Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment.
Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk.
As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
BABA
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABA - yet another hidden Gem we can extract value from?Currently we are observing a re-entry into a ascending channel based on the RSI indicator and additionally we are entering a very big time of the year which we see all
of the retailers bring in a lot of revenue, for reference we can check out my last post in my channel in regards Amazon.As an additional benefit from a fundamental point of view BABA is looking to get hard into the AI business and it would be one of the biggest competitors in Asia to get hardly involved, they have the cash and assets to do so.
Entry on market open -
Target 1 : 89.70
Target 2 : 97.62
Target 3 : 104.58
After we visit all of the targets we will get back onto this opportunity so we can forsee if we can chase the earlier high of 120$ per share
Time frame of analysis 4H
Time frame of realization Until their next earnings call in January.
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $80, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba: Turning PointBABA was pulled down further last week. According to our primary scenario, it should now be in the final stages of the blue wave (a). As soon as the low is reached, we expect a (corrective) rise in the form of blue wave (b) before a further sell-off completes the magenta-colored wave (ii). Only with the correction low underfoot should the same-colored wave (iii) then drive the price above the resistance at $117.79.
3 Stocks in ACCUMULATION Phase | STOCKS | BABA, HOOD, PYPLIf you have patience, stock trading can be very rewarding.
Something a little different today - SOCKS ! 🧦 These are my top 3 picks for stocks at the moments - for the sake of duration, we'll look at 3 per video.
What I look for in stocks, is longer term holds. Ideally they must be in accumulation phase, or have just broken out of my ideal buy zone.
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NYSE:BABA NASDAQ:HOOD NASDAQ:PYPL
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential!🚀 NYSE:BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential! 🚀
🔍 Key Points:
Looking for a bounce after retesting the symmetrical triangle breakout
Awaiting the H5 Indicator to flip green for a bullish signal
Crucial to hold the volume profile shelf for continued upward momentum
Target Prices:
🎯 $107
🎯 $134
MM 🎯 $157
Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels.
Current Price Levels:
NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82.
A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment.
RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery.
Technical Levels:
Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones:
Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18.
Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high).
Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance.
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move.
Feedback and Outlook:
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside.
Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds.
Gaps to Be Filled:
If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance.
Outlook:
Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29.
Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible.
Final Thoughts:
The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal.
Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide.
On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending.
But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday.
Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020.
The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday
On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China.
In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month.
In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China.
In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020.
Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based.
Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
BABA LongWe are already positioned in this at a lower price, however a new opportunity has presented itself after the recent price action.
We have a rising three valleys pattern indicating accumulation after this perfect bullish Gartley.
Along with this Baba is showing clear bullish divergence and is currently backtesting the $78 zone which has been a historical key level.
Sizing up risk with a SL below the low gives us a great RR and plays the pattern. Good luck and we will update. Earnings are in over a month which gives the stock some time to move before.
$BABA Long Ahead Of EarningsNYSE:BABA will have earnings soon and I think it will execute a breakout towards the indicated targets.
I would consider purchasing the 110 Calls with an expiration date of 2025-2-21, for a premium of approximately $3.30. Good time to buy call options!
(Credit for contract idea @TopgOptions)
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup
Entry Price: $99.13
Stop Loss (SL): $97.32
Target Levels:
TP1: $101.36
TP2: $104.96
TP3: $108.57
TP4: $110.80
Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China.
Technical Indicators:
Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias.
Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity.
Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4.
Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
JD.COM PT63$ after breaking the long term trendlineJD.com broke the minor trend lines and is heading towards the long term trendline. This level is also enforced by prior highs/lows that acted as pívot points.
If broken, I would expect to extend the final of the third Elliot leg to the 63$ area, then back test the broken trendline, and then attack the ATH again.
Please let me know your thoughts!
When Does a $433.5 Million Settlement Become a Victory for Both In the complex landscape of corporate litigation, Alibaba's recent settlement presents a fascinating case study of modern business strategy. While the Chinese e-commerce giant agrees to pay $433.5 million to settle shareholder allegations, this decision might paradoxically represent a win-win scenario for both the company and its investors. The settlement, ranking among the top 50 largest securities class actions in U.S. history, raises intriguing questions about the balance between corporate governance and strategic business decisions.
What makes this case particularly compelling is the mathematics of risk management. When faced with potential damages of $11.63 billion, Alibaba's decision to settle for $433.5 million reveals a sophisticated calculation of risk versus reward. This settlement, representing less than 4% of the maximum potential damages, demonstrates how modern corporations can transform legal challenges into strategic opportunities for resolution and renewal.
The implications of this settlement extend far beyond Alibaba's balance sheet. As global markets increasingly scrutinize tech giants' practices, this case sets a precedent for how international corporations might navigate the complex intersection of antitrust regulations, shareholder rights, and market competition. The resolution suggests that in today's business environment, the true measure of corporate success might lie not in avoiding challenges, but in transforming them into opportunities for organizational evolution and stakeholder alignment.
Alibaba (BABA) – Potential Rebound If Alibaba (BABA) returns to the green zone, there’s potential for a rebound, creating a good opportunity for a long entry. This zone is important as it coincides with the monthly open, and buyers are likely to step in at this level.
Strategy: I’ll be watching for a pullback to the green zone and will consider going long with confirmation of buying activity.