😱YOU DONT BELIVE!💩BABA-GET SOMETING😱Hello everyone,🙋🏾
Here Rom with a personal opinion,
It seems that everyone is "pomo" about Baba's stock.
so I told to you STOP IT !❌ 🛑 ⛔️
Trading in the stock was done without sense, influenced by the Chinese government.
and is not affected by technical analysis.
Every purchase and sale made in a stock is a bet no matter what you call it.
The pattern obtained in the monthly graph is a dog poop pattern...💩
Forgive me for being childish, but it really hurts me that people lose money here and no one talks about it.☹️🙁
And even if everything goes back to being good, the stock dropped 80 percent!! 🤢
Wait for a significant trend change, then you will miss a 10-20 percent increase.
But keep your hard-earned money.
⚠️__🚧___🚧___🚧__🚧___🚧__🚧_🚧__🚧__🚧__🚧__🚧_🚧__🚧__🚧_🚧__🚧_⚠️
There is no recommendation for buying or selling or any action in the stock, I am not an investment advisor and publish this article as a hobby only.
Everyone has to perform risk management on their own or contact an investment advisor with a license, I don't have one.
Investing in the stock market involves risking your money!⛔️
have fun💃🏿
BABA
Did $BABA stock BOTTOM?My experience
I owned shares of Alibaba for the last 10 months. I started buying when it dropped to $140 in November 2021, and then I started averaging costing during the downtrend, my average price was around $110 and I completely closed my position at the beginning of July 2022 when it traded at $120. In conclusion, made a small 10% during this period, assuming a lot of risks, having money stuck in there creating an opportunity cost for other investments.
My first lesson here was "Never try to catch a falling knife" . I've read this quote many times, but I got pushed by the FOMO back in 2021, when I should have waited for some consolidation or lateral movements of the price, to show me some kind of demand at this level before jumping in.
I'm sharing my experience in this situation with the idea to help someone with making better investment decisions. The truth is, you must always learn from your own mistakes. But learning from others' mistakes will save you time, stress and money. However, this is where experience lays, funny isn't it?
Long-Term Forecast
Alibaba is a very interesting business model, with incredible growth in the past. I think that the chart reflects an evolution from a Growth Company to a Stable Company , that's why the P/E valuation went from 30x in the past to 15x nowadays. The market included the growth slowdown to its market cap.
Of course, there are many other risks related to Alibaba that also impacted its price during the last year. Some of them are:
- Uncertainty Risk is related to the political pressure between the USA and China.
- Delisting Risk from NYSE.
- Monopoly fines from China.
Changes in Chinese state policy regarding publicly traded enterprises , the warming of relations between the US and China, as well as current geopolitical developments where China is implied have created uncertainty for investors. This results in a negative impact on the price of the stock.
There are factors that could influence the Chinese government to be tolerant and lower the pressure on publicly traded enterprises, particularly if they choose to give a higher priority to stronger GDP development .
Taking everything into account, this could be a fantastic buying opportunity if China is becoming the next world's superpower. However, from my personal point of view, I would rather have companies like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft in my portfolio. I see better potential returns in them.
Short-Term Forecast
The price is showing consolidation in the zone between $80-$120, the lower part of the channel reflects a strong demand, which is easily spotted by the strong bounces that it has from there. You can also try to trade it by buying near the bottom of the lateral channel and selling it at the top.
$BABA released good quarterly earnings, beating expectations in sales and EPS. We should also take into account that when your revenue stays flat in an inflationary environment, probably your income from operations is going to decrease, and that's what happened here.
Bullish Scenario
If the momentum stays and the market breaks and maintains the $4300 level we can see a significant upside in this stock. Taking it to 120-160 dollars per share. Which in my humble opinion is less likely due to the market conditions and economic challenges that we are facing. The RECESSION is here, and the INFLATION has to go straight down from these levels to prevent a crash in the financial markets.
Bearish Scenario
If the INFLATION is unstoppable at these interest rates, the market is going to be severely punished. Less consumer demand due to the recession will impact companies' margins. Profit warnings from companies will accelerate the crash. If we find ourselves in this situation, get your cash ready, many investment opportunities will be out there waiting for us. In this case, I would adapt my strategy, and I could consider buying some $BABA at $60 for sure.
