BABA - will the rebound come after the pullback? BABA hitting the bottom resistance line, likely a rebound will be underway.
BABA
$BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential!🚀 NYSE:BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential! 🚀
🔍 Key Points:
Looking for a bounce after retesting the symmetrical triangle breakout
Awaiting the H5 Indicator to flip green for a bullish signal
Crucial to hold the volume profile shelf for continued upward momentum
Target Prices:
🎯 $107
🎯 $134
MM 🎯 $157
Alibaba: Chart Signals Bullish Run to $130Alibaba's earnings report is set to be released tomorrow. Based on the current chart pattern, it appears to be forming a falling wedge, which could signal a potential bullish breakout. If the earnings report aligns, a move towards $130 is anticipated
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide.
On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending.
But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday.
Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020.
The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday
On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China.
In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month.
In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China.
In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020.
Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based.
Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
BABA looks to be bottoming I like $88 range as support buy, BABA has the look of a 2 year bottoming price accumulation.
First target $177.
BABA LongWe are already positioned in this at a lower price, however a new opportunity has presented itself after the recent price action.
We have a rising three valleys pattern indicating accumulation after this perfect bullish Gartley.
Along with this Baba is showing clear bullish divergence and is currently backtesting the $78 zone which has been a historical key level.
Sizing up risk with a SL below the low gives us a great RR and plays the pattern. Good luck and we will update. Earnings are in over a month which gives the stock some time to move before.
$BABA Long Ahead Of EarningsNYSE:BABA will have earnings soon and I think it will execute a breakout towards the indicated targets.
I would consider purchasing the 110 Calls with an expiration date of 2025-2-21, for a premium of approximately $3.30. Good time to buy call options!
(Credit for contract idea @TopgOptions)
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Alibaba Group $BABA stock investment opportunity Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA stock is trying to pull back to strong demand imbalance on the weekly timeframe located at $86 per share. Patiently waiting for the correction before buying this giant Chinese stock.
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup
Entry Price: $99.13
Stop Loss (SL): $97.32
Target Levels:
TP1: $101.36
TP2: $104.96
TP3: $108.57
TP4: $110.80
Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China.
Technical Indicators:
Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias.
Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity.
Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4.
Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
JD.COM PT63$ after breaking the long term trendlineJD.com broke the minor trend lines and is heading towards the long term trendline. This level is also enforced by prior highs/lows that acted as pívot points.
If broken, I would expect to extend the final of the third Elliot leg to the 63$ area, then back test the broken trendline, and then attack the ATH again.
Please let me know your thoughts!
When Does a $433.5 Million Settlement Become a Victory for Both In the complex landscape of corporate litigation, Alibaba's recent settlement presents a fascinating case study of modern business strategy. While the Chinese e-commerce giant agrees to pay $433.5 million to settle shareholder allegations, this decision might paradoxically represent a win-win scenario for both the company and its investors. The settlement, ranking among the top 50 largest securities class actions in U.S. history, raises intriguing questions about the balance between corporate governance and strategic business decisions.
What makes this case particularly compelling is the mathematics of risk management. When faced with potential damages of $11.63 billion, Alibaba's decision to settle for $433.5 million reveals a sophisticated calculation of risk versus reward. This settlement, representing less than 4% of the maximum potential damages, demonstrates how modern corporations can transform legal challenges into strategic opportunities for resolution and renewal.
The implications of this settlement extend far beyond Alibaba's balance sheet. As global markets increasingly scrutinize tech giants' practices, this case sets a precedent for how international corporations might navigate the complex intersection of antitrust regulations, shareholder rights, and market competition. The resolution suggests that in today's business environment, the true measure of corporate success might lie not in avoiding challenges, but in transforming them into opportunities for organizational evolution and stakeholder alignment.
Alibaba (BABA) – Potential Rebound If Alibaba (BABA) returns to the green zone, there’s potential for a rebound, creating a good opportunity for a long entry. This zone is important as it coincides with the monthly open, and buyers are likely to step in at this level.
Strategy: I’ll be watching for a pullback to the green zone and will consider going long with confirmation of buying activity.
Alibaba should target 184 after rebound and beating ResistanceWeekly chart, the stock NYSE:BABA is trading in a symmetrical triangle, and is heading down to the support level.
I think the 100 or 89 levels will be strong enough to reverse the direction; to hit the resistance line R at around 117.
Closing above R for 2 weeks (above 118), the target will be 184, passing through the resistance levels 138 and 170
Consider the stop loss below 89
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $115, $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$baba coiled consolidation at the lowsbaba might be the setup i'm attracted to the most. showing strength at the decade low. expected this to break the downward trend any time now. looking to the fill the gap up around $84 by eoy.
