still E-commerce Leadership in China. Alibaba is a dominant player in China’s massive e-commerce market (and not only in China), which has immense growth potential due to increasing internet penetration and consumer spending. Platforms like Taobao, Tmall, and Lazada position Alibaba as a market leader in both domestic and international markets.
Alibaba not just a e-commerce marketplace and Babas Cloud is the largest cloud service provider in China and one of the global leaders, competing with Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The cloud computing segment has been growing rapidly and has significant potential for profitability and scalability.
And the last and the most significant case from BABA - they invest heavily in AI, logistics automation, fintech, and consumer analytics, keeping it at the forefront of technological advancements in its industry.
Meantime geopolitical tensions, especially, U.S.-China trade tensions and potential delisting threats and slower economic growth in China could impact on stock prices.
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Down 75%: Is a Rebound Finally Coming? 25.01.02Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
I’ve revamped my charting style to stand out from the crowd.
Let’s dive into today’s analysis, focusing on Alibaba (BABA).
Weekly Chart Overview
Chart Link:
Looking at Alibaba’s weekly chart, its history is relatively short, dating back to 2014. The price action highlights distinct supply and demand zones:
Blue and Red Boxes: These zones reflect similar supply ranges, spanning approximately $58 to $125. The price has historically oscillated within this range, providing up to 120% movements from the lows.
Orange Box: This zone formed after a breakout from previous ranges during a strong upward rally. While minor supply zones were created during the rally, the subsequent downtrend exhibited a one-way decline, consolidating the entire range into a single supply zone.
Range: $138 to $318, representing roughly 130% from the lower boundary.
Long-Term Resistance Trendline
Chart Link:
Plotting Alibaba’s long-term descending resistance trendline reveals key insights:
Recent Rejection: Alibaba encountered resistance at this trendline in late September 2024, leading to a 30% correction from its peak.
Red Box Supply Zone: The price is now trading below the weekly 20 EMA and 60 EMA, with a potential death cross forming.
Downward Potential: Should this bearish setup play out, the price could decline toward the support zone near the Yellow Box, around $75.
When to Buy Alibaba?
Chart Link:
Identifying optimal buy zones for Alibaba:
If the Price Declines Further:
First Buy Zone: Yellow Box ($75)
This zone aligns with the ascending trendline established since October 2022.
The pattern resembles a pennant, suggesting a potential rebound from this area as the trendline provides support.
Second Buy Zone: Green Box ($58)
This level represents a historical low, with prior rebounds of up to 110%.
Should the price revisit this area, it would present a strong buying opportunity.
Below $58
If the price falls below $58, the downside is highly uncertain, and further declines are unpredictable. In such a scenario, cautious observation is advised.
If the Price Rises:
First Entry: Breakout of the Red Box Resistance Trendline
Based on the current trajectory, a breakout above this descending trendline may not occur until 2026, given the prolonged consolidation phase.
Second Entry: Breakout Above $103
This level aligns with historical resistance from the Orange Box.
A breakout here could yield a potential 20% gain, targeting the upper boundary of the supply zone near $126.
Third Entry: Sustained Breakout Above $125–$138
Breaking above this range would signal a recovery, opening the door for a potential rally toward previous highs.
Conclusion
Alibaba’s stock presents a unique mix of opportunities and risks:
Bearish Outlook: The stock is currently in a downtrend, trading below key moving averages, with further declines likely if the $75 support fails.
Bullish Outlook: Strategic buy levels at $75 and $58 offer strong opportunities for long-term investors, while breakouts above $103 and $138 provide momentum-driven trade setups.
Patience is key when navigating Alibaba’s volatile price action. Let’s trade smart and stay prepared for both opportunities and risks. 🚀
$BABA Potential Bullish Reversal, (Daily TF)12/25/2024
Alright, I know there's a lot here so let me know if you have any questions and I'll do my best to answer. This is for educational purpose only.
1. Price dropped 18% ($101 -> $82.64) in 15 days.
2. Triple resistance on Tue, Nov 19 & Fri, Nov 29 & Tue, Dec 17 @ ~$87. Resistance zone between $86.70 - $87.75.
3. Bearish Fibonacci (Dec 9 - Dec 20). Anticipate sideways movement around 0.382 ($86.44), 0.5 ($87.91) and 0.618 ($89.38).
