Bajaj Housing Finance AnalysisNSE:BAJAJHFL
Technical Analysis : You can get an Idea about the potential move from the given chart if the price follows the price action and market sentiment remain bullish.
Fundamental Analysis :
Key Financial Data:
1. **Share Price**: ₹129.56.
2. **Market Capitalization**: ₹1,07,899 crore.
3. **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: ₹2.65.
4. **Revenue (FY2023-24)**: ₹7,617 crore (34% growth YoY).
5. **Profit After Tax (FY2023-24)**: ₹1,731 crore (38% growth YoY).
6. **Total Assets**: ₹81,827 crore.
7. **ROE (Return on Equity)**: 3.78%.
### Analytical Valuation Models:
Using a combination of financial models to estimate the fair value:
1. **Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis**:
Assuming moderate growth in free cash flows and using an estimated discount rate (WACC), the DCF valuation suggests a fair value of **₹140 per share**.
2. **Comparable Company Analysis (CCA)**:
Analyzing peers like LIC Housing Finance and Housing Development Corporation, Bajaj Housing Finance appears fairly priced in the **₹125–₹135 range** based on its P/E and P/B ratios.
3. **Precedent Transactions Analysis**:
Benchmarking against recent acquisitions in the housing finance sector, a fair value of **₹135 per share** is plausible.
4. **Dividend Discount Model (DDM)**:
Given the company’s limited dividends, this model is less applicable as it skews conservative with a valuation below **₹100**.
5. **Gordon Growth Model (GGM)**:
Factoring the modest dividend growth, the GGM valuation estimates **₹120 per share**.
6. **Financial Ratios**:
- **P/E Ratio**: Trading at 7.11x earnings.
- **Fair Value**: ₹130 per share based on earnings growth.
7. **Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) Ratio**:
Considering robust profit growth (38% YoY), the PEG method supports a valuation of **₹140 per share**.
8. **Residual Income Model**:
Using the ROE and cost of equity, the fair value aligns near **₹135 per share**.
9. **Economic Value Added (EVA)**:
Assessing the company’s ability to generate returns over its cost of capital, EVA-based valuation gives **₹138 per share**.
Summary Table:
| **Model** | **Fair Value (₹)** |
|----------------------------------------------|---------------------|
| Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) | 140 |
| Comparable Company Analysis (CCA) | 125–135 |
| Precedent Transactions | 135 |
| Dividend Discount Model (DDM) | 100 |
| Gordon Growth Model (GGM) | 120 |
| Financial Ratios | 130 |
| PEG Ratio | 140 |
| Residual Income Model | 135 |
| Economic Value Added (EVA) | 138 |
**Average Fair Value**: ₹133 per share
**Current Price**: ₹129.56
**Upside Potential**: ~2.66%
Conclusion:
Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd. is currently trading close to its estimated fair value. While not significantly undervalued, it offers stability and modest growth potential, suitable for long-term holding in portfolios focused on housing finance or related sectors.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Bajajfinance
INVESTMENT IDEA - BAJAJ FINANCE Bajaj Finance , a major financial services provider in India, showcases a promising investment setup supported by both technical and fundamental strengths.
Technical Reasons :
Trend Line Support: The stock is holding above a long-term trend line, indicating resilience and potential for an upward move.
Intact Trend: Continuous higher highs and higher lows signal that the bullish trend remains intact.
Doji and Inside Candle Pattern on Weekly: This pattern suggests a possible reversal or continuation, highlighting a period of consolidation with potential for breakout.
Fundamental Reasons :
Record Revenue and Net Profit: Both metrics are at all-time highs, underscoring the company's financial strength.
Attractive Valuation: With a current 10-year PE ratio of 27.9, Bajaj Finance trades below its 10-year median PE of 45.4, suggesting it is undervalued relative to historical standards.
Solid Growth and Returns: The company boasts a 24% compounded sales growth rate, an ROCE of 11.9%, and an ROE of 22.1%, reflecting effective utilization of capital and profitability.
These combined factors make Bajaj Finance an attractive long-term investment option, with technical support for entry and solid fundamentals for sustained growth potential.
BAJAJFINANCENSE:BAJFINANCE
One Can enter now!
Or Wait for a retest of the trendline(BO)!
Or Wait for a better Risk:Reward Ratio!
Note :
1. One should go long with a StopLoss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Mangement and Risk Appetite.
Disclamier : You are responsible for your profits and loss.
The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose.
Follow back, for more ideas and thier notifications on your email.
Support and Like incase the idea works for you.
Bajaj Finance - Complex Cup & HandleAmazing opportunity in an amazing business.
Bajaj Finance had broken out of a complex cup & handle pattern and have fallen since with the falling market.
The fundamentals in my views are ever strong and the financial performances are unparalleled.
The valuations are around the all-time low.
This isn't a buy call and should be considered as a source of learning to make technical and fundamental analysis in stock markets.
