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JPM / JP Morgan - Don't Gamble On Regional BanksI know that whenever something drops by 30 or 50 or 70 percent in one or two days it seems like you might be able to smash buy and ride the bounce back to the top, but just take a look at how well that worked out for tech stocks once the market started to correct at the end of 2021, or just take a look at how well that worked for Silicon Valley Bank dip buyers who found their shares worth $0 in a few hours. JP Morgan and the other big American banks aren't just "big American banks," but the financial arm of the United States' military industrial complex. Moreover, they're something that's become a pillar of the entire world's financial ecosystem. The heart of the world's economy is in Manhattan, but they're also the ones responsible for providing a financial life line (a blood transfusion) to the Chinese Communist Party all of these years. Here's some things everyone should think about: 1. Regional banks are not a buy, because they need to be eliminated for Central Bank Digital Currencies 2. SWIFT itself is expanding its CBDC platform pilot globally after a test run that involved a JP Morgan-created centralized fork of Ethereum . 3. CBDCs are required for the global implementation of the CCP's social credit credit system 4. CBDCs mean citizen and small business banking becomes centralized in Federal Reserve proxy accounts ran through the biggest banks 5. Welcome to communism. The purpose of all of this is to install communism for the purposes of attempting to change the human living condition. Credit Suisse is probably going to implode for real and that's going to cause some chaos for the markets. This play is pretty much a mirror of the 2008 GFC with Bear Sterns, which everyone would do well to educate themselves on how that went down . The problem with Central Bank QE isn't all the Libertarian crap you've been told. The problem is that deposits are a liability for banks because they have to pay interest on them, and so they need to seek yield. Seeking yield on a very large position is very hard, because guys like JPM and Blackrock and Vanguard happen to make the markets, and markets are a euphemism for a casino, and casinos are zero sum games where there's a small number of winners and a large number of losers. And so when there's no interest rates, banks have to take risks to generate cashflow to pay interest to the very, very large depositors. When QE was hot that seemed to have meant long bonds, long equities. And then the Fed raised rates 5 percent while they were holding a lot of equities and bonds and now those bonds and equities aren't worth very much. So they're red on their positions and can't HODL through it because of bank runs and go under. It's as simple as that and it was an engineered play for smaller banks to be destroyed and then the big banks buy the liquidations. It's the same as how whales kill sharks by holding them upside down in the water, which makes them disoriented and paralyzed, and then the whales eat their livers and leave them to die. JPM on the monthly is not likely to have topped and gives you no reason to think there's a financial crash or any real bearishness brewing: Yet the weekly shows you confluence between Fib levels and gaps, and that it's just too early to go long, and kind of scary to scalp short to boot: JPM's double tops at $145 made very little sense at the time, and that's because, in my opinion, they were short their own stock under $150 in anticipation of what everyone who's running big data analysis for real knew, that SIVB and SBNY and SI would collapse, that CS was a bloated corpse in the river that the Swiss National Bank couldn't save, and that it was time to start taking down the regional banks by using the crisis as an opportunity. Naturally, being a bank and part of the sector, this will give grounds to make JPM's shares drop, so they just sell, and then buy back, and then give themselves bonuses and go for happy hour with cocaine and strippers when the drama is over because someone buys CS and the Fed pauses hikes, and they pump their own stock back to $200. Another thing is that the narrative is that equities are *going2themoon* because the Federal Reserve just HAS to stop hiking rates now. Look at how much damage the rate hikes caused! They just have to stop hiking now! They probably won't. FOMC hasn't led to a dumpster fire in quite a few months and you should be concerned about that. After Wednesday's FOMC, the next one afterwards is May 2. Expect them to pivot then, not now, and for May, June, July to become another "most hated rally" for bears. Except this time it won't be a bear market rally, but a bump and run reversal, that pumps tech and other dumpster trash to a new ATH that makes bears blow their accounts. Look for longs in the $110 range on JPM and expect the October bottom to hold, because it's called a pivot for a reason, sons. It's JP Morgan. This kind of disaster in the markets today was arranged by them, and is not something they're personally subject to. The disasters that lie ahead for the current regime because of what they've been doing to help the CCP as it persecutes Falun Gong over the last 24 years are retribution that they haven't arranged and that nobody can dodge, and something that will catch the entire market off guard. But for now, you can get $40 a share if you buy in the $110s and sell at $150. And the time horizon is probably literally no later than the end of May, too. Don't go long on regional banks. Go long on the big banks. And then get out and be careful, because everything in this world is about to change very quickly, and human beings are not going to be able to bear the terribleness of what happens when the regime goes to install communism worldwide.
