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BABA

Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01: 9988 (BABA) The price has broken out of a consolidation range that lasted approximately two years, supported by a normal volume distribution. The stock has risen to meet the Fibonacci Extension resistance level of 161.8 at a price of 144 HKD. Currently, it is forming a sideways consolidation pattern on the smaller timeframe, establishing a base structure viewed as re-accumulation. The 6-month target is set at the Fibonacci Extension level of 261.8, which corresponds to a price of 189 HKD. This target aligns with a price cluster based on the valuation from sensitivity analysis, using the forward EPS estimates for 2025-2026 as a key variable for calculations, along with the standard deviation of the price-to-earnings ratio. Wait for the Right Moment to Accumulate Shares within the Consolidation Range Purchase near the support level of the range when the price pulls back. Look for a candlestick reversal pattern as a signal to add to your position. However, should the price break down to the lower consolidation range, the stock would lose its upward momentum, potentially leading to a prolonged period of consolidation or a deeper pullback to around 90 HKD. Always have a plan and prioritize risk management.
HKEX:9988Long
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
$BABA on its way to $120s into AprilI would honestly be surprised if it doesnt gap down this Monday before the open. The weekly imo, looks like a mess atm and could gap into $120s easy. If it doesn't, I would expect some consolidation for a fall into the First week of April. We're right at the golden pocket retrace at the .618, very common retracement level, if we look at Fibs with a bearish perspective and measure a retrace back to the lower golden pocket at 1.61 fib from highs, $112.30 would be my ultimate target if we can break $126. $126 opens the flood gates to our ultimate target at $112.
NYSE:BABAShort
by TazmanianTrader
Alibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month HighAlibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month High As shown in the Alibaba (BABA) share chart, the price reached a 40-month high this week, surpassing $145 per share. Bullish sentiment is being fuelled by news related to AI prospects in China. According to media reports: → China’s AI spending is increasing through investments from state-owned enterprises, private companies, and local authorities, aiming to keep pace with the US $500 billion Star Gate project. → Alibaba plans to invest $52 billion over three years in artificial intelligence and cloud computing. Technical Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Shares Despite a positive fundamental backdrop, the chart signals potential concerns: → The price is near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as resistance. → Bulls attempted to break the $145 level (which has acted as resistance since late February) on 17 March but failed, as the price could not hold above this mark. → Using your preferred oscillator, you are likely to observe a bearish divergence between peaks A and B. This suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening, and investors could consider taking profits after Alibaba’s exceptionally strong price rally—up approximately 70% since early 2025. If so, a break below the orange trendline could lead to a correction towards the median of the blue channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
Bullish Play on (BABA) Ahead of Chinese Economic Data & Alibaba (BABA) is forming a triple top pattern near the $142-$145 resistance zone ahead of key economic data releases and potential positive stimulus measures from the Chinese Congress meeting. While a triple top is traditionally seen as a bearish formation, a breakout above resistance could signal strong bullish momentum, fueled by market optimism regarding Chinese economic support and potential tariff relief. Trade Setup: Long Position on BABA 📈 Entry Point: Breakout confirmation above $145 (previous resistance). If momentum is strong, consider scaling in at $143-$144 for an early entry. 🎯 Target Price: First Target: $155 (short-term resistance from early 2023). Second Target: $165 (next major psychological level if sentiment remains strong). 🛑 Stop-Loss: Below $138 (recent swing low and key support zone). Alternatively, a trailing stop-loss to secure profits as the price rises. Catalysts Supporting a Bullish Breakout: 1️⃣ China’s Economic Stimulus 🏦 The Chinese government is expected to announce new stimulus measures to support growth, which could boost investor confidence in Alibaba and other Chinese tech stocks. Potential fiscal easing & liquidity injections may drive funds into large-cap Chinese equities. 2️⃣ Positive Economic Data Expectations 📊 Retail Sales & Industrial Production (March 17, 2025) Strong numbers would indicate a rebound in consumer spending & manufacturing, benefiting Alibaba’s core e-commerce business. 3️⃣ Tariff Reduction Speculations 🌎 If the Chinese Congress signals progress on easing U.S.