BABA
$JD Potential IHS still intact Hey guys, after a big down day today, I wanted to take a look at the chart again. The inverse head and shoulders is still intact. I really want to see the RSI trendline keep that incline slope.
If it doesn’t hold RSI tendline, we may head all the way to oversold conditions, which could be several dollars below here if we don’t get a significant rally. Also, It could potentially be a sign that the selling pressure is still present.
Everything here is just an opinion, and made for entertainment purposes. This is in no way, shape or form any any type of financial advice or advice in general. This is for entertainment purposes only.
BABA, 10d+/-20.43%falling cycle -20.43% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
ALIBABA uptrend confirmed. Made this chart simples as I could, so everyone could understand. Few thing happened that are extremely bullish. First, price is above 200 moving average. Second, 20 EMA crossed 40 EMA after 6 months(last time this happened Alibaba went from $66 to $120 in weeks) 3. It formed bullish divergence on RSI. I marked all the details. Pls this is not any financial advice or anything, I am just trying to make this chart as simple as I can. You are welcome to make any comments, positive and negative. Thank you
Don't Buy BABA in the short TermTechnical Analysis:
- As you can can see in the chart, Alibaba(BABA) is still correcting in short term wave V in red and it must be completed around $43 when we think smart buyers will appear
- If the price crosses the invalidation level around $121.30 it means that the correction is over or we can have a bounce in WXY Structure in wave IV which will extend more higher before goes lower
- H1 Right Side is Turning Up
- H4 Right Side is Turning Down
Technical Information:
- Wait for the correction in wave ((II)) in black to be completed in order to buy
4/3 Watchlist + NotesInitial Notes: Didn't trade on Friday, new month begins, SPY confirmed breakout on weekly, and light economic news coming this week.
SPY - (FRIDAY) Unfortunately, my SPY prediction for Friday was off. I underestimated the short term strength of the markets as evident by Friday's big green trend day. I'm not afraid to admit I was wrong on my analysis, because nobody can always perfectly predict the markets, and because ultimately, the markets surprise us once in a while. A good trader knows when they are right, but an even better trader knows when they are wrong. I choose to believe that I was missing info and/or not seeing the bigger picture for Friday's session. Going forward I would like to try to shoot for at least 80% accuracy with my SPY predictions, trades, and general analysis of setups that show up on the scanner. I will document all stats per usual at the bottom of my lists.
(MONDAY) Going into Monday, we have a few things to consider. We broke out of the upper trendline on the weekly chart, which is extremely bullish in my opinion. We also had a really strong and big green day friday with little to no upside wick. This tells me that we are looking very bullish just based on the weekly chart breakout, and the strength of the most recent daily candle. My guess is that we will see a push higher than Friday's high, but I am unsure of how much higher SPY can/will go. We are still at risk of short term exhaustion, and therefore, I am skeptical to see if we will see strong continuation or just consolidation/pullback before making the next real move. The most reasonable expectation for tomorrow in my opinion, is a day where we can be green or red, but regardless see a push higher while staying within a 1% range's movement on the day. Id love to create an inside day tomorrow but I sort of doubt we will be that lucky. Weekly targets are set at 415 and 402 respectively. More analysis to come as the week goes on(Apologies for the super long analysis, just had a lot to say with Friday's fail)
Watchlist + Bias:
SQ - 2-1 Daily and 3-1 Weekly: Slightly Bearish
BABA - 2-1 Daily : Bullish
LULU - 2-1 Daily : Neutral
MMM - 3-1 Weekly: Bullish
DOCU - 3-1-1 Weekly: Bullish
Main Watch:
SQ - Great setup on this one. 3-1 Weekly is the main catalyst I am watching. Would love to play downside on this and get a good entry on a break to the downside tomorrow with the 2-1 setup we have on the daily. My main concern is the bullish strength of the markets currently because another day of bullish movement could invalidate our short entry. I am open to playing both sides, but I would definitely prefer downside as there is better R/R.
Main Watch From Previous Watchlist:
DOCU: (Status:) Loser (Personally Trade?) No
DOCU had a solid setup, but even the best setups can be ruined when the overall markets are incredibly strong in the opposite way as your bias. This was the case for DOCU on friday. What is interesting is that we are now bullish on the daily with DOCU, but still remain in an inside setup on the weekly. Im keeping this on the watchlist for now as I think the weekly breakout could hold a bigger move because DOCU has a pretty large average daily range.
