BABA
$PBTS DD $1 - $9Hello everyone,
I hope you're having a great weekend so far.
DISCLAIMER:
I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR. THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE, I AM SIMPLY PASSING ALONG RESEARCH I HAVE GATHERED. BUYING/SELLING POWERBRIDGE TECHNOLOGIES ($PBTS) WOULD BE AT THE DOING OF YOUR OWN. PLEASE DO NOT INVEST BLINDLY, NOR USE THIS AS YOUR ONLY SOURCE OF INFORMATION.
*** I attempted to be as informative as I could possibly be. If I missed a few details, please feel free to comment them below.*** Best of luck to you all!
What you will find in this DD:
Industry Background
About Powerbridge Technologies
History
Solutions & Services
Powerbridge System Solutions
Powerbridge Saas Services
Powerbridge BaaS Services (BLOCKCHAIN TIE)
Other Core Technologies
Financials
Management & Board Team
Why I Like It.
Key Factors
Final Remarks
Global trade is characterized by its extended workflows with complicated compliance and logistics processes, voluminous documentation and time-consuming paper handling, cumbersome and costly peer-to-peer messaging and multiple players from different disciplines. A typical export process in China for a single shipment may involve:
Industry Background
Industry Background - The Belt & Road Effect in China and Globally
About Powerbridge Technologies:
Powerbridge Technologies - About
A Nasdaq listed company (PBTS), Powerbridge is a provider of software application and technology solutions and services to corporate and government customers engaged in global trade in China. Founded in 1997, Powerbridge pioneered global trade software applications with a vision to make global trade operations easier for customers. Since inception, Powerbridge has continued to innovate and deliver solutions and services to address the changing needs of thousands of customers. Powerbridge’s mission is to make global trade easier by empowering all players in the ecosystem.
History:
Solutions & Services:
Powerbridge System Solutions
Comprehensive and robust customized solutions and packaged products that allow customers to streamline and optimize operations in regulatory compliance, trade logistics and trade financing.
Trade Compliance Solutions
Allow government agencies and regulatory authorities greater control and security, better use of resources, higher duty collection, faster processing time and higher compliance and logistics efficiency in servicing global trade businesses and logistics service providers.
Trade Enterprise Solutions
Enable global Trade businesses in diverse industries to manage business operations, simplify trade and transaction processes, streamline compliance and logistics processes, reduce document handling, minimize operational cost and increase overall productivity.
Trade Loan & Insurance Services
Designed to facilitate global trade loan, insurance, settlement processing services. Enables global trade businesses, financial service providers and trade insurance providers to reduce workflow complexity, processing time and operational cost while increase processing efficiency.
Powerbridge SaaS Services
Comprehensive and robust customized solutions and packaged products that allow customers to streamline and optimize operations in regulatory compliance, trade logistics and trade financing.
Service Offerings
Core Benefits
Powerbridge Technologies Announces Successful Launch of its Cross-Border eCommerce SaaS Service Platform
Powerbridge BaaS Services:
Empower all players in the global trade ecosystem to synchronize and collaborate in unprecedented ways to increase operational efficiency and reduce trade cost across the global trade supply chain.
Compliance Blockchain Services
Designed to provide multiple government agencies and authorities a single view or truth of trade events and documents, allowing them to collaborate and streamline regulatory compliance activities with enhanced compliance effectiveness and operational efficiency.
Supply Chain Blockchain Services
Designed to provide end-to-end visibility and transparency for broad synchronization and collaboration among all business, government and service provider players in the global trade ecosystem in which the trade process is facilitated and optimized.
Logistics Blockchain Services
Designed to enable global trade businesses and logistics service providers to optimize cross-organizational workflows by automating contract execution, streamlining document handling and synchronizing information exchange throughout the logistic process.
Trade Loan & Insurance Processing Blockchain Services
Designed to enable global trade businesses easier and faster processing for loans and insurance with lower cost and faster processing and to allow financial service providers improved visibility on trade events for better and more assured decision makings that mitigate risks.