-China tariffs, Alibaba could see increased foreign investment & improved profitability. 4️⃣ Technical Breakout Potential 🔍 The triple-top pattern could turn into a breakout if volume surges past resistance ($145). A move above this level could trigger short-covering & FOMO buying, leading to a quick rally. What If the Data Disappoints? If economic data underwhelms, BABA could reject resistance and pull back toward $130-$135. In this case, waiting for a confirmed breakout before entering long positions is advisable. 📌 Final Thought: BABA is at a critical inflection point. If economic optimism and stimulus expectations materialize, a breakout past $145 could fuel a strong rally toward $155-$165. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and be prepared to ride the upside while managing risk carefully. 🚀💹 Check out my other ideas about chineese stocks and more:
NYSE:BABALong
by Elite_Forex
Alibaba - This Chart Is Pretty Beautiful!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is perfectly respecting structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 With a rally of about +80% within a couple of weeks, Alibaba is clearly showing signs of bulls completely taking over. This pressure was not unexpected though after we perfectly witnessed the major trendline breakout a couple of months ago and a retest of the confluence of support. Levels to watch: $140, $110 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
22
CHINA FIN MARKETS | Investing in China & AIChina's market resurgence might pose some great opportunities for investors, especially after a long bearish cycle for the global Chinese financial markets. February 2025 saw a significant shake-up in global markets, with China emerging as a key player driving investor sentiment. The MSCI China Index surged by 11.2% for the month, vastly outperforming the MSCI US Index: One of the biggest catalysts behind China’s recent rally has been its advancements in Artificial Intelligence (DeepSeekAI being one of the key drivers). By operating at a fraction of the cost of their US counterparts, such as OpenAI and Meta, DeepSeek's competitive advantage has given China an edge in the AI space, which can be seen in the market confidence. XIAOMI has been one of the top gainers, largely as they are expanding their market penetration: Chinese markets in February saw a boost when President Xi Jinping was warmly received by tech industry leaders. A handshake between Xi and Alibaba’s Jack Ma who previously stepped back from the public eye following regulatory crackdowns, was seen as a major gesture of reconciliation between the government and the private sector. This renewed support for private enterprises. China’s long-term strategy has been paying dividends in high-tech industries. China has increased its global market share in nearly all industries and is outperforming competitors in cost-efficiency, particularly in sectors like copper smelting. Despite recent gains, China’s stock market has yet to fully recover from its underperformance over the past decade. While the MSCI China Index has risen 34.6% over the past year, long-term returns still lag behind global markets. A US$100 investment in an MSCI World Index tracker in 2010 would have grown to US$480 by early 2024, whereas the same amount invested in an MSCI China Index fund would have only reached US$175. China’s resurgence has brought a renewed sense of optimism, but investors remain cautious. While AI advancements and low cost of labor have positioned China as a competitive force, historical challenges like regulatory intervention, tariffs and economic instability still loom. _________________________
NYSE:BABALong
by CryptoCheck-
3
BABA in a falling wedge (NEW)BABA stock has been in a long-term downtrend. We're expecting the price to continue droping as it looks like it got rejected from the downsloping resistance line on the weekly timeframe. What we can see on the chart is a pattern called a falling wedge. Most likely the price will revisit $60 or lower but eventually we expect the breakout in Q2 or Q3 2023. How to trade: Enter long position if/when we get a breakout with a volume increase. Final target and the take profit level are shown on the chart. Good luck
NYSE:BABALong
by vf_investment
4
Alibaba (BABA) AnalysisCompany Overview: Alibaba NYSE:BABA is a global e-commerce and technology powerhouse, with leadership in online retail, cloud computing, and digital entertainment. Key Catalysts: Generative AI Leadership 🤖 Alibaba’s Qwen2.5 Max AI model has outperformed GPT-4 and LLaMA3.1-405B in benchmark tests, reinforcing its AI dominance. Strategic Partnership with Apple 🍏 Integration of Alibaba’s AI models into iPhones in China could boost Alibaba Cloud adoption, driving revenue growth and market share expansion. Cloud Computing Growth ☁️ Alibaba Cloud’s margins are projected to expand from 3% to 10% by 2026, with 18% annual revenue growth, positioning it as a $100B valuation business. Shareholder Value Initiatives 💰 A $25B share buyback and a growing 1.2% dividend yield reflect strong financial confidence and commitment to shareholder returns. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on BABA above $108.00-$110.00, driven by AI advancements, cloud expansion, and strategic partnerships. Upside Potential: Our price target is $185.00-$190.00, supported by cloud growth, AI innovation, and strong capital allocation. 📢 Alibaba—Powering the Future of AI, Cloud, and E-Commerce. #Alibaba #AI #CloudComputing #Ecommerce