Alibaba is having strong buybacks from the management. The company has plenty of cash which is going to be used to reduce the outstanding amount of shares and to undertake investment projects. The Debt-Equity Ratio is around 15%, and the company has a healthy balance sheet. The Cloud Segment is getting bigger and it can also be a very important stream of income in the future for the firm. The company is actually trading at 10X Price / Cash Flow, which historically has meant that it is a good buy at this level. From a financial perspective, I think that $BABA is undervalued.
The above mentioned characteristics made me start buying the stock at $140, my mistake was that I didn't properly analyse the risks this investment had. Not everything is in the accounting books! Keep your eyes open!
I stand SHORT for the next 6-12 months and LONG for the next 3-5 years.
Don't forget, I'm a random guy on the internet that is just sharing his point of view. Do not take my reflections as financial advice.
$BABA Can Go Up Watch Out For A BreakoutTraders and Investors, Alibaba (BABA) has completed the typical bubble stock M formation and is now trying to gather orders for a bullish momentum. This stage happens when most investors fall into Despair or hopelessness.
The earnings report is expected, and we have a wedge pattern. If the price breaks above the pattern and we get a confirmation, this can go the first target of M patter which is around 160 but with an intermediate target of approx. 132.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze !!!BABA passed wave 5 in the Resistance Zone , and I expect that it will go DOWN to PRZ ( Price Reversal Zone ) & near the SMA 100 ( Daily Timeframe ) after breaking the Important Support Line .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD-) between Price and MACD Indicator .
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze ( BABAUSD ) Timeframe 4H ⏰ ( Heikin Ashi )
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze 🔄(Update)🔄!!!First, I have to back to my previous idea about Alibaba Group Holding. Do you remember it? 👇(it moved as I ✅expected✅).
BABA passed main wave B in the Resistance Zone, and I expect it to go DOWN to the end of main wave C that I showed in my chart.
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze (BABAUSD), Timeframe 4H⏰ (Heikin Ashi).
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze 🔄(Update, 10/18/2022)🔄!!!First, I have to back to my previous idea about Alibaba Group Holding. Do you remember it? 👇(it moved as I ✅expected✅).
BABA completed main wave C in the support zone, and I expect it to go UP at least until the end of microwave 4 of main wave C(Resistance zone).
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze (BABAUSD), Timeframe 4H⏰ (Heikin Ashi).
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BABA - BULLISH SCENARIO China stocks are entering an exciting earning season combined with the upcoming major holidays. NYSE:BABA testing the 70s range and bouncing of March 22 lows. The political pressure, production shortages, and raise of materials have been dragging NYSE:BABA lower and lower. Optimistically recovering to the 110-130 range in the next 6 months is a very likely scenario, considering that range is still much undervalued.
BABA - ready for a riseAs RSI indicator is close to 30, we can expect that the price will decrease a little bit more to reach the support level , then we expect a trend reversal , so we suggest to take a long position.
Entry: when the price retest the support level;
Target: at the resistance level;
Stop loss: as in the chart (6,22%).
BABA Long Swing IdeaBABA has returned to the demand zone within a large range measured between $73.28 and $126.27. It is currently completing a price consolidation within a larger falling wedge at area as well. This is great area to start averaging in a longterm position in addition to the trade idea presented below. Ideally I want to enter trade when stock price drops between $74 and $77. If not, I may wait for an official uptrend to begin, creating a higher high and break & retest of the $86-$88 zone.
