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BABA

$BABA earnings analysis*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* Today my team took a dive into Chinese online and mobile commerce company Alibaba $BABA. It has suffered an immense drop from its 52-week ranged high of $280.61. There are numerous events that factored into this sell-off, but we are not here today to discuss them. Instead we will focus on why $BABA is a hot earnings play for November 18, 2021. To start, its strong cloud services will likely have shown improvement as they have implemented many new features the past few months to their cloud offerings. This is important because even if they miss earnings tomorrow investors/shareholders may still be encouraged if its cloud strength continues to show progressive results. Another factor that we are fond of is the apparent head and shoulders pattern that is being formed on its chart. This along with a pre-earnings dip of -4% has gotten us very interested in this play. My team started a long $BABA position today at $161 per share. We will add more shares if a drop occurs, which is possible considering that this is still a fairly risky play. Our Entry: $161 Take Profit 1: $180 Take Profit 2: $193 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:BABALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
9
The Ending of an Era - HSIOriginal Chart This is Based Off 2018 update Original Trade Strategy Around This Chart Everything should be self explanatory in the chart. Of course - this will work until it doesn't, but since the 1990, the HSI index hitting its upper resistance line has nailed every major global market top within a very short timeframe. You can see how perfect this has timed markets with the correlation to the SPX index in the lower chart. Hypothetically speaking, when you would hit the upper resistance line, you would short emerging markets to hedge against whatever is about to happen. Then when this hits the lower resistance line, you would go long major market indexes until you arrive back at the upper resistance line (SPX, etc). 2022 - End of an Era? As most can see, this chart is a very very long narrowing wedge / channel. The volatility between drawdowns and rises was far greater the further back you go, and the drawdowns have all been proportionally smaller as we narrow within the channel bouncing off top and bottom resistance (and sometimes in between). With that said, narrowing channels like this indicate increasing fragility of the trend, and potentially suppressed volatility. Eventually, something has to give, and this will break the long term pattern. I believe we're close to that point, and that's not a good sign for asian markets. I don't know exactly what would happen if this breaks to the downside, but I don't think it would be pretty. Stable systems such as this have a way of becoming extremely chaotic when the stability breaks. Chaotic markets = drawdowns / crashes, and given the current state of Chinese markets and politics, this shouldn't be too surprising that it could be possible. The ongoing Chinese real estate crisis is just getting going, and the party has so far remained committed towards deflating their real estate bubble. Fundamentally, Hong Kong is just as bad if not worse than China from a real estate speculation / valuation perspective, yet there are additional problems in HK with people fleeing the territory due to the Chinese takeover following the 2018 protests. Demographics are strongly against this market, valuations are strongly against this market, and the current economics of this look rather dire without any major positive windows into future development / growth. From a technical perspective, this is also far weaker than every other time it's hit the bottom resistance line. Note that every other instance we hit the lower resistance line, we also were hitting the lower monthly bollinger band at the same time. Not included within the chart, but momentum indicators also are showing a lot of negative divergences. You can see this from simply looking at the chart and noting the covid recovery bounce has been far weaker than every other post-lower boundary recovery bounce. We didn't even make it up to the middle resistance line before retesting. My guess and view is that this won't break easily, but it will break dramatically. I think there is a good chance we see another rally here back towards one of the resistance lines, but after that, momentum will have really worn off. I also think we could chop around the lower resistance for a while, but ultimately, we are likely going to break down here on a secular basis. Maybe Kyle Bass will actually be validated after being wrong for 10+ years (except he's probably already been stopped out of all his poorly timed trades)?