NYSE:BABALong
by Richtv_official
BABA Weekly Chart: Massive Breakout with Strong VolumeThe BABA weekly chart showcases a powerful breakout, accompanied by substantial volume, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has decisively broken through key structural resistance and surged above the IPO AVWAP, reinforcing the strength of this move. However, the RSI is approaching overbought territory, and there’s a potential for a double top formation. Should this scenario unfold, a retest of the IPO AVWAP around the $130 level would be a healthy sign, potentially providing a strong entry point for bulls. The immediate resistance stands at $159.20, and a successful flip of this level could pave the way for targets at $174 and $197. Additionally, the significant volume increase could indicate institutional participation, adding credibility to the breakout. Keeping an eye on the volume trend during any pullback will be crucial to assess whether sellers are stepping in or if the bulls remain in control.
NYSE:BABA
by MysticMads
China's money supply explodes.China's revision of its M1 money supply calculation in January 2025, which now encompasses individual checking accounts and assets held in non-bank financial institutions, seeks to deliver a clearer understanding of liquidity within its economy. The reported surge from $67 trillion in December 2024 to $112 trillion in January 2025 has ignited discussions, with some viewing it as a strategy to obscure underlying economic issues, such as a potential deflationary debt spiral. The People's Bank of China has declared a "moderately loose" monetary policy for 2025, aiming to boost the money supply and lower interest rates to foster economic growth, a move that may be connected to the M1 recalibration. This shift takes place against a backdrop of broader macroeconomic adjustments, including a 5% GDP growth target and initiatives to stabilize the real estate sector, as detailed in China's 14th Five-Year Plan for 2025.
ECONOMICS:CNM1Long
by BallaJi
Alibaba Stock Surges 10% as Earnings Beat Expectations Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) are soaring after the Chinese tech and e-commerce giant reported quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations. Alibaba’s latest financial results reflect strong growth in its cloud computing division, which includes artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives, and the broader market optimism surrounding its strategic moves. Beating Estimates with Strong Revenue Growth Alibaba posted revenue of 280.15 billion Chinese yuan ($38.5 billion) for the December quarter, marking a 7.6% increase year-over-year. The company’s earnings per share per ADS came in at $2.93, surpassing analyst expectations tracked by Visible Alpha. CEO Eddie Wu emphasized that Alibaba’s strategic focus on "user-first, AI-driven" operations has contributed significantly to its reaccelerated growth. One of the standout aspects of Alibaba’s performance is its cloud computing segment, which saw a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. Notably, AI-related product revenue surged at a triple-digit rate for the sixth consecutive quarter, underscoring Alibaba’s position as a dominant player in China’s AI landscape. Adding to the bullish sentiment is speculation that Alibaba may be collaborating with Apple (AAPL) to integrate AI-powered features into iPhones in China. Moreover, reports suggest that co-founder Jack Ma has re-established ties with Beijing, a development that could ease regulatory pressures and pave the way for smoother business operations. Technical Outlook: Bullish Breakout with Strong Momentum From a technical perspective, NYSE:BABA shares have been on an impressive run, climbing over 80% in the past year. At the time of writing, the stock is up 8.09% in intraday trading, signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout from a falling wedge pattern—a classic bullish reversal setup—has been a key catalyst in Alibaba’s upward trajectory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 84, indicating that the stock is in overbought territory. However, with momentum building, further upside potential remains, particularly if BABA clears its recent one-month high. In the event of a pullback, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is acting as a solid support zone, providing traders with a potential re-entry point. A decisive breakout above resistance could trigger another leg up, reinforcing the stock’s bullish sentiment. Conclusion With cloud computing and AI revenues expanding at a rapid pace, alongside renewed investor confidence, the stock remains in a strong uptrend. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, a breakout above resistance could unlock further gains.
