Backtest
NZDUSD (4H) Backtest : Break of market structureWinners = 6
Losers = 5
Breakevens = 2
Total Trades = 13
% Non Losers = 62%
% Winners = 46%
% Breakevens = 15%
% Losers = 38%
Win/Loss = 120%
Net R = 4.6
Avg R/Winner = 0.77
Avg R/trade = 0.35
Bad trades prevented due to presence of liquidity near SL= 20
Icons on the chart
Thumbs up : Trade was a win
Thumbs down : Trade was a loss
Circle with a cross : Trade was breakeven
Cross : Did not take the trade due to presence of liquidity behind the stop loss
Variables
Avg winner = 1.6R
Strategy : wait for market structure break, then trade the retest of that zone (against the trapped traders).
RTY (Russell) (4H) Backtest : Break of market structureWinners = 8
Losers = 3
Breakevens = 2
Total Trades = 13
% Non Losers = 77%
% Winners = 62%
% Breakevens = 15%
% Losers = 23%
Win/Loss = 267%
Net R = 9.8
Avg R/Winner = 1.23
Avg R/trade = 0.75
Bad trades prevented due to presence of liquidity near SL= 26
Icons on the chart
Thumbs up : Trade was a win
Thumbs down : Trade was a loss
Circle with a cross : Trade was breakeven
Cross : Did not take the trade due to presence of liquidity behind the stop loss
Variables
Avg winner = 1.6R
Strategy : wait for market structure break, then trade the retest of that zone (against the trapped traders).
BACKTESTING: AUDJPY price action on the 4H timeframeHere is the Strategy of strong AGRESSIVE initiation and then entry on the pullback from that initiation. The rules for this strategy is that price must pull back at least 50% of the initial move. Entry must be in convergence with at least one more factor, like an RSI divergence, a retest of a major trendline or horizontal level, or break and retests (resistance turned support). This strategy works because agressiveness in the markets tell us where price really wants to go, and entering on the pullback gives us a good Risk to Reward Ratio. simple
4 trades demonstrated with 3RR or more on each. :)
BTCUSD Scalp |H1 Double Bottom|Dynamic Resistance|.618 Fib|RangeEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – Scalp opportunity on BTC, following are technical points to consider,
- Range low double bottom
- Dynamic Resistance breached
- .618 Fibonacci retest
- 21 MA support
- Range high target
A double bottom deviation back into range shows demand below range support, this is considered bullish.
The Dynamic resistance in confluence with the 21 MA has breached with recent impulse, first time since the down trend. The 21 MA is now considered support – S/R Flip.
A backed test and hold of the .618 Fibonacci is bullish, allowing for a risk defined entry.
Price action immediate target will be range high. It is important to monitor volume to avoid fake outs.
Hope this analysis help!
Thank you for following my work!
And remember,
“Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.” ― Yvan Byeajee
Using the Strategy Tester to Evaluate a StrategyThis video idea explains how to use the strategy tester on TradingView to evaluate the performance of your strategy. We go over all of the data presented for you regarding your strategy, and if we make mistakes along the way you can always check out the TradingView help section that is specifically for the Strategy Tester.
I highlight the overview of your strategy, dive into the details of the performance summary for your strategy, and show how we can review all of our trades including our commission paid.
Finally, we show how changes to the strategy can alter your Strategy Tester results and how accounting for commission(fees) and selective testing windows can alter perceptions on strategies.
Using The Replay Bar To Backtest EURUSDI thought it would be fun to share a backtesting video. Video time is limited so I couldn't get a full session recorded. I know technical analysis is only part of the picture but this is a fun exercise.
Trading BITCOIN on 2H - My Automated StrategyHi guys,
Today while playing with my strategies I was searching for the best Buy & Sell strategy for trading Bitcoin in 2H. BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Here are the rules:
Only long trades (Entry long + Exit long)
Backtest From 2018-01-01 to today, starting after 2017's bull rally
0.1% commission
10 000 € as initial capital
100% equity as order size
No pyramiding
Goal:
1. Beat Buy & Hold return
2. Get the biggest Net Profit in the backtest results
3. Create a bot with it!
Here is what I found
Base indicator: SuperTrend
Parameters:
ATR multiplier : 12
ATR Lookback : 1
Trade filter: ADX
Timeframe: 2H
Threshold: 14
Take profit: 17%
Why 17% ? In average, a leg up is around 17%. This is what gave the best results.
No stop loss. The SuperTrend makes a very good natural trailing stop loss. We sell when it reverses.
I built an alert setup for this strategy, with simple BUY and SELL signals for those willing to automate and create their own bot. See the indicator link below.
Feel free to share your strategy/idea for trading Bitcoin in 2H!
Thanks for reading.
XRP/USD Swing StrategyHi guys, here is a simple Swing Trading strategy for Ripple BINANCE:XRPUSDT
To trade this strategy manually you will need the SuperTrend indicator, paired with a 25 bars EMA as trend filter.
Set the ATR multiplier to 2 and the lookback to 3 bars.
Filter trades whose ADX on the 1 Day timeframe is below 12.
Backtest results below.
Configuration:
To get the indicator and automate the strategy, use the link below, thanks.
Top 8 BTC Markets for Swing TradingI backtested every BTC market from Binance, from january 2018 to now, using the strategy tester.
