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Technical Analysis on Alibaba (BABA)Alibaba ( BABA ) has been in a long-term downtrend that began in October 2020. In the medium term, however, the price has entered a phase of compression, suggesting a possible pause or reversal of the trend. Analyzing the volumes using the Volume Profile, we can see that the price is currently caught between two key Points of Control (POC): POC 1: A significant volume level that considers the entire historical data of the stock, located around the $80 area. POC 2: A medium-term POC that reflects the current phase of compression. Bullish Scenario: To consider a potential bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for the price to reach POC 1, located around the $80 area, followed by a breakout and a possible retest of the descending trendline. The first significant resistance and target for this bullish scenario is around the $120 area. Bearish Scenario: For a continuation of the downtrend, it is important to monitor the price in relation to the two POCs. If the price drops below both levels and breaks the ascending line, with a possible retest, we could see an extension of the downward movement.
NYSE:BABA
by Giovanni_Bandini
Alibaba Spike 4% After Completing Three-Year Regulatory OverhaulOverview Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) saw its stock jump 4% in premarket trading following the completion of a rigorous three-year regulatory overhaul mandated by China’s State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR). This milestone marks a significant turning point for Alibaba, as it moves past one of its most challenging periods and signals potential new growth opportunities for investors. Regulatory Milestone: The completion of Alibaba’s regulatory rectification process comes after the company was hit with an antitrust fine of 18.23 billion yuan ($2.6 billion) in 2021. The fine was a result of practices deemed monopolistic, specifically the “choose one of two” policy, which forced merchants to commit to one e-commerce platform over another. Over the past three years, SAMR has supervised Alibaba’s compliance efforts, culminating in the cessation of these monopolistic behaviors. The regulator’s announcement of “effective results” underscores Alibaba’s adherence to new operational standards and improved market practices. Fundamental Analysis: This regulatory approval is more than just a relief for Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA )—it represents a potential catalyst for renewed investor confidence and market performance. The removal of regulatory constraints opens the door for Alibaba to refocus on growth strategies and innovation. Despite facing significant scrutiny and a dramatic 70% decline in stock value since its peak in 2020, Alibaba has shown early signs of recovery. The June quarter results revealed a rebound in cloud computing revenue and robust e-commerce transactions, reflecting a positive trend in the company’s operational performance. Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, Alibaba’s stock is positioned for a potential bullish trend. The recent 4% surge in premarket trading is indicative of strong market sentiment and investor optimism. The stock is currently exhibiting a gap-up pattern, as there were no trading activities leading up to this surge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 52, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI position is favorable for further growth, provided buying momentum continues. Future Outlook: The completion of the regulatory overhaul represents a “new beginning” for Alibaba, according to the company’s statement. The focus will now shift towards innovation and enhancing compliance, with a strategic emphasis on technology investment and promoting a healthy platform economy. The endorsement from SAMR could also signal a broader softening stance from Chinese regulators towards the tech sector, which has been under intense scrutiny since late 2020. However, challenges remain. The broader tech industry continues to grapple with cautious consumer spending and a slower funding environment for startups. Alibaba’s path to sustained growth will depend on its ability to leverage this regulatory victory into tangible business outcomes and maintain momentum in a competitive market. Conclusion: Alibaba’s completion of its regulatory overhaul is a pivotal moment for the company, offering both technical and fundamental reasons for optimism. The stock’s recent surge reflects renewed investor confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for further gains. As Alibaba transitions into this new phase, stakeholders will be watching closely to see how the company capitalizes on its regulatory victory to drive future growth and innovation. Investors should remain vigilant and monitor upcoming earnings reports and market trends to gauge Alibaba’s ability to sustain its recovery and capitalize on its renewed operational freedom.