Editors' picks
NYSE:JPMLong
by LordWrymouth
11
BAC, 10d+/-13.5%falling cycle -13.5% more than 10 days. ================================================================================================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
NYSE:BACShort
by Tonyder
💰 A LITTLE MORE DOWN AND THE FED WILL BEGIN TO SAVE THE BANKS 📣 Hello everyone! I believe that the entire growth up to 2006 is the first impulse wave of the cycle, which stretched for about 33 years. From 2006 to 2009, the ABC zigzag in the wave of the second cycle adjusted the entire growth by -95%, pushing the price of Bank of America shares back 25 years. I am now considering with a hypothesis the completion of the correction of the wave-the second cycle in 2009, and all subsequent market activity is part of a complex segmented impulse wave iii of the cycle. Accordingly, I believe that the decline in the shares of the second bank in the United States, which began in 2022, will continue in 2023, and moreover, the decline has already begun. But according to the hypothesis I am considering, I am more inclined to believe that the downward trend, that is, this ABC zigzag will end in the area of wave-4, which is part of wave 3 of the higher intermediate level. After that, it would be logical to expect a trend reversal and the beginning of growth in the impulse wave-5 of the intermediate level with a goal of $ 62 per share approximately in 2024/2025. The cancellation of the scenario I am considering will be a breakdown and consolidation below the level of $ 19.86, that is, the completion of wave-4 below this level. 😱 If the price is fixed below this level, it is likely that the fall may continue up to $ 2 per share, so it is worth paying attention to this key level now. ⚡️ ⚠️ As always, I wish you good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit ✊ Goodbye!
NYSE:BACLong
by AnonymousTraderAcademy
Further Bank of America drops anticipated. BACShorting Bank of America a bit more, we just need to reach some of those Fibonacci goals. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NYSE:BACShort
by Rykin_Capital
vix 8 hour chart another 150% spike in April?Hello traders, today let's review VIX 8hour and daily chart . Is it possible that another 150% burst is in the making now? Entirely plausible, in fact based on advanced XABCD setup the current pullback/correction might be over near 15/16.00 later in April. Based on time/price symmetry point C of the XABCD pattern structure might come in at 15/16.00 sometime in April 2023. The pattern is defined by point X at 33.00, point A at18.50, point B at 30.00, expecting point C print at 16.00 and point D print at 38.00, based on 127 extension. Recommended strategy: buy calls / write puts once we land near point C near 16.00. this is a higher risk entry strategy, so always do your own due dill and use other indicators to confirm the entry. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TVC:VIXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
21
Maximum Pain in The Future CS Credit SuisseBanks restructure the debt of stressed corporations every day, not out of philanthropy but out of enlightened self-interest. But the problem was that, now that we had accepted the EU–IMF bailout, we were no longer dealing with banks but with politicians who had lied to their parliaments to convince them to relieve the banks of Greece’s debt and take it on themselves. A debt restructuring would require them to go back to their parliaments and confess their earlier sin, something they would never do voluntarily, fearful of the repercussions. Credit Suisse is A Mess, This won't be good R-R for a reversal until late 2023. There are hundreds of significantly better opportunities available
NYSE:CS
by noam_chom
6
Investors are caught-up in the Regional Banking fiascoShares in the banking sector have taken a hit amidst Silicon and Signature banking fiasco. In an attempt to recoup investors' confidence, the treasury secretary has ruled out any bailout plans. The fed chairman has also ensured that depositors would have access to their funds. Despite all the efforts, the market seems skeptical, and the regional banking crisis is causing short-term sell-offs across the baking sector. Bank of America (BAC), the second largest bank in the US with total assets of $3.05 trillion, is down by 5.81%. The trading volume increased to 210.5 million shares, making BAC one of the most actively traded instruments. BAC stocks have been tumbling for the past week. It's too early to conclude it would be Lehman Brothers circa 2008/2009, said Abrar Bhatti, a Specialist at Exness, BAC indeed seems 'too big to fail.' The depositors may accelerate the shift towards the large banks from the regional ones. The main challenge for the regional banks is if they can compete with the big banks, with their limited liquidity and diversification. On the technical side, since July 2022, per share price has been consolidating between the $29.50 support and $37.00 resistance area. After the March CPI data, the BAC stocks are trading around the support area of $29.50. Also, the price is trading below 50MA, and the bears could push the market down to the $25.00 support area. In the Monthly charts, a push below the $20.00 support area, which coincides with a 61.8% fib retracement of the wave beginning around January 2012, would expose BAC shares to further losses. That would be one of the indications of a full-blown recession. On the upside, RSI is already in the oversold territory. If the bears are unable to push the price down on the subsequent attempts, bulls would be looking to break minor resistance of $30.80 and $33.00 in intraday trading.
