$NIO Price will see a rally to $30 during the coming China rallyNYSE:NIO is an EV maker in China, that moves close to AMEX:KWEB and other ETFs.
We didn't see the stock price move like during this TVC:HSI or NYSE:BABA rally, where the large Chinese equities were bid up this week. Instead, NIO has stayed flat.
Looking at the historic structure, and NIO's pattern today, I compare them and form a conclusion that this marks the beginning of the rally.
I think that the bottom is in, and that this 'triple dives' pattern represents a large reversal pattern, dating back 1 year. Just come back to this chart 12 months from now, and tell me what you think.
Update:
Look at the tilt of the support lines and compare them to each other.
BABA
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BABA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 135usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $14.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Bonus Analysis: 80 Stocks Reviewed, 15 Stand Out!Hello readers!
First things first – if you find value in these analyses, don’t hesitate to hit the Boost/Like button! 🚀 Your support helps keep these ideas coming and is greatly appreciated. Thanks a lot!
As an extra bonus for everyone who participated in the survey, I decided to go through all the mentioned stocks—a total of 80 different names—and pick out the ones that stood out to me from a technical perspective. Made just a brief overview.
Previously, I covered the top 15 most mentioned stocks, but now it's time to highlight 15 additional setups that caught my eye with very short descriptions. These are purely technical insights—no fundamental analysis here.
To be said, many of the stocks mentioned were at all-time lows, which means technical analysis isn’t much help. If a stock is sitting at the bottom with no structure, you’re relying purely on fundamentals to make a decision.
With that said, let’s take a look at the charts that stood out.
1. Oklo (OKLO) – Nuclear Energy
Strong momentum, but for me, the most important area is $20 to $30.
2. Tecnoglass (TGLS) – Glass and Window Manufacturing
Steady higher highs - The strongest zone sits between $50 to $60.
3. MicroStrategy (MSTR) – Software and Bitcoin Holdings
Extremely volatile but key interest zones for me are $170 to $240, with $200 as a strong mid-point.
4. Everest Group (EG) – Reinsurance and Risk Management
$250 to $280 was a strong resistance, now acting as support. Trendline retest and third-touch scenario align well with the $230 to $280 range.
5. H. Lundbeck (HLUN_B) – Pharmaceuticals
Resistance turned support has already played out but still, there might be some volatility, and $35 to $40 DKK remains the strongest zone.
6. Alpha Group International (ALPH) – Financial Services
Breakout and retest already worked well, so waiting for slightly better prices might be the best move but it is valid.
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I’ve picked out the first six stocks from the survey and shared my technical insights here on TradingView but this is just the beginning.
9 stocks in Substack with some bigger names like Alibaba (BABA), Starbucks (SBUX), Snowflake (SNOW), Uber (UNER), and Netflix (NFLX) have also caught my eye, and I’ll be covering them on my Substack along with more technical breakdowns.
Substack-ENG link is in my BIO (clicking the website icon), or you can find it by scrolling up - just below the main image.
See you there,
Vaido
Alibaba Analysis: Profitable Structure! 2/11/2025One of the most profitable trading structures is currently in progress!
The targets of the uptrend swing (wave C) are displayed on the chart, and it has the potential to exceed the projected levels.
Start point of wave c= $80.06
Targets:
T1=$174
T2=$232
T3=$326
*It's the same structure used in the Netflix price chart!
NYSE:BABA #BABA
Latest news: Apple partners with Alibaba to offer artificial intelligence features for iPhone users in China!
Good Luck!
$QTUM Maybe Trying to break out of This Wedge (VCP)I have been long this name for a few months now in my investment account. I have added more today with a stop on the added position size just below today’s low. There are some very big names in this ETF, it invests in AI learning as well as Quantum Computing.
It looks to me to be in a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), more popularly called a wedging pattern. I went long more shares as indicated above in anticipation of a break above the declining upper trendline. It also is supported by both the 8 and 20 EMAs and has consolidated to get more inline with the 50 DMA (red).
If you like it, make the trade your own and make sure it fits your trading plan.