TVC:HSIShort
by GTStockmaster
22
BABA - it's time to have a good look at AlibabaAlibaba has reached it's lowest point in a very long time. PE ratio is not very optimistic, but it may to do with the general situation about Evergrande, which seems going bankrupt very soon. Aliexpress is reported to have more than 900 million (active) users, while Alibaba has several other businesses along, which act as complementary parts for the whole company and doing in general not bad at all. My expectations are that BABA will start it rise very soon, unless more negative news about Evergrande will come from China. In case there will be no bad news, very soon BABA reports earnings, and it will in a way determine how the stock will behave, Generally speaking, it's about the right time to enter BABA, although the most attractive moment has already passed, when it was trading around 140$/sh in October. Considering very negative scenarios, when both bad news from China will follow and some other matters, such as interruptions in the supply-chain, I believe it won't fall much lower than 130-140$/sh anyway. This way, waiting may give the opportunity to gain some extra 10-15% percent, but there won't be much more of it, while entering the stock too late, may eventually lead to more long-term losses. Let's wait to they Earnings day to see what it will bring...
NYSE:BABA
by inducto
My Call option Watchlist of the week..!Before starting the analysis I would like to mention option trading is very risky and is not recommended for someone without experience! For those who have experience, this list could be fun to watch or trade this week! I usually use high-risk high-reward contracts! These are my option trading rules! Please read the rules and apply them to your trading..! My Option trading rules and strategies 1- Position size: Define your risk level first A- Small: 3% of Primary Capital B- Regular: 5% of Primary Capital C- Big: 8% of Primary Capital 2- Stop Loss: A: 30% for all positions.(3%,5%,8%,*0.3= 0.9%, 1.5%, 2.4% of your trading capital) B: Trailing Stop loss will move to Entry piece after 30% profit, for risk-free trades, moves to 20% after 50% and moves to 60% after 100%. C: No stop loss in the system for the first 30 minutes of the market! ( order Good for Day) 3- Time Frame: - My optimum goal is to close options trades ASAP, I do not recommend staying in any option trade for more than 72 hours. 4- Buy Naked Calls or Puts - Buy Calls & Buy Puts options do not bring any obligation, and their risk is limited to losing the premium. I never recommend Sell calls/puts: risk unlimited, Gain limited 5-Strike price - Only trade first In/Out of money contract. Out-of-money contracts always have higher risks. - Expiration date - At least 3-20 days left, But Never keep until the last day! Closing Target - will be calculated based on short time swings and will be updated as needed. - Any change will be announced through notifications. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
PLong
by Moshkelgosha
6
ALIBABA $BABA gift to you$BABA has been in a downtrend all year 2021. while this has being disappointing to investors, its also the one in 4 years opportunity to buy into this Chinese retail leader at these prices. I mean 140 $ -160 is your buy zone. it will never be this cheap for a long time. HARD SUPPORT is at I40$ and that represents the new foundation for this moon shoot. This is a long term play so allocate capital judiciously. TAKE PROFIT zones should be about 210-220 and 260- 280. GOODLUCK!!
NYSE:BABALong
by lexcel
Alibaba Analysis 06.11.2021Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
NYSE:BABA
by basictradingtv
3
BABA Found Bottom? Reversal Head and Shoulders Play to $210On the weekly chart, $BABA looks like it has found support at $155 and is forming a reverse head and shoulders pattern. I'm looking for one more touch of $155 or slightly lower, followed by a close above the $155 support to start adding a long position. A break above the downward resistance trendline would confirm a bullish break upward and $180 giving us our next big resistance. A close above $180 should send this back to $210.
NYSE:BABALong
by CharlestonTrader
$BABA: It's time, load up the truck...I think $BABA likely bottoms around here, the 14 week down trend signal that predicted this decline reached its final week and price will gap down into long term support from the all time 25% speed line for the whole advance from the bottom to the top. Sentiment had reached critical levels for equities last week already, and there's a path out of this mess with Evergrande possibly under control and most investors liquidated out of this stock, reaching lows not seen since 2019. Valuation is interesting now, so, it seems like a good play to try and knife catch this one. I once tried with the $KWEB etf which had completed a similar down trend recently, which led to a rapid rebound rally but that rally was faded after I took profits, and prices retraced back near the bottom on the back $BABA's continued weakness. The time is likely now, to try and fade this largely hyped fall, after most people trying to catch the bottom gave up already. Let's roll! I risk 1 average true range down, below this support level here, I will then monitor daily charts for a bullish trend signal after basing, to accumulate more shares and trail my stop loss higher. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:BABALong
by IvanLabrie
14