Powerbridge Technologies Launches Blockchain Cross Border Compliance Platform at Nanning Customs
$BABA Still waiting!BABA ended the week strong with heavy call volume near Friday's close. Since last time I charted BABA, it dipped into my buy zone near the fib level and bounced fast. Notice how it bounced off the Oct VWAP from last year. Also notice how the weekly high is the 21 EMA, which is telling of this swing. Without an active sequence, it will be hard to tell as of right now if this is the bottom. It wouldn't surprise me if BABA went even lower to test last year's price range between 165-190, and I would be wary of going long here still. I will continue to watch BABA, hoping that it can show strong indication that a bounce is in on a strong Fib level and bouncing off the lower VWAP. So far the monthly low continues to be 204, right at the Fib level. Below 204, we can consider it a short term correction looking for lower prices.
BABA finally moving! I'm in 10 leaps of BABA. It's been in downtrend and silent for a while, but seems like this baby woke up! There's so much volume and strength, we need to break through the $231 resistance (100 SMA ) and then we're going to continue to another strong resistance $249 (200 SMA ). Plus the MOMO algo signal went long.
BABA, Forming This Massive Descending-Triangle, Likely Breakout!Hello Traders Investors And Community,
Welcome to this analysis about Alibaba in which I will look at the 12-hour timeframe perspectives. Since the Alibaba founder, Jack Ma moved into isolation because of a government critical speech the stock developed an exceptional downtrend with bearish alignments mainly reaching the 205 level. Now as there came news the founder still active and operating on the company this can also lead to potential positive developments on the fundamental sight of things matching with the technical factors I detected recently, therefore I am looking at all the important levels and likely destinies we should consider with the stock in the current structure and upcoming movements.
Structural Developments:
As when looking at my chart now we can watch there how Alibaba has formed this massive descending-triangle-formation with the coherent wave-count within and the waves A to C already completed. Such a triangle-formation is known to produce a substantial bullish reversal with further continuations and an increase in volatility to the upside. Recently Alibaba already formed this initial spike of bullishness to the upside within the triangle testing the upper boundary of the triangle-formation and also the 100- as well as the 65-EMA lying there, above these EMAs Alibaba will form a sustainable bullishness as the previous resistance gets support.
Upcoming Perspectives:
As Alibaba already formed all these strong initial terms in the structure it is likely that the triangle completes with a bullish breakout in the next times which will finally happen with the close above the upper boundary. It is seldom seen that such a structural triangle invalidates to the downside nevertheless it is important to keep patient till the triangle finally completes. Mainly the upcoming breakout can be traded either aggressively with immediate entry or conservative with an entry after confirmation, although the aggressive entry is also possible the conservative one will be much smarter. It will be an interesting development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about Alibaba and the current descending-triangle-formation forming that has the potential for a bullish breakout, will be great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, great contentment for everybody supporting, all the best!
Information is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
$AAPL $NFLX $BABA $SNOW I OptionsSwing WatchlistBABA 1D I BABA broke from a massive falling wedge established last year, and its ready to run up into its earnings.
AAPL 1D I We saw AAPL break from a triangle pattern and retest the breakout just to make a higher high. Expecting to consolidate near $130.
NFLX 1H I After seeing a consolidation near the $500 price level, we saw NFLX make a push last week to $530 as expected.
SNOW 4H I Following growth stocks, particularly cloud stocks as they are making a quick comeback. SNOW is near IPO levels and we want to see consolidation above $250 for continuation.
BABA Breakout?Baba has been rejected from the resistance over 5 times and this time its broken out with higher volume, rsi reaching over 90 on the 1 hour chart and it closed above. Everything here looking like a tech run in July. I suspect it to retest the 224 support and if we see a big drop it still has between 220-215 support now. Looking very bullish imo
BABA - BUY 223.13 - Target 245 level by 4 AUGABA has broke the trend and will move in upward direction. Based on Elliot wave count analysis
1st Buying level - 223.13 - if it cross this level, then will touch 232.51
2nd Buying level - above 236.59 to 239 - if it cross 239 then will touch 245 ( Target July 27 to 5 Aug )
Note : There will be a minor pullback once it touches 232.
sleeping giant $BABA is about to wake *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Recap: My team has been following Alibaba for the past few months. We originally entered $BABA on 5/27/21 at $207 per share. There is no denying the massive oversell of BABA. After correcting from its 52-week high of $319.32 $BABA now sits at just $214.22 per share. $BABA is a GREAT stock going forward and we absolutely believe that it will be trading in the $300 range before October.