Look at the fund holdings in “More About Fund” link supplied by TradingView. Here are some of the names you might recognize: NASDAQ:KLAC NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:RTX NYSE:BABA
From Defiance ETF Website:
QTUM
Index Description: The BlueStar® Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Index (BQTUM) tracks liquid companies in the global quantum computing and machine learning industries, including products and services related to quantum computing or machine learning, such as the development or use of quantum computers or computing chips, superconducting materials, applications built on quantum computers, embedded artificial intelligence chips, or software specializing in the perception, collection, visualization, or management of big data.
BABA - yet another hidden Gem we can extract value from?Currently we are observing a re-entry into a ascending channel based on the RSI indicator and additionally we are entering a very big time of the year which we see all
of the retailers bring in a lot of revenue, for reference we can check out my last post in my channel in regards Amazon.As an additional benefit from a fundamental point of view BABA is looking to get hard into the AI business and it would be one of the biggest competitors in Asia to get hardly involved, they have the cash and assets to do so.
Entry on market open -
Target 1 : 89.70
Target 2 : 97.62
Target 3 : 104.58
After we visit all of the targets we will get back onto this opportunity so we can forsee if we can chase the earlier high of 120$ per share
Time frame of analysis 4H
Time frame of realization Until their next earnings call in January.
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Did you add these stocks to your profile as I told you?RBLX did almost 100% and HMAX even more. BABA, GOTU, Xinyi and PYPL are still in the accumulation phase and ready to move hopefully this year.
Ethereum and Altcoins offered good entry two days ago. I will be targeting 15-20K for Ethereum.
Disclaimer: Do your own analysis. Not a financial advice
$BABA Potential Bullish Reversal, (Daily TF)12/25/2024
Alright, I know there's a lot here so let me know if you have any questions and I'll do my best to answer. This is for educational purpose only.
1. Price dropped 18% ($101 -> $82.64) in 15 days.
2. Triple resistance on Tue, Nov 19 & Fri, Nov 29 & Tue, Dec 17 @ ~$87. Resistance zone between $86.70 - $87.75.
3. Bearish Fibonacci (Dec 9 - Dec 20). Anticipate sideways movement around 0.382 ($86.44), 0.5 ($87.91) and 0.618 ($89.38).
4. The light-brown boxes and light-brown line highlight the potential movement of price.
--------------------------------
$85.52: Current price
$85.00: Next bearish price target
Bullish Resistance Points:
$86.44 - 0.382 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$87.00 - Resistance zone
$87.60 - Previous Weekly High
$87.91 - 0.5 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$89.38 - 0.618 Bearish Fibonacci (potential sideways movement or reversal)
$91.44 - 0.786 Bearish Fibonacci (potential reversal)
$90.56 - $91.83: Bullish Gap to be filled
-------------------------------
Currently in a play: NYSE:BABA 21 MAR 25 110c @ $1.24
Currently up 5% (@ $1.31).
Profit Target: $2.24 (contract price)
Stop Loss: n/a (manually monitoring for now)
BABA Stock Analysis After breaking out of the blue resistance zone, the next resistance is in red, where the price could potentially get rejected.
🎯 Next Steps:
Watch for the red resistance as it may halt the upward movement.
If the price breaks through this resistance, we could see further upside.
If it gets rejected, the price may pull back to test previous levels.
Maybe it's time to revisit this chart along with $NVDAIf you bought NASDAQ:NVDA and you're nervous:
First establish why you bought it first place?
What was your trade plan at the time of the buy?
Where was the planned Take Profit?
Where was the planned Stop Loss?
Are you still strictly following that plan right now?
Did you buy it for short term hold or long term?
If you bought it for long term and it's still within your trade plan then why worry or even think about it?
If you bought it for short term then execute your trade plan, it's just a trade.
If you broke all your rules and it's way below your planned Stop Loss and now you're looking around trying to find people who are hyping it up trying to make yourself feel better - don't do that, those people hyping it up are in loss with you as well.
Check the image I added, detach yourself emotionally and review the chart to estabish where we might be position and what might come next then set up a strict plan to follow from here on.
