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BABA

$BABA: It's time, load up the truck...I think $BABA likely bottoms around here, the 14 week down trend signal that predicted this decline reached its final week and price will gap down into long term support from the all time 25% speed line for the whole advance from the bottom to the top. Sentiment had reached critical levels for equities last week already, and there's a path out of this mess with Evergrande possibly under control and most investors liquidated out of this stock, reaching lows not seen since 2019. Valuation is interesting now, so, it seems like a good play to try and knife catch this one. I once tried with the $KWEB etf which had completed a similar down trend recently, which led to a rapid rebound rally but that rally was faded after I took profits, and prices retraced back near the bottom on the back $BABA's continued weakness. The time is likely now, to try and fade this largely hyped fall, after most people trying to catch the bottom gave up already. Let's roll! I risk 1 average true range down, below this support level here, I will then monitor daily charts for a bullish trend signal after basing, to accumulate more shares and trail my stop loss higher. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:BABALong
by IvanLabrie
14
Projections for $BABA by EOWThis asset in particular is being monitored heavily by Bulls. So, when it breaks, it will break quickly, but below are all the mandatory points of procedure when it comes to this type of consolidation. The asset could fall below your entry, to a double bottom on the longest wick of this triangle. Set this as your stop loss because anything below this and it’s still hosting too much outflow. I’m case this does fall below your stop, In the future on the way back up, these trend lines will remain the same. So an entry could later on be determined from these charts. Thanks for the read! Let me know your thoughts.
NYSE:BABALong
by SwayzePunkz
Alibaba Sheds USD 344 Bn Since October 2020Following the exile of Jack Ma, shares of BABA tumbled down from all-time highs a year ago. No company has incurred more of a loss in market capitalization than Alibaba in the last year. None have come close to the large figure. Ever since Ma publicly expressed forthright discontent with the financial system of China, investor sentiment around the successful giant has dwindled. The price of shares consequently halved into late September and are still fairly dormant improving to USD 173. Jack Ma has recently been photographed in the Netherlands browsing agriculture tech after his public reappearance in Spain a week ago. Shares have rallied around 7% ever since. The company's presentation of a new server chip on October 18 has further helped improve share price. The chip is based on advanced 5-nanometer technology designed to support the company's growing cloud computing business. Alibaba will likely report earnings on November 4th where investors can expect strong business growth, and another revenue beat. Though there are still considerable risks that investors should not ignore, Alibaba should still be a solid pick for the coming years.
NYSE:BABA
by EqualOcean
BIDU has bottomed, massive Wave 3 incomingFrom the bottom of Mar'20 of 80$, BIDU saw a massive Wave 1 (subdivided into 5 waves). Note that Wave 3 was an exact 261.8% extension of wave 1 & wave 5 was almost a 161.8% extension of Wave 3. Then, a huge A-B-C correction, almost accurately to the 78.6% retracement of the bigger wave 1 (not coincidentally, the pre-pandemic level too!) For the first time since July, the stock went above the 200d ema & has promptly pulled back. This might trade here for a while as there are many resistances above, but there are major support levels too. 175-176 is the next target, followed by 184 & 202 Invalidation level: 138-140 level (PS: Alibaba(BABA) also forming a similar pattern but BIDU is more bullish. BABA badly broke the pandemic low, thanks to disappearance of a special someone) Not an investment advice, I am long on both BIDU & BABA
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by kvsrinie
Alibaba Group Looks like on the daily timeframe, we are on the top side of the MAcd which entails that we may be at a level to although on the weekly we are oversold, the daily looks like there "may" and i mean "MAY" be a small pullback to the previous low (38%) before it continues to the upside. BABA won't and can't be held back for long before it reaches its previous high up to 38 -61% of that previous high on the weekly time frame. This the Google of China and Munger believes in them heavily. I'll follow! He's my mentor
NYSE:BABALong
by Redimere_91
Wolfe wave 2d - Rotation of out US equities and back into BABA ?BABA has been beaten up to death punishing long term investors. Regardless of the noise, a wolfe wave pattern has been identified on the 2D time-frame. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is approx 240 to 260. These targets can achieved before or after earnings. Short term psychological target is 200.