NYSE:BABALong
by DEXWireNews
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone. Target #1 = $89.00 Target #2 = $94.00 Target #3 = $107.00 Target #4 = $116.00 Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
NYSE:BABALong
by WorthlessViews
Alibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings ReportAlibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings Report Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba is set to release its quarterly earnings report on 20 February. The Wall Street Journal cites optimistic analyst estimates, projecting gross revenue of 279.03 billion yuan (approximately $38 billion), up from 260.35 billion yuan a year ago and 236.50 billion yuan in the previous quarter. Investor sentiment has been buoyed by Alibaba co-founder Jack Ma’s presence at an event with Chinese President Xi Jinping. According to Barron’s, this signals government efforts to restore confidence in the private sector, particularly in technology. At present, such factors may be having a greater impact on the stock market than geopolitical headlines or Trump’s tariff policies. These and other drivers—including a recent partnership between Alibaba and Apple to integrate AI features into the iPhone 16 series—have fuelled bullish momentum. As a result, Alibaba shares (BABA) have surged nearly 20% in February, reaching their highest level since February last year. Technical Analysis of Alibaba Shares (BABA) In our previous analysis on 29 January, we noted that BABA’s price movements were forming key levels for an Andrews' Pitchfork pattern, indicating a bullish outlook. Currently, the price has: → Surpassed the October high near $118. → Gained bullish momentum after consolidating around the psychological $100 level. The RSI indicator signals overbought conditions, suggesting a potential correction. However, given the strong news flow, any pullback may be shallow. Alibaba (BABA) Stock Forecasts According to BarChart, after years of underperformance, many investors are looking at China with renewed optimism for 2025. Hedge fund Appaloosa Management’s founder and president, David Tepper—whose net worth stands at $21.5 billion—recently acquired Alibaba shares, as per the latest 13F filings. He may believe that the Chinese stock market is significantly undervalued, based on the “Warren Buffett Indicator,” which compares a country's total market capitalisation to its GDP. A ratio below 100 suggests undervaluation, while a higher figure indicates overvaluation. Currently, China’s market cap-to-GDP ratio stands below 70%, compared to over 200% for the US. Tepper is not alone in his bullish stance. According to TipRanks: → 7 out of 8 analysts surveyed recommend buying BABA shares. → The average 12-month price target for BABA is $129.13. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
1
I'm GAGA for BABA!NYSE:BABA 🎯134🎯150🎯171 Five weeks of green candles for over 55%! Road this one higher from the beginning and fully exited. Now that we are pretty extended and broke out of the Inverse H&S Pattern I'd like to see a pullback to retest the breakout at $115-118 for an entry back in. - Green H5 - Volume GAP - Wr% Up trending - Inverse H&S breakout - China has momentum (look for tariff news or earnings this week to provide a dip buying opp.) Not financial advice
NYSE:BABALong
by RonnieV29
1