Editors' picks
NYSE:BAC
by Exness_Official
7
Bank of America (BAC) Shows Bearish Elliott Wave SequenceBank of America (BAC) shows a lower low bearish sequence from 1.10.2022 high favoring further downside in the stock. Near term, cycle from 2.8.2023 high is in progress as a 5 waves Elliott Wave impulse. Down from 2.8.2023 high, wave 1 ended at 33 and rally in wave 2 ended at 34.56 as the 1 hour chart below shows. The stock resumes lower in wave 3 with internal subdivision as another 5 waves impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 32.8 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 33.15. Stock resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards 30.08 and wave ((iv)) ended at 30.81. Final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 28.92 which completed wave 3 in higher degree. Wave 4 rally ended at 31.50 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 31.04 and wave ((b)) ended at 29.95. Third leg wave ((c)) ended at 31.50 which completed wave 4. Stock resumes lower in wave 5 with internal as a diagonal. Down from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 28.10 and wave ((ii)) ended at 31.05. Wave ((iii)) ended at 27.87 and wave ((iv)) rally ended at 30.57. Expect the stock to end wave ((v)) of 5 soon and this should complete cycle from 2.8.2023 as wave (1). Afterwards, stock should rally in wave (2) to correct cycle from 2.8.2023 high before the decline resumes. As far as pivot at 34.56 stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swings for further downside.
NYSE:BAC
by Elliottwave-Forecast
💾 Bank of America Corporation Worst Since 2008 | Major CrashNumber two is Bank of America, this one looks even worst than JP Morgan Chase. No introduction needed as I already did it with JPM but if you missed the other article let me just say that we are likely entering a "Bank Holiday" period. Bank Holiday refers to the process of the bankers celebrating as the wealth of 20-40% of the worlds population vanishes. Ok, the chart: ✔️ Bank of America peaked February 2022 and last month produced a year long lower high. ✔️ This week BAC produced the highest selling volume since June 2020. ✔️ BAC closed Friday below MA200 and EMA300 in a single candle. ✔️ It was already trading below EMA50, EMA100, etc. ✔️ The MACD did a bearish cross while moving below zero... Double whammy. ✔️ The RSI is already weak and gaining bearish momentum. While everything burns, the executives will pay themselves millions and millions and millions of dollars in bonuses... People will lose everything. We will see if Crypto will save the day or if it will also go down together with the whale banks. Or maybe they will decide to print 5 Trillion USD to bailout the banks out and everything... Namaste.
NYSE:BACShort
by AlanSantana
7
SVB: Announces bankruptcy! The situation at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is not particularly complicated. In short, they borrowed short and invested long, mismanaged their liquidity, and caused their own demise. The specific steps were as follows: low-interest deposit-taking, overzealous investment in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), short-term liquidity gaps, forced selling of assets, and market panic. Low-interest deposit-taking: Between 2020 and 2021, due to the Federal Reserve's extended period of 0% interest rates, there was a huge financing boom in the tech industry, with a significant portion of cash flowing into SVB. SVB's deposit liabilities surged from $61.8 billion at the end of 2019 to $189.2 billion at the end of 2021, with interest rates on this portion of deposits only around 0.25%. Overzealous investment in MBS: With so much low-interest money, SVB naturally engaged in carry trade. Typically, banks focus on lending, but SVB invested a large portion of its funds in MBS. Their financial statements showed they held $13.8 billion of MBS at the end of 2019, which had grown to $98.2 billion by the end of 2021. In other words, over 65% of the deposits they took in went towards buying MBS. Short-term liquidity gap: Normally, investing in MBS is not a problem because they can be redeemed at maturity. But SVB's problem was that it held too many MBS and had too few short-term liquid assets. In today's high-interest rate environment, tech companies are struggling to survive and are gradually withdrawing money from their deposits, causing SVB's liquidity pressures to soar. Forced selling of assets: To solve the liquidity problem, management chose the cheapest option, which was to sell their MBS holdings. But now, market interest rates had increased from nearly 0 to 5% for 2-year Treasury bonds, and asset prices had fallen significantly in sync. Selling $21 billion of assets resulted in an $1.8 billion loss. Market panic: For SVB, the $1.8 billion loss was still manageable because their shareholder equity was $16 billion. However, the problem was with the $100 billion of MBS that they had not yet sold. If there was a run on the bank, this could result in a potential loss of $15 billion, causing SVB to go bankrupt. Therefore, there was a great deal of panic in the market, causing the stock price to plummet by 60% in a single day. SVB has now declared bankruptcy, and the US government has intervened. It is being managed by a specialized institution. When a bank of this size collapses, there are bound to be chain reactions. The institutions known to be affected include Circle. For those who invest in stocks, they may not have heard of it, but those who invest in cryptocurrencies certainly have, as the most famous stablecoin, USDC, is issued by Circle. The total amount is $40 billion, and in today's announcement, they revealed that $3.3 billion of their assets were stuck in SVB, accounting for almost 8%. This means that those who invest in cryptocurrencies suddenly find that their $100 has shrunk to $92. To say that it's a seismic event is not an exaggeration. There are likely dozens of institutions of a similar scale to Circle that are also trapped, but for various reasons, they are not disclosing their situation. We'll have to wait and see when they come forward. Follow me and you'll get more interesting investment information! Plus, I'll share real-time trading strategies during trading hours, including stocks, gold, crude oil, forex, cryptocurrencies, and more!