To get a clear picture, I backtested all those pairs on the same time period, from the year 2018 in january to today. The results include only long trades with no leverage, as in successive Buy and Sell orders.
Most altcoins have been performing badly in 2019 with the bear market, making it hard for a Buy & Sell strategy to be profitable. However I managed to list 20 coins with which the strategy was profitable and beating the Buy & Hold return.
Here is the top 8:
ONT/BTC
Link/BTC
Enji/BTC
TRX/BTC
Holo/BTC
ETH/BTC
Iost/BTC
Cosmos/BTC
The indicator I use to backtest and create automated alerts is private and called Cyato H.A. Swing. It uses an Heikin Ashi bullish and bearish candles strategy. The goal of the indicator is to quickly find and setup a Buy & Sell strategy, on any market.
You can get it using the link below.
To receive more analysis, you can follow my profile. Thanks!
TOP 8 MOST PROFITABLE USDT MARKETSHi guys, I backtested every USDT market from Binance, from january 2019 to now, using the strategy tester.
Out of 20 pairs that I ended up ordering by Strategy Net Profit, the most profitable turned out to be BINANCE:LINKUSDT , followed by BINANCE:BNBUSDT , BINANCE:DASHUSDT , BINANCE:BTCUSDT , BINANCE:LTCUSDT , BINANCE:ONTBTC , BINANCE:ZECUSDT , BINANCE:ADAUSDT .
The indicator I use to backtest and create automated alerts is private and called Cyato H.A. Swing. It uses an Heikin Ashi bullish and bearish candles strategy. The goal of the indicator is to quickly find and setup a Buy & Sell strategy, on any market.
You can get it using the link below.
To receive more analysis, you can follow my profile. Thanks!
Trend King Strategy Results - 2019 Only - 4HR - All Modes OnBy request, the results for the Trend King Strategy back-test, 2019 only.
Eduational: Example of a descending broadening wedge. A descending broadening wedge is bullish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
A descending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines . The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the descending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
A descending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the selling current, but the buyers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to fall with movements that are increasingly low in magnitude. The sellers manage to make the price rebound on the resistance line but lose control after the formation of a new lowest point. The highest point reached during the first correction on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line forms the resistance. A second wave of decline then occurs of more magnitude, signalling the sellers' loss of control after a new lowest point. A third wave forms afterwards but the sellers lose control again after the formation of new lowest points.
During the formation of a descending broadening wedge, volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks. source:Centralcharts
Profit Factor World RecordThis probably won't hold but I had to share this :D
(backtest below)
Profit Factor is simply defined as gross profits divided by gross losses.
And what happens when you divide by zero ? You get infinite numbers.
I like to backtest a lot ;)
Indicator used:
By the way if you beat this let me know! :D
ETHUSD 15m Strategy with Backtest Results on BitMEX!Hi guys, I'd like to share a strategy for BITMEX:ETHUSD in 15m timeframe.
The goal of the strategy is to get the highest win/lose ratio possible, in order to eventually use a little leverage :)
The idea is to use a trend line that will trade only short when it's declining, and only long when it's rising.
For that I used a 125 EMA.
Now for the entries I used some RSI kind of divergences, you can get them with my free Cyatophilum RSI script and setting 125 as highest and lowest length in the parameters:
On top of that I added a 5.5% simple Stop Loss with a 1.5% Trailing Take Profit with 0.2% deviation.
And you get the backtest results below.
For this I used my private indicator the Cyatophilum Ultimate Trading Bot . You can get it using the link below!
Here is the configuration :
Enjoy!
Backtesting Became Cool Again!Hello traders
Hope you're all doing fantastic
I learned a few weeks ago that TradingView released a CSV Export feature. Basically, you can export any indicator outputs/plots and get the data in your favorite Excel/Google Sheet/Open office, etc.
Using that software is relatively easy and learning how to construct pivot tables/charts will expand your analytics beyond the realm of what you thought was even possible... #way #too bold #statement
In that video:
I exported the data provided by Backtest Premium Suite in Google Sheet
In Google Sheet, I built a pivot table and a few pivot charts (requires a few clicks only)
Allows me to get insightful analytics and understand better where I can improve (how much opportunity do I capture? for which risk? are my winners increasing faster than my losers are decreasing?...)
Thank you TradingView for enabling this feature.
All the BEST
Dave
ETH/BTC Long Trade SetupHello, I hope you're enjoying your monday (if you do you're a monster..)
Here is a trade setup for BINANCE:ETHBTC
The pair has suffered a massive dump a few days ago. This could very well mean cheap prices for us!
And indeed: I just got a signal from my 8H private indicator, built upon an Heikin Ashi Strategy (on the right).
Honestly if you look at the H.A. chart, the trade is obvious, we have a nice bullish candle and it's already followed by another.
On top of that, my 4H strategy (on the left), which is built on Parabolic Stop And Reverse, also triggered a long signal!
On this one I will use a 4% trailing stop loss.
As always, we keep an eye on the leader BTC.
ETH tends to rise when BTC either climbs or goes sideways. This is not always the case, but it is what happened in the past months.
The current chart is confirming the idea.
I hope you like the setup, I will update the trade whatever happens!
Indicators Used
ETH/BTC 4H Buy & Sell
Heikin Ashi Strategy
Bitcoin BreakoutThe buy price is on the backtest of the 200ma.
Target $10,000 again.
The stop price is below the upper blue rail.