4. The light-brown boxes and light-brown line highlight the potential movement of price.
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$85.52: Current price
$85.00: Next bearish price target
Bullish Resistance Points:
$86.44 - 0.382 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$87.00 - Resistance zone
$87.60 - Previous Weekly High
$87.91 - 0.5 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$89.38 - 0.618 Bearish Fibonacci (potential sideways movement or reversal)
$91.44 - 0.786 Bearish Fibonacci (potential reversal)
$90.56 - $91.83: Bullish Gap to be filled
-------------------------------
Currently in a play: NYSE:BABA 21 MAR 25 110c @ $1.24
Currently up 5% (@ $1.31).
Profit Target: $2.24 (contract price)
Stop Loss: n/a (manually monitoring for now)
From halt to halt up to +800%!DRCT started the day at $0.55 and mostly just traded each 1min candlestick a few moments befor it got halted again, it continued that until it moved from $0.55 to $5.00 doing +800% upside on massive 50 million shares traded. We mentioned it inside our trading chatroom when it crossed $1 early in the morning.
Then this move triggered other halt-to-halt similar stocks like CHEK which went $0.59 to $3.04 and SLGL which went $0.42 to $1.39 (currently at new high halt)
Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels.
Current Price Levels:
NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82.
A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment.
RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery.
Technical Levels:
Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones:
Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18.
Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high).
Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance.
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move.
Feedback and Outlook:
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside.
Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds.
Gaps to Be Filled:
If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance.
Outlook:
Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29.
Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible.
Final Thoughts:
The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal.
Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment.
Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk.
As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
BABA - yet another hidden Gem we can extract value from?Currently we are observing a re-entry into a ascending channel based on the RSI indicator and additionally we are entering a very big time of the year which we see all
of the retailers bring in a lot of revenue, for reference we can check out my last post in my channel in regards Amazon.As an additional benefit from a fundamental point of view BABA is looking to get hard into the AI business and it would be one of the biggest competitors in Asia to get hardly involved, they have the cash and assets to do so.
Entry on market open -
Target 1 : 89.70
Target 2 : 97.62
Target 3 : 104.58
After we visit all of the targets we will get back onto this opportunity so we can forsee if we can chase the earlier high of 120$ per share
Time frame of analysis 4H
Time frame of realization Until their next earnings call in January.
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $80, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba: Turning PointBABA was pulled down further last week. According to our primary scenario, it should now be in the final stages of the blue wave (a). As soon as the low is reached, we expect a (corrective) rise in the form of blue wave (b) before a further sell-off completes the magenta-colored wave (ii). Only with the correction low underfoot should the same-colored wave (iii) then drive the price above the resistance at $117.79.
3 Stocks in ACCUMULATION Phase | STOCKS | BABA, HOOD, PYPLIf you have patience, stock trading can be very rewarding.
Something a little different today - SOCKS ! 🧦 These are my top 3 picks for stocks at the moments - for the sake of duration, we'll look at 3 per video.
What I look for in stocks, is longer term holds. Ideally they must be in accumulation phase, or have just broken out of my ideal buy zone.
_____________________
NYSE:BABA NASDAQ:HOOD NASDAQ:PYPL
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential!🚀 NYSE:BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential! 🚀
🔍 Key Points:
Looking for a bounce after retesting the symmetrical triangle breakout
Awaiting the H5 Indicator to flip green for a bullish signal
Crucial to hold the volume profile shelf for continued upward momentum
Target Prices:
🎯 $107
🎯 $134
MM 🎯 $157
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide.
On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending.
But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday.
Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020.
The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday
On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China.
In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month.
In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China.
In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020.
Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based.
Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
BABA LongWe are already positioned in this at a lower price, however a new opportunity has presented itself after the recent price action.
We have a rising three valleys pattern indicating accumulation after this perfect bullish Gartley.
Along with this Baba is showing clear bullish divergence and is currently backtesting the $78 zone which has been a historical key level.
Sizing up risk with a SL below the low gives us a great RR and plays the pattern. Good luck and we will update. Earnings are in over a month which gives the stock some time to move before.