Editors' picks
S
by EagleEyeStrategy
22
Bank of America (BAC) A great potential for the mid-term Bank of America is one of the largest banks in the United States, with more than 4,000 branches and 16,000 ATMs located across the country. In 2008-2009, the bank was among the many banks that required a government bailout during the financial crisis. Despite these controversies, Bank of America remains a major force in the banking industry and continues to be a trusted financial institution for millions of customers. ⛓Technical analysis We may see a drop of up to 5% in the coming weeks before the recovery that should take place in the first 2 quarters of the year. Trade safe!
NYSE:BACLong
by pridefulDove59918
Bank of America's profit faltered by 14% in 2022Another big bank that reported its earnings on the past Friday is Bank of America. The bank generated $27.5 billion in net profit and $95 billion in revenue for the full-year 2022. Its net income decreased by 14%, and revenue rose by 6.6%. The net interest income jumped by 22%, and the noninterest income dropped by 8%. The Consumer Banking segment added over 1 million checking accounts and reached a record of 3.5 million consumer investment accounts. At the same time, it experienced net inflows from clients worth $28 billion and a jump in digital sales by 22% versus 2021. The Global Banking division experienced a 38% increase in revenue and saw a growth in average loans and leases of 14%. BofA’s Global Wealth and Investment Management segment gained more than 119 000 accounts and saw $87 billion in client inflows for the entire year. More importantly, it is on a streak of 51 consecutive quarters of average loan and lease growth. The Global Markets division saw the highest revenue and sales since 2010. In addition to that, its average loans grew by 28% year over year. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Bank of America stock, which declined more than 26% in 2022. 2022 (full-year) vs. 2021 (full-year) Net income = $27.5 billion (vs. $32 billion in 2021; -14% YoY) Net interest income = $52.4 billion (vs. $42.9 billion in 2021; +22% YoY) Noninterest income = $42.5 billion (vs. $46.2 billion in 2021; -8% YoY) Revenue = $95 billion (vs. $89.1 billion in 2021; +6.6% YoY) Noninterest expenses = $61.4 billion (vs. $59.7 billion in 2021; +2.8% YoY) Provision for credit losses = $2.5 billion (vs. $-4.6 billion in 2021) 4Q 2022 vs. 4Q 2021 (year over year) Net income 4Q22 = $7.1 billion (vs. $7 billion in 4Q21; +1.4% YoY) Net revenue 4Q22 = $24.5 billion (vs. $22 billion in 4Q21; +11%. YoY) Net interest income 4Q22 = $14.7 billion (+48% YoY) Noninterest income 4Q22 = $9.8 billion (-8% YoY) Noninterest expenses 4Q22 = $15.5 billion ( +6% YoY) Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NYSE:BAC
by Tradersweekly
12
$SPY $SPX $ES1! Analysis, Key levels, and Targets $SPY $SPX $ES1! Analysis, Key levels, and Targets I honestly love TA so much. It’s so fascinating to me. Those who trade without TA, like say, just using the option chain, are really missing out on a cool thing…. Not a huge change since yesterdays update, but we did get into the gap but failed to fill it and were rejected at the Daily 200MA… Tomorrow we have some Bank earnings (JPM, BAC) in premarket (8:30) and so will start the earnings season - and I’m super excited about it all… I just want to add that I do love being bullish, but today I was driving around and really started to notice the amount of commercial real estate vacant with for lease signs… and I remember 07 and how that was the first signal that something was wrong…. I want to be bullish - but I just am not yet… but there are so so many amazing opportunities in a bear market… and if done right - this is where the generational wealth comes from…. I did add to my 410 put position in April… I’m now 8 deep with an average of 22.31 - I absolutely had to with VIX so low today - and I covered my short 379 puts expiring tomorrow for 97%, looking to sell for next week tomorrow…. And thanks so much for the super awesome support about the video… I will definitely be doing more of that soon!! Hopefully I’ll lean into doing mostly video… I know it’s a pain to read my long rambles sometimes… LOL… so it will be easier on all of us… Have a fun day trading tomorrow, y’all… 💃🏻 P.S. Yes stupid willy looks like it might cross up… but I’m reading the weakness before it, all of the chop during the holidays as just that, holiday chop…. I don’t see much strength in that cross up and RSI and MacD aren’t supporting a cross up yet…. So lets see how these first earnings go…
AMEX:SPYShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2