BABA overbought.....need a correction for further moves......www.tradingview.com
BABA just overbought made lot of gaps, yes it may not cover all gaps from $80 breakout but $100 psychological support would be a nice test to make further new highs.
Chinese Markets Come Roaring Back | +87% on $JD options trade! NASDAQ:JD Price action is a sign of strength today - whereas pundits said Chinese markets will open weak.
I love what we're seeing today and have updated our upcoming resistance points to consider profit taking.
They are as follows (est.): $46, $50, $60.
On continuing strong VOL, this name should continue to feel the love!
BABA weekly is now Uptrend.BABA (and other chinese stocks) continue with Bullish momentum
Successfully formed Higher High Higher Low and EMA20 crossing above EMA50 on weekly chart indicating long term Uptrend since April 2021.
Price structure formed Support and Resistant at every 20$ Range.
Breaks psychological 100 resistant with strong MCDX banker volume. Exposing next target at 120.
MCDX Retailer is insignificant.
Next Plan : Hold the position, look for further buy opportunity when pullback and retest at 100 zone.
BABA: What happens next after this insane rally?Alibaba despite today's correction, remains massively overbought both on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 81.819, MACD = 5.940, ADX = 34.506) and on 1W (RSI = 75.158, MACD = 5.970, ADX = 33.938). As the price almost reached the 1W MA200, we expect a technical correction near the 1W MA50, which is the pattern the stock followed on its previous historic expansion in 2016-2017. We expect a similar Channel Up to dictate the trend and peak late 2025 - early 2026 (TP = 200.00).
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Alibaba Group (BABA) Share Price Rises Over 30% Since Early SeptAlibaba Group (BABA) Share Price Rises Over 30% Since Early September
As shown on the Alibaba Group (BABA) stock chart, the price surpassed $107 on the NYSE on Friday, after trading below $85 at the start of the month.
Bullish sentiment surrounding Chinese stocks is driven by the authorities' plans to stimulate the country's economy:
→ According to Benzinga, China’s Central Bank shared plans last week to lower the banks’ required reserve ratio (RRR);
→ The Central Bank also outlined further support measures for the struggling real estate market.
It appears that market participants expect these economic stimulus measures to benefit Alibaba Group (BABA).
Technical analysis of the Alibaba Group (BABA) stock chart reveals:
→ The historical high above $300 was reached in October 2020, after which bears dominated the market. Signs of bullish activity emerged between 2022 and 2024 as the stock fell to $70.
→ In 2024, the price broke through three descending trendlines (marked in red) drawn through key highs, and the price movements suggest a new upward channel is forming (marked in blue).
→ The RSI indicator is at a multi-month high, signalling strong overbought conditions, while Friday’s candle closed with a long upper wick (a sign of increased bearish activity).
Although the current bullish momentum may still have room to lift Alibaba Group (BABA) shares to the upper boundary of the blue channel, given the information above, there is a significant likelihood of a correction forming in early October.
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Alibaba (BABA): Stagnation Phase or Momentum Boost?We are currently experiencing a phase of stagnation with Alibaba, as the stock remains in a new accumulation phase after breaking out of the previous one. The price might retest the Point-of-Control along with the trendline that was broken during the breakout, potentially providing a good momentum boost.
Despite the sideways movement, our position remains profitable. From a long-term perspective, our entry looks strong, with a 10% stop-loss from our entry point. The upside potential for Alibaba is significant, given how far the stock is from its historical highs.
The main concern with Alibaba is the jurisdiction risk, as it is a Chinese stock and subject to influences from China, which adds a layer of risk not present with American stocks. Nevertheless, as long as the price stays above $72.38, the outlook remains positive. Losing this level would be unfavorable and could indicate further downside risk.
In summary, we remain optimistic about Alibaba's potential, keeping a close watch on the key support levels to manage risk effectively.
$FXI / $SPX | You Should Be Tracking ThisWe've been full bull China since early spring of this year and this chart here represents our macro thesis. We've posted about AMEX:FXI before and it's potential swing move of 75-100%...
This chart here is AMEX:FXI vs SP:SPX on macro HTF. We believe this chart represents a macro bottom of china relative US equities.
Last night, China announced a 50 bps rate cut with plans for additional rates cuts in the near future, as well as lowering existing mortgage rates. We've been expecting some govt influence and we finally got it.
HUGE move printing and we think it's just the beginning. We've been big on NYSE:BABA and OTC:PNGAY all year and they've been two of the big winners today.
Currently printing a macro 3M RSI bottom and looking to confirm it after q4 candle print.
This is a move that will likely take the rest of the decade to fully play out.