NYSE:BABALong
by TOSOPTION
Alibaba | Fundamental Analysis + Next target 🔔Chinese e-commerce behemoth Alibaba Group Holding has become one of the top investment trends of 2021. Over the past year, the company's stock has dropped more than 50% of its value, almost inaudible for a company of this size and status. The stock recently rebounded 15% from its 52-week lows, and investors are curious if the drama is over. And today's review will tell you just why you should be cautious about returning to the Alibaba rollercoaster. The most interesting thing about Alibaba's troubled year is that it has scarcely anything to do with real business. It is the powerful e-commerce business in China's vast economy, and nearly 1.2 billion people worldwide have used its services in the past year. BABA posted revenues of $31.8 billion in its most recent quarter ended June 30, up 34% from the pandemic peak in mid-2020. The business is undoubtedly effective and brings a lot of free cash flow: $3.2 billion per quarter, or 10% of revenue. Over the past year, the Chinese government has taken a decisive stance and has become more active in intervening in large Chinese technology companies. Chinese President Xi Jinping has stressed the need to distribute wealth from large corporations to the Chinese population through social programs, infrastructure, etc. He is putting pressure on dominant Chinese technology companies because China has the regulatory authority to advance them with antitrust lawsuits. Chinese regulators have already fined Alibaba $2.5 billion in antitrust investigations. Perhaps, as a result of this pressure, Alibaba has agreed to donate 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) over the next five years to social needs. Given the company's free cash flow of $3.2 billion last quarter, this is a meaningful figure. That's less cash to invest in business development and less money for the company's shareholders. In late 2020, Chinese regulators blocked an initial public offering by Chinese fintech company Ant Group, which would have valued the company at about $300 billion. Like Alibaba, Ant Group is another business headed by Jack Ma and owns China's largest digital payments platform. Regulators have forced Ant Group to restructure its business to comply with Chinese regulations, separating its Alipay platform from its lending business and sharing ownership of its newly created customer data business with the Chinese government. This definitely turns Ant Group into a bank and gives the Chinese state access to Ant Group's consumer data, the "secret sauce" of the business. Alibaba owns a third of Ant Group, and the halt of its IPO is a value-destroying event that probably played a role in Alibaba's stock decline. China creates political problems for Alibaba and similar technology companies that are hard for investors to predict. What happens if the Chinese government decides to take more funds from tech companies? What if regulations become even stricter? Investors have little ability to assess these risks. As a result, Alibaba's stock is selling off as investors try to factor in these risks. Analysts forecast revenues of $140 billion for the entire fiscal year 2022 (the calendar year 2021), resulting in a stock price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of just over 3. Before the pandemic, the stock was trading at a P/S ratio of 10, so it's obvious how much the stock price has declined while the core business keeps expanding. If we go back even further, to three years ago, the P/S of the stock was 15. In other words, the stock's valuation has declined 80% over the past few years. Wow! Right? Let's compare Alibaba to Amazon, a similar company: an e-commerce giant with additional segments like cloud services. Amazon's P/S has never surpassed 5 in the last five years, meaning that at the peak of the P/S ratio Alibaba was valued at five times the price of Amazon stock. Amazon's P/S is currently 3.4, which is only 10% higher than Alibaba's, which may be fair since they are very similar. Alibaba is smaller and may grow a little faster, but then you have to consider the political risks and the company's huge donations to China's social programs. So it would be logical to argue that Alibaba should trade at a discount to Amazon, as it does now. But if you want to absolve doubts about Alibaba, it would still be difficult to justify a significant premium over Amazon's price. It may turn out that Alibaba has been expensive for years and that much of the fall was due to the stock coming to a more adequate valuation, rather than the fall being a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity, as some investors think. This means that Alibaba does not have as many prospects as it appears at first glance, and so investors might think twice before grasping Alibaba's recent bounce.
NYSE:BABALong
by FOREXN1
2
China: Where is the bottom? Let's look at Tencent Some reasons why we're probably near a bottom with Chinese equities, +/- 10-20% 1) Since 2013, price has consistently respected the trendline - no different than a standard demand curve in economics. Trendlines are demand for price over a period of time and they work best when price revisits them often and shown to bounce after. 2) We also have the 200 week moving average that supported price during the correction of 2018 (President Donald Trump's trade war with China & the slowdown in global economic growth / concern that the Fed was raising interest rates too quickly) - The 200wma also supported price during the Covid meltdown of 2020. 3) 2018 and 2020 resistance is now structure support + notice the gap that was just recently filled during yesterday's waterfall decline. 4) Tencent has retraced about 76% from the former impulse low to high, which is a standard deep retest in a correction (61.8% - 76% on the deeper end). 5) FXI is the Chinese large cap ETF - notice it hit the 200 Month moving average and bounced. You could see that here: No position yet, but may be interested in LEAPS. Easier trades out there IMO... but if holding, this is definitely not a place to sell. Expect chop and time to base. V shape recovery is also possible here (but unlikely in my view due to sentiment damage and headline risk). GL
OTC:TCEHY
by Lanmar
7