AliBABA Remains In A Larger Bullish Triangle PatternAlibaba is up after the company releases AI model it says surpasses DeepSeek-v3.
Alibaba with ticker BABA is trading sideways for two years, but we are tracking a larger bullish ABCDE triangle pattern in circled wave B before we will see a continuation higher for circled wave C.
With recent rebound away from the lower triangle line due to the release of AI model that surpasses DeepSeek, seems like subwave C is finished and it's now rising within wave D which can recover the price back to the upper triangle line before we will see another and final wave E slow down to complete a triangle in circled wave B.
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model LaunchAlibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model Launch
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba has unveiled an upgraded version of its artificial intelligence model, Qwen2.5 Max. According to the company, the model:
→ Outperforms DeepSeek, the AI model that made headlines this week, in several key areas.
→ Achieves "competitive performance compared to top-tier models," referencing OpenAI and Meta, based on benchmark tests.
The news was met with enthusiasm, driving Alibaba's (BABA) stock price up by more than 6% in a single day, pushing BABA shares to their highest level of the year.
The technical analysis of the BABA stock chart shows that stock fluctuations form reference points for constructing the Andrew’s Pitchfork pattern, while price movements along the central line (indicated by an arrow) confirm the validity of the pattern's construction.
Currently, the price:
→ Has broken above December’s high at around $94.
→ Is approaching the psychological resistance level of $100.
Whether bulls can sustain or extend these gains will largely depend on Alibaba’s Q4 earnings report, set to be released today, 29 January.
According to TipRanks:
→ 11 out of 12 analysts recommend buying BABA stock.
→ The 12-month average price target stands at $121.33.
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New ai Model QWEN 2.5 could be catalyst for BABA - Target 200Baba just released Qwen 2.5, an ai model that is rated to be as good or better as DeepSeek and Chat gpt. This might serve as an additionally revenue stream to an already cheap stock. More importantly, it can serve as a catalyst to ignite investor interest and stock demand.
Currently around 10 pe (seeking alpha data), multiple expansion and eps growth could boost BABA into the 200s or higher given a long term outlook. While the US seeks many ai stocks at high multiple of revenue and earnings, chinese stocks are way cheaper and in theory have less price risk. However, they still have geo political and currency risks.
Baba has a large cash pile. This not only makes it slightly less risky, it also serves as potential ammunition for further innovation, acquisitions, or worst case, cash returned to investors.
2000 $CSCO vs 2025 $NVDA, is the similar crash possible?🚨 Could Nvidia be the next Cisco? 🚨
In 2000, Cisco dominated networking with its own chips. But competitors used cheaper, nearly as effective chips, and the stock dropped from $82 to $8 in just 2 years. Is the same fate possible for Nvidia?
Cisco invested heavily in its IOS CLI and aggressively defended it.
Nvidia did the same with CUDA, taking action against anyone trying to make alternatives.
But now, competition is heating up.
DeepSeek and other companies could lead those who over-invested in Nvidia chips on borrowed money to offload them, flooding the second-hand market with GPUs.
Meanwhile, the Magnificent 7 might slow down orders since they already have tons of Nvidia chips stockpiled.
Just like Cisco switches were 80% off in 2001, could we see a similar scenario with Nvidia?
And let’s talk about the $2000 RTX 5090 — would you buy one today?
Nvidia has committed huge resources to TSMC for chip production. They could be facing an overstock issue, and slashing prices could hurt profit margins. 😬
We will soon know the direction it will go, next few quarters will show us all.
$BABA Falling wedge breakout on dailyNYSE:BABA falling wedge breakout confirmed with MACD signalling bullish trend.
There's volume gap just above 90 to 94 where price can move very fast.
All sentiment indicator has been very bearish lately which makes me come to conclusion that this was the bottom.
Market was positioning for TRUMP to possibly put on 60% tarrifs on china which doesn't seem to be happening now as Trump has suggested negotiations with President XI
my PT is $99 for BABA in next 3 months
BABA 150+, looking forward and here is whyGoldman Sachs Is Bullish on China’s Stimulus
I have selected BABA and want to consider buy the deep strategy and here is why.