NYSE:BABALong
by DEXWireNews
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone. Target #1 = $89.00 Target #2 = $94.00 Target #3 = $107.00 Target #4 = $116.00 Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
NYSE:BABALong
by NicksAnalysis
Alibaba (NYSE: $BABA) Misses First-Quarter Revenue EstimatesAlibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA), China’s e-commerce giant, faced a challenging second quarter in 2024, as reflected in its earnings report that missed market expectations. The company, which has been navigating a complex economic landscape marked by rising competition and cautious consumer behavior, saw its shares dip nearly 4% in premarket trading following the disappointing results. Key Financials and Earnings Miss For the quarter ending June 30, 2024, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) reported revenue of 243.24 billion Chinese yuan ($34.01 billion), falling short of the 249.05 billion yuan expected by analysts. Net income also took a hit, dropping 29% year-over-year to 24.27 billion yuan, compared to the 26.91 billion yuan expected. The revenue increase of 4% year-on-year was overshadowed by the significant drop in net income, which the company attributed to a decline in income from operations and an increase in impairments from its investments. Challenges in Core E-commerce Business Alibaba's core China e-commerce business, which has been the bedrock of the company’s success, continued to face headwinds. Sales from the Taobao and Tmall group, representing Alibaba’s domestic e-commerce segment, fell by 1% year-over-year to 113.37 billion yuan. Despite efforts by CEO Eddie Wu to stabilize and rejuvenate this segment, the company is struggling against a backdrop of increased competition from rivals like JD.com and Temu’s parent company PDD Holdings. The Chinese consumer market, which has been slow to recover from the economic downturn and high job insecurity, further exacerbates Alibaba’s challenges. Although Alibaba reported “double-digit” growth in gross merchandise value (GMV) within its Taobao and Tmall platforms, this was not enough to offset the overall revenue decline. Global and Cloud Segments Show Promise While the domestic market remains challenging, Alibaba's international e-commerce division offered a bright spot. Revenue in this segment grew by 32% year-over-year, driven by strong performances from platforms like Lazada and Aliexpress. This growth reflects Alibaba’s strategic focus on expanding its global footprint and catering to the increasing global demand for affordable Chinese goods. The company’s cloud computing division also demonstrated resilience, with revenue rising 6% year-over-year to 26.5 billion yuan. This marked the fastest growth rate for the cloud segment since Q2 2022. Alibaba’s cloud unit, which has been a focal point for future growth, benefited from its investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and the introduction of new AI-related products. The cloud division’s adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization (EBITA) soared by 155% year-over-year, highlighting improved operating efficiency and a focus on higher-margin contracts. Strategic Shifts and Future Outlook Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) has been undergoing significant structural changes since 2023, including a major corporate overhaul that split the company into six business units. CEO Eddie Wu, who took over leadership in September, has been keen on refocusing the company’s strategy, particularly within its core e-commerce business. This includes reducing reliance on direct sales and enhancing monetization features for third-party merchants on Taobao and Tmall. Wu has set ambitious goals to return the Taobao and Tmall businesses to growth by late 2025, with new monetization strategies expected to play a crucial role. However, the company remains in a transition phase, and the effectiveness of these strategies will be closely watched by investors and analysts alike. Technical Outlook In the premarket trading session on Thursday, Alibaba's (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) stock experienced a decline of 3.57%. The daily price chart reveals the presence of a bearish hanging man candlestick pattern. However, it is noteworthy that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 55.80, implying a neutral position that neither indicates oversold nor overbought conditions. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator value of 0.284 suggests a bullish trend, supporting a favorable outlook. A notable observation is the convergence of all moving averages (MA) at a singular point. This pattern often signals a potential shift in trend or a phase of consolidation in the market. Such convergence may signify market indecision, with equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Depending on various factors such as the positions of short-term and long-term moving averages, this signal may hint at an impending breakout in the market. Traders are advised to seek confirmation from price action or additional indicators before making substantial decisions. Conclusion Alibaba's Q2 2024 earnings report underscores the challenges the company faces in a rapidly evolving and competitive market. While the company's international and cloud segments show promise, the core e-commerce business in China continues to grapple with significant obstacles. CEO Eddie Wu’s efforts to stabilize and revitalize this segment will be critical to Alibaba’s future performance, particularly as the company navigates through its ongoing transformation. Investors will be keen to see how Alibaba’s strategic shifts play out over the coming quarters, particularly in light of the intense competition and economic uncertainty that continue to cloud the Chinese market.
NYSE:BABA
by DEXWireNews
$BABA | Allocation & Watchlist | Market Exec & Buy Stops |Technical Confluences: - Price action has been consolidating between a Wedge pattern - Price action is at a Demand Zone of all-time lows - Price is starting to slowly break above the 200MA - A break above the resistance trendline (been a good support/resistance TL) would be a significant move. Fundamental Confluences: - Considerably cheap valuations - Still one of the largest e-commerce players, don't see it dropping it off anytime soon - China's economy has been weakening and we are seeing efforts by the China government to help boost back the domestic economy. Potential for revenue boost. ________________________________ Putting in my first tranche of NYSE:BABA allocation for my Long-Term portfolio. Gonna be holding this share for years and will continue adding position with Buy Stop orders. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
NYSE:BABALong
by weekendanalyst
5
$SPY 8/12 - 8/16- Massive panic sell off last week and a quick quick recovery BUT we are still overall red for the month - If price makes higher highs above $534 lvls we most likely will keep pushing higher so we will look for calls - IF price rejects and starts to make lower lows as well as retest previous demand zones then we should look for puts - KEEP IN MIND there is PPI 8/13, CPI 8/14, and Retail sales + Unemployment 8/15 - Earnings for Retail Companies are next week as well so keep an eye on NYSE:HD , NYSE:WMT , NYSE:BABA for any major moves
AMEX:SPY
by Ubaidy100
FXI - iShares China Large-Cap ETF... FXI stock is a strong buy due to China's rapid economic growth, diverse portfolio of leading companies, and potential for high returns. Investing in FXI offers exposure to China's expanding market. 9988.HK Alibaba Group Holding Limited 9.72% 0700.HK Tencent Holdings Limited 8.73% 3690.HK Meituan 8.09% 00939 00939 7.08% 01398 01398 4.74% 03988 03988 4.26% 9999.HK NetEase, Inc. 4.00% 1810.HK Xiaomi Corporation 3.77% 9618.HK JD.com, Inc. 3.73% 01211 01211 3.51% FXI stock is a strong buy because while the US and Europe have experienced an incredible bull run, China's market hasn't seen the same gains. This offers a unique opportunity for potential growth and high returns.