FDX - this wasnt a main watch but was something I watched throughout the whole week, Study the weekly and daily chart because although I missed the move, it played out exactly as we had hoped for. Cons if swung from daily entry went from about 3.5 to 5.85.
Last Week's Watchlist Stats:
3/5 SPY predictions
3/6 Main Watch Winners
Top Winner: NVDA 75%+
Personal Stats:
5/7 on the week (71.4% win rate)
Overall: Green week. Happy with the results, but I know we can do way better than that. Green week is a green week though. Lets do it again.
Best of luck tomorrow everyone !
$BABA: Strong baseI like the $BABA base that triggered a huge uptrend signal after news of the company being broken down in child companies for each main division by the govt., which would give investors exposure to potentially larger growth potential in each of them separately, rather than as a conglomerate. I have a small long term position but looking to increase exposure on any dip here.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
BIDU or BABAOne year Daily Chart
a simple comparison by dividing #BIDU / #BABA
The ratio has been kept mostly within 1.20 ~ 1.5+
Daily RSI starts to surpass 60, which potentially starts a bullish move
*** in this case, meaning Baidu will potentially starts to outperform Baba for quite sometime)
The ratio finally surpass 1.50+ again and has since mark a new High
RSI continues to stays along high levels
so long RSI did not break below leveled support, Baidu will perform better than Baba
BABA - Broken Resistance Level- BABA is in a falling trend channel in the medium long term.
- BABA has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
- BABA has support at 81 and resistance at 112.
- Overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
$BABA Inverse Head & Shoulders$BABA IH&S, neckline at $120, possible initial rejection (sell in may & go away) then hit $180 breakout target by fall. I took the fractal from the left shoulder and flipped it. I've been doing tons of IH&S patterns, but missed this one, shoutout @JaviCharts on Twitter for pointing this out! We both posted this at the low of the right shoulder at $80 about a week ago.. Follow me on Twitter @ChartingGuy twitter.com to get trades and chart updates sooner.
BABA - PULLBACKSimilar price actions from April and July 2022.
1. the price hits wall 2 and drops. Retest to wall 1 and rejected.
2. The price hits wall 2 and drops. Retest to wall 1 and rejected.
3. the price hits wall 2 and drops. This current movement is in the process of testing wall 1, if the history repeats expect of -15% movement towards the gap from last Tuesday.
Sell From First Candle 15/09/2014 - 04/10/2022 Low was 423 weeks. Expected bottom at 08/05/2023 a during of 451 weeks from Origin.
423/451 Variation
Vector Magnitude from 28/09/2015 low -26/10/2020 Top = 372.73 units
Time distance from 28/09/2015 low - 04/10/2022 Bottom = 369 weeks (-3 weeks)
Vector Magnitude from 26/10/2020 Top - 04/10/2022 Bottom = 282 units
Price units from 26/10/2020 Top - Expected Low = -279 points (-3 points)
26/10/2020 Top price = 319.32 USD with +262.11 points range
Total points range from Zero= 319.32
1/3*319.32 = 279 points at USD 39.92 price unit
From origin 15/09/2014-26/10/2020 Top = 319 weeks
319*1.4142 = 451 weeks. Use tight SL
Alibaba. capitalize its coming big moves w/o buying its share.Alibaba / Baba price surging up > 10% both in HK & NY markets after news that is going to split its core business to 6 = the beginning of “new era”..How for Malaysian if their local broker not allowed to trade HK or NY stocks? Probably structured warrant is a choice ...p/s structured warrants like stock options is a “leveraged + plus time decay/ expiration date” trading instruments/ products.. So Unless you are experienced traders on “when” The underlying / mother stock will be at roughly “what” price the in next e.g 60 days...By trading with e.g elliotwave, Cycle etc...
BABA: INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS PLAYThis is Alibaba daily chart.
Price currently just below 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from October low to January high.
Possible inverted head and shoulders to consider as well.
RSI in the lows.
There are a few gaps that could be filled. so I see 77-82 as a potential buying zone for a long term investment into this Chinese beaten down stock OR a good bounce zone for a short/mid term trade.
Trade safe!
ALIBABA On the 1D MA50. Closing above = $120.Alibaba Group Holdings (BABA) hit today its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since February 16. In the past year, every time the price closed a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, it soared to at least 120.00 which is the bottom of the 1 Year Resistance Zone.
This time the stock is past a 1D Golden Cross pattern, the first such formation March 18 2019, which is technically bullish. What it needs to avoid is closing below its Higher Lows trend-line, which on September 16 2022 kickstarted a strong sell-off.
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