Bajfinance Intraday Levels: 23-Sep-24 Stock taken support from 4570-4500 and move upside & formed triangle wait for breakout of triangle or rejection from support for upside momentum. Else breakout Downside below 4560 drag price for Down
Bullish> 4600
Bearish< 4560
Use SL trailing method to secure profits
BAJAJ HOUSING FINANCE INTRADAY RANGECurrently, BAJAJ HOUSING FINANCE is trading within a specific price range as indicated above. It is advisable to wait for a significant price movement either above the upper limit (breakout) or below the lower limit (breakdown) of this range before considering further trades. It's worth noting that since BAJAJ HOUSING FINANCE was listed just 2 days ago, there is limited historical data available for conducting a comprehensive technical analysis.
Bajaj Finance - Hidden Gem?Bajaj Finance is a company of the prestigious Bajaj group. It is the largest NBFC company of India. It has the lowest NPA among NBFC companies as the largest customer of the company is Bajaj Auto which is another group company of Bajaj Group. The company is continuously increasing its market share and onboarding new customers.
The P/E ratio of the company is at 27.33 which is very less than the 20 year median P/E of 45.6.
The company is constantly increasing its quarterly and yearly revenue and net profit.
The company has significantly decreased its Net NPA from 1.46% in June 2021 to 0.38% in June 2024 which shows the good performance of the company.
The ROE is 22.12% which is considered excellent for NBFC segment stocks.
Regardless of such extraordinary performance and financials the company is trading at the same levels at which it was trading 3 years ago. It is a golden opportunity to invest in this stock at this point of time for long term as it may go 3-4 times up from this level.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Please do your own analysis before investing.
Do like and follow and share among your friends and family.
Thank you.
Bajaj Finance : make it or Break It !- The chart is pretty self-explanatory.
- If you look at the PE, It has come down substantially from about 100.
- The crucial resistance zone is an important obstacle. A break and sustenance above it could mean further upmove.
- Invest with caution as Investors are getting greedy post the bull run.
What are your thoughts? Leave us a comment.
Disclaimer: Please note that we are not regi stered advisors and the views expressed here are solely personal opinions. We strongly recommend consulting with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. We like everybody else, have the right to be wrong.:)
Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAJFINANCE) ForecastThe chart you have provided is a technical analysis of Bajaj Finance Ltd. on the NSE (National Stock Exchange of India). It is a daily (1D) chart with a focus on price movements and possible future trends. Here’s a detailed analysis and summary:
Chart Analysis:
1. Current Price:
- The current price is 6,836.90 INR.
2. Trend Lines:
- There are two dotted lines indicating a downward trend, suggesting a potential breakout.
- There is an upward trend line, indicating support.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Levels:
- 7,326.70 INR (Buy TP 1)
- 7,797.40 INR (Buy TP 2)
- 8,536.20 INR (Buy TP 3)
- Support Level:
- 5,829.45 INR (Sell TP)
4. Potential Scenarios:
- Upside Breakout: The chart indicates a potential upside breakout scenario, with the price moving upwards and hitting the three target prices (Buy TP 1, 2, and 3).
- Downside Risk: There is also a possibility of the price falling, with a target around the 5,829.45 INR level (Sell TP).
5. Indicators:
- The chart does not show specific indicators like moving averages, RSI, or MACD, but the trend lines and support/resistance levels are the key focus.
6. Price Movements:
- The historical price movements show fluctuations within a defined range, with potential reversals at key support and resistance levels.
Summary:
- Buy Strategy: If the price breaks above the downward trend line, the suggested buy targets are 7,326.70 INR, 7,797.40 INR, and 8,536.20 INR.
- Sell Strategy: If the price fails to break above the trend line and moves downward, the suggested sell target is around 5,829.45 INR.
- Wait and Trade: The recommendation is to wait for a clear breakout (upwards or downwards) before making any trades.
Conclusion:
The chart suggests a cautious approach, waiting for a clear indication of the breakout direction. If an upward breakout occurs, there are defined targets for taking profits. If the price moves downward, there is a clear stop loss level indicated.
Learning Post : Bajaj Fin Showed Recovery from Support Levels
This is a Learnig Post :
> Price Action Pattern Repeats on the Charts
> The Stock formed W Pattern at the Imp Support & witnessed Good Recovery
> It may Come for Pullback Retesting
*No Stock Recommendation
For Chart Practice & Learning Purpose
Is Bajaj Auto Going to crash ?Bajaj Auto is At All Time High !!
Stock is in a Rising Channel and Prices are around the resistance
Resistance level is around 8500-8600
Previously we can observe that prices showed correction around 40% from the Resistance of the Channel
So can we expect the same fall ??
Lets see !!
WE ARE ATLEAST NOT BULLISH AT THIS TIME !!
Bajaj Finance at Very Long Term SupportThe market leader has corrected to fall at long term trendline support.
Keep this in the list to be studied.
Note: This, like all other posts, is not a buy/sell call. It aims at spreading awareness and anybody making a financial commitment has himself/herself to credit for gains and blame for losses involved.
#BajajFinance #BAJFINANCE #NSE #nseindia # bseindia