AMEX:FXILong
by Maximus20000
Anti Bat Bearish Harmonic Pattern on BABA🔍 Overview: I've identified an Anti Bat bearish harmonic pattern on BABA stock, and it's looking promising for a short trade on the 3-hour chart! 📉 📉 Chart Analysis: 1️⃣ The Anti Bat pattern suggests a potential downward move, with resistance around the $78.13 level. 2️⃣ If we hit $78.13, a Shark bearish pattern also begins, providing additional confirmation for the bearish sentiment. 📈 🎯 Trade Setup: Anti Bat Pattern: Target 1: $77.91 💰 Target 2: $73.73 💸 SL: $81.55 Shark Pattern (if $78.13 is hit): Target 1: $76.02 Target 2: $72.22 📝 Why I'm Interested: The combination of the Anti Bat and potential Shark patterns strengthens the bearish outlook. 📊📉 These patterns often signal high-probability reversals, and with the confirmation of the Shark pattern, this trade setup becomes even more compelling. 📅 Timeframe: Watching this setup on a 3-hour chart, so keep an eye on shorter-term price movements for the best entries and exits. ⏳ 🔔 Stay Updated: Be ready to adapt your strategy as the price action unfolds. Let's get it! 🤑💪🏻 #BABA #AntiBatPattern #SharkPattern #HarmonicPatterns #Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeTalkFarsi 📉🐻
NYSE:BABAShort
by TradeTalkFarsi
4
BABA LongWe are already positioned in this at a lower price, however a new opportunity has presented itself after the recent price action. We have a rising three valleys pattern indicating accumulation after this perfect bullish Gartley. Along with this Baba is showing clear bullish divergence and is currently backtesting the $78 zone which has been a historical key level. Sizing up risk with a SL below the low gives us a great RR and plays the pattern. Good luck and we will update. Earnings are in over a month which gives the stock some time to move before.
NYSE:BABALong
by SynergyTradingSetups
5
HSI - KWEB - FXI - YINN --- China UptrendChart is self explantory. Bottomline I think we came to the end of 4 year long bear market in China. If they don`t blow up the Taiwan issue, coast is clear. Econ gathering on 14-16 July, CCP will explain it reforms. I don`t buy what they sell but they would most likely provde liquidity to the market pre and post this economic forum which they do every 5 years. Even for a small pop, this could be a nice play. BABA - PDD - JD - Tencent...ideally I play with YINN but all the names will benefit eventually.
TVC:HSILong
by S5_Trading_Desk
#202427 - priceactiontds - weekly update - alibaba #4Good Day and I hope you are well. A quick one on #baba again Alibaba Quote from last post: " The stock found it's bottom and points upwards. Many tails around the 68/70 area below and big bull bars now appearing. The monthly 20ema will most likely be hit soon, where I expect a pull-back to then break above to the 100$ level again. China is printing again and from a technical perspective the stock has seen the worst days IMO. Can see 120 over the next 6-12 months again. Where you put your stop? Probably 80 or you want to hold for longer term and scale in lower. " comment: The stock did almost exactly what I said it would. Last trade was good for 5$ or 6%. Market also turned 2$ above the monthly 20ema. So what is next? The two legged correction I have drawn is from 2024-05-14 and currently is going a bit deeper than expected but still valid. Market has to stay above 67 to make a higher low. Which would be a great entry for longs, once it turns again. I have drawn the bear channel on the daily chart, because the bear channel needs to be broken before you think about longs on this one. Could happen next week or the week after. Selling below 70/75 is bad any way you put it. Market just made a strong move again and another will likely follow. Bears are in their third push down and could see a two legged correction soon again, if not a major trend reversal for 100. current market cycle: trading range at the lows key levels: 63 - 120 bull case: Bulls want to break above 18500 to retest the other bear trend lines above. Bull Invalidation is below 67. Bear Invalidation is above 77. short term: Neutral until bear channel is broken and bullish above 76 for 85 or higher again. medium-long term: 17000 over the next 3-6 Months and when we get there, I update again. —unchanged current swing trade: No big move caught. Will look for follow through selling on Monday and would swing a position then. Chart update: Adjusted bear wave series to match the current sideways movement.