Trade Idea: Options (Call Contracts)
***$100 Call Strike - Expiration 12/16/22***
Premium = 2.68-2.77 (Discounted price of the stock per share offered within a 100 share contract) ($268 to $277 per contract)
Volume = 862 (Number of contracts currently traded)
Open Interest = 20k+ (Number of Contracts currently held)
Theta = -$3.79 (Dollar amount of premium loss per day)
Delta = +$24 (Dollar amount of premium gained or loss per dollar change of the underlying stock)
***105 Call Strike - Expiration 12/16/22***
Premium = 1.94-2.02 (Discounted price of the stock per share offered within a 100 share contract) ($194 to $202 per contract)
Volume = 101 (Number of contracts currently traded)
Open Interest = 12k+ (Number of Contracts currently held)
Theta = -$3.30 (Dollar amount of premium loss per day)
Delta = +$19 (Dollar amount of premium gained or loss per dollar change of the underlying stock)
***110 Call Strike - Expiration 12/16/22***
Premium = 1.43-1.50 (Discounted price of the stock per share offered within a 100 share contract) ($143 to $150 per contract)
Volume = 2.2k (Number of contracts currently traded)
Open Interest = 13k+ (Number of Contracts currently held)
Theta = -$2.83 (Dollar amount of premium loss per day)
Delta = +$15 (Dollar amount of premium gained or loss per dollar change of the underlying stock)
Stop Loss = Stock Price Close below 73.29 (or Price hit $70)
This joy will not last long..!Althogh NASDAQ100 is up more than 5% this week, it is still down 23% YTD..! and 25% down from its all-time high..!
But detecting these symmetrical mirror view move helped me and my follower to capitalize on them nicely..!
Some examples: (I did not publish any of these posts publicly)
QQQ: Sep 5th,
TSLA: Sep 6th
SOXL: Sep 6th
NVDA: Sep 7th
#BABA: Sep 7th
DOCU: Sep 8th
CRM: Sep 8th
BP: Sep 8th
They moved between 3-16% in 4 days or less! Recommended Call Option for DOCU moved more than 108% in less than 24 hrs!
Best,
$ACH china aluminum 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Entry: $9.62
Take Profit: $13 (+35%)
Stop Loss: $8.98 (-6.6%)
*Stop loss is automatic*
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$CHINAH support should hold 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
This move will benefit $NIO and $BABA. They have been growing exponentially overseas in China and other countries. My team believes that the Chinese will continue to stimulate their economy financially in order to reverse the damages caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdowns.
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
#BABA Basing with higher lowsAlibaba has been trying to carve out a bottom since March 2022 with its 3rd successive higher low preceded by 2 successive higher highs. Bulls will want to ensure the $87-$88 horizontal support zone is held so as not to make a lower low than the August Base. The bears will be licking their lips for a gap close of $84 but the bulls on the other hand will want to protect this support at all costs for another run to $100 / $110.
BABA WATCH OUT BELOW!🔸️Ticker Symbol: BABA 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️Investment Strategy: Short
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BABA is currently in a bearish regression trend testing our top deviation level. This historically has acted as a strong level of resistance which has resulted in a push lower in the stock value. Our bottom dashboard indicator is also showing that our money momentum is extended into the top red sell section meaning a reversal could potentially occur anytime. For added confirmation I would like to see our middle band on the bottom dashboard turn from green meaning bull market momentum to red meaning bear market momentum before entering a position to the downside. Thanks for following!
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⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
BABA: DO I STILL BILIEVE IN BABA..... CAN THIS MAKE IT TO 100'S?Ticker Symbol: BABA
️Timeframe: 4HR
️BREAK OF TREND (STILL WAITNG FOR GREEN LINE CONFIRMATION)
️Investment Strategy: LONG
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
MONEY MOVEMENT SHIFTING UP AND GREEN RED DOT: BULLISH
ONCE THE TREND IS BROKEN, WE COULD SEE THIS MOVING HIGHER TO 100 LEVELS.
NOTE: KEEP IN MIND, MARKET IS IN SELL-OFF MODE.
Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis.
Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
$CHINAH bullish set-up? 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Alibaba: more room to fall?Alibaba
Short Term
We look to Sell at 87.83 (stop at 92.37)
We look to set shorts in the early trade. The medium term bias remains bearish. Short term bearish momentum has stalled. However, with the intraday chart now highlighting lower highs we are possibly forming a descending triangle pattern.
Our profit targets will be 78.05 and 73.21
Resistance: 100.00 / 120.00 / 138.00
Support: 90.00 / 78.00 / 75.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
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