Today my team has placed a buy order on $BABA at $220. We believe that if $BABA reaches $220 it will continue to push forward and have a short-term rally up to around $238 which was our original target. If price reaches $238 we will trim and wait for another opportunity to average up before $BABA pushes to our first take profit at $265.
If you fail to plan...you plan to fail.
We're long.
FIRST ENTRY: $207
BUY ORDER: $220
TAKE PROFIT: $265
STOP LOSS: $203
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
BABA setupThe fundamental for the company is still bullish.
* News of customer data leak didn't send this crashing down and historically the market is relatively tolerable towards data leaks .
* All regulatory fines are settled and Jack Ma's lack of presence is at least indicative that he acknowledges a positive correlation between BABA's success and his attitude towards the CCP.
Inflationary risks also seem much less of a concern in China vs. US.
The technical buildup is also interesting.
* Nearing the apex of this falling wedge
* In the Historical Buy Zone (long term supporting trendline/zone)
It's also worthy to point out RSI behaving interestingly with BABA at weekly views, with successful entry setup seen at RSI < 35 indicated by green arrows, and riskier but would have been successful setup seen at RSI < 40 indicated by yellow arrows.
Position: TBD
Waiting for confirmation of close above the upper line of the falling wedge in the daily chart
Best Deep-Value Large-cap Growth play - Alibaba (BABA)Macro Reasons
-China has a population of 1.3billion VS US's 0.33 Billion, about 4x more
-Rising Chinese middle class with a growing disposable income
-It is estimated that China's GDP is set to overtake the US in 5-8 years
Fundamentals Reasons
-With 56% of the e-commerce market share in China and a growing e-commerce pie, Alibaba is poised for greater growth in 5-10years
-Supported by Cainiao logistics to enable efficient e-commerce delivery and Alipay to complete its transactions/funding for their merchants, it forms Alibaba's iron triangle to capture a large market share in the e-commerce related space.
-Dominant Cloud player at 40% market share, this segment just turned profitable recently and will contribute to its growth strongly like Amazon's AWS (30% margins)
Valuation
FCF: 26Bil USD per year i.e 9.6 USD per share (2.711 Billion shares outstanding)
20X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 192 USD per share
25X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 240 USD per share
Net Cash of 20 USD per share (462bil RMB Cash - 115bil RMB Debt = 347 RMB Net Cash = 54bil USD net Cash )
Fair Value at current conditions = 212 USD per share (20X FCF) - 260 USD per share (25X FCF)
FCF 10 years later: 9.6 USD *4.04 (15% CAGR for 10 yrs) = 38.78 USD per share
20X multiple (10% discount rate - 5% perp growth): 775 USD per share +20USD net cash =795 USD per share
795/215 (Current share price 14th June 2021) = 3.70X in 10 years* i.e 14% CAGR
*Very conservative estimate of 15% CAGR FCF & terminal multiple of 20X, also assuming all FCF are re-invested in other biz and not distributed via dividends/ buybacks
Technicals
Seems like it is at its bottom after a 30% slump in its share price, touching a very strong upward sloping support line indicating the bottom is near. Incidentally, it corresponds with the bottom valuation of 212 USD per share (20X FCF + net cash).
Addressing Risks
Risks of VIE structure & CCP risk are unfounded, one can easily exchange its ADR for the equivalent HK shares at the ratio of 1ADR:8 HK shares and Alibaba is too big to fail for the CCP. The recent USD2.8 Billion fine on BABA is only 4% of revenue and not as dramatic as the 30% slump in BABA's recent valuation (from $310 to $211 per share). Also, the CCP has recently approved Ant Group’s new license to operate Chongqing Ant Consumer Finance, in which it has a 50 per cent stake. This indicates that the CCP doesn't want to tear down Alibaba but rather work towards a more successful China together.
BABA - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
BABA is sitting around strong weekly support and round number 200.0 in green so we will be looking for buy setups.
on H4: BABA formed a valid channel in red but it is not ready to go yet.
Before we buy, we want the buyers to prove that they are taking over again.
You don't want to buy a bearish market right?
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close above the last swing high (in gray) to buy.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, BABA would be overall bearish can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich