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Wolfe wave 2d - Rotation of out US equities and back into BABA ?BABA has been beaten up to death punishing long term investors. Regardless of the noise, a wolfe wave pattern has been identified on the 2D time-frame. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is approx 240 to 260. These targets can achieved before or after earnings. Short term psychological target is 200.
NYSE:BABALong
by TOSOPTION
Alibaba | Fundamental Analysis + Next target 🔔Chinese e-commerce behemoth Alibaba Group Holding has become one of the top investment trends of 2021. Over the past year, the company's stock has dropped more than 50% of its value, almost inaudible for a company of this size and status. The stock recently rebounded 15% from its 52-week lows, and investors are curious if the drama is over. And today's review will tell you just why you should be cautious about returning to the Alibaba rollercoaster. The most interesting thing about Alibaba's troubled year is that it has scarcely anything to do with real business. It is the powerful e-commerce business in China's vast economy, and nearly 1.2 billion people worldwide have used its services in the past year. BABA posted revenues of $31.8 billion in its most recent quarter ended June 30, up 34% from the pandemic peak in mid-2020. The business is undoubtedly effective and brings a lot of free cash flow: $3.2 billion per quarter, or 10% of revenue. Over the past year, the Chinese government has taken a decisive stance and has become more active in intervening in large Chinese technology companies. Chinese President Xi Jinping has stressed the need to distribute wealth from large corporations to the Chinese population through social programs, infrastructure, etc. He is putting pressure on dominant Chinese technology companies because China has the regulatory authority to advance them with antitrust lawsuits. Chinese regulators have already fined Alibaba $2.5 billion in antitrust investigations. Perhaps, as a result of this pressure, Alibaba has agreed to donate 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) over the next five years to social needs. Given the company's free cash flow of $3.2 billion last quarter, this is a meaningful figure. That's less cash to invest in business development and less money for the company's shareholders. In late 2020, Chinese regulators blocked an initial public offering by Chinese fintech company Ant Group, which would have valued the company at about $300 billion. Like Alibaba, Ant Group is another business headed by Jack Ma and owns China's largest digital payments platform. Regulators have forced Ant Group to restructure its business to comply with Chinese regulations, separating its Alipay platform from its lending business and sharing ownership of its newly created customer data business with the Chinese government. This definitely turns Ant Group into a bank and gives the Chinese state access to Ant Group's consumer data, the "secret sauce" of the business. Alibaba owns a third of Ant Group, and the halt of its IPO is a value-destroying event that probably played a role in Alibaba's stock decline. China creates political problems for Alibaba and similar technology companies that are hard for investors to predict. What happens if the Chinese government decides to take more funds from tech companies? What if regulations become even stricter? Investors have little ability to assess these risks. As a result, Alibaba's stock is selling off as investors try to factor in these risks. Analysts forecast revenues of $140 billion for the entire fiscal year 2022 (the calendar year 2021), resulting in a stock price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of just over 3. Before the pandemic, the stock was trading at a P/S ratio of 10, so it's obvious how much the stock price has declined while the core business keeps expanding. If we go back even further, to three years ago, the P/S of the stock was 15. In other words, the stock's valuation has declined 80% over the past few years. Wow! Right? Let's compare Alibaba to Amazon, a similar company: an e-commerce giant with additional segments like cloud services. Amazon's P/S has never surpassed 5 in the last five years, meaning that at the peak of the P/S ratio Alibaba was valued at five times the price of Amazon stock. Amazon's P/S is currently 3.4, which is only 10% higher than Alibaba's, which may be fair since they are very similar. Alibaba is smaller and may grow a little faster, but then you have to consider the political risks and the company's huge donations to China's social programs. So it would be logical to argue that Alibaba should trade at a discount to Amazon, as it does now. But if you want to absolve doubts about Alibaba, it would still be difficult to justify a significant premium over Amazon's price. It may turn out that Alibaba has been expensive for years and that much of the fall was due to the stock coming to a more adequate valuation, rather than the fall being a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity, as some investors think. This means that Alibaba does not have as many prospects as it appears at first glance, and so investors might think twice before grasping Alibaba's recent bounce.
NYSE:BABALong
by FOREXN1
2
BABA Daily TimeframeSNIPER STRATEGY This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts Although I have to say it can’t predict pullbacks, so I do not suggest this strategy for leverage trading. It will not give you the whole wave like any other strategy out there but it will give you huge part of the wave. The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work any timeframe above three minutes. Start believing in this strategy because it will reward believers with huge profit. There is a lot more about this strategy. It can predict and also it can give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot. I am developing it even more so stay tuned and start to follow me for more signals and forecasts.
NYSE:BABALong
by hadimozayan
2
BABA longterm (weekly)BABA in weekly is currently forming a falling wedge. We would potentially be ready for a wave 1 after that downtrend, 200 area acted as a support recently, if it can hold again we could potentially start wave 1. I would like to see MACD turning bullish with RSI back over neutral level first. BABA earnings is August 19th, a good report can be the catalyst for the falling wedge break and the comeback of China's giant. Yellow lines are longterm level to watch :) On july 8th BABA dropped below 200 mental number but we saw a dip buy. Daily candle closed with a wick down and more volume than usual, its good sign. Opinion : BABA is currently undervalued and could see a massive run after that downtrend break. Keep it on the shopping list !
NYSE:BABALong
by Willgau13
BABA 3D Buying with a short stop can give a good resultLooking at the global chart of Alibaba Group shares, it appears that the 38% corrective fall is reaching its logical conclusion. During the fall, each renewal of the minimum was accompanied by a decrease in trading volumes, and the "Bullish Pennant" pattern is formed on the chart itself. The target for working out such a pattern is in the region of $265-285, which is at least + 30%. In this zone, you should cover longs and look around to see what the general mood will be in the market. Analyzing the chart today, we consider the scenario of the continuation of the correction of the price of BABA shares down to $165 , and possibly to $135, after a rebound to the zone of $265-285 from current prices , is more likely. This assumption will be shattered by buyers if they can confidently fix the price of BABA shares above $285 Let's wait and see who will dominate the market in the future)
NYSE:BABA
by P_S_trade
22