NYSE:BABA
by priceactiontds
2
Alibaba - Back to bearish (not)?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After Alibaba broke below the major support trendline in 2021 we saw a massive correction of -75% towards the downside. Alibaba was then retesting another major level, this time a previous support area which is at $60. So far Alibaba stock is still respecting the bearish trendline, but it is just a matter of time until we will see a bullish trading opportunity on this stock. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
9
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 25 - BABA - (8th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing Alibaba (BABA), starting from the 6-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my other videos on TradingView or on YT. If you are interested in private coaching, feel free to get in touch via one of my socials.
NYSE:BABAEducation
by Road_2_Funded
Alibaba - Don't forget chinese stocks!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Back in 2020 Alibaba stock created a textbook breakout of an ascending triangle formation which was followed by more continuation towards the upside. Then Alibaba stock topped out in 2021 and we saw a massive decline of -80% from the previous highs. At the moment Alibaba is still in a very bearish market but there is a chance that we will see a reversal in the near future. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
18
BABA: Set for a Bullish Reversal, Potential Gains Exceed 50%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NYSE:BABA ! On the weekly chart, BABA is making some exciting moves! It's broken out of a falling wedge pattern, forming a bullish candlestick with a long wick right on the EMA 34 line. But what really caught our eye? The significant volume spike, more than double the average. Now, why does this matter? Well, it's a clear sign of increased buying interest and strong market conviction behind the price movement. And wait, there's more good news: the MACD indicator is showing a bullish divergence, hinting at a potential reversal. So, what's the forecast? We're looking at a potential upward swing to close the gap near our first target at $117.89. After that, we might see a slight dip to the yellow zone before it continues its rally towards our second target at $165. It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd." Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below
NYSE:BABALong
by financialfreedomgoals101
8
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $2.74. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:BABALong
by TopgOptions
Alibaba Stock Soars 7.56% After Strong JD.com ResultsAlibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) saw a 7.66% gain in afternoon trading on Thursday, thanks to a revenue beat from JD.com. Despite the slight revenue boost, Alibaba's earnings and revenue growth accelerated slightly from the prior quarter, up 13% and 2%, respectively. On an adjusted basis, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) earned $1.40 a share, down 10% year over year, while revenue edged higher by 1% to $30.7 billion. The company announced a two-part dividend, including an annual cash dividend of $1 per American depository share and a "one-time extraordinary cash dividend" of 66 cents per ADS, totaling $4 billion. In late March, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) abandoned plans to list its logistics arm in Hong Kong, but the news did not lift Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) out of its downtrend. The cancellation of the listing poses more challenges to a restructuring plan announced last year by Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ), which would have split the e-commerce giant into six separate companies. NYSE:BABA stock rallied sharply on February 6 after the company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $36.7 billion, up 2% from the year-ago quarter and slightly above the $36.16 billion consensus. However, adjusted profit fell 4% to $2.67 a a share. Investors also liked the fact that Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) added $25 billion to its share buyback program through March 2027. Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) plunged in mid-November despite reporting an 18% rise in quarterly profit and a 6% increase in revenue. The company surged on Jan. 23 on reports that co-founder Jack Ma and business associate Joe Tsai have been buying shares of NYSE:BABA stock in recent months. In September, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) came under selling pressure after outgoing CEO Daniel Zhang unexpectedly stepped down as head of the company's cloud business. Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) surged above its 200-day moving average on July 7, following Chinese regulators fined the company's financial arm, Ant Group, just under $1 billion. In April 2021, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) was hit with a $2.8 billion fine in an anti-monopoly probe. However, after three years of regulatory scrutiny, optimism is building that Beijing is close to ending its crackdown on tech firms. In March 2023, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) announced plans to separate into six separate units, each with the ability to raise outside funding and even pursue an IPO. The company is likely to maintain its cloud/artificial intelligence business and giant e-commerce operations. In April 2020, China regulators fined Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) $2.8 billion after an antimonopoly probe. At the time, it appeared that Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) was ready to break out of a downtrend but got turned away at its 50-day moving average. It tried to rally above the 50-day line again in late April but sellers knocked the stock lower again. According to recent reports, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is expected to earn $7.98 a share in fiscal year 2025, down 7% compared to fiscal 2024. For fiscal 2026, earnings are expected to rise 14% to $9.07 a share.
NYSE:BABALong
by DEXWireNews