Alibaba’s stock has occasionally been undervalued compared to its peers, offering opportunities for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price.
P/E = 11.6, which is one of my favorites ratios, when Amazons P/E higher 45 atm.
Investing in Alibaba Group can be attractive for several reasons.
First of all its still E-commerce Leadership in China. Alibaba is a dominant player in China’s massive e-commerce market (and not only in China), which has immense growth potential due to increasing internet penetration and consumer spending. Platforms like Taobao, Tmall, and Lazada position Alibaba as a market leader in both domestic and international markets.
Alibaba not just a e-commerce marketplace and Babas Cloud is the largest cloud service provider in China and one of the global leaders, competing with Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The cloud computing segment has been growing rapidly and has significant potential for profitability and scalability.
And the last and the most significant case from BABA - they invest heavily in AI, logistics automation, fintech, and consumer analytics, keeping it at the forefront of technological advancements in its industry.
Meantime geopolitical tensions, especially, U.S.-China trade tensions and potential delisting threats and slower economic growth in China could impact on stock prices.
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Down 75%: Is a Rebound Finally Coming? 25.01.02Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
I’ve revamped my charting style to stand out from the crowd.
Let’s dive into today’s analysis, focusing on Alibaba (BABA).
Weekly Chart Overview
Chart Link:
Looking at Alibaba’s weekly chart, its history is relatively short, dating back to 2014. The price action highlights distinct supply and demand zones:
Blue and Red Boxes: These zones reflect similar supply ranges, spanning approximately $58 to $125. The price has historically oscillated within this range, providing up to 120% movements from the lows.
Orange Box: This zone formed after a breakout from previous ranges during a strong upward rally. While minor supply zones were created during the rally, the subsequent downtrend exhibited a one-way decline, consolidating the entire range into a single supply zone.
Range: $138 to $318, representing roughly 130% from the lower boundary.
Long-Term Resistance Trendline
Chart Link:
Plotting Alibaba’s long-term descending resistance trendline reveals key insights:
Recent Rejection: Alibaba encountered resistance at this trendline in late September 2024, leading to a 30% correction from its peak.
Red Box Supply Zone: The price is now trading below the weekly 20 EMA and 60 EMA, with a potential death cross forming.
Downward Potential: Should this bearish setup play out, the price could decline toward the support zone near the Yellow Box, around $75.
When to Buy Alibaba?
Chart Link:
Identifying optimal buy zones for Alibaba:
If the Price Declines Further:
First Buy Zone: Yellow Box ($75)
This zone aligns with the ascending trendline established since October 2022.
The pattern resembles a pennant, suggesting a potential rebound from this area as the trendline provides support.
Second Buy Zone: Green Box ($58)
This level represents a historical low, with prior rebounds of up to 110%.
Should the price revisit this area, it would present a strong buying opportunity.
Below $58
If the price falls below $58, the downside is highly uncertain, and further declines are unpredictable. In such a scenario, cautious observation is advised.
If the Price Rises:
First Entry: Breakout of the Red Box Resistance Trendline
Based on the current trajectory, a breakout above this descending trendline may not occur until 2026, given the prolonged consolidation phase.
Second Entry: Breakout Above $103
This level aligns with historical resistance from the Orange Box.
A breakout here could yield a potential 20% gain, targeting the upper boundary of the supply zone near $126.
Third Entry: Sustained Breakout Above $125–$138
Breaking above this range would signal a recovery, opening the door for a potential rally toward previous highs.
Conclusion
Alibaba’s stock presents a unique mix of opportunities and risks:
Bearish Outlook: The stock is currently in a downtrend, trading below key moving averages, with further declines likely if the $75 support fails.
Bullish Outlook: Strategic buy levels at $75 and $58 offer strong opportunities for long-term investors, while breakouts above $103 and $138 provide momentum-driven trade setups.
Patience is key when navigating Alibaba’s volatile price action. Let’s trade smart and stay prepared for both opportunities and risks. 🚀